Mike Gallagher

Offseason Beat

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NBA Free Agent Rankings

Sunday, June 22, 2014

16. Zach Randolph (Player option) - Could you imagine Z-Bo on another team? Me neither. Randolph isn’t going anywhere and hopefully he’ll have Marc Gasol with him when the Spaniard becomes a free agent in the summer of 2015.
17. Dwyane Wade (ETO) - There are some reports that Wade will opt out of the remaining two years of deal. Ummm, why? He has $41.5 million left on that deal and there’s really no way he’d get that kind of money in a new, long-term deal. Wade has really hit a wall and his decline is imminent. The numerous attacks on the rim have finally caught up with him and he just can’t stay on the court. He missed 28 games last year and didn’t even really suffer any bad injuries.
That all said, he basically is the Heat.
18. Paul Pierce (Unrestricted) - The Nets sound like they’re going to bring back The Truth. Pierce isn’t a max player anymore and teams probably won’t want to sign him to a long-term deal. They should be able to bring him back, but the Bulls are also in the mix.
19. Avery Bradley (Restricted) - He had an awesome finish after the break, turning in an impressive true shooting percentage of 56.5. Bradley was considered as a better prospect out of high school than John Wall and he’s starting to live up to the billing. He’s still just 23 years old and could grow even more.
20. Trevor Ariza (Unrestricted) - Perhaps no player had a breakout in fantasy like Trevor Ariza. He turned in No. 22 value despite not going in the first 10 rounds of standard drafts. Why? Well Otto Porter was supposed to come on his rookie season, but that never happened. The Wizards are probably going to let Ariza walk with Martell Webster also capable. I could see a team paying him serious money. He also had an impressive postseason.
21. Luol Deng (Unrestricted) - That trade to Cleveland did not help him at all. Deng shot just 41.7 percent from the field in his time with the Cavs last year and he couldn’t stay healthy. He led the NBA in minutes per game a few seasons ago, but that may have caught up to him. Some teams might not want to give him more than three years on a deal.
22. Spencer Hawes (Unrestricted) - When he headed to the Cavs, he was expected to fade in a big way. That didn’t happen at all and Hawes showed he can play in a normal system. The 76ers led the NBA in pace, but the slower Cavs still were a nice fit for Hawes. In fact, he had a tidy 54.7 effective field goal percentage with the Cavs in his 27 games with them.
He probably won’t get another chance to shine in the starting lineup, and may have to move into a backup role.  
23. Greivis Vasquez (Restricted) - If the Raptors actually let Kyle Lowry walk, they have to bring GV back. While he wasn’t great at handling the ball in Toronto, he really grew as a scorer, especially from deep. Vasquez made 38.9 percent of his 3-pointers while with the Raptors, which crushed his previous career shooting of 32.5 percent from the range. He’s still probably not a starting-caliber point guard.
24. Anthony Morrow (Player option) - All of the injuries to the Pelicans probably helped Morrow’s bank account. In March and April, he almost doubled his shots per game compared to before that stretch, and he was also taking much more two-point shots. We all know Morrow is a terrific 3-point shooter with his career 42.8 shooting percentage from that range, but adding a little versatility to his game should get plenty of attention.
Morrow has opted out and a lot of teams will probably want to add him as a bench scorer.
25. Shaun Livingston (Unrestricted) - What a great story. Livingston was able to log a total of 2,301 minutes last season to shatter his previous career high. He became a one-of-a-kind guy with his post game and it really set up the Nets offense nicely. How great was Livingston in the post? He shot an absurd 60.6 percent in post-up last year to rank fourth in the NBA.
The Nets might not be able to bring him back and that’s too bad.
26. Darren Collison (Player option) - He’s opting out and will be an unrestricted free agent. This is probably good news for the Clippers and it allows them to make some moves in the offseason. Collison was a below-average point guard as a starter in Indiana and Dallas, so a team probably won’t be too excited about starting him. Remember when Mike James beat him out for the starting job in Dallas? Yeah.
That said, DC was fantastic last season and he might get a nice four-year deal or so.
27. Jordan Hill (Unrestricted) - Not staying healthy has really hurt Hill, and his minutes cap was very apparent last season. From Dec. 1 and beyond last season, he played over 30 minutes just four times, which is a bit surprising considering how decimated the Lakers were by injury. He probably won’t get much attention.
28. Patty Mills (Unrestricted) - He’s one of the more interesting players on this list. There are not many players who helped themselves in the offseason than Mills. I wrote about Mills and the possibility of him going to NY. In case you missed it, here it is:
The Knicks are believed to be interested in unrestricted free agent Patty Mills. Why wouldn’t they be? He ranked in the top 10 among qualifiers for effective field goal percentage last season at 56.5 — no Knick backcourt/wing player ranked in the 50 — and was also at 56.0 in the postseason. 
Many of Phil Jackson’s teams had a sharp-shooting, score-first point guard while he’d let his system create the assists. Building off the eFG% points in the first Mills paragraph, he had a ridiculous 65.5 effective field goal percent on his 216 spot-up shots last season. *Ace Ventura voice* Yummy!
If he gets starters minutes with the Knicks, it could be a stat fest. He’s only played over 30 minutes just four times in his career, so it should be interesting to see if he can get that kind of playing time. Regardless, I’d put him as a top-70 guy should be get 26 or more minutes. He did come in at No. 80 last year in just 18.9 minutes despite a somewhat average usage rate of 22.5 percent. 
29. Nick Young (Player option) - Swaggy P scored a career-high 17.9 points per game and he actually didn't do it in usually Swaggy fashion. Surprisingly, 58.7 percent of his buckets came off an assist and he turned in a career-high 51.1 effective field goal percentage. Those two stats kind of went hand in hand with his terrific 63.9 eFG% on spot ups (Synergy).
