Ryan Knaus

The Numbers Game

print article archives RSS

Top-175 Fantasy Values

Wednesday, February 22, 2017


The All-Star break is nearly over, the trade deadline has nearly passed, and fantasy owners are gearing up for one last push in the season's final weeks. We're typically focused on what players will do, but it can be just as helpful to look at what they've done -- in this week's column, I'm focusing on overall fantasy values from the past month, which accounts for 13-15 games for most players. When debating between two interesting pickups, reliable recent production is often enough to tip the scales.

 

The values below are explicitly 9-cat and 8-cat roto-based, but they give a reliable indication of value for most points leagues, too. If you care to play around with the numbers, or re-sort by specific columns, you can download the expanded spreadsheet by heading over to Google Sheets.

 

I'm excluding any players who have averaged fewer than 15 minutes over the past month, or appeared in fewer than 10 games. That brings the player pool down from 419 to a more fantasy-relevant 259 players. The games-played cutoff means that you won't find Joel Embiid (three games) on the list, but I carved out exceptions for Jahlil Okafor, DeMar DeRozan, Evan Fournier, Thaddeus Young, D'Angelo Russell and Julius Randle.

 

Editor’s Note: Golf is coming soon to FanDuel! And they’ve created the Tee Off Classic to celebrate, offering you an opportunity to win a VIP trip for 3 to play a round of golf with Jerome Bettis! Play now.


After ranking those 259 players, I eliminated anyone who fell below the top-175 and re-ran the numbers to arrive at a more precise list. To reiterate, this isn't a projection of rest-of-season value. It's a guideline to players' existing values, from which you can extrapolate rest-of-season. For instance, Nerlens Noel is posting top-75 value over the past month. He should easily keep that up if Joel Embiid's knee injury keeps him on the sidelines, or if he's traded to a team that immediately slots him into their starting center spot. If Noel isn't dealt and Embiid gets healthy, of course, we can expect him to fall at least a few rounds from his current mid-round perch. Without further ado, here are the past-month rankings!

 

