Chet Gresham

Targets and Touches

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Target Watch: Week 10

Wednesday, November 09, 2011

The numbers by each name are targets for Weeks' 3-9 followed by the total year to date targets in parenthesis. All snap count data comes from our friends over at Pro Football Focus.

Arizona Cardinals

Larry Fitzgerald: 8-11-8-BYE-10-5-12 (70), Early Doucet: 6-6-16-BYE-5-6-6 (54), Andre Roberts: 6-0-6-BYE-5-3-7 (38), Todd Heap: 10-6 -dnp-BYE-dnp-dnp-dnp (20), Jeff King: 0-1-6-BYE-1-3-2 (18), Rob Housler: 0-1-8-BYE-6-2-dnp (17), Chris Wells: dnp-2-1-BYE-0-0-2 (11)

The addition of John Skelton didn't boost the receivers numbers much, but also didn't do much to hurt them. Neither Kolb or Skelton elevate their receivers' ceiling, but Larry Fitzgerald is still going to get enough targets to eek out startable fantasy points and it looks more and more evident that Early Doucet is out playing and out targeting starter Andre Roberts even though Roberts was on the field for 20 more snaps. Gotta follow the production and that's Doucet.

Atlanta Falcons

Roddy White: 17-11-9-5-10-BYE-9 (78), Tony Gonzalez: 8-9-8-3-8-BYE-6 (58), Julio Jones: 7-17-4-dnp-dnp-BYE-4 (45), Harry Douglas: 7- 0-5-4-7-BYE-0 (29), Jason Snelling: 2-dnp-2-1-1-BYE-0 (16), Jacquizz Rodgers: 3-1-1-1-4-BYE-1 (16), Michael Turner: 0-2-0-3-1-BYE-2 (13)

Julio Jones' 3 receptions and 2 huge touchdowns came on only 4 targets while Roddy White had 9 targets and 4 receptions for 76 yards. It's pretty clear that White is more of a possession receiver at this point and he'll continue to be a great points per reception player, but Jones is more explosive and has a higher fake points ceiling even on less targets as you can see from last week.

Baltimore Ravens

Anquan Boldin: 14-2-BYE-9-12-12-10 (73), Ray Rice: 7-5-BYE-7-8-9-7 (56), Ed Dickson: 9-12-BYE-3-5-9-5 (54), Torrey Smith: 8-6-BYE-5- 5-9-9 (43), Dennis Pitta: 1-1-BYE-5-3-8-8 (31), Vonta Leach: 4-3-BYE-2-1-1-1 (16), LaQuan Williams: 3-1-BYE-1-2-1-3 (11)

Anquan Boldin is on pace for 82 receptions midway through the season. Last year he totaled 64. His four games at 7 receptions or more already beats his two games from last season. He's not going to have huge games consistently but the threat of Torrey Smith is helping him.

Torrey Smith has had some trouble with drops but if he can see anywhere near 9 targets a game like he has in the last two weeks he will have value.

Buffalo Bills

Stevie Johnson: 10-6-5-10-BYE-9-6 (66), David Nelson: 8-3-2-6-BYE-5-7 (50), Fred Jackson: 6-8-6-6-BYE-4-7 (40), Donald Jones: 10-8-2 -dnp-BYE-dnp-4 (35), Scott Chandler: 3-2-1-1-BYE-2-3 (21), Naaman Roosevelt: 1-1-7-2-BYE-1-3 (15), C.J. Spiller: 1-1-2-5-BYE-3-0 (14)

Stevie Johnson just had the best game against Darrelle Revis this season. He can play; that's no doubt. David Nelson went back into the slot with Donald Jones returning and had his most targets since Week 3 and his first touchdown since Week 5 (which was his only reception that game). It seems the slot is the place for Nelson.

Carolina Panthers

Steve Smith: 7-10-7-7-9-9-BYE (73), Greg Olsen: 10-7-5-10-3-7-BYE (52), Legedu Naanee: 2-11-7-2-3-7-BYE (44), Jeremy Shockey: 7-5-7- 7-4-3-BYE (41), Jonathan Stewart: 3-4-1-3-0-3-BYE (25), Brandon LaFell: 0-6-2-1-3-2-BYE (24), DeAngelo Williams: 3-1-0-3-0-2-BYE (15)

Steve Smith should win the comeback player award once again, and coming back from the likes of Jimmy Clausen is adversity at its finest. After Smith, the numbers continue to be scattered with only Greg Olsen having any kind of consistent play, at least in relation to his teammates. I was worried about Olsen's turf toe, but he looked good on a seam route to score his touchdown and on the whole he is seeing a lot more targets than Shockey. But he's still more of a matchup play.

Brandon LaFell saw 42 snaps to Legedu Naanee's 61 in Week 8, but also only had two targets to Naanee's 7. I have to believe LaFell will continue to see more work going forward.

Chicago Bears

Matt Forte: 8-5-7-7-4-BYE-5 (56), Devin Hester: 5-2-7-7-9-BYE-5 (49), Johnny Knox: 9-4-2-4-6-BYE-1 (36), Dane Sanzenbacher: 7-2-10-3 -3-BYE-2 (35), Roy Williams: 4-1-1-4-5-BYE-6 (25), Kellen Davis: 2-1-3-3-2-BYE-3 (20), Sam Hurd: 1-2-5-0-0-BYE-0 (11), Earl Bennett: dnp-dnp-dnp-dnp-dnp-BYE-5 (10)

In the target world and the real world as well this was Earl Bennett's game. Last week I mistakenly said good things about Roy Williams. It's a mistake I plan on never repeating as well as striking from the internets. It doesn't take much to be the most sure handed receiver on the Bears (I'm thinking I could vie for that title and I have bratwurst fingers) but with Earl Bennett back it's no contest. And he may also be the most sure handed receiver in the NFL! Last season he had a whopping zero drops. And against the Eagles he caught all 6 of his targets while Jay Cutler watched his other receivers not catch all of theirs.

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Chet Gresham writes Target Watch and The Morning After for and is the founder of The Fake Football. Chet can be found on Twitter .
Email :Chet Gresham

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