The Lakers are probably going to bring him back even though he can't throw a pitch for his life.
30. Vince Carter (Unrestricted) - He's 37 years old and is now ranked 25th on the NBA's all-time scoring list. Despite the miles on his tires, he missed just two games in the last two seasons while logging 25 minutes per game in that span. Carter did shoot a career-low 40.7 percent from the field last year, so the end is definitely near. He won't be getting more than a two-year deal.
31. Marvin Williams (Unrestricted) - His minutes really took a turn for the worse last season and shooting 38.5 percent from the field in March was a big reason why. It's tough to score in an efficient manner when just 34 percent of his shots came in the paint and Marvin's offensive ceiling will never be that high. Don't expect teams to be too excited about picking him up.
32. Channing Frye (Player option, Officially opted out) - He's been a product of the system for a while and really maximized his output thanks to guys like Goran Dragic. Frye was one of the best stories of 2013-14 after missing all of 2012-13 due to a heart procedure, so teams may not want to offer him a long-term deal. You'd think he's opting in for his $6.8 million next year.
33. Ramon Sessions (Unrestricted) - He was a near-perfect fit for the Bucks down the stretch last year. Sessions was among the league leaders in drives per 48 minutes and that was just what the Bucks needed to help kick start their offense. He's taking more 3-pointers and is not just a drive-to-the-rim guy anymore. Sessions would make sense as a nice backup on just about any team.
34. Shawn Marion (Unrestricted) - The Matrix sounds like he wants to play on a championship team. He'll be looking at a mid-level exception deal and teams like the Heat, Thunder or Clippers would be lucky to have him.
35. P.J. Tucker (Restricted) - He was awesome on defense all season and was able to shut down guys like James Harden, Kevin Durant and countless others. Tucker also grew as an offensive weapon for his career-high 9.4 points per game. The Suns had one of the best bargains with Tucker's $884K on his contract last year, but they won't be that lucky if they want to bring him back.
36. Andray Blatche (Player option, Officially opted out) - He's opting out. Blatche is also playing for the Philippines this summer even though he is not Filipino whatsoever. He started off last season with a bang, but really fizzled out despite the Nets losing a lot of bodies. You'd think teams wouldn't chance it on him for more than a two-year deal.
37. Amare Stoudemire (ETO, Officially opted in) - Obviously, he is not going to opt out. STAT will make (gulp) $23.4 million next year. That's going to hurt the Knicks' chances a bit.
38. Rodney Stuckey (Unrestricted) - He had a decent bounce-back year for the Pistons, but they don't owe him anything. You'd think Stan Van Gundy would want to add a guard with some 3-point range, but Stuckey is not that with a career 3-point percentage of 28.6. He'd probably best be served on an up-tempo team.
39. Boris Diaw (Unrestricted) - Another player who probably made at least a million from his spectacular play in the playoffs. He was great on both sides of the ball, especially in the passing department. The Spurs will want to re-sign him, but it's going to depend on how much other teams raise the price on him.
40. Jodie Meeks (Unrestricted) - He was awesome last year with a shooting line of 46/40/86 on his way to a career-high 15.7 points per game. His defensive skill set also grew last year with 1.4 steals per game. I could see a team like the Pistons going after him.
41. Jordan Farmar (Unrestricted) - After taking some time off from NBA ball, Farmar really hit the ground running with the Lakers. Injuries did hurt him significantly, but at least he showed he's capable of playing at the highest level. Plus, shooting 44 percent from deep in each of his last two NBA seasons is gold.
42. Josh McRoberts (Player option) - McBobs is going to opt out of his deal, but you'd think the Hornets would want to bring him back. He was second among power forwards in assists per game while adding a career-high 1.3 treys per game. He's not going to do his job with a lot of flash and flare, but you'd think the Hornets would love to have him back.
43, D.J. Augustin (Unrestricted) - One team's trash is another team's treasure. The Raptors waived DJA and the Bulls picked him up, turning him into a Sixth Man of the Year candidate. It was by far the best stretch of his career, but will teams be totally sold on him in a 61-game sample size after he was below average in the first 5.5 years of his career?
44. Emeka Okafor (Restricted) - He's a bit of a forgotten man. Okafor has career averages of 12.3 points, 9.9 boards and 1.7 blocks, but those numbers are obviously trending down. After a back injury derailed his entire 2013-14, his price tag should take a major hit. He'll likely be a backup somewhere.
45. Mario Chalmers (Unrestricted) - LeBron James has yelled at him more than Ralph Kramden, but the Heat may want to bring him back. Mario was a ghost like Boo in the playoffs and his defense was exceptionally bad. With the way LeBron handles the ball, the Heat will value defense at the one spot.
46. Ed Davis (Restricted) - Boss wasn't living up to his moniker with the Grizzlies. They had to deal with all sorts of injuries to their frontcourt and he still couldn't edge out Kosta Koufos and Jon Leuer for minutes. Davis was effective in his Raptors days and maybe the right team will get him back on the right track.
47. Nate Robinson (Player option, Officially opted in) - After a devastating ACL tear, you'd think Nate would opt in on the last year of his deal. He was playing very well before the time of his injury and it really left the Nuggets shorthanded in the backcourt.
48. Ray Allen (Unrestricted) - He better not retire.
49. Evan Turner (Restricted) - We basically got to see his true colors with the Pacers. He basically had his worst year as a pro and it comes at a horrible time. Most teams probably wouldn't want him to start anywhere.
50. Chris Andersen (Player option) - Prrrrrrrr.

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Mike Gallagher has covered fantasy hoops for eight years and this season is his second with Rotoworld. You can find him on Twitter talking about a player's shots at the rim.

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