Chris Wesseling

Goal Line Stand

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Updated Week 5 Rankings

Sunday, October 07, 2012


Week 5 Running Backs

Rank Player Name Opponent Notes
1 Arian Foster at NYJ Probable(hamstring)
2 Ray Rice at KC -
3 Marshawn Lynch at CAR -
4 Adrian Peterson vs. TEN -
5 LeSean McCoy at PIT Probable(knee)
6 Jamaal Charles vs. BAL -
7 Matt Forte at JAC Probable(ankle)
8 Reggie Bush at CIN Probable(hip)
9 Frank Gore vs. BUF -
10 Ryan Mathews at NO -
11 Alfred Morris vs. ATL -
12 Cedric Benson at IND -
13 Trent Richardson at NYG Probable(-)
14 Maurice Jones-Drew vs. CHI -
15 Stevan Ridley vs. DEN -
16 Willis McGahee at NE Probable(ribs)
17 Chris Johnson at MIN -
18 Ryan Williams at STL Sidelined(shoulder)
19 Michael Turner at WAS -
20 Darren Sproles vs. SD -
21 Ahmad Bradshaw vs. CLE Probable(neck)
22 BenJarvus Green-Ellis vs. MIA -
23 Steven Jackson vs. ARZ -
24 Jackie Battle at NO -
25 Fred Jackson at SF -
26 C.J. Spiller at SF -
27 Pierre Thomas vs. SD -
28 Donald Brown vs. GB -
29 Ben Tate at NYJ Questionable(toe)
30 Jonathan Stewart vs. SEA -
31 Shonn Greene vs. HOU -
32 DeAngelo Williams vs. SEA -
33 Michael Bush at JAC -
34 Kendall Hunter vs. BUF -
35 Mark Ingram vs. SD -
36 Jacquizz Rodgers at WAS -
37 Rashard Mendenhall vs. PHI Probable(knee)
38 Brandon Bolden vs. DEN Questionable(knee)
39 Bilal Powell vs. HOU -
40 Andre Brown vs. CLE -
41 Danny Woodhead vs. DEN -
42 Evan Royster vs. ATL Questionable(knee)
43 Shaun Draughn vs. BAL -
44 William Powell at STL Sidelined(head)
45 Mike Tolbert vs. SEA -
46 Rashad Jennings vs. CHI -
47 Lance Ball at NE -
48 Daniel Thomas at CIN -
49 Javon Ringer at MIN -
50 Isaac Redman vs. PHI -
51 Toby Gerhart vs. TEN -
52 Vick Ballard vs. GB -
53 Daryl Richardson vs. ARZ -
54 Chris Ogbonnaya at NYG -
55 Bernard Pierce at KC -
56 Bryce Brown at PIT -
57 Robert Turbin at CAR -


RB Notes:
Foster has a whopping 26 touches + targets in the red zone through four weeks. It’s no wonder he leads all backs in fantasy points per game for a third consecutive season. … Lynch leads all NFL backs with 21 forced missed tackles. He’s facing a defense that has been shredded by Andre Brown and Michael Turner the past two weeks. The math should work itself out.

Peterson was beastly versus the Lions in Week 4. This week he draws a Titans defense hemorrhaging nearly 38 points per game while allowing the fourth-most points to opposing fantasy backs. The touchdowns are coming. … Charles is the No. 1 fantasy back in the league over the past three weeks. The Chargers brass should have taken notes last week. Charles fumbled on two of his first six carries, and rewarded Romeo Crennel's faith with a pair of impressive touchdowns. … Forte and Bush escaped their Week 4 injury tests without setbacks. … Norv Turner can’t afford to send another message to Mathews when the 0-4 Saints are actually favored at the Super Dome.

Morris trails only Foster, Charles, Ray Rice and C.J. Spiller in fantasy points, and he’s getting better by the week. … Benson has a second consecutive inviting matchup after surviving the early-season gauntlet. … Richardson is second in fantasy points over the past three weeks, thanks to his work in the passing game and his nose for the end zone.

Brandon Bolden’s role may be increasing, but Ridley has been a borderline RB1 to date. It can be argued that if the Pats trusted Ridley as much late last season as they do now, they would have another Lombardi Trophy to show it. … I haven’t seen what a lot of smart people have seen in hyping Ryan Williams since training camp. He’s had just one quality quarter in 16 this season and didn’t show the ability to get to the corner or accelerate through holes versus the Dolphins. His YPC sits at 2.98, which may be all that can be reasonably expected behind a patchwork offensive line. If Williams doesn’t establish RB2 value against a Rams defense that surrendered 179 rushing yards to Seattle last week, it might be time to throw in the towel.

Never mind the box score. Chris Johnson looked like the same back in his 157-yard outburst at Houston as he did in the first three weeks. The only difference is that he wasn’t swarmed at the line of scrimmage. Watch Johnson and Jamaal Charles back-to-back and you will notice that CJ1K is still overly hesitant and no longer makes defenders miss in space. Two years of data suggest he’s simply a boom-or-bust back dependent on his blocking. We can expect another three or four 100-yard games to go with seven or eight games under 50 yards. I would shop him around for a more reliable fantasy asset.  

After not losing a fumble in his first 589 career touches, Green-Ellis has coughed the ball up three times in the past two weeks. It’s why teams shouldn’t sign a back with ball security as his primary asset. The Bengals line is blocking fairly well, but Law Firm is averaging just 3.0 YPC over the past three games. He’s now facing a Miami defense that has allowed just 2.36 YPC to opposing backs. The 49ers led the league at 3.50 YPC in 2011.

S-Jax is playing injured and the Rams haven’t scored an offensive touchdown since Week 2. … F-Jax’s numbers and snaps dwarfed Spiller’s last week, but he was also the one most affected by his injury. He may need another week or two to regain his pre-injury burst. … Although Mendenhall expects to handle the majority of the workload in his return, it’s a daunting matchup against a stout Eagles front seven.



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Chris Wesseling is a senior football editor and Dynasty league analyst for Rotoworld.com. The 2011 NFL season marks his fifth year with Rotoworld and his third year contributing to NBCSports.com. He can be found on Twitter @ChrisWesseling.
Email :Chris Wesseling



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