Chet Gresham

Targets and Touches

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Week 7 Target Watch: NFC

Wednesday, October 17, 2012

Green Bay Packers


Jordy Nelson: 7-9-3-12-5-12 (48), James Jones: 6-5-6-6-7-7 (37), Jermichael Finley: 11-5-5-5-5-4 (35), Randall Cobb: 9-2-2-8-4-10 (35), Greg Jennings: 9-dnp-10-3-dnp-dnp (22), Cedric Benson: 0-4-5-4-2-dnp (15), John Kuhn: 0-3-4-0-1-0 (8), D.J. Williams: 0-1-2-dnp-4-dnp (7), Donald Driver: 0-1-1-2-2-0 (6), Tom Crabtree: 0-0-dnp-1-1-3 (5), Alex Green: dnp-0-dnp-0-1-1 (2)


I (and everyone else in the world) told you last week that as long as Jordy Nelson was upright and getting targets, he’d get his. And boy did he get his to the tune of nine receptions, 121 yards and three touchdowns. And of course James Jones caught two touchdowns, just like the previous two weeks.


Randall Cobb’s ability is similar to Percy Harvin’s, but with less opportunity, but thankfully, two of the last three weeks, he’s topped eight targets and had seven receptions in each of those games. And even when (if) Greg Jennings gets back on the field, Cobb will continue to play in the slot and get work, maybe not as much, but enough to be worth a bye week/spot start.


Alex Green was the main back against Houston, getting on the field 51 snaps to James Starks’ eight. His upside is higher than Cedric Benson’s and with enough opportunities could have some big games this season.



Minnesota Vikings


Percy Harvin: 8-13-11-6-10-14 (62), Kyle Rudolph: 7-5-6-5-7-11 (41), Michael Jenkins: 5-6-5-4-4-10 (34), Adrian Peterson: 1-3-4-4-3-8 (23), Devin Aromashodu: 3-3-2-0-4-2 (14), Toby Gerhart: 1-3-4-1-0-3 (12), Jerome Simpson: dnp-dnp-dnp-5-3-dnp (8), John Carlson: 1-0-1-1-1-2 (6), Stephen Burton: 0-2-1-dnp-1-0 (4), Rhett Ellison: 0-0-0-0-2-2 (4), Matt Asiata: 1-0-0-0-0-0 (1), Allen Reisner: 0-0-1-dnp-dnp-dnp (1)


Unlike the dreaded cluster-effect of the Lions, the Vikings have three star players in Percy Harvin, Adrian Peterson, and Kyle Rudolph to dole their fantasy points out to. I’d like to thank the Vikings organization for making things so much easier for me.  All three aren’t going to mas out on fantasy points each week, but you can feel confident in them getting their chances, especially against poor-to-middling defenses.


The 11 targets for Rudolph last week was his most of the season, which was very nice to see, because he had been getting a concentration of targets near the end-zone. Now I’m not arguing against those targets, but I am arguing for more targets throughout the field of play. He has to get involved so Percy Harvin isn’t decapitated before the season is over.



New Orleans Saints


Marques Colston: 11-4-4-13-18-BYE (50), Jimmy Graham: 10-13-8-9-2-BYE (42), Darren Sproles: 8-14-3-7-7-BYE (39), Lance Moore: 10-5-7-15-dnp-BYE (37), Devery Henderson: 2-dnp-7-2-10-BYE (21), Pierre Thomas: 1-6-6-3-2-BYE (18), Joe Morgan: 2-3-dnp-1-1-BYE (7), Greg Camarillo: dnp-0-0-dnp-5-BYE (5), David Thomas: 2-1-0-2-0-BYE (5), Jed Collins: 2-0-1-1-0-BYE (4), Mark Ingram: 1-0-0-1-0-BYE (2), Courtney Roby: 0-1-0-0-0-BYE (1)


The Saints took the week off to build a statue of Sean Payton.



New York Giants


Victor Cruz: 11-17-8-13-8-13 (70), Martellus Bennett: 6-10-7-3-4-2 (32), Domenik Hixon: 5-1-dnp-11-8-6 (31), Hakeem Nicks: 6-15-dnp-dnp-dnp-5 (26), Ramses Barden: 0-2-10-4-dnp-0 (16), Rueben Randle: 0-0-3-1-9-0 (13), Ahmad Bradshaw: 2-0-dnp-4-6-1 (13), Andre Brown: 0-2-5-1-0-dnp (8), Henry Hynoski: 1-1-2-1-0-1 (6), Bear Pascoe: 1-0-1-2-1-0 (5), David Wilson: 0-2-1-1-0-0 (4)


The Giants manwalloped the 49ers on their home turf, which was a great bit of real football drama, but in fantasy terms, we weren’t raking in the fake points on either side of the ball. But even in a hard fought game against a tough defense, the Giants still managed to give a couple guys startable points, in Ahmad Bradshaw and Victor Cruz. That’s just how potent this offense is for fantasy. I think it has taken people a while to catch on, or maybe not, but either way, you want to own Giants players.


The pecking order has moved around due to injuries, but we saw the Giants main contingency out there on the field and the guys to own of course are Manning, Cruz, Nicks, Bradshaw, Bennett and Hixon.  Bennett has been hurting, but if he can get an infusion of unicorn blood, he’ll be good to go and Hixon is worth a desperation start even when Nicks isn’t hurt. With Nicks playing, Ramses Barden and Rueben Randle lose all value. And David Wilson is not worth starting with Bradshaw healthy, but he is very much worth a stash on that team, with his skill set.



Philadelphia Eagles


DeSean Jackson: 11-8-10-9-7-8 (53), Brent Celek: 8-11-6-5-5-8 (43), Jeremy Maclin: 14-1-dnp-3-8-10 (36), LeSean McCoy: 9-3-3-4-5-8 (32), Jason Avant: 5-2-4-2-3-4 (20), Damaris Johnson: 3-1-11-1-0-dnp (16), Clay Harbor: 6-2-0-1-1-2 (12), Stanley Havili: 0-1-0-2-0-0 (3), Riley Cooper: dnp-dnp-dnp-dnp-dnp-3 (3), Bryce Brown: 0-0-2-0-0-0 (2), Mardy Gilyard: dnp-0-1-0-0-0 (1)


The top guys got a nice even distribution of targets in this game, with Jackson, Celek and McCoy all getting eight, while Maclin finished with 10 and the biggest fantasy day. That is exactly the target distribution I would like to see going forward. It gives each possible fantasy player a fair shot at putting up good numbers, and Jeremy Maclin is the best receiver on the team, so henceforth and forthwith and etc . . . he should see the most targets.


I was extremely pleased to see LeSean McCoy get eight targets. He hadn’t topped five since week one and no matter how well he did between the tackles last season; he is still a better player in space. He can catch the ball, make people miss and then get up field. Have you ever noticed Michael Turner steady himself to catch the ball and then have to take some time to get moving? No, not that often I realize, because it’s not smart to throw him the ball. You are wasting plays doing such a crazy thing. But McCoy is built for the passing game so passing him the ball is just good business, and it’s good points per reception business as well and it just makes good fiscal sense for the middle class.


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Chet Gresham writes Target Watch and The Morning After for and is the founder of The Fake Football. Chet can be found on Twitter .
Email :Chet Gresham

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