9. Ryan Grant / James Starks
- Third-rounder Alex Green
is billed as Brandon Jackson
's immediate replacement, but NFL teams aren't generally in the habit of expending second-day picks on third-down specialists. Green is an explosive downhill runner with feature-back size and elusiveness, which bodes poorly for Grant's chances of sticking in Green Bay beyond 2011 -- the final year of his contract. Green is good enough to force a two-back committee attack with Starks in 2012.
10. Joseph Addai / Donald Brown
- Addai's Indy future is wrapped up in the labor outcome, which will determine whether his free agency is restricted or unrestricted. A good portion of his fantasy value has come at the goal-line, which is a problem with hard-charging fourth-rounder Delone Carter
lurking as a short-yardage vulture
. Even if Addai leaves, it's hard to like Brown's chances of filling the void. After failing to seize a prime opportunity with Addai sidelined throughout the second half of the season, the brittle 2009 first-rounder didn't see a single snap in the Colts' playoff loss to the Jets. A tentative line dancer of Laurence Maroney
proportions, Brown has the look of a "one-and-done
" contract for the Colts.
11. Visanthe Shiancoe
Age (31) and the loss of Brett Favre
, who used Shiancoe as a red-zone security blanket, were already concerns. Shiancoe had plummeted to low-end TE2 status by the end of the season. Now he has to hold off a more talented Kyle Rudolph
for looks down the seam. Shiancoe is no longer worthy of a spot in a standard 12-team league with 25-deep rosters.
12. Mohamed Massaquoi
- Coach Pat Shurmur is already projecting Greg Little
as his No. 1 receiver
while team president Mike Holmgren envisions the second-rounder fulfilling the "homerun hitting
" need in the Browns offense. Those expectations leave Massaquoi as a secondary long-term option in the passing game. I'd list Brian Robiskie
here, too, if I believed he ever possessed even an ounce of fantasy potential.
13. Jimmy Clausen / Joe Webb
- Both 2010 draft picks closed out the season as the starter, only to see their teams address the position with first-round picks in April. In 13 games as the NFL's lowest-rated passer, Clausen gave no reason to believe
he can be a viable NFL starter. His biggest fan
has been Panthers GM Marty Hurney, so don't expect other teams to beat down the door for a trade. Webb remains a long-term developmental project without a realistic shot to beat out Christian Ponder
14. Anthony Dixon
- Considered a possible successor to Frank Gore
at this time last year, Dixon finished his rookie season with a disappointing 3.4 yards per carry and 2.2 yards per reception. The Niners have made it clear that they envision fourth-rounder Kendall Hunter
as more than just a change-of-pace back
, and the poor man's Ray Rice
is more talented than Dixon. I wouldn't hold a roster spot for Dixon in 12-team leagues.
15. Donnie Avery / Brandon Gibson / Mardy Gilyard / Laurent Robinson
- Mark Clayton
is expected to be re-signed, Danny Amendola
figures to remain in the slot after racking up 85 receptions last season, and talented deep threat Danario Alexander
is safe as long as his knee checks out. The Rams aren't going to want to lose third- and fourth-rounders Austin Pettis
and Greg Salas
, which leaves Gibson, Gilyard, and Robinson on the outs. Returning from a torn ACL, Avery will have to excel in preseason action to earn a major role.
Bonus: David Akers
- The goat of the Wild Card round loss balked at the transition tag, so the Eagles responded by drafting his replacement in fourth-rounder Alex Henery
. Akers will land a kicking job elsewhere, but he's leaving a gig that saw him finish in the top-six in the NFL in both field-goal attempts and extra-point attempts in each of the past three seasons. Draft Pergutory: Carson Palmer
, Larry Fitzgerald
, Steve Smith
(CAR), Knowshon Moreno
, Ryan Torain
, Brandon Tate
/ Taylor Price
, Ronnie Brown
/ Ricky Williams
Obstinate Bengals owner/GM Mike Brown
maintains that Palmer will not be traded after drafting his replacement in Andy Dalton
. … Fitzgerald will be catching passes from Kevin Kolb
or Kyle Orton
as opposed to John Skelton
or Max Hall
. … Hurt by his QB situation more than any other receiver over the past four years, Smith is line for a monster comeback season if he lands in a greener pasture -- as expected. … The Broncos are expected to add a back to complement Moreno. … Torain has competition in fourth-rounder Roy Helu
and sixth-rounder Evan Royster
, but it could have been worse. The 'Skins may not be done adding to the backfield mix, either. … The Pats opted against drafting a wide receiver, but a veteran could be brought in via free agency or trade. … Brown and Williams remain unlikely to return to Miami.
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