Week 17 Rankings
Thursday, December 30, 2010
The NFL did us a favor by back-loading division games this season. There are fewer meaningless Week 17 games than usual, even with all but three playoff spots accounted for. Here's a quick look at what teams are resting players and what playoff teams aren't in the season finale.
AFC1. Patriots: Bill Belichick has generally played to win in similar situations, especially when he has a bye week coming up. With such a young defense, my feeling is that
Tom Brady will stay in the game until the Patriots have a big lead in the second half.
Wes Welker is a guy I'd be afraid to use, but only minor downgrades otherwise.
2. Pittsburgh, Baltimore, Indianapolis: They all have plenty to play for. The Steelers are hardly a lock to win in Cleveland, so there's no scenario where the Ravens scoreboard watch and sit guys early.
3. Jets: The one AFC team I'd stay the hell away from. It sounds like
Mark Sanchez will barely play, if at all. That makes
LaDainian Tomlinson,
Santonio Holmes,
Braylon Edwards, and even
Shonn Greene extremely risky to use. Once the quarterback goes, other top shelf guys follow.
NFC 1. Falcons, Saints: The only way the Falcons rest anyone is if they are up 30 points. So you'll want your Falcons in the lineup. The Saints could be scoreboard watching, but don't figure to pull anyone unless the Falcons have a huge lead in the second half. New Orleans still has a chance to win the division. I'd stick with Brees and be a tad more cautious with
Pierre Thomas than normal.
2. Bears: Just a gut feeling they will play to win, even if the Falcons clinch the No. 1 seed earlier in the day. (Lovie Smith said they will play starters throughout, although coaches aren't usually reliable sources.) They have no injuries, a week off coming up, and would love to knock their rival Packers out.
3. Eagles: The one NFC team to stay away from. The Eagles have nothing to play for, and figure to be conservative with
Michael Vick,
LeSean McCoy,
DeSean Jackson, and
Jeremy Maclin. Vick probably won't play at all.
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Week 17 QuarterbacksEditor's Note: Just wanted to say good luck to everyone still playing and thank you guys so much for reading all year. We got a lot of nice emails and tweets thanking us for helping you win titles. Don't get carried away though – you made the calls that did it. We're glad to have helped along the way.
I also want to spend a special thanks to Chris Wesseling for his help on these rankings all year. We combined on the rankings for the first time this year and it led to more well-rounded, balanced rankings. He's got a great eye for value.
Evan Silva also deserves a major shout out for the best matchup column on the web. (And it's not close.) Silva spearheads all our news coverage, which is still what Rotoworld is all about. He leads the best fantasy football crew anywhere, with Wesseling, Adam Levitan, L.J. Rader, Ryan Boyer, and Sam Kline all making us look good.
On to the notes ...
QB Notes: Peyton Manning put some ridiculous throws on the Raiders last week. Tennessee's pash rush has thinned out and isn't built for turf. Look for a lot of points from Indianapolis. …
Philip Rivers' "slump" is concerning, but 15 weeks of evidence says the Broncos defense is among the very worst in the league. Don't sweat the slump. …
Aaron Rodgers may have played better against the Bears in Week 3 than he did last week against the Giants. That should ease any concerns about a tough matchup.
This rankings assumes
Kevin Kolb will start. Even without
DeSean Jackson, I wouldn't hesitate to use him against the Cowboys. It's the system. …
Jay Cutler's ranking isn't conservative because of the Bears could rest people. I think he'll play, but the Packers defense creates a lot of problems confusing opposing quarterbacks. …
Tim Tebow's running skills makes him a borderline QB1 even in a tough matchup.
You could make the argument
Sam Bradford should be ranked higher because he's playing the Seahawks. Seattle is the ultimate slumpbuster for struggling quarterbacks. Ask
Josh Freeman or
Alex Smith. …
Joe Webb is a nice wide receiver play, but there are too many safer options to use in front of him at quarterback. … I don't trust
Rex Grossman at all with the Redskins line trying to protect him against the Giants. … Even the Texans defense doesn't make me comfortable enough to use
Trent Edwards.
The NFL did us a favor by back-loading division games this season. There are fewer meaningless Week 17 games than usual, even with all but three playoff spots accounted for. Here's a quick look at what teams are resting players and what playoff teams aren't in the season finale.
