Silva’s excellent free agent list takes a few big hits every day. None of this is a surprise.
NFL teams always keep the players they want, and the bountiful free agent lists of February look thinner come March. It would have been a bigger surprise if guys like Ray Rice, Matt Forte, Arian Foster, Fred Davis, Jermichael Finley, and Marshawn Lynch were able to change teams.
$18 million guaranteed for Lynch – if those numbers hold up – doesn’t make a lot of sense. You can always find a running back, and it’s only worth paying that kind of money to the truly special ones. Even those guys (Chris Johnson) often aren’t worth it.
Staying in Seattle was the best scenario for Lynch’s fantasy value. The Seahawks see him as a 300-carry back. They will want to get their money’s worth out of him over the next couple of years. Translation: They will run him into the ground.
Lynch catches the ball just enough not to hurt you. While Lynch may not be worth the real life money, he’ll be one of the safer RB2 picks in 2012 because he should get the ball so much. Even if his yards-per-carry average is low, Lynch can rack up yards.
There aren’t enough true “primary” backs. Right or wrong, that’s how the Seahawks view Lynch.
1. Vincent Jackson has to be thrilled that DeSean Jackson, Stevie Johnson, Dwayne Bowe, and Wes Welker are off the market or expected to be off the market. Jackson will make a killing.
2. One of the buried nuggets of the weekend on Rotoworld: The Bucs don’t see Mike Williams as a true No. 1 receiver. I agree: At best, he’s a 1A. It’s not a good sign for his dynasty owners. Tampa could be a dark horse in the Vincent Jackson sweepstakes.
3. Staying in Buffalo was the best scenario for Stevie Johnson. He wouldn’t necessarily be a No. 1 receiver elsewhere. His skill set is unique, but Johnson doesn’t run by people. Chan Gailey runs a wideout-friendly offense, and should keep Stevie topping 1,000 yards and getting lots of red zone chances.
4. The bounty controversy shouldn’t have an impact on fantasy football. Maybe it depletes the Saints defense early in the season. That’s about it.