Draft 2012: The QuarterbacksFriday, April 06, 2012
9. Brock Osweiler, Arizona State
College Experience: Third-year junior
40 Time: 4.94
Comparison: Andre Woodson
2010 Stats: 326-of-516 (63.2%) for 4,036 yds (7.82 YPA), 26 TD/13 INT; 3 RUS TD
Draft Prediction: Bills, No. 71 overall
Positives/Negatives: Despite standing like a giant in the pocket, Osweiler possesses deceiving mobility and coordination in his lower body, but his low delivery limits his motion to that of a 6-foot-3 quarterback. Not only does Osweiler's release decimate his velocity, which is only adequate despite his size, his release point incredibly erratic. This inconsistent motion leads to poor placement, frequently forcing receivers to adjust their routes even on short or intermediate throws. Osweiler's movement in the pocket is not refined and he lacks an overall consistency to his game.
Outlook: Some believe Osweiler, a former basketball recruit, is a moldable athlete they can transform into a future starter. I don't buy it. It is not easy to completely rebuild a quarterback from the foundation, which Osweiler needs, even if they bring an extraordinary work ethic. At least the late first-round discussion has considerably died down. He's more of a mid- to late-round flier.
10. Nick Foles, Arizona
College Experience: Fourth-year senior
40 Time: 5.14
Comparison: Trent Edwards
2010 Stats: 387-of-560 (69.1%) for 4,334 yds (7.74 YPA), 28 TD/14 INT; 0 RUS TD
Draft Prediction: Chargers, No. 183 overall
Positives/Negatives: A quarterback that has plenty of arm to test the field vertically, Foles lacks coordination throughout his game. To start, his feet and shoulders look like they are located on separate planes during his drop, and his wind-up release where he drops the ball to his shoulder is not any better. There are flashes of Foles wanting to work in the pocket, inching toward the line of scrimmage, but he always ends up firing a pass in a collapsed pocket. Like most quarterbacks, if the first option is open Foles can hit him, but even with the appropriate time he has to torque his shoulders on outside throws. Severely lacking touch, consistent accuracy, and coordination leaves Foles with an NFL projection of a deep reserve.
Outlook: Frequently, but appropriately, overlooked in the Pac 12, Foles will not have much to offer at the professional level. His movement is limited and his accuracy is adequate at best.
11. Austin Davis, Southern Mississippi - 6'2/219 ... Former walk-on ... Multi-year starter that broke many of Brett Favre's records ... Lacks velocity but mobile with sound accuracy ... Willing to work through progressions.
12. Aaron Corp, Richmond - 6'4/215 ... Transferred from USC after losing starting job to Matt Barkley ... Did not dominate FCS competition ... Thin frame with a suspect arm, but experienced and athletic.
13. Kellen Moore, Boise State - 6'0/197 ... Four-year starter and all-time FBS leader in wins... 142:28 career TD-to-INT ratio ... Could not cut the wind on sideline throws at the Senior Bowl; arm talent looked out of place.
14. G.J. Kinne, Tulsa - 6'2/235 ... Moves similarly to Jeff Garcia ... Confident in pocket with enough velocity but tremendously lacks accuracy past short throws ... Unorthodox style in terms of being off balance when releasing the ball.
15. John Brantley, Florida - 6'3/219 ... Severely overrated coming out of high school and underwhelmed at Florida ... Benched on multiple occasions in favor of sub-packages ... Wind-up release and drops the ball below shoulder, erratic accuracy.
Other QBs with an outside shot to be drafted: Chandler Harnish (Northern Illinois), Case Keenum (Houston), Tyler Hansen (Colorado), Jordan Jefferson (LSU), Jacory Harris (Miami), Patrick Witt (Yale), Darron Thomas (Oregon), Dominique Davis (ECU).