Ethan Norof

Risers and Fallers

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Risers and Fallers: Forwards

Wednesday, October 4, 2017


Fallers


Jae Crowder, Cleveland Cavaliers


Despite the recent news that the Cavs plan to insert Crowder into the starting lineup in place of Tristan Thompson, the price is not going to remain as high as it was in Boston. Crowder is also going to be playing behind LeBron James, Dwyane Wade, Kevin Love and Derrick Rose—as well as eventually Isaiah Thomas—on the offensive end, so a threes and steals specialist looks like his current ceiling.


Wesley Matthews, Dallas Mavericks


I want no part of Matthews this season. There are too many questions, not enough guarantees and far too much volatility. FYI: In each of his first two years in Dallas, Matthews has shot the ball at a sub-40 percent clip.


Kenneth Faried, Denver Nuggets


Faried’s new nickname might be trade bait given he doesn’t appear to have a future in Denver, but pouting about the situation isn’t going to change a thing. There is no reason to draft Faried in any format right now.


Jon Leuer, Detroit Pistons


Leuer was a sneaky play for a stretch of time during his inaugural season in Detroit, but I’m down on him this time around with the club talking up Boban Marjanovic, Stanley Johnson, and Tobias Harris.


Trevor Ariza, Houston Rockets


As an elite source of steals and threes, perhaps Ariza is coming at a current discount because he’s getting lost in the Houston shuffle. Don’t let it happen to you. As he seemingly always is, Ariza is a money in the bank pick between 50-60.


Ryan Anderson, Houston Rockets


It was hard to find someone who was as high as I was on Anderson last season. Now, it’s just as difficult to find anyone as low as I am on the Ryno. He’s firmly on my “do not draft list,” even if he walks across the street for delivery.


Glenn Robinson III, Indiana Pacers


A nasty ankle sprain is expected to cost Robinson at least a couple of months, putting him firmly outside of the standard-league conversation.


Chandler Parsons, Memphis Grizzlies


The reports could all be glowing in golden lettering, but we need to see it to believe it. Last season, Parsons looked like a YMCA pickup player trying to keep up in an NBA game, and that might be a disservice to the talent at your local YMCA. I’ll steer clear every time.


Justise Winslow, Miami Heat


Winslow, who was anointed as part of Miami’s future before his shoulder injury, is suddenly facing a lot of uncertainty as the Heat try to remake its identity. Although Winslow is not guaranteed a starting spot, his ability to contribute in multiple categories makes him an intriguing late-round flier.


Gorgui Dieng, Minnesota Timberwolves


Taj Gibson’s arrival and Karl-Anthony Towns’ domination are both bad news for Dieng, who appears to be on the outside looking in when it comes to his future in Minnesota.


Paul George and Carmelo Anthony, Oklahoma City Thunder


When on his own team, PG-13 was a slam-dunk second-round pick without second thought. While running the show in New York, Melo was a top-35 pick who offered consistency in his role. Now that both are sharing the stage with Russell Westbrook in OKC and nobody really knows what it’s going to look like, both George and Anthony are coming at a reduced price on draft day. I am still willing to draft either or both in the right situation, but expectations simply cannot be at the same level as in prior seasons. Currently, both George and Anthony have more name value than fantasy value.


Rudy Gay, San Antonio Spurs


Coming off a torn Achilles is a near-automatic to qualify for this section, but Gay—now playing for Gregg Popovich’s Spurs—is also going to have his minutes massaged in a way he hasn’t experienced prior. Combine those two items together and we get a player who your fantasy team can win without.


Skal Labissiere, Sacramento Kings


Labissiere has been a bit of a forgotten man during a whirlwind Kings summer, but he’s someone to put in your queue before your draft begins so you don’t forget about him when the timing is right.


In 12 games as a starter during his rookie campaign, Skal averaged 11.1 points, 5.9 rebounds, 0.8 steal and 0.8 block on 50.0% shooting. Zach Randolph isn’t exactly a spring chicken, and Sacramento isn’t exactly going to be competing all season long.


Derrick Favors, Utah Jazz


Favors is capable of being an absolute beast, but there are massive questions surrounding his health after a completely lost 2016-17. The big man claims he’s finally feeling healthy for the first time in over a year, so he makes a lot of sense just inside the top 100 as a low-floor, high-ceiling pick in the post-Gordon Hayward era.




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Follow Ethan Norof on Twitter @Ethan_Norof for more fantasy basketball analysis, advice and all things Los Angeles Lakers.
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