Gregg Rosenthal

Postseason Rankings

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Rotoworld Roundup

Thursday, October 19, 2006


Each week, Rotoworld will cull together a handful of interesting statistics from our Season Pass package, highlighting emerging trends. This week, I took a look at some number one receivers who really aren't by using our Targets Report.

Who's Really the Number One Receiver?

Chad Johnson has the reputation and fame, but T.J. Houshmandzadeh has evolved into his equal. Our targets report reveals that Housh is being thrown to 10.3 times a game, while Johnson is only seeing nine targets per contest. There's a good reason why Carson Palmer is looking away from #85: Houshmandzadeh catches a much higher percentage of passes than Johnson(.74 to .53), with better yards-per-catch numbers.

Other surprising Teammate Targets splits

Chris Chambers is sixth in the league with 56 targets, but teammate Wes Welker is close behind with 48. Welker, however, is catching a much higher percentage of passes and has more yards on the season.

Muhsin Muhammad and Bernard Berrian and co-number one receivers now in Chicago, with Berrian threatening to take the top spot. Berrian has one less target on the season, but has led the team in targets and yards for three straight weeks. His breakout season is just getting started.

Four-time Pro Bowler Joe Horn has fewer targets (41) than seventh-round rookie teammate Marques Colston, who has 45.

Plaxico Burress dominated Eli Manning's attention last season, but that hasn't been the case in 2006. Amani Toomer has one more target than Plax (38 to 37), four more catches, and similar yardage numbers. Perhaps Eli is tired of Plaxico's alligator arms and tendency for drops.

Rod Smith started the year as Denver's top receiver, but familiarity isn't winning him extra looks from Jake Plummer. Walker has 14 targets since Denver's bye, while Smith has only eight.

Going into the season, Rotoworld thought Michael Clayton had a chance to challenge Joey Galloway for the number one receiver role in Tampa. We were wrong. Galloway has 48 targets this year, while Clayton has 33. Both players are catching less than 50% of the passes thrown their way, an indictment of Tampa's quarterbacks. When Galloway makes a catch, he's much more likely to create a big play.

The gap between veteran Donald Driver and rookie Greg Jennings is closing fast in Green Bay. Driver has only five more targets on the season, but he's gained fewer yards and Jennings has two more touchdowns.

Washington is one team that makes it clear who their top dog is. Santana Moss has 42 targets on the season, while pricey free agent acquisitions Brandon Lloyd and Antwaan Randle El have only 38 combined. $20 million in signing bonus money hasn't bought Joe Gibbs more production from his passing game.



Gregg Rosenthal has directed Rotoworld's football content since 2003. He co-hosts the NBC Fantasy Fix and covers the NFL for NBCSports.com and Profootballtalk.com. Catch him on Twitter.
Email :Gregg Rosenthal



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