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Jonas Nader

The Week Ahead

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The Week Ahead: Week 14

Saturday, January 12, 2019


Week 14 Schedule: Games Played

 

4 Games: BOS, CHA, DET, IND, LAC, MEM, PHX, SAS

 

3 Games: BKN, CHI, CLE, DEN, GSW, HOU, LAL, MIA, MIL, MIN, NOP, OKC, ORL, PHI, POR, SAC, TOR, WAS

 

2 Games: ATL, DAL

 

1 Games: NYK, WAS


For lineup questions or fantasy advice, find me on Twitter here!

 

 

NBA Streaming Schedule:

 

Monday (6 Games): Celtics @ Nets, Grizzlies @ Rockets, Hornets @ Spurs, Pistons @ Jazz, Blazers @ Kings, Pelicans @ Clippers

 

Tuesday (6 Games): Suns @ Pacers, Wolves @ 76ers, Thunder @ Hawks, Heat @ Bucks, Warriors @ Nuggets, Bulls @ Lakers

 

Wednesday (8 Games): Magic @ Pistons, Raptors @ Celtics, Nets @ Rockets, Bucks @ Grizzlies, Spurs @ Mavs, Cavs @ Blazers, Pelicans @ Warriors, Jazz @ Clippers

 

Thursday (6 Games): Knicks @ Wizards, Kings @ Hornets, 76ers @ Pacers, Suns @ Raptors, Bulls @ Nuggets, Lakers @ Thunder

 

Friday (7 Games): Grizzlies @ Celtics, Heat @ Pistons, Nets @ Magic, Spurs @ Wolves, Cavs @ Jazz, Warriors @ Clippers, Pelicans @ Blazers

 

Saturday (10 Games): Thunder @ 76ers, Suns @ Hornets, Kings @ Pistons, Mavs @ Pacers, Bucks @ Magic, Celtics @ Hawks, Grizzlies @ Raptors, Heat @ Bulls, Lakers @ Rockets, Cavs @ Nuggets

 

Sunday (3 Games): Hornets @ Pacers, Suns @ Wolves, Clippers @ Spurs

 

 

Back-to-Backs:

 

Sunday (Jan. 13)-Monday: Rockets, Blazers

 

Monday-Tuesday: None

 

Tuesday-Wednesday: Warriors, Bucks

 

Wednesday-Thursday: Raptors

 

Thursday-Friday: None

 

Friday-Saturday: Celtics, Cavs, Pistons, Grizzlies, Heat, Magic

 

Saturday-Sunday: Hornets, Pacers, Suns


 

Schedule Notes:

 

The Knicks play the Wizards in London on Jan. 17, so that explains why both teams only have one game this week. The only player you can even consider starting in a weekly league is Bradley Beal

 

The Hawks and Mavericks play just twice this week, making Luka Doncic, DeAndre Jordan and John Collins the only players from either team worth deploying in a weekly lineup. 

 

In general, this is a pretty light week in terms of games played, as there is only one day with double-digit games. That means quality streaming days aren’t nearly as important since you don’t have to worry about fitting all your players into the active slots. 

 

The following teams play three times from Monday-Thursday: None

 

The following teams play three times from Tuesday-Friday: Warriors

 

The following teams play three times from Wednesday-Saturday: Celtics, Cavs, Pistons, Grizzlies, Magic, Raptors

 

The following teams play three times from Thursday-Sunday: Hornets, Pacers, Suns

 

 

Waiver-Wire Pickups: 

 

*These are guys you should consider keeping for the long haul. To qualify these players have to be available in at least 50% of Yahoo Leagues.

 

4 Games

 

Richaun Holmes (27%)- Based on his ownership rate, Holmes is still the most under-appreciated player in fantasy basketball. In just the past week alone, Holmes was the 17th ranked player in standard leagues with 11.3 points, 4.3 rebounds, 2.7 assists, 1.7 steals and 1.3 blocks on an absurd 86.7% shooting. Of course that’s not sustainable, but even if you expand the sample size to the past month Holmes still ranks inside the top-45. It’s a bummer that he’s limited to 20 minutes a night behind Deandre Ayton, but hey, maybe a smart team will come calling and trade for his expiring contract at the deadline. He’s simply too good to be a reserve, but even if he stays in his current role that will be more than enough for Holmes to help your fantasy squad.

