Chris Wesseling

Waiver Wired

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Percy Lite?

Tuesday, September 11, 2012


Wide Receivers


Randall Cobb, Packers - If your sights are set on short-term fix, grab Alfred Morris or even teammate James Jones as a potential Greg Jennings replacement this week. If you’re looking for the best chance of a breakout season, though, Cobb is your man. We’ve been comparing Cobb to Percy Harvin since early last season, and the Packers finally began using their versatile weapon in a similar fashion as the team leader in receptions versus the 49ers.

Recommendation: Should be owned in all leagues.

Dexter McCluster, Chiefs - We should have seen McCluster’s team-leading 10 targets coming. Chet Gresham’s handy column on preseason targets from starting quarterbacks showed McCluster as one of the five most targeted receivers in the NFL throughout August. Ex-scout Daniel Jeremiah predicted hours before Sunday’s game time that McCluster would catch 80 passes this season as a perfect slot fit in Brian Daboll’s scheme. McCluster can’t touch Randall Cobb’s playmaking ability, but he’s going to be an asset in PPR formats all season long. As an added benefit, McCluster has eligibility at running back in many fantasy leagues.

Recommendation: Should be owned in all PPR leagues.

James Jones, Packers - Waiver pickers chasing Jones’ points have been burned more often than not in the past, but there are two reasons to believe that could change this week. Jones played all but 11 snaps as the No. 3 receiver in the opener, and Greg Jennings’ (groin) status is up in the air on a short practice week. Keep an eye on Tuesday’s practice report. If Jennings sits out, I would choose Jones over Kevin Ogletree this week. Jones would be a top-30 fantasy option versus the Bears if he ends up starting for Jennings.

Recommendation: Should be owned in 12-team leagues.

Kevin Ogletree, Cowboys - Ogletree renewed his football focus after an offseason wakeup call, but nobody could have seen his 8/114/2 performance coming. Ogletree’s 23 Week 1 standard-scoring fantasy points were two more than he had produced in his first three seasons combined. Research from 4for4.com’s John Paulsen on surprise Week 1 receiver studs suggests WR4/5 production should be the expectation over the course of the season. Ex-scout Bryan Broaddus, one of Ogletree’s biggest critics (justifiably) over the past couple of years, concedes the Cowboys’ new No. 3 receiver has shown toughness and a play making ability over the past month “that I was sure did not exist.” Ogletree’s football epiphany leaves him as the natural successor to Laurent Robinson, but he’s not going to match the latter’s 11 touchdowns from last season. Expect to hear much more from Dez Bryant and Miles Austin than Ogletree going forward. The Cowboys won’t be facing street-free agent types at third cornerback every week.

Recommendation: Should be owned in 12-team leagues.

Stephen Hill, Jets - If we could trust the Jets’ aerial attack, Hill’s upside would be Torrey Smith’s rookie season. With a similarly freakish size/speed package and a limited route tree, Hill’s production will be hit-or-miss depending on his ability to get behind overwhelmed cornerbacks. Although his strong blocking prowess will keep him on the field, Hill will not be a reliable fantasy starter from week to week.

Recommendation: Should be owned in 12-team leagues.

Alshon Jeffery, Bears - The Bears coaches insist every offseason that Devin Hester is an integral part of their offense, only to abandon that plan by midseason. They’ve already thrown in the towel this year, thanks to their impressive second-round rookie. Jeffery played 10 more snaps and ran four more pass routes than Hester in the season opener. Don’t put too much stock in Jeffery’s 3/80/1 line, however. His 42-yard touchdown came in garbage time. Jeffery is still more of a roster stash than a weekly starter.

Recommendation: Should be owned in 12-team leagues.

Donald Jones, Bills - After holding off all competitors for the No. 2 receiver job with a strong August, Jones posted a 5/41/1 line on seven targets in the opener. With David Nelson out for the season, Jones should be locked in as the second option in the passing game. There’s WR4/5 value here in deeper leagues.

Recommendation: Worth a look in deeper leagues.

Brian Hartline, Dolphins - A trendy offseason “sleeper” pick before missing all of August with an appendectomy and a lingering calf injury, Hartline returned as Ryan Tannehill’s top target in the opener. Hartline is never a good bet to top 100 yards, and the Dolphins anemic passing attack further deflates his potential. He’s purely a deep-league option.

Recommendation: Worth a look in deeper leagues.

Watch List: Rod Streater, Jerome Simpson, Cecil Shorts, Aldrick Robinson, Andrew Hawkins, T.J. Graham, Emmanuel Sanders

Streater played five more snaps than Darrius Heyward-Bey in the opener, but Denarius Moore’s return leaves his future role cloudy. … Simpson returns from suspension in Week 4. … Shorts significantly out-produced No. 3 receiver Michael Thomas despite playing 28 fewer snaps. … Robinson saw a team-high six targets in replacing “X” receiver Pierre Garcon in the first half. … Hawkins and Sanders are worth a look in deeper PPR leagues. … Graham figures to pick up playing time with David Nelson out for the season.

Hold Off: Andre Roberts, Donnie Avery, Damian Williams, Domenik Hixon, Devin Aromashodu, Michael Jenkins, Jeremy Kerley

Williams picked up extra snaps because Kenny Britt was suspended.

Cut Bait: Jon Baldwin, Braylon Edwards, Michael Floyd, Steve Breaston, Brian Quick, Steve Smith, Devery Henderson, Devin Hester, Earl Bennett, Legedu Naanee, Brandon Tate

Baldwin played 21 snaps in the opener compared to Dwayne Bowe’s 62, Dexter McCluster’s 57 and Steve Breaston’s 51. … Edwards will split snaps with Golden Tate going forward. … Floyd played just 20-of-64 offensive snaps as the fourth receiver. … Brandon Gibson started ahead of Smith; Quick didn’t even see the field. … Hester and Bennett are no better than the fourth option in the passing attack. … Both of Naanee’s Week 1 targets went for interceptions.


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Chris Wesseling is a senior football editor and Dynasty league analyst for Rotoworld.com. The 2011 NFL season marks his fifth year with Rotoworld and his third year contributing to NBCSports.com. He can be found on Twitter @ChrisWesseling.
Email :Chris Wesseling



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