Chet Gresham

Targets and Touches

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Week 7 Target Watch: NFC

Wednesday, October 17, 2012

Here are this week’s NFC Targets for Week 7. They have a hint of pumpkin spice and candy corn.

But before we get to the team targets, I thought I’d give you the target leaders from each position, but within the confines of the thirty-yard line, which I will now refer to as the lemon-lime zone. I thought since we usually see red zone stats it might be nice to see some from a little further out.

Target leaders inside the 30

Rk Wide Receiver Tar   Rk Running Back Tar   Rk Tight End Tar
1 Victor Cruz 18   1 Darren Sproles 12   1 Kyle Rudolph 17
2 Julio Jones 17   2 Ray Rice 7   2 Rob Gronkowski 14
3 Marques Colston 16   3 Darren McFadden 7   3 Tony Gonzalez 13
4 Larry Fitzgerald 16   4 Trent Richardson 7   4 Dennis Pitta 12
5 Roddy White 15   5 LeSean McCoy 6   5 Brandon Pettigrew 12
6 Wes Welker 15   6 Joique Bell 6   6 Heath Miller 11
7 Steve Johnson 15   7 Arian Foster 5   7 Antonio Gates 11
8 Calvin Johnson 15   8 Maurice Jones-Drew 5   8 Jimmy Graham 11
9 Brian Hartline 15   9 Jacquizz Rodgers 5   9 Martellus Bennett 11
10 A.J. Green 14   10 Cedric Benson 5   10 Jermichael Finley 9
11 Reggie Wayne 14   11 Curtis Brinkley 5   11 Anthony Fasano 9
12 Kendall Wright 13   12 Adrian Peterson 5   12 Tony Scheffler 9
13 Eric Decker 13   13 Ronnie Brown 5   13 Jermaine Gresham 8
14 Percy Harvin 13   14 Jamaal Charles 4   14 Brent Celek 8
15 Brandon Marshall 12   15 Mikel Leshoure 4   15 Jason Witten 7
16 Mike Wallace 12   16 Reggie Bush 4   16 Owen Daniels 7
17 Golden Tate 11   17 LeRon McClain 4   17 Joel Dreessen 7
18 Brandon Lloyd 11   18 Pierre Thomas 4   18 Vernon Davis 6
19 Danny Amendola 10   19 Steven Jackson 4   19 Marcedes Lewis 6
20 Vincent Jackson 10   20 Jason Snelling 4   20 Scott Chandler 6
21 Dwayne Bowe 10   21 Willis McGahee 4   21 Ben Watson 6
22 Sidney Rice 10   22 Daryl Richardson 4   22 Jared Cook 6
                23 Coby Fleener 6

Arizona Cardinals


Larry Fitzgerald: 11-5-9-15-15-12 (67), Andre Roberts: 9-1-6-9-10-6 (41), Early Doucet: 3-4-1-7-7-3 (25), Michael Floyd: 1-0-2-8-3-3 (17), Rob Housler: 0-1-2-3-6-3 (15), Todd Heap: 4-9-dnp-dnp-dnp-0 (13), Jeff King: 3-0-2-2-1-4 (12), Ryan Williams: 3-2-2-2-1-dnp (10), William Powell: dnp-dnp-dnp-2-4-1 (7), LaRod Stephens-Howling: 1-2-0-dnp-dnp-2 (5), Anthony Sherman: 1-1-0-0-2-0 (4), Chris Wells: 0-1-0-dnp-dnp-dnp (1), Alfonso Smith: dnp-dnp-dnp-0-1-0 (1)


As soon as you think you can trust Andre Roberts in good matchups, he goes and puts up two receptions for 18 yards with none of his patented touchdowns. Really, unless you are in a deep league, don’t even try owning a Cardinals pass catcher not named Larry Fitzgerald. It will only cause heartache and suffering, mostly suffering.