Name Total 9-Cat 9-cat Rank Total 8-cat 8-cat Rank
Kevin Durant 9.40 1 10.12 3
Karl-Anthony Towns 8.83 2 9.33 4
James Harden 8.26 3 12.60 1
Isaiah Thomas 7.05 4 8.56 5
Anthony Davis 6.99 5 8.29 6
Stephen Curry 6.82 6 7.63 9
Kawhi Leonard 6.77 7 8.06 7
Russell Westbrook 6.59 8 10.81 2
Nikola Jokic 6.25 9 7.67 8
Giannis Antetokounmpo 5.83 10 7.29 11
Marc Gasol 5.58 11 6.38 13
Kyrie Irving 5.31 12 6.27 14
Otto Porter 4.91 13 3.64 25
Jrue Holiday 4.83 14 7.26 12
Robert Covington 4.71 15 5.20 17
Lou Williams 4.46 16 4.96 19
LeBron James 4.29 17 7.35 10
Jimmy Butler 4.29 18 4.73 20
Blake Griffin 3.59 19 4.19 21
Draymond Green 3.50 20 4.18 22
Klay Thompson 3.43 21 3.46 28
Brook Lopez 3.38 22 3.78 24
Andrew Wiggins 3.26 23 3.44 29
Dwyane Wade 3.13 24 3.57 26
Marcin Gortat 3.02 25 2.17 44
Eric Bledsoe 2.92 26 4.96 18
Kyle Lowry 2.90 27 3.87 23
John Wall 2.86 28 5.34 16
Thaddeus Young 2.86 29 2.29 40
DeMarcus Cousins 2.82 30 6.19 15
Serge Ibaka 2.74 31 2.20 42
Kevin Love 2.62 32 3.54 27
Markieff Morris 2.59 33 2.96 33
Gordon Hayward 2.51 34 2.15 45
Mike Conley 2.47 35 3.15 31
Damian Lillard 2.41 36 3.13 32
Hassan Whiteside 2.19 37 2.55 38
Paul George 2.16 38 3.39 30
Rudy Gobert 2.08 39 2.18 43
C.J. McCollum 1.90 40 2.78 34
Yogi Ferrell 1.78 41 1.91 47
Paul Millsap 1.66 42 1.87 48
Myles Turner 1.64 43 1.47 52
Jeff Teague 1.60 44 2.57 37
Carmelo Anthony 1.41 45 2.39 39
Jae Crowder 1.41 46 0.52 62
Victor Oladipo 1.36 47 1.09 53
Goran Dragic 1.30 48 2.57 36
Dirk Nowitzki 1.26 49 0.37 63
Bradley Beal 1.21 50 2.22 41
Kemba Walker 1.18 51 1.70 49
Dion Waiters 1.07 52 1.98 46
Tyson Chandler 0.98 53 0.25 67
Wesley Matthews 0.87 54 0.05 69
Nicolas Batum 0.87 55 2.62 35
Marcus Smart 0.75 56 1.55 51
Al Horford 0.56 57 0.62 58
P.J. Tucker 0.53 58 -0.26 72
Andre Iguodala 0.53 59 -0.45 75
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist 0.52 60 -0.61 82
Al-Farouq Aminu 0.52 61 0.54 61
Gorgui Dieng 0.49 62 -0.68 86
Kristaps Porzingis 0.47 63 0.63 57
Nerlens Noel 0.41 64 -0.03 70
Darren Collison 0.41 65 0.61 59
Marvin Williams 0.41 66 -0.55 79
Ricky Rubio 0.38 67 1.67 50
Andre Drummond 0.34 68 0.91 54
T.J. McConnell 0.22 69 0.66 56
Nikola Vucevic 0.14 70 0.27 66
Gary Harris 0.13 71 0.29 64
Willy Hernangomez 0.10 72 -0.68 85
Courtney Lee 0.05 73 -0.98 91
Frank Kaminsky 0.02 74 -0.72 87
Lucas Nogueira -0.05 75 -0.64 84
Seth Curry -0.05 76 -0.37 73
James Johnson -0.09 77 0.73 55
Danny Green -0.13 78 -0.53 78
Jonas Valanciunas -0.17 79 -0.58 81
Patrick Beverley -0.24 80 -0.45 76
Wilson Chandler -0.37 81 -0.09 71
Marcus Morris -0.45 82 -1.20 95
Jabari Parker -0.47 83 0.55 60
Greg Monroe -0.49 84 -0.63 83
Will Barton -0.59 85 -0.40 74
Trevor Ariza -0.66 86 -1.37 97
Derrick Rose -0.69 87 0.08 68
Joe Ingles -0.79 88 -0.84 88
LaMarcus Aldridge -0.79 89 -0.92 89
George Hill -0.81 90 -1.23 96
Kyle Korver -0.83 91 -1.53 98
Dwight Howard -0.90 92 -0.98 90
Nick Young -0.95 93 -2.12 106
Kent Bazemore -0.98 94 -0.56 80
Tim Hardaway Jr. -0.99 95 -1.11 92
Terrence Jones -1.03 96 -2.19 111
Tyler Johnson -1.21 97 -1.66 99
Devin Booker -1.24 98 0.27 65
Tristan Thompson -1.26 99 -2.50 128
Robin Lopez -1.33 100 -2.29 118
Iman Shumpert -1.40 101 -2.84 137
Jamal Crawford -1.42 102 -1.13 93
Darrell Arthur -1.49 103 -2.36 122
Dewayne Dedmon -1.52 104 -2.40 123
Harrison Barnes -1.54 105 -2.08 104
Jon Leuer -1.58 106 -2.22 114
Solomon Hill -1.65 107 -2.35 119
Tobias Harris -1.66 108 -2.13 107
Derrick Favors -1.66 109 -2.44 125
Jameer Nelson -1.67 110 -1.84 101
Vince Carter -1.68 111 -2.97 143
Clint Capela -1.69 112 -2.36 121
Mason Plumlee -1.74 113 -1.79 100
J.J. Redick -1.76 114 -2.18 110
DeAndre Jordan -1.80 115 -2.20 113
Matt Barnes -1.85 116 -2.13 108
Larry Nance -1.93 117 -2.52 130
Tony Snell -1.95 118 -3.07 144
David Lee -1.98 119 -2.51 129
Dennis Schroder -2.02 120 -0.47 77
Ty Lawson -2.07 121 -1.88 102
Eric Gordon -2.08 122 -2.10 105
D'Angelo Russell -2.11 123 -1.13 94
Malcolm Brogdon -2.15 124 -2.05 103
Justin Holiday -2.15 125 -3.12 146
Kelly Olynyk -2.18 126 -2.49 127
JaMychal Green -2.20 127 -2.40 124
Spencer Dinwiddie -2.25 128 -3.31 149
Wayne Ellington -2.25 129 -3.34 153
Marco Belinelli -2.28 130 -2.83 136
Raymond Felton -2.28 131 -2.79 135
Brandon Jennings -2.30 132 -2.68 133
C.J. Miles -2.37 133 -3.50 155
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope -2.38 134 -2.93 141
E'Twaun Moore -2.39 135 -3.55 159
Andre Roberson -2.39 136 -3.56 160
Ryan Anderson -2.43 137 -3.29 148
Dario Saric -2.45 138 -2.23 115
C.J. Watson -2.45 139 -2.59 132
Channing Frye -2.45 140 -3.53 158
Ersan Ilyasova -2.49 141 -2.52 131
Zach Randolph -2.52 142 -2.93 142
Reggie Jackson -2.56 143 -2.19 112
Willie Cauley-Stein -2.57 144 -3.73 164
T.J. Warren -2.57 145 -3.87 167
DeMarre Carroll -2.58 146 -3.33 150
Marquese Chriss -2.61 147 -3.71 163
DeMar DeRozan -2.66 148 -2.26 116
Amir Johnson -2.68 149 -3.63 162
Jamal Murray -2.73 150 -2.92 140
Nik Stauskas -2.75 151 -3.15 147
Steven Adams -2.79 152 -2.27 117
Trevor Booker -2.80 153 -2.47 126
Dante Cunningham -2.80 154 n/a  
Justin Hamilton -2.82 155 -4.15 173
Taj Gibson -2.85 156 -3.50 156
Bojan Bogdanovic -2.87 157 -2.16 109
Elfrid Payton -2.92 158 -2.36 120
Marreese Speights -2.92 159 -3.79 165
Juan Hernangomez -2.95 160 -4.17 174
Shabazz Muhammad -3.00 161 n/a  
Jason Smith -3.01 162 -4.11 170
Ben McLemore -3.03 163 -3.51 157
Evan Turner -3.04 164 -3.07 145
Ish Smith -3.13 165 -3.41 154
Sam Dekker -3.15 166 n/a  
Moe Harkless -3.19 167 n/a  
Rondae Hollis-Jefferson -3.28 168 -3.33 151
Rodney McGruder -3.34 169 n/a  
Luc Mbah a Moute -3.37 170 n/a  
Jeff Green -3.39 171 -4.09 169
Kenneth Faried -3.43 172 n/a  
Austin Rivers -3.44 173 -2.85 139
Jordan Clarkson -3.48 174 -2.84 138
Ivica Zubac -3.63 175 n/a  
Evan Fournier n/a   -2.70 134
Rajon Rondo n/a   -3.34 152
Caris LeVert n/a   -3.57 161
Sean Kilpatrick n/a   -3.82 166
James Ennis n/a   -3.96 168
Anthony Tolliver n/a   -4.12 171
Matthew Dellavedova n/a   -4.15 172
Michael Carter-Williams n/a   -4.19 175