AFC1. Patriots: Bill Belichick has generally played to win in similar situations, especially when he has a bye week coming up. With such a young defense, my feeling is that
Tom Brady will stay in the game until the Patriots have a big lead in the second half.
Wes Welker is a guy I'd be afraid to use, but only minor downgrades otherwise.
2. Pittsburgh, Baltimore, Indianapolis: They all have plenty to play for. The Steelers are hardly a lock to win in Cleveland, so there's no scenario where the Ravens scoreboard watch and sit guys early.
3. Jets: The one AFC team I'd stay the hell away from. It sounds like
Mark Sanchez will barely play, if at all. That makes
LaDainian Tomlinson,
Santonio Holmes,
Braylon Edwards, and even
Shonn Greene extremely risky to use. Once the quarterback goes, other top shelf guys follow.
NFC 1. Falcons, Saints: The only way the Falcons rest anyone is if they are up 30 points. So you'll want your Falcons in the lineup. The Saints could be scoreboard watching, but don't figure to pull anyone unless the Falcons have a huge lead in the second half. New Orleans still has a chance to win the division. I'd stick with Brees and be a tad more cautious with
Pierre Thomas than normal.
2. Bears: Just a gut feeling they will play to win, even if the Falcons clinch the No. 1 seed earlier in the day. (Lovie Smith said they will play starters throughout, although coaches aren't usually reliable sources.) They have no injuries, a week off coming up, and would love to knock their rival Packers out.
3. Eagles: The one NFC team to stay away from. The Eagles have nothing to play for, and figure to be conservative with
Michael Vick,
LeSean McCoy,
DeSean Jackson, and
Jeremy Maclin. Vick probably won't play at all.
----
Week 17 QuarterbacksEditor's Note: Just wanted to say good luck to everyone still playing and thank you guys so much for reading all year. We got a lot of nice emails and tweets thanking us for helping you win titles. Don't get carried away though – you made the calls that did it. We're glad to have helped along the way.
I also want to spend a special thanks to Chris Wesseling for his help on these rankings all year. We combined on the rankings for the first time this year and it led to more well-rounded, balanced rankings. He's got a great eye for value.
Evan Silva also deserves a major shout out for the best matchup column on the web. (And it's not close.) Silva spearheads all our news coverage, which is still what Rotoworld is all about. He leads the best fantasy football crew anywhere, with Wesseling, Adam Levitan, L.J. Rader, Ryan Boyer, and Sam Kline all making us look good.
On to the notes ...
QB Notes: Peyton Manning put some ridiculous throws on the Raiders last week. Tennessee's pash rush has thinned out and isn't built for turf. Look for a lot of points from Indianapolis. …
Philip Rivers' "slump" is concerning, but 15 weeks of evidence says the Broncos defense is among the very worst in the league. Don't sweat the slump. …
Aaron Rodgers may have played better against the Bears in Week 3 than he did last week against the Giants. That should ease any concerns about a tough matchup.
This rankings assumes
Kevin Kolb will start. Even without
DeSean Jackson, I wouldn't hesitate to use him against the Cowboys. It's the system. …
Jay Cutler's ranking isn't conservative because of the Bears could rest people. I think he'll play, but the Packers defense creates a lot of problems confusing opposing quarterbacks. …
Tim Tebow's running skills makes him a borderline QB1 even in a tough matchup.
You could make the argument
Sam Bradford should be ranked higher because he's playing the Seahawks. Seattle is the ultimate slumpbuster for struggling quarterbacks. Ask
Josh Freeman or
Alex Smith. …
Joe Webb is a nice wide receiver play, but there are too many safer options to use in front of him at quarterback. … I don't trust
Rex Grossman at all with the Redskins line trying to protect him against the Giants. … Even the Texans defense doesn't make me comfortable enough to use
Trent Edwards.
Week 17 Running BacksRB Notes: Keep an eye on
Jonathan Stewart,
Darren McFadden, and
Knowshon Moreno's practice availability all week. These rankings are very subject to change. We'll have Season Pass updated by Friday evening and bring you updates for free on Sunday. … Moreno could especially take a big hit because his injury looks painful. …
Ahmad Bradshaw will be ready to roll this week and I expect the Giants to play with the lead throughout.
