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Jonas Nader

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Roundtable: Our Biggest Misses

Thursday, March 8, 2018


As a fantasy basketball analyst, it’s important to own up to your mistakes because that’s how you build trust with your readers/followers and it also helps you learn from your mistakes. We made some great calls as well and we’ll highlight those next time, but for this week’s Roundtable, the Rotoworld Hoops crew will be talking about our biggest misses of the season. We’re looking at you, Marquese Chriss!

 

 

Jonas Nader (@JonasNader)

 

Richaun Holmes- He was one of my favorite late-round picks this season, especially when I paired him and Joel Embiid on the same roster. Coach Brett Brown hyped him up during the offseason and called him a "lightning-in-the-bottle” type of player, and while he was slowed down by a non-displaced fracture in his left wrist at the beginning of the season, it’s still hard to believe that he never passed the slow-footed Amir Johnson on the depth chart. He will see the floor once in a while and usually produces, and it’s notable that the Holmes-Embiid combo has a 23.7 net rating on the season. Holmes could be a top-50 player with minutes in the mid-20s, so it’s a shame that it never worked out for him. 

 

Marquese Chriss- He’s my biggest regret of the 2017-18 fantasy season and it’s not particularly close. I had “hungry eyes” over the summer dreaming about his 1-1-1 upside in the money stat categories, and I didn’t put enough stock in the fact that he showed up to Summer League out of shape and mentally checked out. We have seen signs here and there including his last two games (14.5 points, 5.5 rebounds, 1.0 assists, 2.5 blocks and 3.0 treys), but I cringe when I look back and see that I burned a mid-round pick on a player that lost his starting spot to Dragan Bender and is the captain of the frequent fouler society. 

 

Myles Turner- He still has top-50 value on the season because of his 2.0 blocks per game, but Turner was drafted as high as the second round by myself and lots of other fantasy owners. His numbers are down pretty much across the board from last season and that includes his shooting percentages. He has struggled to stay healthy, has taken a backseat to Victor Oladipo on offense and has lost playing time due to the strong play of Domantas Sabonis off the bench. I can see myself jumping back on the bandwagon next season because the guy is only 21 and wins the blocks category by himself, but I can tell you there’s no way I’m taking him in the top-25 at this rate. I still think he becomes a first-round player down the road. 

 

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Matt Stroup (@MattStroup)

 

James Johnson was a big whiff for me. He was so useful for long stretches last year (including 14.0 ppg, 5.0 rpg, 4.4 apg, 1.2 spg, 1.3 bpg and 1.2 3s from Jan. 1 onward), but it just hasn't materialized the same way this year. Instead, it's been a clinic in inconsistency. Since Jan. 1 of this year, Johnson has hit double-digit points just 10 times in 28 games. 

 

To a much lesser extent, I also hoped for more from Jamal Murray and T.J. Warren. Both have been top 75 options on the season, and at times they have thrilled us with big games, but ultimately both have been a bit frustrating. With Murray it's been the inconsistency, and with Warren it's been a lack of peripheral stats to go with his 19.7 ppg (Warren is averaging just 1.0 spg, 0.6 bpg and 0.3 3s on the season). 

 

 

Tommy Beer (@TommyBeer)

 

Marquese Chriss: Chriss was a popular sleeper pick heading into this season. Over his final 15 games of the 2016-17 campaign, Chriss averaged 13.8 points and 6.7 rebounds, 1.0 steals and 1.4 blocks in just 27.8 minutes per contest over that final month. However, as anyone who drafted Chriss back in October can attest, he’s been a major disappointment this season. In 58 appearances this season, he’s averaging 6.9 points, 5.0 boards, 0.8 treys and 0.7 steals, while shooting just 40.6 percent from the floor, 31.6 percent from downtown and 56.8 percent from the stripe. 

 

Boban Marjanovic: Like many others, I was on the #FreeBoban train. Marjanovic is now on his second team this season, but the train has yet to leave the station. 

 

Maurice Harkless: When Portland traded Allen Crabbe to the Nets in exchange for Andrew Nicholson, whom they promptly waived in offseason, it appeared as though Harkless was in line for an uptick in minutes and scoring opportunities. However, despite starting the first 18 games of the season, he was later demoted to the bench due to lack of production. Remarkably, Harkless has seen his playing time decrease dramatically. After averaging 28.9 minutes a night in 2016-17, Moe is logging just 20.7 minutes per game this season. 

