Chris Wesseling

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Dynasty Hot Sheet: Week 2

Friday, September 16, 2011


Cold Sheet

 

Peyton Problem: Peyton Manning, Reggie Wayne, Austin Collie, Dallas Clark, Pierre Garcon, Joseph Addai

 

Manning is almost certainly done for the season. For the first time in his career, he's now an injury risk coming off three neck surgies. He will be 36 years old entering the 2012 season. ... Forget Wayne's 100-yard game in the opener. It won't happen on a regular basis with Kerry Collins under center. Sell now if possible. Wayne will be a WR3 this year only to enter 2012 as a 33-year-old free agent facing an uncertain future. ... Collie isn't playing in two-receiver sets, making him useless for 2011. ... Garcon is overrated and unlikely to produce without Manning. ... Clark always derived a good portion of his value from his QB. Now that he's blocking more, he's a poor bet for sustained TE1 productioin in 2011. Clark will turn 33 years old next June, and tight ends don't age as well as receivers. ... Addai is a passing-down specialist playing in an offense that now wants to run more with Manning out.

 

Production Problem: Shonn Greene, Marshawn Lynch, Matt Cassel

 

Evan Silva covered Greene's issues succinctly Sunday night: 1. He's not that good. 2. The Jets O-Line isn't as good as it was two years ago. 3. Greene won't touch the ball when the Jets fall behind. I'd add that it's been a concern that he couldn't beat out Thomas Jones and LaDainian Tomlinson, two backs clearly on the decline, in 2009-2010. ... More from Silva: Marshawn Lynch is the worst starting RB in the NFL. I can't take issue with that based on Lynch's career to date or his recent production. ... Cassel's numbers since Charlie Weis announced his decision to leave the Chiefs late last season: 42-of-87 (48.3%), 101.3 yds/game, 1:6 TD-to-INT ratio, 3.49 YPA.

 

Past Prime: Donovan McNabb, Steven Jackson, Ryan Grant, Chad Ochocinco, Chris Cooley

 

The increasingly accuracy-challenged McNabb is devoid of value after his 39-yard performance in the opener. ... S-Jax looked plodding in preseason action only to go down with an injury to the same quad that limited him to 12 games back in 2008. He's on the downslope. ... Grant has been a step slow since training camp opened while James Starks looks bigger and explosive. ... Ochocinco is now an overpaid sixth option in the Pats passing game. ... Cooley may battle a knee injury all season as Fred Davis leaves him in the dust.

 

Dysfunctional Offense: Eli Manning, Dwayne Bowe, Marcedes Lewis

 

Eli "did not have the best of training camps" and has been "out of sync" with his receivers. There's now talk of the Giants trying to "manufacture" wins this season behind a strong running game and an opportunistic defense. Eli clearly misses Steve Smith and Kevin Boss. ... Re: Bowe. See Cassel's numbers above. ... Lewis is battling a calf strain while the Jaguars move to a run-dominant offense under Luke McCown and Blaine Gabbert.

 

Injury Concerns: Marques Colston, Michael Crabtree, Knowshon Moreno

 

Colston has a plate in his shoulder after fracturing his collarbone. It's at least his sixth surgical procedure as a pro. Scouts Inc.'s Matt Williamson noted that Colston didn't look quite as dynamic in the opener coming off his second microfracture knee surgery (one to each knee). ... Will Crabtree's twice surgically repaired left foot be a problem for the rest of his career? He's already conceded it will be an issue all season. ... For all of the talk about Moreno being in the best shape of his career during training camp, he's once again sidelined by a hamstring injury. He just can't stay healthy.

 

Snap Count: Arian Foster, James Jones, LeGarrette Blount, DeAngelo Williams

 

Foster remains a valuable Dynasty asset, one of the most skilled backs in the league, and a fantasy stud, but the Kenton Keith corollary made an appearance in Week 1. If the offense can function without missing a beat with its star running back on the sidelines, the player may not be so uniquely talented after all. If Ben Tate can make a run at the rushing title under a starter's workload, it's hardly ideal for Foster's long-term stability. ... Jones is at best the fifth option in Green Bay's aerial attack -- and possibly as low as the sixth or seventh. He never should have re-signed with the Packers. ... Blount is more talented than Shonn Greene, but shares many of the same issues from a fantasy perspective. ... Williams is making "the big sweet dollars, the kwan," but he was outplayed by Jonathan Stewart in the opener.



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Chris Wesseling is a senior football editor and Dynasty league analyst for Rotoworld.com. The 2011 NFL season marks his fifth year with Rotoworld and his third year contributing to NBCSports.com. He can be found on Twitter @ChrisWesseling.
Email :Chris Wesseling



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