Shootout at San Diego
Monday, November 07, 2011
Much like Pedro Martinez in his prime, Aaron Rodgers has an array of throws in his repertoire that the rest of the league’s quarterbacks just can’t match. The rare power thrower with pinpoint accuracy and mobility, Rodgers led the Packers to four touchdowns and a field goal on their first six offensive drives at San Diego. Along the way, Rodgers broke a tie with Hall of Famer Steve Young with an eighth consecutive game posting a passer rating of at least 110 while becoming the first quarterback in NFL history with 2,600 yards and 24 touchdowns through the first eight games of the season.
No player in history has boasted a higher completion percentage (72.5) or passer rating (129.1), and Rodgers’ 9.9 YPA is the highest average in modern history. Per the Boston Globe, only Sid Luckman (10.86 in 1943), Otto Graham (10.55 in ’53), and Norm Van Brocklin (10.14 in ’54) have posted higher marks. Rodgers has made a mockery of the mid-season MVP race, playing quarterback at a level never before seen in the NFL.
“I think it’s a natural progression for a quarterback to gain more and more confidence as you move on -- not only in the offense but playing with the same perimeter players,’’ coach Mike McCarthy said before Sunday’s game. “So there’s a lot of confidence between the quarterback and the perimeter players and even more so with the protection unit as far as picking things up, making sure he has a good pocket. And he has great confidence, not just in one receiver, but it’s the whole group. I think you’re really seeing what happens when you get to that point.’’
As ColdHardFootballFacts.com points out, the 2010-11 Green Bay Packers are the first team in NFL history to win 14 consecutive games without trailing in the fourth quarter. The 1942-43 Redskins were the previous record-holders with a 13-game streak.
Rodgers piled up a league-high 38 fantasy points in the shootout at San Diego, besting Philip Rivers and Vincent Jackson with 33 and 32 respectively. Continuing his season-long struggles, Rivers threw a pair of pick-sixes and a career-high third interception while also taking a back-breaking intentional grounding penalty with the game on the line. Rivers’ 14 interceptions are already more than he’s had in any season since 2007 and three more than any other quarterback in the league. While Tony Romo has the reputation for coming up short in crunch time, Rivers is now 2-9 in fourth quarter comeback opportuntities since 2010.
“I’m not the first quarterback that’s fought through this thing, and I certainly won’t be the last,” Rivers said Sunday night. “You fight through a slump. A home-run hitter keeps swinging, and a 3-point shooter keeps shooting.” Although Rivers did suffer a sternum injury back in Week 2, he has repeatedly refuted speculation that his health is a factor. His fantasy value hinges heavily on scoring system. Rivers is a top-eight fantasy QB in leagues that don’t penalize for turnovers versus 15th in standard-scoring formats.
Game Balls
Eli Manning not only one-upped Tom Brady in Foxboro, he did it without Hakeem Nicks and Ahmad Bradshaw -- his two best offensive weapons. Proving to be elite as the best fourth-quarter passer in the league this season, Eli guided touchdown drives of 80 and 85 yards in the final seven minutes of the game. It was the fifth fourth-quarter, game-winning drive for Manning since Week 3.
The performance ended New England’s streaks of 18 home wins against NFC teams, 20 consecutive regular-season home wins (fourth-longest in history), and Brady’s 31 consecutive regular-season home wins (longest in history). Before Sunday, Brady hadn’t lost a regular-season home game since the 2006 season. Locked in as a QB1, Eli is seventh at his position in fantasy points while on pace for a career-high 4,754 yards and a 30:12 TD-to-INT ratio.
In many ways, DeMarco’s Murray’s 186 total yards against a Seahawks defense previously allowing just 3.5 yards per carry was more impressive than his franchise record breaking 253 yards in his first start. Displaying a better than advertised burst while hitting holes decisively, Murray’s two 100-yard games in three weeks match the career total of injured starter Felix Jones. His 466 yards are the most by a Cowboys back in a three-game span in franchise history. Murray has also joined ex-Broncos runner Mike Anderson as the only rookies in history with a 250-yard game and a 135-yard outing in a three-game span. His current average of 6.7 yards per carry is the highest mark for a rookie since Bo Jackson in 1987. It’s clear now that the Cowboys are simply a better team with Murray in the lineup. He’s not giving up the lead-back job even when Jones returns.
Don’t let Matt Ryan’s 120.7 passer rating versus the Colts fool you. Julio Jones saved him from another shaky performance with a spectacular diving 50-yard bomb in triple coverage and a short slant that turned into an 80-yard score by out-running Indy’s defense. Jones is the first rookie receiver since the merger with a 50-yard touchdown and an 80-yard touchown in the same game. He’s going to end up giving A.J. Green a run for his money as the top rookie receiver after all.