 

Richaun Holmes: Holmes was viewed as an insurance policy for Joel Embiid, with stand-alone value assuming he could be productive in limited minutes. However, Embiid was able to stay relatively healthy, and the Sixers also signed Amir Johnson, which cut into Holmes playing time. He’s been waiver wire fodder all year long. 

 

 

Jared Johnson (@JaredJ831)

 

I too got drunk on the Chriss Kool-Aid, I tend to chase defensive stats like Hassan Whiteside, and my overzealousness towards him definitely tanked one of my fantasy teams. 

 

Myles Turner has also been a major disappointment for me, I was expecting Kristaps Porzingis-like stat lines from Turner this year, but the jaw-droppers from Turner have been few and far between this season.

 

I didn't Trust the Process and avoided Joel Embiid like the plague on draft day, just didn't see him staying healthy for an entire season. I don't really regret that decision, but he's back on my good list so I'll be targeting him fairly aggressively next year.

 

 

Michael Gallagher (@MikeSGallagher)

 

Marquese Chriss - I’ve been a fantasy hoops analyst for about a decade and I’ve been playing for about two decades, but I think Marquese Chriss may be the biggest miss I’ve ever had. Before the year, he checked all the boxes on my #brand for a mid-round pick: Chriss is young and on a bad team, he’s a shot blocker, he plays two positions, he plays in an up-tempo system, and he can fill up several scarce categories. He did just enough in the early going to tease us, so most of us held on for way too long. On a whiff this bad, we have to have a takeaway, and I think mine is I will be watching foul rates more closely on rookies. Plus, he had a ton of loose-ball fouls, and also his shooting was very dunk dependent.

 

Avery Bradley - Another epic miss on my part. Bradley was fantasy goodness last year as a plus rebounder for a guard with a little bit of everything. The list of players better than him this year is laughable despite how he was in a good system with little competition before the trade. Even without the rebounding, Bradley was still a disaster as a scorer while basically everything else fell off, too. Plus, it was kind of a bad year for #ContractYearTwitter.

 

Myles Turner - He’s heating up now, but he has to be on here for his second-round ADP. He’s lost a lot of minutes to Domantas Sabonis and the scoring just hasn’t been there overall. Although, the second-round bigs were kind of a wasteland this year with a litany of injuries: DeMarcus Cousins, Hassan Whiteside and Kristaps Porzingis. Who would have thought Joel Embiid would be the most reliable of this group?

 

Richaun Holmes and Boban Marjanovic - #FreeBoban.

 

Norman Powell - Missing on your last pick never hurts in fantasy, but I am stunned at how badly Powell performed after he shined in the offseason last year. We knew the opportunity was there for him, but it turns out the rest of the Raptors bench mob was there to take advantage. Good game last night, though!

 

 

Jrue Holiday, LeBron James, Eric Bledsoe and Paul George - I was not even close to having these guys near the top of my board when it came time to pick, and all four have been difference-making assets in fantasy. LeBron is the G.O.A.T.

 

 

Steve Alexander (@Docktora)

 

Myles Turner is at the top of my list. He still had a decent year, but he wasn’t nearly as fun to own as I was thinking he would be. I know in my heart he’s better than he showed us this year, so I’ll probably be all-in on him again next year.

 

Dennis Smith Jr. was disappointing by any measurement, but at least he’s getting hot when it counts. He had a lot of growing pains, was moved to shooting guard, much to his dismay, and struggled throughout the first half. But he turned it around and is playing well right now.

 

Marquese Chriss has been a well-documented disaster, but at least I wasn’t all-in on him. I just jumped on the Rotoworld bandwagon and it didn’t work out. I can’t wait to see what he does this summer, as it will dictate how high we are on him again next year. My guess is he’s going to have to blow our socks off in the preseason for us to put much stock in him, but we all know the raw talent is there.

 

Taurean Prince and John Collins are still making us wait for the breakout, although Prince is at least starting to do some things. Both guys could go off down the stretch in the fantasy playoffs and make us all forget about the first 3/4 of the season, but it’s been a long wait for it to happen, and we’re still waiting.




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