Chris Wesseling

Offseason Low Down

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Draft Fallout: Dynasty Losers

Friday, June 03, 2011




9. Ryan Grant / James Starks - Third-rounder Alex Green is billed as Brandon Jackson's immediate replacement, but NFL teams aren't generally in the habit of expending second-day picks on third-down specialists. Green is an explosive downhill runner with feature-back size and elusiveness, which bodes poorly for Grant's chances of sticking in Green Bay beyond 2011 -- the final year of his contract. Green is good enough to force a two-back committee attack with Starks in 2012.

10. Joseph Addai / Donald Brown - Addai's Indy future is wrapped up in the labor outcome, which will determine whether his free agency is restricted or unrestricted. A good portion of his fantasy value has come at the goal-line, which is a problem with hard-charging fourth-rounder Delone Carter lurking as a short-yardage vulture. Even if Addai leaves, it's hard to like Brown's chances of filling the void. After failing to seize a prime opportunity with Addai sidelined throughout the second half of the season, the brittle 2009 first-rounder didn't see a single snap in the Colts' playoff loss to the Jets. A tentative line dancer of Laurence Maroney proportions, Brown has the look of a "one-and-done" contract for the Colts.

11. Visanthe Shiancoe Age (31) and the loss of Brett Favre, who used Shiancoe as a red-zone security blanket, were already concerns. Shiancoe had plummeted to low-end TE2 status by the end of the season. Now he has to hold off a more talented Kyle Rudolph for looks down the seam. Shiancoe is no longer worthy of a spot in a standard 12-team league with 25-deep rosters.

12. Mohamed Massaquoi - Coach Pat Shurmur is already projecting Greg Little as his No. 1 receiver while team president Mike Holmgren envisions the second-rounder fulfilling the "homerun hitting" need in the Browns offense. Those expectations leave Massaquoi as a secondary long-term option in the passing game. I'd list Brian Robiskie here, too, if I believed he ever possessed even an ounce of fantasy potential.

13. Jimmy Clausen / Joe Webb - Both 2010 draft picks closed out the season as the starter, only to see their teams address the position with first-round picks in April. In 13 games as the NFL's lowest-rated passer, Clausen gave no reason to believe he can be a viable NFL starter. His biggest fan has been Panthers GM Marty Hurney, so don't expect other teams to beat down the door for a trade. Webb remains a long-term developmental project without a realistic shot to beat out Christian Ponder.

14. Anthony Dixon - Considered a possible successor to Frank Gore at this time last year, Dixon finished his rookie season with a disappointing 3.4 yards per carry and 2.2 yards per reception. The Niners have made it clear that they envision fourth-rounder Kendall Hunter as more than just a change-of-pace back, and the poor man's Ray Rice is more talented than Dixon. I wouldn't hold a roster spot for Dixon in 12-team leagues.

15. Donnie Avery / Brandon Gibson / Mardy Gilyard / Laurent Robinson - Mark Clayton is expected to be re-signed, Danny Amendola figures to remain in the slot after racking up 85 receptions last season, and talented deep threat Danario Alexander is safe as long as his knee checks out. The Rams aren't going to want to lose third- and fourth-rounders Austin Pettis and Greg Salas, which leaves Gibson, Gilyard, and Robinson on the outs. Returning from a torn ACL, Avery will have to excel in preseason action to earn a major role.

Bonus: David Akers - The goat of the Wild Card round loss balked at the transition tag, so the Eagles responded by drafting his replacement in fourth-rounder Alex Henery. Akers will land a kicking job elsewhere, but he's leaving a gig that saw him finish in the top-six in the NFL in both field-goal attempts and extra-point attempts in each of the past three seasons.

Draft Pergutory: Carson Palmer, Larry Fitzgerald, Steve Smith (CAR), Knowshon Moreno, Ryan Torain, Brandon Tate / Taylor Price, Ronnie Brown / Ricky Williams

Obstinate Bengals owner/GM Mike Brown maintains that Palmer will not be traded after drafting his replacement in Andy Dalton. … Fitzgerald will be catching passes from Kevin Kolb or Kyle Orton as opposed to John Skelton or Max Hall. … Hurt by his QB situation more than any other receiver over the past four years, Smith is line for a monster comeback season if he lands in a greener pasture -- as expected. … The Broncos are expected to add a back to complement Moreno. … Torain has competition in fourth-rounder Roy Helu and sixth-rounder Evan Royster, but it could have been worse. The 'Skins may not be done adding to the backfield mix, either. … The Pats opted against drafting a wide receiver, but a veteran could be brought in via free agency or trade. … Brown and Williams remain unlikely to return to Miami.

Follow Chris Wesseling on Twitter.


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Chris Wesseling is a senior football editor and Dynasty league analyst for Rotoworld.com. The 2011 NFL season marks his fifth year with Rotoworld and his third year contributing to NBCSports.com. He can be found on Twitter @ChrisWesseling.
Email :Chris Wesseling



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