Chet Gresham

Targets and Touches

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Target Watch: Week 16

Wednesday, December 21, 2011

The numbers by each name are targets for Weeks’ 9 through 15. And the target totals reflect the last 7 weeks as well. I hope you enjoy!

All snap count data comes from our friends over at Pro Football Focus.

Arizona Cardinals

Larry Fitzgerald: 12-13-9-9-7-8-8 (66), Andre Roberts: 7-7-9-5-6-5-10 (49), Early Doucet: 6-4-10-1-6-4-9 (40), Chester Taylor: 1-3-3-2-0-2-4 (15), Jeff King: 2-5-0-3-0-4-1 (15), LaRod Stephens-Howling: 1-2-0-1-2-2-2 (10), Todd Heap: 0-dnp-dnp-0-dnp-0-9 (9), Beanie Wells: 2-0-1-0-1-1-1 (6)

Andre Roberts had his second touchdown in as many weeks and his second touchdown of the season as well. That’s good news for him and with 10 targets we know John Skelton likes him. It would probably behoove the Cardinals to start Skelton again and they do have a nice matchup with a Bengals pass defense that’s been less than great of late so maybe Roberts could go for 3 in a row.

Of course Larry Fitzgerald is still the man no matter what we decipher out of the target tea leaves. You don’t sit Fitz.

Atlanta Falcons

Roddy White: 9-7-14-13-15-11-16 (85), Tony Gonzalez: 6-10-6-9-10-11-2 (54), Julio Jones: 4-5-dnp-0-11-8-6 (34), Harry Douglas: 0-14-4-5-5-3-1 (32), Jason Snelling: 0-2-2-1-1-1-4 (11), Michael Turner: 2-2-2-1-0-1-2 (10), Jacquizz Rodgers: 1-2-0-2-1-2-1 (9)

Roddy White is back to his target dominating ways. He has now overtaken Wes Welker as the total target leader with 154 to 143. He has 19 less receptions than Wesley but who’s counting? Roddy also leads in red zone targets on the season with 27 and has been playing up to his fake football draft status of late with 5 touchdowns in his last 4 games and this is with Julio Jones back and producing so I’m not going to worry about R. Dub.

Baltimore Ravens

Ray Rice: 7-10-10-3-3-6-11 (50), Torrey Smith: 9-8-7-3-4-9-7 (47), Anquan Boldin: 10-9-2-9-4-6-3 (43), Ed Dickson: 5-14-3-2-4-2-4 (34), Dennis Pitta: 8-7-0-2-2-4-3 (26), Lee Evans: dnp-dnp-1-1-3-3-4 (12). Ricky Williams: 1-3-2-2-0-0-3 (11), Vonta Leach: 1-1-2-1-3-1-0 (9)

Anquan Boldin hasn’t topped double digit fantasy points in his last 7 games whereas Torrey Smith has 4 double digit games in that same span. Boldin is having trouble getting open and Joe Flacco isn’t going to do him any favors. Smith is just younger and faster and Flacco needs his guy to have quite a bit of daylight between himself and the defender.

Ray Rice is still where the Ravens offense starts and ends and continues and so on and so forth. He is averaging almost 4 red zone looks a game which should keep him flush with fantasy points.

Buffalo Bills

Stevie Johnson: 6-5-8-13-8-10-10 (60), David Nelson: 7-5-4-8-8-6-7 (45), Brad Smith: 0-0-4-7-10-5-5 (31), C.J. Spiller: 0-0-4-3-6-4-12 (29), Scott Chandler: 3-3-6-7-4-dnp-dnp (23), Derek Hagan: dnp-dnp-dnp-dnp-dnp-4-6 (10), Tashard Choice: dnp-dnp-1-0-1-4-3 (9), Ruvell Martin: 0-0-2-1-0-0-4 (7)

Stevie Johnson hasn’t gotten into the end zone the last couple games but continues to get a ton of targets and is at least getting decent yardage totals. Like I’ve mentioned in the past his recent resurgence coincided with the loss of Fred Jackson. As long as he’s healthy he should remain a good play.

C.J. Spiller is a nice story this season, especially for fantasy managers who have been helped late in the season by him. His 12 targets and 9 receptions last week are both highs for him and great for PPR. He’s never going to be the 20-plus carries, between the tackles back but the way they used him last week is perfect for his hybrid receiver/running back skill set.

Carolina Panthers

Steve Smith: BYE-8-10-7-6-8-7 (46), Greg Olsen: BYE-11-9-3-4-6-2 (35), Jonathan Stewart: BYE-7-6-4-2-9-3 (31), Legedu Naanee: BYE-9-5-4-3-5-2 (28), Brandon LaFell: BYE-2-5-6-4-5-5 (27), Jeremy Shockey: BYE-1-dnp-3-1-4-4 (13), DeAngelo Williams: BYE-1-1-0-0-2-0 (4)

Right now there are only two players on the Panthers you can trust and they are Cam Newton and Steve Smith. Smith is the only consistently targeted receiver week in and week out. After Greg Olsen was targeted 20 times in weeks 10 and 11 he only saw 15 targets the next 4 weeks. Don’t risk it.

Chicago Bears

Johnny Knox: 1-2-5-10-8-5-3 (34), Earl Bennett: 5-6-9-4-4-1-1 (30), Roy Williams: 6-2-8-5-1-2-4 (28), Kellen Davis: 3-2-1-2-2-1-3 (14), Kahlil Bell: dnp-dnp-0-0-1-5-6 (12), Devin Hester: 5-0-0-0-4-1-0 (10), Dane Sanzenbacher: 2-0-1-0-1-0-6 (10), Marion Barber: 1-0-0-0-1-4-0 (6)

The injuries and heartache keep piling up for the Bears and there’s not much good to glean from these last few games but the back up to the backup running back Kahlil Bell saw a lot of work in the passing game with 6 targets in which he caught 5 of those including one for a touchdown. His ability to catch passes is really his greatest strength as the Bears limp out of the season.

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Chet Gresham writes Target Watch and The Morning After for and is the founder of The Fake Football. Chet can be found on Twitter .
Email :Chet Gresham

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