Chet Gresham

Targets and Touches

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Week 9 Target Watch: NFC

Thursday, November 01, 2012

San Francisco 49ers


Michael Crabtree: 8-7-7-6-6-5 (6.9), Mario Manningham: 5-5-5-10-dnp-4 (5.3), Vernon Davis: 8-2-7-5-0-2 (4.5), Randy Moss: 6-1-2-3-4-1 (2.8), Frank Gore: 2-2-0-4-6-1 (2.5), Delanie Walker: 2-4-0-2-1-3 (2), Kyle Williams: 3-0-2-4-4-1 (2), Kendall Hunter: 1-0-1-1-2-1 (1.1), Garrett Celek: dnp-dnp-1-2-0-0 (0.8)



Oh Michael Crabtree, how I despise your two-touchdown game! You do realize that you had only one touchdown before last week and you are averaging fewer than seven targets a game and you are averaging 55 yards per game? Oh, you do? Ok, carry on then.


I actually like Crabtree and in a different offense I believe he could be a consistent fantasy player, but it seems that I’ll never be able to feel comfortable starting a 49ers receiver. Just think if Vernon Davis played on the Patriots? Would he have averaged 2.3 targets over the last three games? I say no!


Of course they aren’t the Patriots and never will be. Just because they are a very good NFL team it doesn’t mean you can rely on them to produce fantasy stars. But I think we too often try to do just that. Volume and opportunity equal fantasy goodness, neither of which San Francisco will ever give to a single player consistently in the passing game.



Seattle Seahawks


Sidney Rice: 1-7-6-6-4-8 (5.8), Golden Tate: 7-3-4-6-3-7 (4.9), Zach Miller: 4-3-3-2-2-5 (2.9), Doug Baldwin: dnp-3-4-3-2-dnp (3.2), Anthony McCoy: 2-3-2-1-1-2 (2.1), Marshawn Lynch: 1-4-2-1-2-3 (1.9), Braylon Edwards: 0-0-1-3-2-dnp (2.1), Robert Turbin: 0-2-2-2-1-3 (1.6), Ben Obomanu: 3-0-0-1-4-0 (1.1), Charly Martin: 1-dnp-dnp-dnp-dnp-3 (2), Leon Washington: 0-0-0-2-0-2 (0.6), Evan Moore: 2-0-0-0-1-1 (0.6), Michael Robinson: 0-0-1-0-1-1 (0.4)


See above.



St. Louis Rams


Danny Amendola: 9-9-5-dnp-dnp-dnp (9.6), Brandon Gibson: 6-4-4-9-7-3 (5.2), Chris Givens: 4-3-5-7-5-4 (3.9), Lance Kendricks: 7-2-2-4-4-4 (3.4), Steve Smith: 3-dnp-dnp-2-6-1 (3.3), Daryl Richardson: 1-3-2-3-3-4 (2.4), Austin Pettis: 0-2-2-3-3-5 (2.5), Brian Quick: dnp-3-1-2-4-4 (2.5), Steven Jackson: 2-2-0-5-0-2 (1.9), Matthew Mulligan: 1-0-0-2-0-2 (0.9), Mike McNeill: 0-0-0-0-0-2 (0.4), Brit Miller: 0-1-0-0-1-0 (0.2), Isaiah Pead: 1-dnp-0-1-0-0 (0.3)


Chris Givens’ four-week run of 50-yard receptions is pretty crazy, but he’s got the ability to prove they aren’t fluky by any means. Of course last week in London the Rams were slaughtered at the altar for the amusement of Londoners, and after Givens caught the lone Rams touchdown early in the game, it was all-downhill. Austin Pettis led the Rams in targets with five. That’s how bad it was.


The running back situation remains pretty split and with no trade in sight, I think it will remain that way. At this point I’d probably lean towards Daryl Richardson, just because the Rams are going to continue looking toward the future and Steven Jackson is most likely gone after this year.



Tampa Bay Buccaneers


Vincent Jackson: 7-11-BYE-8-14-6 (9.4), Mike Williams: 6-8-BYE-6-8-11 (6.7), Doug Martin: 3-5-BYE-4-3-6 (4), Dallas Clark: 4-4-BYE-1-6-3 (3.4), Tiquan Underwood: 1-3-BYE-3-6-5 (3.6), Danny Ware: 2-2-BYE-2-1-2 (1.4), Luke Stocker: 3-2-BYE-0-1-0 (0.9), Arrelious Benn: 1-4-BYE-0-0-1 (1), LeGarrette Blount: 0-0-BYE-0-1-0 (0.3)


Last week the Muscle Hamster got free and ran all around the Metrodome and the Vikings defense couldn’t get him out of the walls until the game was over. His big game also coincided with an uptick in targets. He’s the all-around back we thought he was.


Mike Williams continues to put up good numbers. He has four touchdowns in seven games and is ranked 21st in fantasy points for wide receivers per game while Vincent Jackson ranks third.  The Buccaneers offense is for real for fantasy.



Washington Redskins


Santana Moss: 3-4-5-4-4-9 (4.6), Leonard Hankerson: 7-11-1-3-8-4 (4.6), Fred Davis: 7-4-6-4-1-dnp (4.4), Josh Morgan: 3-5-1-4-2-8 (3.8), Logan Paulsen: 1-0-1-0-6-6 (1.9), Aldrick Robinson: 3-dnp-1-0-1-1 (2.1), Evan Royster: 4-3-1-1-1-1 (1.8),
Pierre Garcon: dnp-1-7-dnp-dnp-dnp (4), Alfred Morris: 1-2-1-2-2-0 (1), Niles Paul: 0-2-0-0-1-1 (0.9), Roy Helu: 3-dnp-dnp-dnp-dnp-dnp (2.3), Darrel Young: 0-2-0-1-1-1 (0.6), Brandon Banks: 1-0-0-2-0-0 (0.5), Dezmon Briscoe: 0-0-dnp-0-dnp-2 (0.4)


The Washington wide receivers did Robert Griffin III no favors against Pittsburgh last week and none are seizing their opportunity. Well, maybe Santana Moss, but he’s producing due to touchdowns that are not at all sustainable. At this point all I can hope for is a speedy recovery for Pierre Garcon.



Snap count data comes from our friends at Pro Football Focus, red zone data from our other friends at The Football Guys and target percentages from The Fake Football.

Chet Gresham writes Target Watch and The Morning After for and is the founder of The Fake Football. Chet can be found on Twitter .
Email :Chet Gresham

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