Chet Gresham

Targets and Touches

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Week 9 Target Watch: AFC

Wednesday, October 31, 2012


New York Jets

 

Jeremy Kerley: 3-3-9-6-11-11 (6.4), Stephen Hill: 7-dnp-dnp-3-7-7 (5.3), Jeff Cumberland: 6-5-4-1-1-dnp (3.7), Chaz Schilens: 3-3-5-4-3-5 (3), Dustin Keller: dnp-dnp-dnp-1-7-11 (5), Shonn Greene: 2-0-2-0-9-5 (2.4), Bilal Powell: 5-3-4-2-dnp-dnp (2.8), Clyde Gates: 1-0-3-dnp-dnp-11 (3.2), Patrick Turner: dnp-5-dnp-dnp-dnp-dnp (2.5), Jason Hill: dnp-dnp-2-1-0-dnp (1), Konrad Reuland: dnp-dnp-1-0-1-1 (0.8), Lex Hilliard: dnp-dnp-0-0-1-1 (0.3), Jonathan Grimes: dnp-dnp-0-dnp-1-1 (0.7)

 

Jeremy Kerley, Dustin Keller and Clyde Kates had 11 targets each, um, Gates. Mark Sanchez threw the ball a whole lot, 54 times actually, and completed one touchdown and one interception. Just think if he had a decent backup.

 

Stephen Hill, Chaz Schilens and Shonn Greene each had 29 yards receiving. If we look further into this game’s numbers, I'm pretty sure we find Amelia Earhart.

 

It’s hard to garner much from this game. I’m not going to jump on the Clyde Gates bandwagon quite yet and his “emergence” is a little worrisome for Kerley’s recent “emergence.”  Kerley has a better track record this season, but when it comes down to it, the only guy I’ll feel decent about is Dustin Keller, because he is one of the few players that I know without a doubt that Sanchez trusts.

 

 

Oakland Raiders

 

Denarius Moore: 10-8-BYE-9-8-8 (8.5), Darren McFadden: 2-1-BYE-4-7-6 (6.4), Brandon Myers: 4-2-BYE-7-10-3 (5.3), Darrius Heyward-Bey: 5-dnp-BYE-2-7-3 (5), Rod Streater: 2-2-BYE-3-4-5 (4.1), Marcel Reece: 5-8-BYE-1-6-0 (3.6), Derek Hagan: 4-5-BYE-4-1-1 (3.1), David Ausberry: 1-2-BYE-2-0-0 (1.3), Mike Goodson: 0-3-BYE-1-1-0 (1.1), Juron Criner: dnp-3-BYE-0-1-2 (1.2), Richard Gordon: 1-dnp-BYE-dnp-dnp-0 (1.2)

 

Denarius Moore is averaging 8.5 targets a game, which is great for a deep threat like him. His skill set is perfect for stretching the field, but he’s now getting some higher percentage passes that allow him to take advantage of his running skills. His after the catch yardage ranks ninth in the league at 6.5.

 

Brandon Myers ranks sixth in receiving yards for tight ends, but just can’t get into the end zone. I would predict that he’ll start finding the end zone soon, but his target numbers fluctuate a little too much for me to bank on it.

 

 

Pittsburgh Steelers

 

Antonio Brown: 11-BYE-10-10-8-6 (9), Mike Wallace: 11-BYE-8-4-15-9 (8.3), Heath Miller: 9-BYE-5-9-8-6 (6.7), Emmanuel Sanders: 4-BYE-7-6-2-5 (5.1), Isaac Redman: 3-BYE-0-5-dnp-dnp (2.2), Chris Rainey: 2-BYE-1-1-1-2 (1.4), Jonathan Dwyer: 1-BYE-dnp-dnp-0-1 (1.6), Jerricho Cotchery: 1-BYE-1-0-1-dnp (1), Will Johnson: 1-BYE-0-1-1-2 (1), Baron Batch: 2-BYE-0-1-1-1 (0.7), Rashard Mendenhall: dnp-BYE-3-1-dnp-dnp (2), David Paulson: 0-BYE-1-1-1-0 (0.4), Leonard Pope: 0-BYE-0-0-0-1 (0.3)

 

Heath Miller still leads all receivers, not just tight ends, with red zone targets. His 16 targets beat out Marques Colston’s 15 and Rob Gronkowski’s 14. And his six red zone touchdowns are only topped by James Jones’ seven.  To put his red zone targets in perspective, he ranks 54th in targets per game while Colston is 10th. Teams might want to think about covering Miller in the red zone (so Antonio Brown can get some friggin touchdowns!).

 

 

San Diego Chargers

 

Malcom Floyd: 9-3-8-5-BYE-7 (6.6), Antonio Gates: 7-3-7-10-BYE-4 (6.5), Ronnie Brown: dnp-3-5-4-BYE-8 (4.8), Robert Meachem: 7-2-4-7-BYE-3 (4.1), Ryan Mathews: 8-2-8-5-BYE-4 (5.4), Eddie Royal: 3-5-5-5-BYE-dnp (3.8), Dante Rosario: 1-0-1-1-BYE-5 (1.9), Curtis Brinkley: 2-dnp-dnp-0-BYE-dnp (2.8), Randy McMichael: 1-0-0-2-BYE-0 (1), Jackie Battle: 0-4-2-0-BYE-0 (0.9), LeRon McClain: 0-1-0-0-BYE-0 (0.7), Richard Goodman: 0-0-0-2-BYE-0 (0.3)

 

I’d say the biggest news, besides the ineptitude of the Chargers last week, is that Ronnie Brown still lives and he’s stealing all of Ryan Mathews’ targets! Well, not all of them, but enough to make me scooch into the fetal position and dry my eyes out every night. Brown is actually second in receiving yards for running backs and is averaging 9.5 yards per reception compared to Mathews’ 7.4. I still believe Mathews brings a completely different dynamic to the screen game than Brown, but it’s hard to rail against Norv Turner on this point, especially when there are so many others we could point to.

 

One of those being the four targets Antonio Gates saw in Cleveland. Yes, it was a wet and windy day, but Gates was coming off his best game of the year and the Chargers needed to throw short to medium distances to combat the wind. So for some reason Dante Rosario had more targets.

 

 

Tennessee Titans

 

Kendall Wright: 11-8-11-8-3-5 (7.5), Nate Washington: 3-5-7-10-8-6 (6.1), Jared Cook: 4-4-8-4-5-4 (5.1), Kenny Britt: 11-dnp-5-11-6-5 (6.7), Damian Williams: 3-2-3-3-4-1 (3.5), Chris Johnson: 2-2-1-4-2-3 (3), Craig Stevens: 7-2-4-2-1-3 (2.6), Darius Reynaud: 0-0-1-0-2-0 (0.9), Taylor Thompson: 0-1-2-1-1-0 (0.8), Quinn Johnson: 1-1-1-1-1-1 (0.8), Lavelle Hawkins: dnp-1-dnp-dnp-dnp-1 (1.5)

 

Kendall Wright was the lucky one this week with a touchdown that should have been Kenny Britt’s, but all in all, there weren’t many yards to go around for receivers. And Matt Hasselbeck has thrown six touchdowns in five games and has averaged 224 yards passing per game. If you aren’t one of the chosen few to get into the end zone, your chances of having a good fantasy day are slim and nil.

 

 

Snap count data comes from our friends at Pro Football Focus and red zone data from our other friends at The Football Guys.



Chet Gresham writes Target Watch and The Morning After for Rotoworld.com and is the founder of The Fake Football. Chet can be found on Twitter .
Email :Chet Gresham



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