 

De’Anthony Melton (8%)- Devin Booker (back) being injured opens the door for a lot of players in Phoenix, but Melton is the clearly the biggest winner. In Phoenix’s last two games without the high-usage SG, Melton averaged 7.0 points, 7.0 assists, 3.5 rebounds, 3.0 steals, 2.0 blocks and 3.0 turnovers in 28.0 minutes. I make this point a lot, but I think it’s worth saying again (points league owners can ignore this). Every category counts the same, meaning a player who can rack up 2-3 steals is no different than a player scoring 25 points. Well, Melton has the highest steal percentage in the NBA and is averaging 2.7 steals per 36 minutes. He’s the Robert Covington of PGs, but whether or not he can hold value when Booker gets back is the real question. 

 

Bryn Forbes (33%)- Yes his stat set is limited, but he’s been getting the job done as a top-100 player for the past two weeks with 13.6 points, 3.4 rebounds, 2.4 assists, 0.7 steals and 3.0 triples on 46.5% shooting. I love his shooting percentages and he’s only turning the ball over 1.1 times in that stretch, making him the perfect glue guy for any roster build. With 30+ minutes in eight of his last nine games, he’s not going away either. 

 

Reggie Bullock (24%)- A wing has finally emerged from the fantasy wasteland in Detroit, but Bullock isn’t for everybody. Despite putting up 13.4 points, 2.7 rebounds, 2.6 assists and 3.0 triples per game over the last two weeks, he doesn’t provide many defensive stats (0.3 steals and 0.0 blocks) and he’s shooting just 38.3% from the field over that stretch. However, he did shoot 48.9% from the field in 2017-18, so that tells me there is still plenty of growth here. I’m not going to call him a must-own player, though. 

 

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3 Games

 

Shabazz Napier (6%)- At first I didn’t think Napier’s recent success was sustainable, but here we are. Over the past two weeks, Napier has 10th-round value and has played 26.9 minutes per game, averaging 15.4 points, 4.6 assists, 3.1 rebounds, 0.9 steals and 2.3 triples on 42.7% shooting. He’s fourth on the Nets in net rating over that stretch, and he’s getting more minutes because Brooklyn is utilizing more 3-PG lineups while they are so banged up — the trio of D’Angelo Russell, Spencer Dinwiddie and Napier have a +29.7 net rating. I have my doubts, but he’s worth a look until he cools off. 

 

E’Twaun Moore (26%)- Moore is due back on Saturday night as I’m writing this, returning from a two-game absence due to a minor quad issue. He’s been hit-or-miss for the most part this season, but Moore was really starting to figure things out before the injury. In his last four active games, he put up 16.0 points, 2.8 rebounds, 2.0 assists, 1.0 steals and 2.3 triples in 33 minutes per night. Those are top-75 numbers, mainly due to his efficiency from the field (51%). Believe it or not, but that’s actually sustainable considering he shot 50.8% for the entire 2017-18 season. 

 

Derrick Jones Jr. (7%)- I should probably put a big asterisk beside DJJ because the Heat are a disaster right now. Even though DJJ is among the team leaders in net rating recently, DJJ picked up a surprise DNP-CD on Jan. 8. Coach Erik Spoelstra is basically using his whole roster right now, and that tells me one thing: This team is going to be very active at the trade deadline and I believe a rebuild is in the cards. DJJ put up 14.0 points, 5.0 rebounds, 2.5 steals and 0.5 blocks in his last two active games, and he would have mid-round upside if he played consistently. His per-36 minute stats of 14.6 points, 8.8 rebounds, 1.7 steals and 1.4 blocks on 50% shooting screams upside for a 21-year-old who is only going to get better. 

 

Bobby Portis (41%)- He has played 20 or fewer minutes since returning to the lineup, but has been productive with 16.0 points and 5.0 rebounds while shooting 50% or above in all three games. The Bulls are still easing him back into action, but I expect his minutes to stabilize around 25 going forward. He doesn’t block many shots (0.6 on the season) and his FG% is volatile at times, but with as much usage as he’ll get I could see him returning late-round value on a team that will need his offense. 

 

Marcus Smart (42%)- Smart has been red hot lately, posting top-75 value in his last four games with 12.3 points, 3.8 assists, 2.8 rebounds, 1.0 steals and 3.3 triples. He’s a career 30.1% shooter from deep and won’t be able to keep this production up for too much longer, but the steals and assists should always be there — on the season he’s averaging more than four dimes per game and he has the third highest steal percentage in the NBA. 

 

 

2 Games

 

Kevin Huerter (25%)- It’s too bad the Hawks only play twice this week because Huerter was one of the hottest waiver-wire pickups after Friday night’s explosion. The rookie went off for a career-high 29 points against the 76ers, adding three rebounds, three assists, two steals and five 3-pointers in 39 minutes. We may not see Taurean Prince (ankle) or Kent Bazemore (ankle) for another week or so, but it’s possible Huerter clings onto his newfound fantasy value for the duration of the season — the Hawks have every reason to develop him as they tank and it’s no secret that Bazemore is likely to be traded before the Feb. 7 deadline. 

