Chet Gresham

Targets and Touches

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Week 4 Target Watch – AFC

Thursday, September 27, 2012


Welcome to the AFC portion of the Target Show (I tackled the NFC teams on Wednesday). I hope you will find your seats and please adjust your cell phones to the off position. Thank you and enjoy.

 

 

Baltimore Ravens

 

Dennis Pitta: 9-15-7 (31), Ray Rice: 4-10-5 (19), Torrey Smith: 3-5-10 (18), Anquan Boldin: 5-4-7 (16), Ed Dickson: 3-4-2 (9), Jacoby Jones: 3-2-4 (9), Vonta Leach: 3-1-3 (7), Deonte Thompson: 2-0-0 (2), Tandon Doss: 0-1-0 (1), Bernard Pierce: 0-0-1 (1)


Dennis Pitta leads the team in targets, as well as red zone targets, where he is averaging two per game. This trend seems to have become a weekly ritual, so keep throwing him out there.


The Ravens had been underutilizing their best receiver, Torrey Smith. His targets have grown each week and I doubt we will see big dips going forward after a huge game now that they have started getting him more involved.


Ray Rice is doing remarkably well in fantasy even though he is averaging just 15 carries a game. His 14 receptions keep him right up at the top in PPR and standard leagues. In the long run, the fewer carries should keep him fresh over the season, and as long as he’s scoring fantasy points, I wouldn’t think too hard on it.

 

 

Buffalo Bills


Stevie Johnson: 10-5-11 (26), Donald Jones: 7-3-6 (16), Scott Chandler: 6-5-4 (15), C.J. Spiller: 3-3-2 (8), T.J. Graham: dnp-1-5 (6), Tashard Choice: 0-1-5 (6), Corey McIntyre: 0-0-2 (2), Lee Smith: 1-0-0 (1), Brad Smith: dnp-1-0 (1)

 

Stevie Johnson is still the only receiver you can remotely trust for the Bills at this moment. It looked like Scott Chandler was making a play for fantasy tight end relevancy, but he dropped down to four targets, and saw no red zone targets, while T.J. Graham had two and Brad Smith took away some of Chandler’s snaps.

 

With C.J. Spiller out for much of the game, Tashard Choice took over lead back duties and rushed 20 times for 91 yards and caught two balls out of five targets for nine yards. His time will most likely be short-lived with both Spiller and Fred Jackson vying to get on the field this weekend. Right now there are no definitive answers to who will be ready to go this week and how touches will breakdown going forward.

 

 

Cincinnati Bengals

 

A.J. Green: 11-12-11 (34), Jermaine Gresham: 8-5-7 (20), Andrew Hawkins: 9-3-4 (16), Armon Binns: 5-5-3 (13), BenJarvus Green-Ellis: 2-3-1 (6), Brandon Tate: 2-3-0 (5), Brian Leonard: 0-0-1 (1), Orson Charles: 0-0-1 (1)



A.J. Green continues riding his stud status to double digit targets that allow for such things as yardage and touchdowns. You don’t need me to tell you he is firmly planted in your starting lineup.



The rest of the receiving crew has been putting up some numbers, but they’ve also had some pretty nice matchups. You can’t expect the law firm of Green, Gresham, Binns and Hawkins to each catch touchdowns in the same game ever again. If I had some spare jelly beans, I’d wager that will never, ever, happen again. So who do you want on your team? The answer is Green and then matchup plays for Gresham and Hawkins.



BenJarvus Green-Ellis dropped to one target last week, which is a little disheartening. He very much needs that extra dynamic to boost his fantasy value. He did once again get into the end zone, but had a paltry 17 carries for 38 yards. Don’t pin your hopes on him taking you to the title.

 

 

Cleveland Browns

 

Mohamed Massaquoi: 8-7-3 (18), Greg Little: 4-7-4 (15), Trent Richardson: 3-5-7 (15), Josh Gordon: 4-3-6 (13), Ben Watson: 2-1-8 (11), Travis Benjamin: 6-0-4 (10), Chris Ogbonnaya: dnp-6-3 (9), Jordan Cameron: 1-0-7 (8), Alex Smith: 1-4-dnp (5), Brandon Jackson: 4-dnp-dnp (4), Josh Cribbs: 0-2-1 (3), Owen Marecic: 2-1-0 (3)


Brandon Weeden threw the ball 42 times against the Bills and the most receiving yards went to rookie tight end Jordan Cameron with 45. That also came with a side of one touchdown and two interceptions. You just can’t expect Weeden to boost up his surrounding players, even when he has to throw the kit and the caboodle.


Thankfully Jordan Cameron is a nice prospect and even though he only was on the field 22 plays to Ben Watson’s 54, he caught five of seven for 45 yards compared to Watson’s four of eight for 15 yards. And Cameron also had a red zone target to Watson’s zilch.

 

 

Denver Broncos

 

Demaryius Thomas: 7-11-11 (29), Eric Decker: 7-8-11 (26), Jacob Tamme: 5-4-10 (19), Brandon Stokley: 3-6-6 (15), Joel Dreessen: 2-2-5 (9), Willis McGahee: 1-2-2 (5), Lance Ball: 0-2-3 (5), Matt Willis: 1-1-1 (3), Ronnie Hillman: dnp-dnp-1 (1), Chris Gronkowski: 0-0-1 (1), Knowshon Moreno: 0-1-dnp (1)


There’s little doubt that Thomas and Decker are the receivers to own in Denver. After them it gets a little murkier. Jacob Tamme’s target numbers shot up to double digits last week, but I’d like to see that number steady, especially with Joel Dreessen in the mix.


Brandon Stokley flashes PPR value, but unless there is an injury ahead of him in the pecking order, he’s not going to get enough consistent targets.


When Willis McGahee was injured against the Texans, it was Lance Ball that took over. Ronnie Hillman suited up for this game and saw some snaps, but he still has a ways to go and with McGahee practicing on Wednesday, it looks like he’ll remain third on the depth chart.

 

 

Houston Texans

 

Owen Daniels: 8-9-5 (22), Andre Johnson: 10-4-4 (18), Kevin Walter: 2-4-6 (12), Arian Foster: 3-7-1 (11), James Casey: 2-4-3 (9), Ben Tate: 3-4-0 (7), Keshawn Martin: 1-2-4 (7), Garrett Graham: 0-1-4 (5), Lestar Jean: 2-0-1 (3)


Matt Schaub spread the ball around well, completing passes to eight different receivers, four of which scored touchdowns. Of course last week in a similar scoring fest, Schaub threw zero touchdowns. As it is, the Texans run the ball 75% of the time inside the red zone, tops in the league. Schaub is going to be hard-pressed to throw four touchdowns in a game again this season. The last time he did it was in October of 2009.


Owen Daniels had his least number of targets, but it was a low target game for everyone and he scored a touchdown. If I wasn’t so worried about them running the ball in the red zone, I’d be a little higher on Daniels. As it is, Andre Johnson is still the only sure shot receiver you can roll out there each week.


Arian Foster is on pace for 421 carries, which would be about one-hundred above his career high. He’s also on pace for a career low in receptions. Of course this is too early to put much credence into extrapolations, but expect him to continue sharing carries with Ben Tate.

 


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Chet Gresham writes Target Watch and The Morning After for Rotoworld.com and is the founder of The Fake Football. Chet can be found on Twitter .
Email :Chet Gresham



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