The running back by attrition committee of LaRod Stephens-Howling and William Powell was taken over by Powell by sheer ability not to play as bad as Howling. There are absolutely too many puns in my head right now. Suffice it to say, Powell looks like he can hang, at least in good matchups. And that may be the biggest problem since Powell gets the unenviable matchups of Minnesota and San Francisco the next two weeks.



Atlanta Falcons


Tony Gonzalez: 6-10-12-5-14-7 (54), Julio Jones: 9-7-7-8-15-8 (54), Roddy White: 8-11-8-12-6-8 (53), Harry Douglas: 4-3-2-2-5-7 (23), Jacquizz Rodgers: 2-1-5-4-2-4 (18), Michael Turner: 0-1-2-5-5-1 (14), Jason Snelling: 0-1-1-4-1-0 (7), Tommy Gallarda: dnp-dnp-dnp-dnp-2-1 (3), Michael Palmer: 1-0-1-dnp-dnp-dnp (2), Lousaka Polite: 0-0-0-dnp-dnp-1 (1)


The Falcons played down to their opponent this week and left fake points lying all over the field. With plus matchups like that, a win is worthless unless you destroy the other team in a fantasy way. But hey, that’s just one man’s opinion. I suppose we can’t always get perfection, but I do expect it! Michael Turner and Jacquizz Rodgers split time on the field again, 29 snaps to 21, but neither did much damage. Michael Turner’s numbers look more pathetic though. He rushed 11 times for 33 yards, which if I get out my abacus, let’s see, yep, that’s three yards per carry.


The Falcons need the lead for Turner to get enough carries to have value, and they didn’t this week. Of course they are a good enough team that we can expect them to have a lead more often than not. But you take his diminishing skills and add them to the uncertainty of opportunity, and it gets a little dicey.



Carolina Panthers


Steve Smith: 11-4-4-6-13-BYE (38), Greg Olsen: 7-3-14-7-3-BYE (34), Brandon LaFell: 5-8-5-3-3-BYE (24), Mike Tolbert: 3-2-5-3-1-BYE (14), Louis Murphy: 5-0-3-1-2-BYE (11), DeAngelo Williams: 1-0-2-2-2-BYE (7), Jonathan Stewart: dnp-1-dnp-1-4-BYE (6), Kealoha Pilares: 1-1-0-1-0-BYE (3), Armanti Edwards: 0-0-0-1-0-BYE (1), Ben Hartsock: 0-dnp-0-0-1-BYE (1)


The Carolina Panthers took a week off to regroup.



Chicago Bears


Brandon Marshall: 15-5-11-8-17-BYE (56), Alshon Jeffery: 5-2-7-5-4-BYE (23), Kellen Davis: 1-6-3-4-4-BYE (18), Matt Forte: 6-5-dnp-1-4-BYE (16), Earl Bennett: 4-6-4-dnp-dnp-BYE (14), Devin Hester: 2-1-2-4-4-BYE (13), Michael Bush: 0-0-2-1-3-BYE (6), Dane Sanzenbacher: dnp-dnp-dnp-1-2-BYE (3), Matt Spaeth: 0-2-0-0-0-BYE (2), Kyle Adams: dnp-dnp-1-0-1-BYE (2), Kahlil Bell: dnp-dnp-1-0-dnp-BYE (1),
Evan Rodriguez: 1-0-0-dnp-dnp-BYE (1)


The Bears took the week off to reinvent Jay Cutler.



Dallas Cowboys


Dez Bryant: 5-7-8-13-BYE-15 (48), Jason Witten: 3-10-6-14-BYE-7 (40), Miles Austin: 4-10-9-6-BYE-5 (34), Kevin Ogletree: 11-1-7-5-BYE-4 (28), DeMarco Murray: 2-4-4-7-BYE-1 (18), Felix Jones: 2-5-2-0-BYE-1 (10), John Phillips: 1-2-0-0-BYE-2 (5), Phillip Tanner: 0-0-0-3-BYE-0 (3), Lawrence Vickers: 0-0-1-0-BYE-1 (2), Cole Beasley: 0-dnp-dnp-2-BYE-dnp (2), James Hanna: 1-0-0-0-BYE-0 (1), Andre Holmes: 0-dnp-0-1-BYE-0 (1), Dwayne Harris: 0-0-0-1-BYE-0 (1)


