Gregg Rosenthal

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Where does Manning go?

Tuesday, March 06, 2012

We knew the moment was coming and yet it's still jarring. Peyton Manning and the Colts' divorce will officially occur Wednesday, according to ESPN's Chris Mortensen.


Peyton Manning and Colts owner Jim Irsay are expected to attend what is sure to be an awkward, emotional press conference on Wednesday.  And then the fun starts.

Be thankful, Saints: Manning will dominate news from now until free agency officially starts on March 13. There will be players in other cities getting released, and long-term deals worked out. They will all be background noise compared to one of the game’s all-time greats finding a new team.


The recent YouTube video that surfaced of Manning throwing helped answer one of my biggest questions about this process.  When can Manning sign?


I feared that he wouldn’t want to sign or teams wouldn’t pay full market value until everyone was sure Manning was going to play in 2012. It appears that Manning can show enough right now to get teams to jump on board.  Here are the teams I believe are ready to talk to Manning.  


1. Miami: Manning may not “fit” coach Joe Philbin’s offense, but that doesn’t matter when the owner wants to sign Manning badly. There were unconfirmed rumors at the NFL Scouting Combine that Manning already was zeroed in on the Dolphins as his destination if the Colts cut him.


2. Arizona: The Cardinals deliberately left the door open to go after Manning during interviews at the Combine. They strongly appear to have interest. Kevin Kolb is due a large bonus on March 17, so the Cardinals have to make a deal happen quickly. Manning’s health makes that easier.


With Larry Fitzgerald, a strong running game, and a history of success with cerebral quarterbacks, Arizona may be the best fantasy football fit out there.  


3. Seattle: The Seahawks have been my sleeper suitor for Manning all along. They have an aggressive front office, ownership that will get out of the way, and they can transform their attack for Manning.   What they don’t have: A great receiver group.


4. Kansas City:  It’s not just about Romeo Crennel’s comment at the Combine. The team has tons of salary cap and a strong foundation to win right now. Matt Cassel only costs $5 million this year, so the team could conceivably keep him as a backup if they got Manning to sign.


5. New York Jets: Like Arizona, they deliberately left the door open to go after Manning. It would be tricky to fit Manning in under their salary cap, but the ability to win now with the Jets could appeal to Manning. There are also a few nice weapons in place (Santonio Holmes, Dustin Keller).


6. Washington: The Redskins sound like a fit on paper, but the connection doesn’t hold up under examination. It wouldn’t be an attractive place for Manning to go, and Mike Shanahan seems more likely to build around a young quarterback. 


I’ve talked to some folks that believe Manning will quickly sign (with Miami the strongest possibility) soon after he’s cut. My guess is that things won’t turn out that simple.


Manning’s agent Tom Condon is a master at creating leverage and the contract for Manning is going to be complicated, considering the health risks.


It’s judgment week for the Colts, but Peyton Manning season should last longer.


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Gregg Rosenthal has directed Rotoworld's football content since 2003. He co-hosts the NBC Fantasy Fix and covers the NFL for and Catch him on Twitter.
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