Chet Gresham

Targets and Touches

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Target Watch: Week 14

Wednesday, December 07, 2011

The numbers by each name are targets for Weeks’ 7 through 13. And the target totals reflect the last 7 weeks as well. I hope you enjoy!

All snap count data comes from our friends over at Pro Football Focus.

Arizona Cardinals

Larry Fitzgerald: 10-5-12-13-9-9-7 (65), Andre Roberts: 5-3-7-7-9-5-6 (42), Early Doucet: 5-6-6-4-10-1-6 (38), Jeff King: 1-3-2-5-0-3-0 (14), Rob Housler: 6-2-dnp-dnp-dnp-dnp-3 (11), LaRod Stephens-Howling: 3-1-1-2-0-1-2 (10), Chester Taylor: dnp-1-1-3-3-2-0 (10), Jim Dray: dnp-0-3-2-0-0-0 (5), Beanie Wells: 0-0-2-0-1-0-1 (4), DeMarco Sampson: 2-dnp-0-0-2-0-0 (4)

Kevin Kolb “led” the Cardinals to a win over the Cowboys but his only touchdown pass was to LaRod Stephens-Howling who did most of the work himself. Andre Roberts made the most out of his 6 targets by catching all 6 for 111 yards which is the polar opposite of Early Doucet who also had 6 targets catching 2 of them for a big fat zero yards. These two are incredibly tough to guess as to when they will have a good game. Doucet has been the only one to have value due to his 4 touchdowns but on the whole their quarterback situation is too shaky to consider either for starts.

After Larry Fitzgerald had his touchdown outburst he’s gone a couple games with 55 yards and no touchdowns. He’s still impossible to sit unless you are insanely stacked at receiver though.

Atlanta Falcons

Roddy White: 10-BYE-9-7-14-13-15 (68), Tony Gonzalez: 8-BYE-6-10-6-9-10 (49), Harry Douglas: 7-BYE-0-14-4-5-5 (35), Julio Jones: dnp-BYE-4-5-dnp-0-11 (20), Jacquizz Rodgers: 4-BYE-1-2-0-2-1 (10), Eric Weems: 0-BYE-0-5-3-0-0 (8), Michael Palmer: 1-BYE-2-0-1-3-1 (8), Michael Turner: 1-BYE-2-2-2-1-0 (8), Jason Snelling: 1-BYE-0-2-2-1-1 (7)

It was a missed target festival at Houston with Matt Ryan throwing 47 times and completing only 20 of those which makes these numbers for last week full of hot air. The Texans pass defense is the real deal.

The good news is Julio Jones is back and caught 4 of 11 targets while Harry Douglas once again took a back seat to the rookie. Roddy White’s day was saved by a wide open touchdown grab but he only caught 4 of 15 targets.

With Michael Turner hurting during the week, I got a lot of questions about who to start if he didn’t play and it was difficult to answer. In this game Jacquizz Rodgers and Jason Snelling both were on the field for 19 plays but that was in part due to Rodgers being used on passing downs. It would most likely be a time share where I’d lean towards Snelling in non-PPR and Rodgers in PPR. Of course I like Rodgers as the home run pick due to his superior big-play ability.

Baltimore Ravens

Anquan Boldin: 12-12-10-9-2-9-4 (58), Ray Rice: 8-9-7-10-10-3-3 (50), Torrey Smith: 5-9-9-8-7-3-4 (45), Ed Dickson: 5-9-5-14-3-2-4 (42), Dennis Pitta: 3-8-8-7-0-2-2 (30), Ricky Williams: 0-2-1-3-2-2-0 (10), Vonta Leach: 1-1-1-1-2-1-3 (10), LaQuan Williams: 2-1-3-1-0-0-dnp (7), Lee Evans: dnp-dnp-dnp-dnp-1-1-3 (5)

After the Seattle debacle where Ray Rice only ran the ball 5 times, Rice has rushed 20, 21, and 29 times in the three weeks following. He had topped 20 carries only twice in the previous nine games. This increase in attempts for Rice seems long overdue. Of course as Rice sees more looks from Flacco, Boldin and company are going to lose looks as was evident last week when Flacco only passed 23 times, completing a measly 10.