For the second time in three weeks, Arian Foster and Ben Tate both cleared 100 yards in a blowout victory. Foster now has six consecutive games with at least 100 yards from scrimmage, averaging 160 per week while finding the end zone a half-dozen times. Despite missing the majority of the first three games, Foster is fifth among fantasy backs on the season while Tate is sitting at No. 20. Boosted by a mauling offensive line, the Texans boast the most dangerously efficient ground attack in the NFL.
Much like Pedro Martinez in his prime, Aaron Rodgers has an array of throws in his repertoire that the rest of the league’s quarterbacks just can’t match. The rare power thrower with pinpoint accuracy and mobility, Rodgers led the Packers to four touchdowns and a field goal on their first six offensive drives at San Diego. Along the way, Rodgers broke a tie with Hall of Famer Steve Young with an eighth consecutive game posting a passer rating of at least 110 while becoming the first quarterback in NFL history with 2,600 yards and 24 touchdowns through the first eight games of the season.
No player in history has boasted a higher completion percentage (72.5) or passer rating (129.1), and Rodgers’ 9.9 YPA is the highest average in modern history. Per the Boston Globe, only Sid Luckman (10.86 in 1943), Otto Graham (10.55 in ’53), and Norm Van Brocklin (10.14 in ’54) have posted higher marks. Rodgers has made a mockery of the mid-season MVP race, playing quarterback at a level never before seen in the NFL.
“I think it’s a natural progression for a quarterback to gain more and more confidence as you move on -- not only in the offense but playing with the same perimeter players,’’ coach Mike McCarthy said before Sunday’s game. “So there’s a lot of confidence between the quarterback and the perimeter players and even more so with the protection unit as far as picking things up, making sure he has a good pocket. And he has great confidence, not just in one receiver, but it’s the whole group. I think you’re really seeing what happens when you get to that point.’’
As ColdHardFootballFacts.com points out, the 2010-11 Green Bay Packers are the first team in NFL history to win 14 consecutive games without trailing in the fourth quarter. The 1942-43 Redskins were the previous record-holders with a 13-game streak.
Rodgers piled up a league-high 38 fantasy points in the shootout at San Diego, besting Philip Rivers and Vincent Jackson with 33 and 32 respectively. Continuing his season-long struggles, Rivers threw a pair of pick-sixes and a career-high third interception while also taking a back-breaking intentional grounding penalty with the game on the line. Rivers’ 14 interceptions are already more than he’s had in any season since 2007 and three more than any other quarterback in the league. While Tony Romo has the reputation for coming up short in crunch time, Rivers is now 2-9 in fourth quarter comeback opportuntities since 2010.
“I’m not the first quarterback that’s fought through this thing, and I certainly won’t be the last,” Rivers said Sunday night. “You fight through a slump. A home-run hitter keeps swinging, and a 3-point shooter keeps shooting.” Although Rivers did suffer a sternum injury back in Week 2, he has repeatedly refuted speculation that his health is a factor. His fantasy value hinges heavily on scoring system. Rivers is a top-eight fantasy QB in leagues that don’t penalize for turnovers versus 15th in standard-scoring formats.
Game Balls
Eli Manning not only one-upped Tom Brady in Foxboro, he did it without Hakeem Nicks and Ahmad Bradshaw -- his two best offensive weapons. Proving to be elite as the best fourth-quarter passer in the league this season, Eli guided touchdown drives of 80 and 85 yards in the final seven minutes of the game. It was the fifth fourth-quarter, game-winning drive for Manning since Week 3.
The performance ended New England’s streaks of 18 home wins against NFC teams, 20 consecutive regular-season home wins (fourth-longest in history), and Brady’s 31 consecutive regular-season home wins (longest in history). Before Sunday, Brady hadn’t lost a regular-season home game since the 2006 season. Locked in as a QB1, Eli is seventh at his position in fantasy points while on pace for a career-high 4,754 yards and a 30:12 TD-to-INT ratio.
In many ways, DeMarco’s Murray’s 186 total yards against a Seahawks defense previously allowing just 3.5 yards per carry was more impressive than his franchise record breaking 253 yards in his first start. Displaying a better than advertised burst while hitting holes decisively, Murray’s two 100-yard games in three weeks match the career total of injured starter Felix Jones. His 466 yards are the most by a Cowboys back in a three-game span in franchise history. Murray has also joined ex-Broncos runner Mike Anderson as the only rookies in history with a 250-yard game and a 135-yard outing in a three-game span. His current average of 6.7 yards per carry is the highest mark for a rookie since Bo Jackson in 1987. It’s clear now that the Cowboys are simply a better team with Murray in the lineup. He’s not giving up the lead-back job even when Jones returns.
