Chet Gresham

Targets and Touches

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Week 5 Target Watch: NFC

Wednesday, October 03, 2012

San Francisco 49ers


Michael Crabtree: 9-7-8-7 (31), Vernon Davis: 5-7-8-2 (22), Mario Manningham: 4-4-5-5 (18), Randy Moss: 4-1-6-1 (12), Delanie Walker: 2-2-2-4 (10), Frank Gore: 1-4-2-2 (9), Kyle Williams: 0-2-3-0 (5), Kendall Hunter: 0-3-1-0 (4)


I’m starting to wonder why Michael Crabtree is the target leader on this team. He averages less than 10 yards a reception, hasn’t found the end zone and takes up over 27% of the targets.  And this s all happening while Vernon Davis does so much more with his targets. He is averaging 13 yards a reception, is tied for the league lead in receiving touchdowns, has five receptions over 20 yards (to one for Crabtree), and has converted first downs on 87% of his receptions. I know there are reasons and I can understand them to an extent, but I think you need to get the ball in your playmaker’s hands more often.


The running back position is still controlled by Frank Gore. Kendall Hunter had his best game of the season, but it was in garbage time of a blowout.



Seattle Seahawks


Sidney Rice: 9-5-1-7 (22), Golden Tate: dnp-4-7-3 (14), Zach Miller: 3-1-4-3 (11), Anthony McCoy: 1-5-2-3 (11), Doug Baldwin: 6-1-dnp-3 (10), Braylon Edwards: 9-0-0-0 (9), Marshawn Lynch: 2-0-1-4 (7), Robert Turbin: 1-2-0-2 (5), Ben Obomanu: 1-0-3-0 (4), Charly Martin: 2-dnp-1-dnp (3), Evan Moore: 0-1-2-0 (3), Leon Washington: 0-1-0-0 (1)


Each week I say the same thing when looking at the Seahawks target numbers. Wait, what is it I say? Oh I can’t remember, but it’s something about, the pain and suffering that accompanies trying to find a fantasy relevant receiver on the Seahawks. Give up.


Now this Marshawn Lynch fella, he’s darn good. And this week he almost led the team in rushing and receiving! His four receptions on four targets were nice to see. It’s been a while since he was used in the passing game.



St. Louis Rams


Danny Amendola: 9-16-9-9 (43), Brandon Gibson: 5-4-6-4 (19), Lance Kendricks: 2-2-7-2 (13), Steve Smith: 3-5-3-dnp (11), Chris Givens: 1-2-4-3 (10), Steven Jackson: 4-0-2-2 (8), Daryl Richardson: 0-3-1-3 (7), Brian Quick: dnp-1-dnp-3 (4), Matthew Mulligan: 0-2-1-0 (3), Austin Pettis: dnp-dnp-0-2 (2), Brit Miller: 0-0-0-1 (1), Mike McNeill: 1-0-0-0 (1), Isaiah Pead: 0-0-1-dnp (1)


I have to say I’m amazed that a Rams receiver can be relevant in fantasy, let alone a top 10 receiver through four weeks. His 43 targets are fourth in the league and his 34% of his team’s targets leads the league. The Rams don’t throw the ball enough and successfully, to supply a receiver with good fantasy numbers unless they continue to force feed him the ball. And right now there’s no reason to think they will stop doing just that.


Steven Jackson is averaging 3.3 yards a carry on 59 carries and only has seven receptions on eight targets. He has been playing with a groin injury, but all in all this is not a good situation for fantasy owners. The fact that he doesn’t rest is probably hurting more than anything. At this point in his career he needs to be as close to 100% as possible to be effective.



Tampa Bay Buccaneers


Vincent Jackson: 10-10-7-11 (38), Mike Williams: 3-5-6-8 (22), Doug Martin: 4-3-3-5 (15), Dallas Clark: 1-5-4-4 (14), Arrelious Benn: dnp-0-1-4 (5), Luke Stocker: 0-0-3-2 (5), Danny Ware: 0-1-2-2 (5), Tiquan Underwood: dnp-dnp-1-3 (4), Preston Parker: 1-1-dnp-dnp (2), Sammie Stroughter: 0-2-0-dnp (2), LeGarrette Blount: 1-0-0-0 (1)


Tampa Bay is an intriguing team for fantasy. Unlike some teams who we try our darndest to manufacture some fantasy players from, the Bucs actually have worthwhile fantasy players. But they are still a poor to middling team and it’s difficult to get a grasp on these guys week in and week out.


I am a big fan of Doug Martin.  Even when he gets a three yard carry, it looks like he’s just on the verge of making it a 20 yard carry, but unfortunately, he’s mostly coming up with the three yard variety so far. And that has left a sliver of hope for LaGarrette Blount who is the opposite of Martin in ability.


Martin still saw the bulk of time on the field, but as far as touches go, Martin had eight rushing attempts to Blount’s six and even though he had five targets, he only caught two for nine yards.


Right now I’m not that worried. Martin is the better all around back and he just needs to break out and after the bye he gets Kansas City and then New Orleans.  If he hasn’t put together a big game after that, I’m going to cry.



Washington Redskins


Leonard Hankerson: 0-3-7-11 (21), Fred Davis: 4-5-7-4 (20), Santana Moss: 5-3-3-4 (15), Josh Morgan: 2-5-3-5 (15), Aldrick Robinson: 6-3-3-dnp (12), Evan Royster: 0-3-4-3 (10), Roy Helu: 3-1-3-dnp (7), Niles Paul: 0-3-0-2 (5), Pierre Garcon: 4-dnp-dnp-1 (5), Alfred Morris: 0-0-1-2 (3), Brandon Banks: 1-0-1-0 (2), Darrel Young: 0-0-0-2 (2), Logan Paulsen: 1-0-1-0 (2)

Leonard Hankerson was the real target winner last week with 11 while Fred Davis dropped back down, but still had a decent day, catching all four of his targets for a team high 70 yards.

Davis continues to be just on the verge of becoming fantasy relevant again, but his lack of targets is still hurting him. He has the ability, like Vernon Davis, to put up good numbers on few targets, but will need to get into the end zone to do so. As it is, I’m not dropping him, but I’m still wary of starting him.

Pierre Garcon saw a good chunk of playing time, but only had one target, which he caught for 20 yards. He’s the guy you want to own from the Redskins. If he’s healthy, his upside is quite high with RGIII at the helm. But there aren’t many targets to go around and Hankerson will most likely drop off as Garcon moves up.



Snap count data comes from our friends at Pro Football Focus and red zone data from our other friends at The Football Guys.

Chet Gresham writes Target Watch and The Morning After for and is the founder of The Fake Football. Chet can be found on Twitter .
Email :Chet Gresham

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