Chet Gresham

Targets and Touches

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Week 6 Target Watch: NFC

Wednesday, October 10, 2012

San Francisco 49ers


Michael Crabtree: 9-7-8-7-7 (38), Vernon Davis: 5-7-8-2-7 (29), Mario Manningham: 4-4-5-5-5 (23), Randy Moss: 4-1-6-1-2 (14), Delanie Walker: 2-2-2-4-0 (10), Frank Gore: 1-4-2-2-0 (9), Kyle Williams: 0-2-3-0-2 (7), Kendall Hunter: 0-3-1-0-1 (5), Garrett Celek: dnp-dnp-dnp-dnp-1 (1)


Last week the 49ers put up more yards in a game than they ever have before, so those numbers might not be completely indicative of their numbers going forward. The Bills defense is giving up the most fantasy points to quarterbacks per game so don’t go crazy grabbing up the 49ers aerial attack.


It was good to see Vernon Davis get seven targets. He needs to be averaging seven or more a game, because he’s too good not to.


Michael Crabtree had one of his best games ever, but his history is too sketchy to get too excited. He’s getting the targets to be a WR3, but for the most part he’s been a possession receiver and has a hard time finding the end zone.



Seattle Seahawks


Sidney Rice: 9-5-1-7-6 (28), Golden Tate: dnp-4-7-3-4 (18), Zach Miller: 3-1-4-3-3 (14), Doug Baldwin: 6-1-dnp-3-4 (14), Anthony McCoy: 1-5-2-3-2 (13), Braylon Edwards: 9-0-0-0-1 (10), Marshawn Lynch: 2-0-1-4-2 (9), Robert Turbin: 1-2-0-2-2 (7), Ben Obomanu: 1-0-3-0-0 (4), Evan Moore: 0-1-2-0-0 (3), Charly Martin: 2-dnp-1-dnp-dnp (3), Leon Washington: 0-1-0-0-0 (1), Michael Robinson: 0-0-0-0-1 (1)


Unless a single Seattle receiver starts averaging 10 targets a game, there’s really no way you can roster one, let alone start them. Sidney Rice is the closest of course, but after seeing six red zone targets in the first two weeks, he’s seen one in the last three.  Russell Wilson has not been good enough to elevate a receiver unless he throws the ball his way over and over again.


Marshawn Lynch had a down game in relation to the defense he was facing, but he still got his work in and will continue to do so. He is as safe a running back as you can find for your fantasy team.



St. Louis Rams


Danny Amendola: 9-16-9-9-5 (48), Brandon Gibson: 5-4-6-4-4 (23), Lance Kendricks: 2-2-7-2-2 (15), Chris Givens: 1-2-4-3-5 (15), Steve Smith: 3-5-3-dnp-dnp (11), Daryl Richardson: 0-3-1-3-2 (9), Steven Jackson: 4-0-2-2-0 (8), Brian Quick: dnp-1-dnp-3-1 (5), Austin Pettis: dnp-dnp-0-2-2 (4), Matthew Mulligan: 0-2-1-0-0 (3), Mike McNeill: 1-0-0-0-0 (1), Brit Miller: 0-0-0-1-0 (1), Isaiah Pead: 0-0-1-dnp-0 (1)


The loss of Danny Amendola will have a huge effect on the Rams and of course the targets going forward. He led the league in team target percentage, so there are plenty of targets to go around to the myriad of average receivers on the team.


Chris Givens and Austin Pettis should see the biggest increase in targets, but neither has yet to prove he can be consistent on the Rams poor offense. It’s very much worth taking a wait and see attitude to find out if any of these guys starts getting enough targets to be relevant.



Tampa Bay Buccaneers (bye)


Vincent Jackson: 10-10-7-11-bye (38), Mike Williams: 3-5-6-8-bye (22), Doug Martin: 4-3-3-5-bye (15), Dallas Clark: 1-5-4-4-bye (14), Arrelious Benn: dnp-0-1-4-bye (5), Luke Stocker: 0-0-3-2-bye (5), Danny Ware: 0-1-2-2-bye (5), Tiquan Underwood: dnp-dnp-1-3-bye (4), Preston Parker: 1-1-dnp-dnp-bye (2), Sammie Stroughter: 0-2-0-dnp-bye (2), LeGarrette Blount: 1-0-0-0-bye (1)


Tampa Bay is an intriguing team for fantasy. Unlike some teams who we try our darndest to manufacture some fantasy players from; the Bucs actually have worthwhile fantasy players. But they are still a poor to middling team and it’s difficult to get a grasp on these guys week in and week out.


I am a big fan of Doug Martin.  Even when he gets a three yard carry, it looks like he’s just on the verge of making it a 20 yard carry, but unfortunately, he’s mostly coming up with the three yard variety so far. And that has left a sliver of hope for LeGarrette Blount who is the opposite of Martin in ability.


Martin still saw the bulk of time on the field, but as far as touches go, Martin had eight rushing attempts to Blount’s six and even though he had five targets, he only caught two for nine yards.


Right now I’m not that worried. Martin is the better all-around back and he just needs to break out and after the bye he gets Kansas City and then New Orleans.  If he hasn’t put together a big game after that, I’m going to cry.



Washington Redskins


Fred Davis: 4-5-7-4-6 (26), Leonard Hankerson: 0-3-7-11-1 (22), Santana Moss: 5-3-3-4-5 (20), Josh Morgan: 2-5-3-5-1 (16), Aldrick Robinson: 6-3-3-dnp-1 (13), Pierre Garcon: 4-dnp-dnp-1-7 (12), Evan Royster: 0-3-4-3-1 (11), Roy Helu: 3-1-3-dnp-dnp (7), Niles Paul: 0-3-0-2-0 (5), Alfred Morris: 0-0-1-2-1 (4), Logan Paulsen: 1-0-1-0-1 (3), Brandon Banks: 1-0-1-0-0 (2), Darrel Young: 0-0-0-2-0 (2)


The news seems to be good that Robert Griffin III will be back for week 6, so the target distribution above should remain somewhat consistent. And that also means that we will see plenty of Alfred Morris and spot throws and runs from RGIII.


This offense can never seem to get in a rhythm unless they are just running over people with Alfred Morris. Of course that has a lot to do with RGIII and makes it difficult to count on any receivers. I’m ready to take a wait and see attitude on all but Morris and RGIII, who get their work in on the ground.



Snap count data comes from our friends at Pro Football Focus, red zone data from our other friends at The Football Guys and target percentages from The Fake Football.

Chet Gresham writes Target Watch and The Morning After for and is the founder of The Fake Football. Chet can be found on Twitter .
Email :Chet Gresham

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