 

*DeAndre Bembry and even Jeremy Lin have had some decent value lately, but holding them through a two-game week isn’t ideal. Lin is still a nice trade deadline stash since I think he will be moved, and Bembry has been a nice play lately with 12.8 points, 3.6 rebounds, 2.6 assists and 1.6 steals. 

 

Maxi Kleber (4%)- I’m not ready to add him yet, especially in a two-game week, but Kleber is picking up steam with 13.0 points, 6.0 rebounds, 2.0 blocks and 2.5 triples in 32.0 minutes over his last two games. It sounds like he’ll continue to start with Luka Doncic shifting over to the point for as long as Dennis Smith Jr. (back) is out. 

 

 

Player to Watch: Harry Giles

 

I’ve had my eyes on him for a while now because we saw the potential at the Summer League and we know the per-minute upside is mouth watering with 17.2 points, 10.0 rebounds, 4.1 assists, 2.5 steals and 1.1 blocks per 36 minutes. Giles scored a career-high 14 points with four rebounds, three assists, two steals and three blocks in 23 minutes vs. the Pistons on Thursday, and it looks like he’s finally moved ahead of Kosta Koufos for the backup center role.


Trusting coach Dave Joerger to actually stick with the young center is wishful thinking which is why I’m not calling him an add after one big game, but you better believe I’ll be running to the wire if he can carve out a role of 20+ minutes per night. Let’s see what happens vs. the Hornets on Saturday, especially after Joerger showered him with praise. “I grabbed him after the game and told him, ‘I feel like you're getting better and the work that you put in, you’re getting better,’ ” Joerger said. Hopefully he doesn’t pull a Steve Kerr when he talked up Jordan Bell and then proceeded to bury him on the bench. 

 

 

Streaming Options

 

*The following section is for owners searching for help in specific categories. The stats provided are over the past two weeks, and the players must be available in over 50% of leagues. 

 

 

Point Leaders:

 

DeMarre Carroll (17.0)

Bobby Portis (16.0)

E’Twaun Moore (16.0)

Kentavious Caldwell-Pope (15.6)

Shabazz Napier (15.4)

Dwyane Wade (15.0)

Kevin Huerter (14.9)

Jeff Green (14.9)

Alec Burks (14.3)

D.J. Augustin (14.2)

Gerald Green (13.9)

Bryn Forbes (13.6)

Reggie Bullock (13.4)

 

 

Assist Leaders:

 

Tyus Jones (7.0) - Keep in mind that Teague and Rose are both back. 

Emmanuel Mudiay (5.7)

Fred VanVleet (5.7)

D.J. Augustin (5.0)

Shabazz Napier (4.6)

Jeremy Lin (4.5)

T.J. McConnell (4.4)

Dwyane Wade (4.2)

De’Anthony Melton (4.1)

Marcus Smart (4.0)

Collin Sexton (4.0)

 

 

Rebounding Leaders:

 

Ed Davis (10.7)

Taj Gibson (8.3)

JaMychal Green (7.9)

Nemanja Bjelica (7.6)

Bismack Biyombo (7.2)

Willy Hernangomez (6.7)

Mason Plumlee (6.6)

Alex Len (6.6)

Marcin Gortat (6.2)

Kevon Looney (6.2)

 

 

Steal Leaders:

 

Mario Hezonja (2.4)

De’Anthony Melton (2.4)

T.J. McConnell (2.1)

Tyus Jones (2.0)

DeAndre Bembry (1.8)

Ian Mahinmi (1.8)

Derrick Jones Jr. (1.8)

P.J. Tucker (1.6)

 

 

Block Leaders:

 

Alex Len (1.3)

Andre Iguodala (1.3)

Richaun Holmes (1.3)

Danny Green (1.2)

Ian Mahinmi (1.2)

Kevon Looney (1.0)

De’Anthony Melton (1.0)

 

*With the scarcity of blocks on the wire, it makes too much sense to stash Mitchell Robinson

 

 

3-point Leaders:

 

DeMarre Carroll (3.2)

Gerald Green (3.1)

Reggie Bullock (3.0)

Bryn Forbes (3.0)

Austin Rivers (2.7)

Terrence Ross (2.6)

Darius Miller (2.6)

Kentavious Caldwell-Pope (2.6)

Patty Mills (2.4)

Kevin Huerter (2.3)




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