Don’t let Matt Ryan’s 120.7 passer rating versus the Colts fool you. Julio Jones saved him from another shaky performance with a spectacular diving 50-yard bomb in triple coverage and a short slant that turned into an 80-yard score by out-running Indy’s defense. Jones is the first rookie receiver since the merger with a 50-yard touchdown and an 80-yard touchown in the same game. He’s going to end up giving A.J. Green a run for his money as the top rookie receiver after all.
For the second time in three weeks, Arian Foster and Ben Tate both cleared 100 yards in a blowout victory. Foster now has six consecutive games with at least 100 yards from scrimmage, averaging 160 per week while finding the end zone a half-dozen times. Despite missing the majority of the first three games, Foster is fifth among fantasy backs on the season while Tate is sitting at No. 20. Boosted by a mauling offensive line, the Texans boast the most dangerously efficient ground attack in the NFL.
Mid-Season All Pro Team
QB: Aaron Rodgers, Packers
RB: Fred Jackson, Bills
PR: Patrick Peterson, Cardinals
Mid-Season MVP: Aaron Rodgers, PackersMid-Season Defensive Player of the Year: Darrelle Revis, JetsMid-Season Offensive Rookie of the Year: Cam Newton, PanthersMid-Season Defensive Rookie of the Year: Von Miller, BroncosMid-Season Coach of the Year: Jim Harbaugh, 49ersI’ll have a more detailed analysis of the mid-season All Pros in an NBCSports.com column coming out on Tuesday. Committee TimeRedskins - Roy Helu (24 touches, 146 yards) / Ryan Torain (2 touches, 9 yards)Helu was named the starter Sunday morning and dominated the workload as John Beck’s check-down option of choice. The rookie has plenty of fantasy potential as a three-down back, as coach Mike Shanahan stated Sunday night that Torain will only play when Helu needs a breather. Torain isn’t trusted on passing downs, so Helu will be a candidate for 20 touches weekly. Titans - Chris Johnson (18 touches, 110 yards) / Javon Ringer (5 touches, 25 yards)Leaving plenty of yards on the field, Johnson isn’t yet back to explosive 2009 form. He did finally make a few defenders miss while showing less hesitation and more decisiveness. The performance was good enough to keep Ringer at bay for one more week, though CJ1K’s value will have to be reassessed on a weekly basis until he comes through with a true breakout game. Saints - Chris Ivory (15 carries, 67 yards) / Darren Sproles (9 touches, 99 yards, TD) / Pierre Thomas (12 touches, 91 yards, TD)Ivory started as the early-down back, though it remains to be seen if he will have a weekly role once Mark Ingram (heel) returns. Sproles would have had a bigger game if not for a questionable holding call that nullified a touchdown of over 20 yards. He’s still the fantasy back to own in the Big Easy. Thomas continues to run with authority on an effective per-play basis, but he’s never a good bet for more than 12 touches. Dolphins - Reggie Bush (16 touches, 142 yards) / Daniel Thomas (7 carries, 12 yards)The Fins offensive line is healthy and blocking well, allowing Bush to impress for a second straight week while dominating the backfield snaps. Thomas isn’t showing much burst while continuing to play through a nagging hamstring injury. For now at least, Bush is the more valuable of the two Miami backs. Packers - James Starks (14 touches, 75 yards) / Ryan Grant (4 carries, 16 yards)Starks has at least 12 carries in each of his past five games while Grant’s role continues to be scaled back. Expect more of the same going forward with Starks as a fantasy flex play and Grant as nothing more than an end-of-roster stash. Giants - Brandon Jacobs (22 touches, 100 yards, TD) / D.J. Ware (7 carries, 23 yards)As expected, Jacobs functioned as the feature back with Ware in the change-of-pace role. Rookie Da’Rel saw just one carry. Regardless of whether Ahmad Bradshaw returns in Week 10, Jacobs won’t be an attractive fantasy option against a 49ers defense that shuts down opposing running games. Ware can be dropped in 12-team leagues. Patriots - BenJarvus Green-Ellis (13 touches, 63 yards) / Danny Woodhead (10 touches, 60 yards) / Stevan Ridley (4 touches, 12 yards)Green-Ellis played as the lead