The Chargers want to see what they have with
Ryan Mathews. I was very impressed with his running last week, like I have really all season whenever he's healthy enough to play. He won't help in the passing game, but he makes people miss and breaks tackles. Nice power-speed combo. He could have a huge Week 17 and should be in almost all lineups. …
Fred Jackson could be playing against some backup Jets defenders by the end of the Sunday's game and it wouldn't be surprising to see the Bills playing with a lead. Buffalo also wants to get Jackson to 1,000 rushing yards. He's 108 yards away.
Hard to really trust any of the Colts running backs. They should all get a taste. … The Eagles will probably be very careful with
LeSean McCoy this week; we'd stay away. …
Michael Bush could be a sneaky play depending on
Darren McFadden's practice availability. Same goes for
Mike Goodson and
Jonathan Stewart's chances to play. …
Cedric Benson appeared worn down after his 31-carry performance in Week 15. He's a risky play, but one of the rare guys who should safely get 20 carries.
Week 17 Wide ReceiversWR Notes: Brandon Lloyd is surviving
Tim Tebow just fine. The strong Chargers secondary showed some cracks of late and can be beaten deep. The Broncos aren't afraid to just throw it up to Lloyd. …
Brandon Marshall vs.
Devin McCourty will be fun to watch when Marshall is on the same side of the field. Marshall vs. Kyle Arrigton or
Darius Butler will be fun for Marshall's fantasy owners to watch when he's on the other side of the field. … With
Hakeem Nicks out,
Mario Manningham is almost a must start.
Pierre Garcon has gone from drop easy passes to making spectacular catches. … Keep an eye on
Larry Fitzgerald's status throughout the week. Same goes for
Calvin Johnson and
Andre Johnson. As always, we rank guys as if they are starting just in case. … If the Johnson's are out,
Nate Burleson and
Jacoby Jones become a lot more attractive. …
Michael Crabtree finally rewarded any owners that had some faith left in the kid last week. With the right matchup, we'd use him again.
Sidney Rice's status may not be known until later in the week. Considering his contractual status, Rice could play it safe and sit out. … I wouldn't fault you at all for sitting Boldin. This stretch has been tough to stomach. … Among my favorite sneaky plays this week:
Danario Alexander,
Jerome Simpson,
Jason Avant, and
Jason Hill. …
Davone Bess always gives the Patriots problems and New England will do what they can to limit
Brandon Marshall's damage.
Week 17 Tight EndsWeek 17 Team DefenseWeek 17 Kickers
| Rank | Player Name | Opponent | Notes |
| 1 | Garrett Hartley | vs. TB | - |
| 2 | Adam Vinatieri | vs. TEN | - |
| 3 | Matt Bryant | vs. CAR | - |
| 4 | Nate Kaeding | at DEN | - |
| 5 | David Akers | vs. DAL | - |
| 6 | Neil Rackers | vs. JAC | - |
| 7 | Josh Scobee | at HOU | - |
| 8 | Sebastian Janikowski | at KC | - |
| 9 | Rob Bironas | at IND | - |
| 10 | Shayne Graham | vs. MIA | - |
| 11 | David Buehler | at PHI | - |
| 12 | Jay Feely | at SF | - |
| 13 | Robbie Gould | at GB | - |
| 14 | Mason Crosby | vs. CHI | - |
| 15 | Jeff Reed | vs. ARZ | - |
| 16 | Lawrence Tynes | at WAS | - |
| 17 | Ryan Succop | vs. OAK | - |
| 18 | Shaun Suisham | at CLE | - |
| 19 | Josh Brown | at SEA | - |
| 20 | Billy Cundiff | vs. CIN | - |
| 21 | Connor Barth | at NO | - |
| 22 | Nick Folk | vs. BUF | - |
| 23 | Olindo Mare | vs. STL | - |
| 24 | Dan Carpenter | at NE | - |
| 25 | Ryan Longwell | at DET | - |
| 26 | Rian Lindell | at NYJ | - |
| 27 | Phil Dawson | vs. PIT | - |
| 28 | Graham Gano | vs. NYG | - |
| 29 | Dave Rayner | vs. MIN | - |
| 30 | Steven Hauschka | vs. SD | - |
| 31 | Clint Stitser | at BAL | - |
| 32 | John Kasay | at ATL | - |
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Gregg Rosenthal has directed Rotoworld's football content since 2003. He co-hosts the
NBC Fantasy Fix and covers the NFL for NBCSports.com and Profootballtalk.com. Catch him
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Gregg Rosenthal