Chet Gresham

Targets and Touches

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Target Watch: Week 13

Wednesday, November 30, 2011

Indianapolis Colts

Pierre Garcon: 11-6-15-6-6-BYE-8 (52), Reggie Wayne: 6-4-14-6-6-BYE-7 (43), Austin Collie: 6-5-7-5-5-BYE-7 (35), Dallas Clark: 7-0-10-5-dnp-BYE-dnp (22), Jacob Tamme: 1-0-0-7-8-BYE-3 (19), Donald Brown: 2-0-1-3-4-BYE-1 (11)

In Week 1 Reggie Wayne had seven receptions for 107 yards and a touchdown which accounted for 16 fantasy points in standard leagues. He then didn’t top 7 fantasy points in the next nine games. So his five reception, 122 yard touchdown game last week came out of nowhere. He now gets a new quarterback in Dan Orlovsky so who knows what will happen. I tend to think things can’t get any worse.

Jacksonville Jaguars

Marcedes Lewis: 8-3-9-BYE-3-11-12 (46), Mike Thomas: 6-1-4-BYE-1-11-5 (28), Jason Hill: 3-8-5-BYE-1-7-4 (28), Maurice Jones-Drew: 3-3-4-BYE-3-6-6 (25), Jarett Dillard: 3-dnp-3-BYE-2-3-5 (16), Deji Karim: 1-0-1-BYE-3-0-3 (8), Chastin West: 0-dnp-dnp-BYE-5-3-0 (8), Cecil Shorts: 0-2-dnp-BYE-dnp-dnp-3 (5)

Marcedes Lewis has 23 targets in the last two games and 11 receptions for 111 yards and no touchdowns (he pulled a Jackie Smith on one pass in the end zone) in those two games. If he can keep up these targets it will be hard for him not to have some value but I don’t have much faith in him or whichever quarterback they roll out there to throw it to him.

Kansas City Chiefs

Dwayne Bowe: BYE-10-11-10-7-9-11 (58), Steve Breaston: BYE-9-4-11-6-8-8 (46), Jonathan Baldwin: BYE-5-8-5-5-6-2 (31), Dexter McCluster: BYE-2-3-4-8-2-2 (21), Leonard Pope: BYE-1-1-2-5-4-1 (14), Jake OConnell: BYE-1-0-3-0-6-dnp (10), LeRon McClain: BYE-2-2-1-2-0-0 (7)

Tyler Palko has been steering the ship the last two weeks and we should see Kyle Orton from here on out which makes it difficult to read too much into the target numbers, but it seems pretty clear that Dwayne Bowe and Steve Breaston are going to continue to see the most time on the field which should translate into targets and with Orton starting those targets will have a better shot at turning into receptions and those oh so coveted fantasy points.

The running back situation is not one to get too involved with.

Miami Dolphins

Brandon Marshall: 13-9-6-11-9-3-10 (61), Davone Bess: 3-12-5-3-6-3-4 (36), Reggie Bush: 2-2-5-3-5-5-4 (26), Brian Hartline: 6-2-2-0-3-2-5 (20), Anthony Fasano: 2-2-1-3-4-2-2 (16), Charles Clay: 2-1-1-3-2-4-2 (15), Daniel Thomas: 1-5-dnp-0-0-1-1 (8)

Matt Moore has been playing well(ish) of late which has helped Brandon Marshall but hasn’t been able to elevate any of the secondary receivers to fantasy startability. Just concentrate your target vibes to Marshall and then go about your business.

Reggie Bush was on the field for 55 snaps compared to Daniel Thomas’ 15. Just three games ago Thomas had 46 to Bush’s 28 and two games ago Thomas had 28 to Bush’s 33. So this has been a major shift. Even though Bush was producing with those fewer snaps we now can feel better about him getting consistent looks.

Minnesota Vikings

Percy Harvin: 9-3-5-BYE-8-8-8 (41), Michael Jenkins: 6-8-2-BYE-4-7-4 (31), Visanthe Shiancoe: 7-8-4-BYE-4-3-4 (30), Devin Aromashodu: 2-5-6-BYE-6-4-5 (28), Kyle Rudolph: 3-1-5-BYE-3-5-dnp (17), Greg Camarillo: 3-3-0-BYE-3-2-0 (11), Adrian Peterson: 1-1-5-BYE-1-0-dnp (8), Toby Gerhart: 2-0-0-BYE-0-1-3 (6)

Percy Harvin served as the backup running back to Toby Gerhart and had five rushing attempts. He also had his best fantasy day of the season even though he barely missed two touchdowns. With Adrian Peterson hurting and now Michael Jenkins out they might finally start using Harvin as God intended.

New England Patriots

Rob Gronkowski: 7-BYE-9-15-11-7-4 (53), Wes Welker: 10-BYE-8-10-8-3-12 (51), Aaron Hernandez: 14-BYE-4-5-5-7-7 (42), Deion Branch: 5-BYE-7-5-9-3-10 (39), Danny Woodhead: 3-BYE-0-6-3-4-0 (16)

Deion Branch is averaging 4 receptions and 59 yards but his inconsistency makes it difficult to use him every week unlike Rob Gronkowski and Wes Welker whose consistency makes fake football players all giddy.

The running back situation is half crazy with the snaps breaking down like so: BenJarvus Green-Ellis 24, Shane Vereen 13, Stevan Ridley 10 and Danny Woodhead 10. Green-Ellis is the goal line back so he has the most value of course but this is a hard situation to decipher.

New Orleans Saints

Jimmy Graham: 11-7-8-8-12-BYE-8 (54), Marques Colston: 11-7-6-5-9-BYE-6 (44), Darren Sproles: 11-6-7-6-6-BYE-5 (41), Lance Moore: 3-4-9-3-3-BYE-7 (29), Pierre Thomas: 1-6-4-5-5-BYE-3 (24), Devery Henderson: 2-2-4-3-2-BYE-6 (19), Robert Meachem: 2-2-3-1-2-BYE-0 (10), Jed Collins: 2-0-3-1-1-BYE-0 (7), Mark Ingram: 1-1-dnp-dnp-1-BYE-3 (6)

Pretty much every offensive player got in on the fun as the Saints scored 49 points on Monday night. Lance Moore led the receivers in targets but was also on the field less than any of them. He also leads all Saints’ wide receivers in red zone targets for the season with 12 compared to Marques Colston’s 10. That alone makes him worth a gamble.

The running backs got plenty of yards but they were spread out evenly between the three. Mark Ingram, Darren Sproles and Pierre Thomas were on the field for 24, 29 and 25 snaps respectively and Ingram led with 13 rushes but the splits in looks were almost exactly even. There’s no clear winner here right now except to say Sproles is the PPR guy and Ingram is once again looking like the non-PPR guy.

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Chet Gresham writes Target Watch and The Morning After for and is the founder of The Fake Football. Chet can be found on Twitter .
Email :Chet Gresham

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