Oh Dez, Dez, Dez, way to go! Great game! You’re the best! That’s what you heard from fantasy owners of Dez Bryant after he caught 13 passes for 95 yards and two touchdowns on Sunday. You might have heard different sounds coming from non-fantasy playing Cowboy fans, i.e. Hank Hill, but thankfully they aren’t reading this and I can make fun of them, I tell you what.


The target score is heavily in Bryant’s favor over the last couple weeks, which probably has some Miles Austin owners worried. I can see that, but I’m sure we’ll see some fluctuation going forward. Austin is too good to turn into a five target a game receiver. But the best news remains for Bryant owners. In his first three games he totaled 20 targets and zero red zone targets and in the last two games he has totaled 28 targets and six red zone targets. I had lamented in this column earlier that they should get their most physical receiver more targets near the end zone and thankfully Jason Garrett reads me religiously.


The running back situation is in flux with DeMarco Murray hurting and it looks like Felix Jones will get the start in week seven. He came out of the game a few snaps due to cramps last week and Phillip Tanner saw nine carries to Jones’ 18, but Jones had a nice touchdown run and also had 92 yards rushing and 13 yards receiving. Tanner will serve as Jones’ backup, which could be fruitful with how often Felix is injured.



Detroit Lions


Calvin Johnson: 7-12-12-12-BYE-13 (56), Brandon Pettigrew: 10-4-12-9-BYE-7 (42), Nate Burleson: 8-3-12-8-BYE-9 (40), Titus Young: 3-3-7-3-BYE-5 (21), Tony Scheffler: 8-3-dnp-3-BYE-5 (19), Joique Bell: 0-3-5-8-BYE-2 (18), Mikel Leshoure: dnp-dnp-4-5-BYE-4 (13), Kevin Smith: 6-3-0-0-BYE-dnp (9), Will Heller: 2-1-1-0-BYE-0 (4), Keiland Williams: 1-0-0-1-BYE-0 (2), Stefan Logan: 1-0-1-0-BYE-0 (2), Ryan Broyles: dnp-dnp-0-1-BYE-0 (1)


The Lions have a lot of players to feed and they must feed Megatron first or he’ll blow them all up, Schwartz first. So after they give Calvin Johnson his 12 targets, unless the offense is really clicking, which it hasn’t, there aren’t many fantasy points left for the other guys. Nate Burleson needs a ton of targets because his yards after catch are a good reason to kvetch. Brandon Pettigrew is similar in his catch the ball and then fall downability and he was only on the field 50% of the snaps versus his usual 90%+. Why that is? His knee, his inability to catch the ball, Tony Scheffler? Titus Young is ailing. Tony Scheffler is finally back and taking targets from Pettigrew. And Joique Bell, whom I was ready to anoint the PPR steal of the year after his 12 receptions for 175 yards weeks two through four, saw a measly two targets last week. What’s a fantasy pundit to do!?


Well, we have to do something, because this offense, even though it has been scuffling, has a ton of potential, and you don’t want to be left behind holding a worthless Coke instead of a Mean Joe Greene jersey. Now that we know Jahvid Best won’t be walking through that door, it looks like we can settle on Mikel Leshoure and Joique Bell (I think Kevin Smith put icy hot in Jim Schwartz’s jock strap and no, don’t ask me why he wears a jock strap). Bell could have some value n PPR leagues, but there’s no consistency there. Leshoure is improving and could be RB2 material. Young is a no go at this point. Burleson’s upside is a snail’s belly. And Pettigrew could lose red zone targets to Scheffler like last season. So that’s all I have to say about that.


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Chet Gresham writes Target Watch and The Morning After for and is the founder of The Fake Football. Chet can be found on Twitter .
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