Buffalo Bills

Stevie Johnson: BYE-9-6-5-8-13-8 (49), David Nelson: BYE-5-7-5-4-8-8 (37), Scott Chandler: BYE-2-3-3-6-7-4 (25), Brad Smith: BYE-3-0-0-4-7-10 (24), C.J. Spiller: BYE-3-0-0-4-3-6 (16), Donald Jones: BYE-dnp-4-10-1-dnp-dnp (15), Naaman Roosevelt: BYE-1-3-1-2-dnp-2 (9), Johnny White: BYE-dnp-dnp-dnp-4-0-0 (4)

Brad Smith was once again the clear No. 2 wide receiver and actually led in targets with 10 and led in receptions with 7. David Nelson and Stevie Johnson tied with 8 targets a piece. With 46 pass attempts there were plenty of targets to go around. Since Fred Jackson hurt himself the Bills have been passing much more which makes it easier to pick up Smith.

C.J. Spiller had a much better game this week than last with a nice line of 14 attempts for 83 yards and a touchdown. His 6 targets only went for 3 receptions and 19 yards but it was good to see that total inch forward. Of course he got fairly lucky to get that touchdown after fumbling the ball into the end zone and kinda, sorda recovering it in bounds.

Carolina Panthers

Steve Smith: 9-9-BYE-8-10-7-6 (49), Greg Olsen: 3-7-BYE-11-9-3-4 (37), Legedu Naanee: 3-7-BYE-9-5-4-3 (31), Brandon LaFell: 3-2-BYE-2-5-6-4 (22), Jonathan Stewart: 0-3-BYE-7-6-4-2 (22), Jeremy Shockey: 4-3-BYE-1-dnp-3-1 (12), DeAngelo Williams: 0-2-BYE-1-1-0-0 (4)

After starting the season with five 100-plus yard receiving games in the first eight, Steve Smith has cooled off in the last four averaging only 43.5 yards per game. His target numbers remain relatively high but have shown a slight decline in the last two games where the Panthers went to a run heavy attack against weak rush defenses.

Cam Newton is by far the biggest fantasy story in the Carolinas but Jonathan Stewart once again asserted his superior ability over DeAngelo Williams by getting 16 touches, 99 yards and a touchdown to Williams’ 11 touches for 29 yards. Even with Cam Newton getting most of the goal line looks it’s hard not to wonder what kind of year Stewart could have had if the Panthers hadn’t re-signed Williams.

Chicago Bears

Johnny Knox: 6-BYE-1-2-5-10-8 (32), Matt Forte: 4-BYE-5-5-4-10-0 (28), Earl Bennett: dnp-BYE-5-6-9-4-4 (28), Roy Williams: 5-BYE-6-2-8-5-1 (27), Devin Hester: 9-BYE-5-0-0-0-4 (18), Kellen Davis: 2-BYE-3-2-1-2-2 (12), Dane Sanzenbacher: 3-BYE-2-0-1-0-1 (7), Matt Spaeth: 0-BYE-2-1-1-1-0 (5), Tyler Clutts: 2-BYE-1-0-1-0-0 (4), Sam Hurd: 0-BYE-0-1-0-1-2 (4)

Not much can be said for the Bears whose quarterback completed 11 passes out of 24 for 133 yards and 3 interceptions while losing their best player in Matt Forte for 2-4 weeks with four games remaining, just after losing their starting quarterback. Oh and if the season ended right now they’d be in the playoffs. But it doesn’t.

I guess we I can point out that Caleb Hanie targeted Johnny Knox 8 times which once again was a team high and makes you at least maybe want to own Knox.

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Chet Gresham writes Target Watch and The Morning After for and is the founder of The Fake Football. Chet can be found on Twitter .
Email :Chet Gresham

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