Brad Morgan

Red Zone Report

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The Hail Mary

Wednesday, December 9, 2009

Bo Scaife, Titans TE

If you're in need of a TE, Bo Scaife is definitely worth a gamble. Over the last 4 games, Scaife has averaged 7 targets. And over his last 2 games has gotten 5 RZ targets. Owned in just 9% of Yahoo leagues, and facing the Rams this week, Scaife is a low end TE1 option. I would try to grab Fred Davis first, but if he's not available, Scaife could be a godsend this week.

Josh Morgan, 49ers WR

Over the last 2 games Josh Morgan has gotten 16 targets, and a team-leading 6 in the Red Zone. The two receiving options ahead of Morgan -- Michael Crabtree and Vernon Davis -- were thrown to 20 and 18 times over the past 2 weeks. Aside from having a fantastic last name, Morgan, has become a more reliable option for Alex Smith as of late. Out of the 8 targets he's gotten in each of the past two games, Morgan has caught 6 passes both times. The ability to convert targets into receptions is a frequently underrated skill in receivers.
While he's not a WR3 quite yet, I would definitely give Morgan flex play consideration. This week he faces an average pass defense in Arizona, but should still see plenty targets because the Cardinals will be keying in on Crabtree and Davis.

Owned in just 5% of Yahoo leagues, Morgan is clearly somewhat of a gamble. However, as my high school basketball once said: You miss 100% of the shots you don't take. Only the very desperate should start Morgan this week as a flex, but he's worth a pickup considering that he faces the porous Detroit Lions' pass defense in Week 16, when he will be a quality WR3 option.

Kahlil Bell, Bears RB

Not too much to talk about here. Just a reminder to all Forte owners: Pick up Bell. He got 11 carries last week, and Lovie Smith has said he wants to lighten Forte's load. If you have Forte, you're likely relying on him quite a bit, and will have a tough time replacing him. Despite the Bears tough matchups, always handcuff your studs.
Antonio Bryant, Bucaneers WR
Despite his re-emergence as a relevant fantasy receiver, don't play Bryant this week. The best corner in football, Darrelle Revis (Jets) has spent the entire season shutting down opponents' top wide outs. There's no reason to think this week will be any different. I know Bryant's been a hot pickup, but not this week. Just sayin'.

Updated Red-Zone Statistics for RBs, WRs, and TEs:

PlayerTeamRZ CarTeam RZRZ%GL CarTeam GLGL %TDRZ tarRZ Chances
Maurice Jones-DrewJacksonville Jaguars565994.9%2020100.0%8662
Cedric BensonCincinnati Bengals373994.9%66100.0%4239
Steven JacksonSt. Louis Rams272993.1%1111100.0%3431
Michael TurnerAtlanta Falcons 242982.8%1111100.0%7125
Frank GoreSan Francisco 49ers141782.4%33100.0%3923
Matt ForteChicago Bears455778.9%141593.3%3348
Ryan GrantGreen Bay Packers304173.2%121580.0%5737
Rashard MendenhallPittsburgh Steelers263672.2%7977.8%5228
Adrian PetersonMinnesota Vikings517270.8%232882.1%9354
Ladanian TomlinsonSan Diego Chargers436269.4%253083.3%9144
Joseph AddaiIndiannapolis Colts416167.2%111764.7%9748
Kevin SmithDetroit Lions203066.7%81457.1%4525
Julius JonesSeattle Seahawks111764.7%33100.0%1213
Thomas JonesNew York Jets314864.6%91090.0%7132
Knowshon MorenoDenver Broncos375863.8%71258.3%4441
Marion BarberDallas Cowboys193063.3%101283.3%4221
Justin ForsettSeattle Seahawks172763.0%5862.5%4421
Brandon JacobsNew York Giants375962.7%111478.6%4441
Marshawn LynchBuffalo Bills193161.3%4850.0%2322
Jonathan StewartCarolina Panthers356157.4%122352.2%5136
Cadillac WilliamsTampa Bay Buccaneers122254.5%51050.0%3315
LeSean McCoyPhiladelphia Eagles183354.5%3837.5%2220
Ray RiceBaltimore Ravens295453.7%41428.6%2837
Beanie WellsArizona Cardinals234353.5%31618.8%4023
Laurence MaroneyNew England Patriots356752.2%121770.6%7035
Chris JohnsonTennesee Titans204050.0%81457.1%3424
Justin FargasOakland Raiders112250.0%51050.0%2112
Tashard ChoiceDallas Cowboys122548.0%4850.0%2214
Fred JacksonBuffalo Bills183946.2%5955.6%2422
Tim HightowerArizona Cardinals194344.2%121675.0%6322
DeAngelo WilliamsCarolina Panthers235343.4%102147.6%41134
Chris BrownHouston Texans256141.0%71546.7%3530
Ricky WilliamsMiami Dolphins297638.2%92536.0%7635
Lendale WhiteTennesee Titans154037.5%51435.7%2015
Willie ParkerPittsburgh Steelers92437.5%2366.7%0110
Willis McGaheeBaltimore Ravens205437.0%91464.3%7424
Jamal CharlesKansas City Chiefs102737.0%3742.9%1313
Derrick WardTampa Bay Buccaneers82236.4%41040.0%119
Darren McFaddenOakland Raiders41136.4%1520.0%115
Mike BellNew Orleans Saints267236.1%102540.0%4026
Amhad BradshawNew York Giants215935.6%31421.4%4021
Pierre ThomasNew Orleans Saints247233.3%82532.0%3529
Steve SlatonHouston Texans206132.8%31520.0%2626
Jason SnellingAtlanta Falcons 144332.6%51631.3%2014
Jerome HarrisonCleveland Browns103330.3%1119.1% 212

