Chet Gresham

Targets and Touches

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Target Watch: Week 4

Wednesday, September 28, 2011




Pittsburgh Steelers

Mike Wallace
- 7 (27), Antonio Brown - 8 (23), Hines Ward - 4 (19), Heath Miller - 6 (14), Emmanuel Sanders - 5 (11), Rashard Mendenhall - 4 (7), Mewelde Moore - 1 (4), Weslye Saunders - 1 (1), David Johnson - 1 (1)

Mike Wallace continues to put up big numbers and is tied for third in the league with 21 receptions. His status in PPR is much better than many pundits believed in preseason. After him it’s pretty much become the Antonio Brown show. Of course it isn’t that clear cut, but Roethlisberger targets him more than any receiver other than Wallace and he’s on the field much less Hines Ward. We could start to see that change.

San Diego Chargers

Vincent Jackson
- 8 (26), Mike Tolbert - 5 (23), Ryan Mathews - 4 (18), Malcom Floyd - 5 (15), Antonio Gates - dnp (14), Randy McMichael - 5 (9), Patrick Crayton - 7 (7), Jacob Hester - 2 (6), Vincent Brown - 1 (1), Kory Sperry - 1 (1)

We predicted a break out by Ryan Mathews in week 3 and he obliged. Mathews has clearly outplayed Mike Tolbert this season and as long as he stays healthy that will continue. Even after a huge game by Tolbert week 1, Mathews has much higher yards per carry and reception, total receiving and rushing yards, touches and fantasy points.
This was Patrick Crayton’s first game back from ankle surgery and he had the second most targets with 7 and this was with Malcom Floyd starting. With Floyd’s injury history and Antonio Gates looking to take a rest from the mess, Crayton is someone to keep an eye on.

Seattle Seahawks

Ben Obomanu
- 2 (14), Doug Baldwin - 4 (12), Justin Forsett - 3 (11), Golden Tate - 3 (10), Sidney Rice - 10 (10), Zach Miller - 3 (9), Mike Williams - 1 (9), Marshawn Lynch - 3 (7), Leon Washington - 1 (4)

Finally a Seahawks’ player who might be worth more than a butt-end of a joke.  Sidney Rice returned from his shoulder injury and promptly saw 10 targets and accumulated 8 receptions for 109 yards. Of course this came against a poor Arizona Cardinals’ pass defense, but this is the first sign of fantasy life we’ve seen out of them; let’s take it.

San Francisco 49ers

Vernon Davis - 9 (17), Josh Morgan - 4 (11), Frank Gore - 2 (9), Michael Crabtree - 6 (8), Delanie Walker - 2 (7), Kendall Hunter - 2 (2)
It does pay to whine and complain! Vernon Davis was upset that he was blocking rather than running routes in week 2 and he should have been. He is easily their best receiver. He has been targeted 17 times and caught 15 of those for 179 yards. That is an 88% catch rate. Hopefully his week three 8 catch 119 yard performance will get the ball rolling for him.
The 49ers offense is averaging 6.8 yards per reception and 2.5 yards per rush and a league low 25 pass attempts per game. That does not leave much room for fantasy points.

St. Louis Rams

Mike Sims-Walker
- 6 (21), Brandon Gibson - 7 (20), Cadillac Williams - 2 (17), Danario Alexander - 8 (15), Lance Kendricks - 3 (12), Michael Hoomanawanui - 3 (5), Austin Pettis - 2 (2), Steven Jackson - 1 (1)

The resurgence of the Rams offense under the tutelage of Josh McDaniels has yet to materialize. They have no receivers that can step up and produce consistently (i.e. catch a friggin football).  After a big game from Danario Alexander, arguably their most skilled receiver, they decided to get him more involved with 8 targets, but he only hauled in 2 for 28 yards. Until a receiver steps up it will be difficult to rely on any of them.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Mike Williams
- 9 (23), Earnest Graham - 8 (22), Kellen Winslow - 4 (20), Preston Parker - 1 (14), Arrelious Benn - 4 (13), Dezmon Briscoe - 0 (6), Luke Stocker - 2 (4), LeGarrette Blount - 3 (3), Kregg Lumpkin - 1 (2)

LeGarrette Blount’s snaps have increased every game this season, from 13 to 26 to 48, whereas Earnest Graham’s have fallen from 46 to 33 to 19.  This has a lot to do with the flow of the game, but is still good news for Blount owners. He also had his first 3 passing targets of the season in week 3 as well. Hopefully that will continue.

Freeman didn’t have one of his better games and it showed in the receiver’s production. If you were hoping that a sleeper candidate out of Preston Parker, Arrelious Benn, or Dezmon Briscoe would surface it’s time to give up the ghost. Mike Williams and Kellen Winslow are the only receivers worth owning in this offense.

Tennessee Titans

Nate Washington
- 9 (27), Kenny Britt - 3 (26), Chris Johnson - 7 (19), Lavelle Hawkins - 5 (9), Jared Cook - 2 (7), Damian Williams - 3 (5), Craig Stevens - 1 (5), Marc Mariani - 1 (4), Javon Ringer - 2 (4), Quinn Johnson - 2 (3), Daniel Graham - 1 (1)

The Titans lost Kenny Britt for the season in this game, which is a huge blow to their offense, but Matt Hasselbeck is throwing at a crazy 70% completion rate and his offensive line is giving him time. Nate Washington’s 9 targets are what he is averaging for the season and there’s no reason to think he won’t continue to see that or more with Britt out. Yes, it will be more difficult for him without Britt taking coverage away, but it is also quite difficult to not catch half of the balls thrown your way.

Jared Cook has seen a measly 7 targets all season, which is truly a travesty of monumental proportions. The loss of Britt should, SHOULD get more targets for Cook, but we’ll just have to wait to see.

Washington Redskins

Santana Moss
- 8 (25), Jabar Gaffney - 6 (21), Fred Davis - 3 (16), Tim Hightower - 6 (11), Chris Cooley - 5 (10), Anthony Armstrong - 0 (10), Roy Helu - 2 (6)

Santana Moss continues to put up solid PPR numbers, but even with Rex Grossman averaging 282 yards passing a game it isn’t really giving out the fantasy points it should because the touchdowns in Native America are spread pretty thin with only Tim Hightower having over 1 (he has 2).

So the true fantasy production looks like it will mostly come from the running back position, which Hightower did a good job defending on Monday Night Football. But even though he had a decent game, Roy Helu was still on the field quite a bit. Helu saw 26 snaps to Hightower's 36 and ran 18 pass routes to Hightower's 12. This could just be the way it is, but I still believe Helu is the more skilled player and will continue to win time.



Chet Gresham writes Target Watch and The Morning After for Rotoworld.com and is the founder of The Fake Football. Chet can be found on Twitter .
Email :Chet Gresham



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