 

 

KAT has been a monster lately, as his owners know well enough, and KD continues to cruise as the top option in 9-cat leagues. It doesn't hurt that he's blocking 1.7 shots in the past month, while scoring with ridiculous efficiency. For 8-cat purposes, James Harden and Russell Westbrook leapfrog the pack to claim the top two spots. That's also the case in most points leagues, where heaps of turnovers don't have quite the same negative impact that they have in roto. Root through the names above and you might be surprised by some of the results, such as Michael Kidd-Gilchrist posting mid-round value, or Evan Fournier failing to make the cut in 9-cat.

 

You'll notice some young guys like Willy Hernangomez, Ivica Zubac and Marquese Chriss on the list, but there are many more players who didn't make the top-175 lists but nevertheless merit some attention as guys to watch down the stretch. All of them guys are interesting as younger players on teams that could decide to turn them loose, with varying degrees of likelihood. In no particular order...Aaron Gordon, Jusuf Nurkic, Brandon Ingram, Julius Randle, Buddy Hield, Alex Len, Rondae Hollis-Jefferson, Caris LeVert, Kris Dunn, Willie Reed, Tyler Ulis, Mario Hezonja, Mindaugas Kuzminskas, Timothe Luwawu-Cabarrot, Stanley Johnson, Cristiano Felicio, Juan Hernangomez, etc. The first few guys are assuredly already owned and that's not a comprehensive list, but it's a good place to start if you're scrounging around for value in deeper, competitive leagues.

 

Finally, here is a breakdown for each position in the top-175 for 9-cat. I assigned each player one 'primary' position with the following results:

 

 

As usual, SGs and PFs are the most plentiful position. That's been the case for every ranking I've done in the past few years, so this comes as no surprise to regular readers. If you need help in those positions, you stand a good chance of pulling someone useful off the waiver wire. Otherwise, the positions are comparable enough that there are no huge advantages to be gleaned at this point in the season -- just remember those PG and C totals on draft day next season. You can always find me on Twitter @Knaus_RW if you have any questions or insights...and good luck in the final weeks of the season!



Despite residing in Portland, Maine, Ryan Knaus remains a heartbroken Sonics fan who longs for the days of Shawn Kemp and Xavier McDaniel. He has written for Rotoworld.com since 2007. You can follow him on Twitter.
Email :Ryan Knaus



Highest Searched Players over the last 7 days



Video Center

  •  
    Jesse: NFL Must Haves

    Jesse: NFL Must Haves
  •  
    Hribar: All About Balance

    Hribar: All About Balance
  •  
    Norris: Avoid Handcuffs

    Norris: Avoid Handcuffs
  •  
    Hribar: NFL Must Haves

    Hribar: NFL Must Haves
  •  
    Summerlin: Draft Strategy

    Summerlin: Draft Strategy
  •  
    Norris: NFL Must Haves

    Norris: NFL Must Haves
  •  
    Jesse: MLB Power Rankings

    Jesse: MLB Power Rankings
  •  
    Boyer: Hot Hitters

    Boyer: Hot Hitters