back, giving way to Danny Woodhead on passing downs with Kevin Faulk back on the shelf. Fantasy owners know the drill: this backfield depends on matchups and game momentum. Colts - Donald Brown (17 touches, 71 yards) / Delone Carter (4 carries, 8 yards) / Joseph Addai DNPCarter started with Addai (knee) in the “emergency” role. After a fumble on the first drive, though, Carter landed in the doghouse with Brown taking over while the Colts moved into pass-heavy comeback mode. Brown has looked as good this year as he has at any point in his disappointing career, but he's merely a stash in fantasy leagues. The role of all three backs is up in the air for Week 10 against the Jaguars.Injury Ward
Shonn Greene, Jets - Head
Miles Austin, Cowboys - HamstringGreg Salas, Rams - FibulaNate Washington, Titans - HipHines Ward, Steelers - ConcussionMohamed Massaquoi, Browns - HeadDallas Clark, Colts - AnkleJared Cook, Titans - LegLance Kendricks, Rams - FootRian Lindell, Bills - ShoulderCheck out Matt Stroup’s “No Smiles for Miles” for in-depth analysis of Sunday’s M*A*S*H unit fallout. Awards SectionStat of the Week: Courtesy of two John Skelton safeties, the Rams are the first team in NFL history with exactly four points in a quarter. Runner-Up: The Saints are the first team in NFL history to boast a running back and a tight end with 50+ receptions apiece through the first nine games of the season. Drew Brees is the first QB to pass for 3,000+ yards in the first nine games. Quote of the Week: Peyton Manning responding to Phil Simms’ statement that the Colts QB wouldn’t allow the franchise to draft Andrew Luck in 2012: “Yeah, I don’t talk to Phil. Phil doesn’t talk to me. He did text me after that, saying ‘Hey, sorry to drag your name into this.’ I wrote back, ‘Phil I don’t know what you’re talking about.’ He said, ‘Well on my show, Inside the NFL, I made this statement.’ I said, ‘Phil, I hate to break it to you, but I don’t watch your show, along with a lot of other people that I don’t think watch that show.’ Giving himself a little more credit than probably was merited.”Runner-Up: Matt Forte on the Bears’ hesitance to lock him up long term: ‘‘The running back position is the most physically demanding on the field. Everyone acknowledges that. So to continue to give me the touches I’ve had since my rookie year but not award me a long-term contract sends the message that you’re OK grinding me into a pulp.’’Tweet of the Week: From the Fake Roger Goodell account after Ray Lewis’ helmet-to-helmet hit knocked Hines Ward out of the game Sunday night: “James Harrison will be fined $75k for Ray Lewis's helmet-to-helmet hit on Hines Ward. Zero tolerance.”Runner-Up: From MaxBroncos.com’s Andrew Mason: “Brandon Marshall reportedly called Vontae Davis ‘unprofessional.’ Isn't that like being called a bad GM by Matt Millen?”Second Runner-Up: From SI.com’s Jimmy Traina after Jake Ballard’s game-winning touchdown to beat the Patriots and Rob Gronkowski: “Looking forward to the Bibi Jones/Jake Ballard pics tomorrow.”Fantasy MVP of Week 9: Vincent Jackson, ChargersFantasy Breakout Player of Week 9: Tim Tebow, BroncosFantasy Rookie of Week 9: Julio Jones, FalconsFantasy Disappointment of Week 9: Beanie Wells, CardinalsFantasy Fraud of Week 9: Darrius Heyward-Bey, RaidersFantasy Fluke of Week 9: Anthony Fasano, DolphinsFine Fifteen Fantasy Offenses1. Eagles2. Packers3. Patriots4. Saints5. Cowboys6. Steelers7. Panthers8. Chargers9. Lions10. Falcons11. Giants12. Texans13. Ravens14. Bills15. JetsEarly Waiver LookQB: Sam Bradford, Christian Ponder, Matt Cassel, Matt MooreRB: Roy Helu, Chris Ivory, Chris Ogbonnaya, Joe McKnightWR: Laurent Robinson, Jacoby Ford, Denarius Moore, Austin Pettis, Mark Clayton, Leonard Hankerson, Early Doucet, Vincent Brown, T.J. HoushmandzadehTE: Heath Miller, Jared CookFollow Chris Wesseling on Twitter.
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Chris Wesseling is a senior football editor and Dynasty league analyst for Rotoworld.com. The 2011 NFL season marks his fifth year with
Rotoworld and his third year contributing to
NBCSports.com. He can be found on Twitter
@ChrisWesseling.
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Chris Wesseling