Mike Clay

Offseason Low Down

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Still sittin' pretty?

Friday, May 04, 2012


Bengals RB Bernard Scott

Predicted Post-draft outlook: Pretty

As mentioned in the original article, I don’t see Scott as a breakout fantasy star. I think he deserves a larger role as a complimentary back, though, and it appears he’ll get that chance in 2012. The Bengals waited until the sixth round to draft a tailback, Ohio State’s Dan Herron, and he’s not really a threat to Scott or starter BenJarvus Green-Ellis. Speaking of Green-Ellis, he’s not a very productive runner, which is why Scott has to be on your radar. There’s a decent chance he works his way into a timeshare with Green-Ellis simply because he’s more effective. Expect to see 10-12 touches per week for Scott early on. He’s a handcuff to watch.

Updated outlook: Pretty

Bengals WR Armon Binns

Predicted Post-draft outlook: Ugly

Prior to the draft, Binns was considered the favorite to replace Jerome Simpson as the Bengals’ starting wide receiver opposite A.J. Green. As expected, the team addressed the position with a pair of mid-round picks, leaving Binns squarely on the roster bubble. Mohamed Sanu was selected in round three, but fifth-rounder Marvin Jones is considered to be more NFL-ready and is the favorite to land the No. 2 job. Regardless, add those two rookies to slot man Jordan Shipley and Binns is looking at the No. 5 role as his best case scenario (potential injuries aside). He’s a name you can completely ignore on draft day.

Updated outlook: Ugly

Colts WR Donnie Avery

Predicted Post-draft outlook: Ugly

The Colts basically bought a lottery ticket when they signed Avery to a one-year deal. They have poor depth at the wide receiver position and figured they’d see if Avery could get back to the 4.2 40-yard dash speed he enjoyed prior to an injury-plagued tenure with the Rams, who picked him in the second round back in 2008. The Colts, as expected, spent a pair of draft picks on the position, adding a pair of undersized, speed wideouts in T.Y. Hilton (third round) and Lavon Brazill (sixth). The team also added tight ends Coby Fleener and Dwayne Allen, which will mean plenty of two-tight end sets. With Reggie Wayne and Austin Collie likely to see regular reps, Avery has enough competition and carries enough risk to keep him off the fantasy radar.

Updated outlook: Ugly

Packers RB Alex Green

Predicted Post-draft outlook: Ugly

The Packers, surprisingly, did not add a tailback in the draft. It seems very likely, though, that they’ll add a veteran free agent to the mix (maybe Ryan Grant returns?). In the meantime, James Starks and Alex Green are holding down the position. Starks figures to handle most of the carries (which isn’t a ton in one of the game’s pass-heaviest offenses). He’s a capable pass blocker, as well, but the speedy Green figures to spell Starks and offer some help as a pass-catcher. John Kuhn will also be in the mix as a short-yardage back, which limits Green’s chance of stealing a few touchdowns. There’s still playing time to be had, but there’s simply not a lot to love about the Packers’ running backs. Too much of the Green Bay offense runs through the passing game. He can be avoided in redraft leagues, especially if a veteran is added to the mix.

Updated outlook: Ugly

Patriots RB Shane Vereen

Predicted Post-draft outlook: Pretty

The Patriots had a handful of veteran tailbacks in to visit prior to the draft, but haven’t signed one yet and decided against selecting a back in the draft. Considering Bill Belichick’s affection for mediocre depth at the position, it’s probable that the team is still planning to add a veteran to the mix. Still, second-year backs Stevan Ridley and Shane Vereen are expected to join Danny Woodhead to form a potentially-formidable three-way attack. Ridley would handle the early downs and most of the goal line work. Vereen is an excellent change of pace back, while Woodhead can handle obvious passing downs. Although that doesn’t sound like great news for fantasy owners, there’s still plenty of upside here for Vereen. He was picked a round ahead Ridley and could easily lead the unit in touches in one of the game’s top offenses. He’s worth a look late in your draft.

Updated outlook: Pretty

Other “sleepers” we told you to monitor

Still worth monitoring - Dolphins WR Clyde Gates, Jets RB Bilal Powell, Bills WR Donald Jones, Ravens WR Tandon Doss, Eagles RB Dion Lewis, Steelers RB Baron Batch

Busts - Ravens RB Anthony Allen, Jets WR Chaz Schilens,Giants RB Da'Rel Scott , Saints WR Adrian Arrington, Dolphins TE Charles Clay, Cowboys WR Andre Holmes



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Mike Clay is a football writer for Rotoworld.com and the Founder/Managing Editor of Pro Football Focus Fantasy. He can be found on Twitter @MikeClayNFL.
Email :Mike Clay



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