PlayerTeam RZ TargetsTeam RZRZ%TD
Brent CelekPhiladelphia Eagles226533.8%5
Marques ColstonNew Orleans Saints227628.9%7
Andre JohnsonHouston Texans216432.8%5
Randy MossNew England Patriots217229.2%4
Tony GonzalezAtlanta Falcons205834.5%3
Larry FitzgeraldArizona Cardinals206132.8%7
Reggie WayneIndianapolis Colts207227.8%9
Greg OlsenChicago Bears196429.7%4
Brandon MarshallDenver Broncos185433.3%5
Steve SmithNew York Giants185433.3%5
TJ HoushmandzadehSeattle Seahawks186229.0%2
Roddy White Atlanta Falcons175829.3%3
Vernon DavisSan Francisco 49ers165330.2%8
Roy WilliamsDallas Cowboys166126.2%4
Visante SchiancoeMinnesota Vikings166923.2%9
Nate WashingtonTennesee Titans154235.7%4
Bernard BerrianMinnesota Vikings156921.7%3
Pierre GarconIndianapolis Colts157220.8%1
Steve SmithCarolina Panthers144233.3%3
Josh MorganSan Francisco 49ers145326.4%2
Chad OchocincoCincinnati Bengals145824.1%5
Miles AustinDallas Cowboys146123.0%4
Sidney RiceMinnesota Vikings146920.3%2
Austin CollieIndianapolis Colts147219.4%4
Mike Sims-WalkerJacksonville Jaguars133735.1%5
Dwayne BoweKansas City Chiefs134628.3%3
Hines WardPittsburgh Steelers134727.7%4
Santana MossWashington Redskins135523.6%1
Jhonny KnoxChicago Bears136420.3%2
Wes WelkerNew England Patriots137218.1%2
Heath MillerPittsburgh Steelers124725.5%4
Vincent JacksonSan Diego Chargers125024.0%4
Andre CaldwellCincinnati Bengals125820.7%3
Jason AvantPhiladelphia Eagles126518.5%2
Greg JenningsGreen Bay Packers127516.0%1
Donald DriverGreen Bay Packers127516.0%4
Braylon EdwardsNew York Jets113531.4%3
Bo ScaifeTennesee Titans114226.2%1
Devin HesterChicago Bears116417.2%1
Owen DanielsHouston Texans116417.2%3
DeSean JacksonPhiladelphia Eagles116516.9%0
Chansi StuckeyCleveland Browns102934.5%1
Calvin JohnsonDetroit Lions103033.3%2
Derrick MasonBaltimore Ravens104025.0%3
Antonio GatesSan Diego Chargers105020.0%3
Laveranues ColesCincinnati Bengals105817.2%2
Anquan BoldinArizona Cardinals106116.4%3
Nate BurlesonSeattle Seahawks106216.1%2
John CarlsonSeattle Seahawks106216.1%2
Terrel OwensBuffalo Bills93327.3%0
Mark ClaytonBaltimore Ravens94022.5%1
Anthony FasanoMiami Dolphins94122.0%1
Eddie RoyalDenver Broncos95416.7%0
Mario MannighamNew York Giants95416.7%2
Steve BreastonArizona Cardinals96114.8%2
Jeremy MaclinPhiladelphia Eagles96513.8%1
Dustin KellerNew York Jets83622.2%2
Santonio HolmesPittsburgh Steelers84717.0%0
Kellen WinslowTampa Bay Buccaneers84717.0%4
Antonio BryantTampa Bay Buccaneers84717.0%1
Tony ShefflerDenver Broncos85414.8%2
Kevin BossNew York Giants85414.8%3
Devin ThomasWashington Redskins85514.5%2
Patrick CraytonDallas Cowboys86113.1%0
Bobby WadeKansas City Chiefs86113.1%2
Kevin WalterHouston Texans86412.5%1
Dallas ClarkIndianapolis Colts87211.1%3
Donald LeeGreen Bay Packers87510.7%1


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