Silva's Latest Top 150Monday, August 27, 2012
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61. Reggie Wayne (ADP: Late 6th round)
62. Torrey Smith (ADP: Late 6th round)
63. Reggie Bush (ADP: Late 4th round)
64. Jonathan Stewart (ADP: Late 7th round) -- I'm not adjusting Stewart's ranking, for now, but keep an eye on his ankle injury from Sunday night. He left on a cart and looks questionable for Week 1.
65. Peyton Hillis (ADP: Late 5th round)
66. DeSean Jackson (ADP: Mid 5th round)
67. Michael Turner (ADP: Late 3rd round)
68. Kenny Britt (ADP: Late 7th round)
69. Ryan Williams (ADP: Late 7th round)
70. Miles Austin (ADP: Late 6th round)
71. Mark Ingram (ADP: Mid 8th round) -- Ingram interests me as a standard-league RB2/flex because he's looked awfully good in preseason action while retaining a stranglehold on red-zone carries in New Orleans' high-scoring offense. Ingram disappointed a ton of owners last season, keeping the Average Draft Position very low on a legitimate threat for 10-12 rushing TDs.
72. Pierre Garcon (ADP: Early 7th round)
73. Ben Tate (ADP: Early 7th round)
74. Rashad Jennings (ADP: Early 8th round)
75. Donald Brown (ADP: Mid 5th round)
76. Greg Little (ADP: Early 10th round)
77. Tony Romo (ADP: Late 6th round) -- Romo's Average Draft Position was screaming toward the fourth round early in training camp, but it's understandably cooled off with so many injuries around him. Jason Witten (spleen) is likely to miss Week 1 and may not be healthy early in the season. Miles Austin's hamstring problems are recurring. The interior of Dallas' offensive line looks worse than last year's, if that's possible. Despite Saturday night's preseason destruction of the Rams, I wouldn't want Romo as my fantasy starter.
78. Eli Manning (ADP: Mid 5th round)
79. Philip Rivers (ADP: Early 7th round)
80. Denarius Moore (ADP: Mid 9th round)
81. Titus Young (ADP: Mid 7th round)
82. Toby Gerhart (ADP: Late 9th round)
83. Shonn Greene (ADP: Mid 6th round) -- I mentioned the effect of a passing league on fantasy statistics in my last column's introduction. It has deepened the receiver and quarterback fields. At the same time, the passing league has allowed pass-catching running backs to lap early-down plodders, particularly those who don't play in high-scoring offenses. Shonn Greene is precisely the kind of running back to avoid in 2012 fantasy drafts. He doesn't catch passes, plays in a brutal offense, and lacks big-play ability to compensate. You're in trouble if he's your RB2.
84. Peyton Manning (ADP: Mid 6th round)
85. Fred Davis (ADP: Late 8th round) -- I usually recommend caution about slow preseason stats for established fantasy commodities, but Davis has been an afterthought in the Washington offense through three preseason, catching two targets for 16 yards. I think Pierre Garcon has a chance to be a top-ten receiver in targets, and Kyle Shanahan may run more than he has in years past. Davis can still be a mid to late TE1, but I want a difference maker at tight end this season and am willing to invest a high pick.
86. C.J. Spiller (ADP: Early 8th round)
87. Kyle Rudolph (ADP: Mid 13th round) -- Rudolph's ADP is still in the flier-pick range, but he shouldn't be considered a flier anymore. If there is a late-round tight end capable of leaping into the Hernandez/Finley/Davis tier, it's the one in Minnesota. Rudolph should be Ponder's No. 1 red-zone target and No. 2 in the open field, behind Harvin. He's got a leg up on the Jared Cooks of the world as an established, every-down tight end. Rudolph isn't just a passing-down specialist.
88. Darrius Heyward-Bey (ADP: Late 8th round)
89. DeAngelo Williams (ADP: Late 8th round)
90. Michael Bush (ADP: Mid 8th round)
91. BenJarvus Green-Ellis (ADP: Late 4th round) -- The Bengals' 2011 offense preyed on weak early-season defenses before circling the drain against their tough AFC North foes. I think Cincinnati will struggle this year more than most people anticipate, to the extent that they'll often be playing from behind. That would mean more field time for Bernard Scott and third-down back Brian Leonard, and less for the one-dimensional Law Firm. Already short on running talent and completely devoid of big-play ability, Green-Ellis is an obvious "avoid" in 2012 drafts.
92. Ben Roethlisberger (ADP: Mid 9th round)
93. David Wilson (ADP: Mid 8th round)
94. Beanie Wells (ADP: Early 7th round)
95. Justin Blackmon (ADP: Mid 7th round)
96. Andrew Luck (ADP: Early 10th round)
97. Cedric Benson (ADP: Late 5th round) -- Benson will open the season as the favorite for carries in Green Bay's backfield, but pedestrian talent and questionable scheme fit are working against him. Benson can't pass block or catch to save his life, and Packers backs must be able to play in the passing game in order to earn regular playing time. Benson may offer early-season RB3/flex value, but he'll be a liability in PPR leagues while gradually ceding snaps to Alex Green. It's worth noting that in a matter of five days, Benson's ADP has skyrocketed from the seventh round into the fifth. No thanks.
98. Alfred Morris (ADP: Undrafted)
99. Jason Witten (ADP: Early 8th round)
100. Jay Cutler (ADP: Late 7th round)
101. Roy Helu (ADP: Late 9th round)
102. Jake Locker (ADP: Early 13th round)
103. Robert Meachem (ADP: Mid 8th round)
104. Michael Crabtree (ADP: Mid 11th round)
105. Jacquizz Rodgers (ADP: Early 9th round)
106. Kendall Wright (ADP: Mid 10th round)
107. Evan Royster (ADP: Early 11th round)
108. Robert Griffin III (ADP: Late 8th round)