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FanDuel NBA Bargains: Monday

Monday, March 6, 2017


With 12 games on the schedule tonight, we're looking at one of the busiest Mondays of the season. The search for value plays on FanDuel becomes easier with so many teams active, but that also means we'll need to separate 'good' from 'great' bargains. Before discussing individual players, let's see what Vegas has going tonight:

 

Matchups

Over/Under

Spread

Bucks at 76ers

213

Bucks -4.5

Knicks at Magic

210.5

Magic -2.0

Heat at Cavaliers

215.5

Cavs -8.0

Warriors at Hawks

216.5

Warriors -5.5

Bulls at Pistons

204.5

Pistons -5.5

Nets at Grizzlies

214

Grizzlies -11.5

Blazers at Timberwolves

214.5

Wolves -4.5

Pacers at Hornets

205.5

Hornets -4.0

Rockets at Spurs

221.5

Spurs -3.5

Kings at Nuggets

216

Nuggets -12.0

Pelicans at Jazz

198.5

Jazz -7.0

Celtics at Clippers

216.5

Clippers -7.0

 

Sporting both the highest over/under of the night and the second-lowest spread, the Spurs vs. Rockets game stands out as a tempting stack target. You won't find any Spurs or Rockets listed below, however, as unfortunately that game doesn't have the most tempting bargains. As usual, everyone mentioned below falls at or below the $6,000 threshold on FanDuel. As anyone familiar with DFS already knows, it's critical to monitor Rotoworld's player news feed until the minutes lineups lock. With that out of the way, let's dive in.

 

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Mason Plumlee ($5,300, C) is on the radar as an injury-dependent play with Nikola Jokic (illness) questionable to suit up tonight. Kenneth Faried has already been ruled out due to back spasms, so if Jokic can't go there will be copious minutes available for Plumlee in a matchup vs. the Kings' frontcourt. Sacramento has been surprisingly tough vs. opposing centers lately, but sheer volume should be enough for Plumlee to rack up 5x value or better...but again, it all hinges on Jokic's availability. Jusuf Nurkic ($5,900) qualifies as a potential bargain tonight, but I'm leery of him for one reason -- fouls. Nurk is foul-prone on a good day, and against Karl-Anthony Towns he could easily pick up a quick pair in the first quarter.

 

Terrence Ross ($4,500, SF) is still cheap on FanDuel despite his robust role as Orlando's new go-to wing scorer. In five games with Orlando, Ross is averaging 14.6 points, 4.4 rebounds, 2.2 assists, 2.0 steals, 1.0 blocks and just 1.0 turnovers. He's taking 13.8 shots in 34.4 minutes per game, and the supporting stats are enough to cushion his value even if his shot isn't falling. It helps that New York has been very lenient vs. swingmen for DFS purposes.

 

Richaun Holmes ($4,500, PF) was disappointing vs. the Pistons on Saturday, returning only 19.4 FDP in 24 minutes of action despite the absence of Jahlil Okafor (knee). He likely would have seen more minutes if it weren't a blowout, and facing Andre Drummond is never an easy task, but hopefully the quiet game will suppress his ownership tonight. Okafor is doubtful to play tonight, while Holmes is probable despite a minor hamstring injury, so the playing time should be plentiful tonight. As the cherry on top, Holmes faces a Bucks' frontcourt that yielded the fifth-most FDP to opposing centers in the past month. Another PF worth a look is Bobby Portis ($4,400). He's essentially the same price as Holmes and he's coming off three straight double-digit scoring games. The Pistons aren't an imposing matchup, and I'm not against deploying both Holmes and Portis to spend up at other positions.

 

Rodney Hood ($4,200, SG) is coming off a huge game vs. the Kings on Sunday, as he went off for 28 points, four rebounds and two steals in 33 minutes. Chasing a big performance (against a bad defense, no less) is rarely a good idea, but Hood is cheap enough that it's easy to like him in a matchup vs. the Pelicans tonight. He needs just 21 FDP to hit 5x value, a number that's extremely reachable even if Joe Johnson (groin) can suit up. If Johnson is out, so much the better.

 

Ty Lawson ($4,600, PG) continues to pile up minutes in the Kings' new-look lineups, averaging 34.7 minutes in Sacramento's past three games. He started vs. Utah on Sunday and finished with 19 points, five assists and four rebounds, and hasn't fallen below 26.7 FDP in the past three games. Garrett Temple's return reduced Ben McLemore to a DNP-CD but it didn't limit Lawson at all, so he should once again get heavy minutes vs. Denver tonight. Dave Joerger is deploying small lineups early and often and that should be the case in an up-tempo game in Denver, making Lawson a solid bet for at least 5x value.

 

If you have more money to spend at the PG spot, Tyler Johnson ($5,800) is a nice mid-tier option -- the Cavs have been quite bad vs. PGs. In the other direction, you could gamble on Toney Douglas ($3,500) vs. the Nets. And if you want to go with a guy with even lower ownership rates in a tourney, there's always Ron Baker ($3,500) or Dante Exum ($3,500). That will do it for this Monday…good luck tonight!



Despite residing in Portland, Maine, Ryan Knaus remains a heartbroken Sonics fan who longs for the days of Shawn Kemp and Xavier McDaniel. He has written for Rotoworld.com since 2007. You can follow him on Twitter.
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