Chris Wesseling

Training Camp Lowdown

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Training Camp Mailbag

Monday, July 30, 2012


@tigervixxxen: “It’s difficult finding advice for a 20 team league. Who would be good targets for picks 14 & 26 in such league?”

I never go into a draft preparing to do anything more than select the best player available at the position of greatest value when my slot comes up. I’d bump up value for RB1s and QB1s slightly, however. If a Darren McFadden or Trent Richardson falls to 14, I’d jump on it. Same with Tom Brady or Drew Brees. I’d target Michael Vick at 26; he’s incredibly undervalued.

@JasonJones99: “Would you trade Adrian Peterson for Trent Richardson in a 10-man keeper league?”

I’m not prepared to make that trade yet, so the answer is no. If I’m going to give up the best running back in the game, I need to be sure that Richardson is a special talent as opposed to the next Ronnie Brown.

@Ty_In_StL: “I have Demaryius Thomas, he cost me my 5th rd pick. Should I consider him my WR2 or go after someone else for that spot?”

Thomas’ current ADP is mid-fourth round, so you’re still getting value by forfeiting a fifth. Rotoworld ranks Thomas 14th at wide receiver. He’s a fine WR2 with greater risk and reward potential than the others in his tier.

@aphendri: “Can only keep 2 in PPR league. Ray Rice for a 1st, Jimmy Graham for an 8th, or Jennings for a 3rd?”

I’d keep Rice and Graham. Rice will stabilize your running backs at his going rate while Graham is a monster advantage six rounds after his ADP. Jennings should be going in the third round anyway, so it’s not really in your favor to carry him over.

@OSUBieds: “Calvin Johnson or Ray Rice as my keeper? 12 team standard league with 11th pick, no time limit set for keeper.”

@JasonDGolden: “One keeper PPR league: Calvin, Rice or Cam? I have Julio too. Rank ‘em.”

1. Calvin, 2. Rice, 3. Julio, 4. Cam

All four are very close in value. Considering talent and situation, Calvin has the most stable long-term value of any player in keeper and Dynasty formats. Averaging 400+ touches over the past three years, Rice is overdue for a few missed games due to injury. Julio gets the slight edge over Cam due to quarterbacks losing value in the PPR format.

@FootballBat1975: “First year keeper league. Only keep 3. I pick 7th. Looks like Rodgers/Brady/Brees/McCoy/Foster/Rice will be gone. Who do you pick @ 7?”

Calvin Johnson. See above. You want the most dominant offensive weapon on your roster year-in and year-out for the foreseeable future.

@NoleKennedy: “Pick 1 keeper, 0.5ppr, lose round drafted in, 6 points all TDs. Stafford (8), Murray (14), AJ Green (6), Redman (16), Hernandez (16)."

I don’t think you can go wrong with Stafford, Green or Hernandez at those prices. Murray is fine value, too, though I’m not convinced he’ll stay healthy long-term. Redman isn’t even in the discussion. Gun to my head, I’d go with Stafford in the Lions’ shotgun-heavy offense for the next few years.

@M__P__K: “Would you trade LeSean McCoy (4th) for Jamaal Charles (10th) and DeMarco Murray (12th)? 0.5 ppr and we keep 4. I need another keeper.”

As a general rule, the owner walking away with the quality wins the trade over the owner walking away with quantity. My inclination would be to keep the bird in the hand (McCoy) and beat the bushes for another keeper by going a different route. No need to trade a stud just to come up with a fourth keeper. Get creative with an owner that has a surplus.

@mscalese: “Keeper league with $200 budget. DJax $26, Julio Jones $24, SRice $8, LRobinson $8, Cobb $4, TYoung $4. In what order do you keep?”

1. Julio Jones $24, 2. Sidney Rice $8, 3. Cobb $4, 4. Titus Young $4, 5. DeSean Jackson $26, 6. Laurent Robinson $8

I want Julio on as many redraft, Dynasty and keeper rosters as possible. He’s going to explode. I would flip Cobb and Rice in a pure Dynasty league, but the latter has a far greater chance to be a weekly asset in 2012. I prefer Cobb’s talent to Young’s. Jackson is a fine bet for a bounce-back season, but that’s not worth $26. Robinson isn’t going to stay healthy or finish with even half of last year’s 11 touchdowns.

@antisheriff: “Rank these for PPR Dynasty: Randle, Gordon, Sanu, Broyles, Pierce, Lamar Miller, Marvin Jones, Toon, Childs. Thanks.”

1. Miller, 2. Randle, 3. Gordon, 4. Broyles, 5. Toon, 6. Childs, 7. Sanu, 8. Pierce, 9. Jones

@mj_baroz: “Has any team greatly improved their outlook as a DEF/ST in fantasy?”

Eagles, Seahawks, Bills, Cardinals

Don’t forget the Eagles were arguably the NFL’s best team over the final month of the regular season. The defense allowed just 46 points over the final four games, the defensive personnel has improved thanks to the DeMeco Ryans trade and a strong draft, and rookie return dynamo Damaris Johnson is the NCAA’s all-time record holder in all-purpose yards.

The defenses of Seattle and Arizona were greatly improved down the stretch as well, and the Cardinals boast the most explosive punt returner in the league. The Bills added more defensive talent than any team in the league this offseason.



Chris Wesseling is a senior football editor and Dynasty league analyst for Rotoworld.com. The 2011 NFL season marks his fifth year with Rotoworld and his third year contributing to NBCSports.com. He can be found on Twitter @ChrisWesseling.
Email :Chris Wesseling



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