Chet Gresham

Targets and Touches

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Week 12 Target Watch: AFC

Thursday, November 22, 2012


Happy Thanksgiving all you crazy fantasy footballers. I hope it’s a good one and you have plenty of family and friends and pie piled around you. For the giving part of the holiday, I’ll be handing out some AFC target info. And if you want, you can look at the NFC target info here. It’s all free! It’s a Thanksgiving miracle!! Enjoy!

 

Here is some red zone information for the season.  The craziest bit of news here is that Arian Foster has seen the ball in the red zone more than Ray Rice and LeSean McCoy combined!

 

 

Red Zone Targets and Rushes

 

 

PlayerRZ/Tar PlayerRZ Tar/ Rush
Marques Colston     18   Arian Foster            65
Heath Miller     17   Stevan Ridley            44
Eric Decker     17   Adrian Peterson            37
Rob Gronkowski     17   Michael Turner            36
A.J. Green     15   Marshawn Lynch            36
Vincent Jackson     15   Ahmad Bradshaw            36
Brandon Marshall     15   Shonn Greene            34
Larry Fitzgerald     15   Willis McGahee            34
Mike Wallace     14   Doug Martin            33
Percy Harvin     13   Alfred Morris            32
Victor Cruz     13   Ray Rice            31
Roddy White     13   LeSean McCoy            30
James Jones     13      

 

To start saving space I’ll be showing you the last 6 weeks of targets on each individual player. I’m also changing the parenthesized number to total targets for the last six weeks.

 

 

Baltimore Ravens

 

Torrey Smith: 4-13-BYE-9-6-7 (39), Anquan Boldin: 6-7-BYE-5-7-12 (37), Dennis Pitta: 5-8-BYE-3-5-1 (22), Ray Rice: 4-5-BYE-2-5-5 (21), Jacoby Jones: 3-2-BYE-2-3-4 (14), Ed Dickson: 2-5-BYE-3-2-2 (14), Tandon Doss: 0-1-BYE-0-3-0 (4), Vonta Leach: 1-0-BYE-0-2-0 (3), Bernard Pierce: 1-0-BYE-0-0-1 (2), Anthony Allen: 0-0-BYE-0-1-0 (1)

 

Torrey Smith finally leads the team in targets, so that’s something. He also has three touchdowns over the last three weeks and is seeing more red zone targets.  He faced a tough Steelers pass defense last week, but it looks like they know who their playmaker is in the passing game now. After him, Anquan Boldin keeps getting targets and some receptions, but hasn’t hit paydirt since week one. He’s not gong to rack up a ton of yards, so touchdowns are imperative for his fantasy value.

 

 

Buffalo Bills

 

Steve Johnson: 11-7-BYE-7-9-9 (43), Donald Jones: 4-5-BYE-9-10-5 (33), Fred Jackson: 6-11-BYE-7-5-dnp (29), C.J. Spiller: 5-6-BYE-5-4-4 (24), Scott Chandler: 3-4-BYE-5-8-4 (24), T.J. Graham: 3-1-BYE-3-2-2 (11), Brad Smith: 0-1-BYE-0-1-0 (2), Dorin Dickerson: dnp-0-BYE-1-0-1 (2), Tashard Choice: 0-dnp-BYE-dnp-0-2 (2), Lee Smith: 0-0-BYE-0-1-0 (1)

 

Since Week 4 Donald Jones has more fantasy points than Stevie Johnson. Let that sink in for a bit. Of course touchdowns are the culprit. Johnson sees more targets as a whole, but Jones has three touchdowns to Johnson’s one during that span. Johnson is still the guy, but with Ryan Fitzpatrick throwing the ball and C.J. Spiller and Fred Jackson running the ball, Johnson will have trouble being consistent.

 

 

Cincinnati Bengals

 

A.J. Green: 12-6-BYE-9-10-12 (49), Jermaine Gresham: 8-5-BYE-8-4-8 (33), Andrew Hawkins: 5-4-BYE-7-5-dnp (21), Mohamed Sanu: dnp-3-BYE-3-6-4 (16), Brandon Tate: 1-1-BYE-6-1-2 (11), Cedric Peerman: 8-0-BYE-0-1-0 (9), Ryan Whalen: dnp-7-BYE-dnp-0-1 (8), BenJarvus Green-Ellis: 1-1-BYE-3-2-1 (8), Brian Leonard: 1-dnp-BYE-4-0-1 (6), Armon Binns: 5-dnp-BYE-0-dnp-0 (5), Orson Charles: 2-0-BYE-1-1-0 (4)

 

A.J. Green is a beast and that’s indisputable. His presence continues to open up opportunities for other receivers, but none have really been consistent. Jermaine Gresham has been the most consistent in relation to other tight ends, but he’s still on the backend of startable.

 

BenJarvus Green-Ellis remains serviceable as a flex play, but is as replaceable as a running back can be. His 25 carries for 101 yards and a touchdown last week was his best game of the season and most likely will stay the best game of his season.

 

 

Cleveland Browns

 

Josh Gordon: 4-10-5-3-BYE-7 (29), Greg Little: 5-7-5-7-BYE-4 (28), Trent Richardson: 3-2-1-9-BYE-8 (23), Ben Watson: 5-3-4-3-BYE-8 (23), Josh Cooper: 3-8-1-dnp-BYE-2 (14), Jordan Cameron: 4-2-4-2-BYE-2 (14), Chris Ogbonnaya: 2-4-3-2-BYE-0 (11), Alex Smith: 0-dnp-3-4-BYE-1 (8), Travis Benjamin: dnp-5-0-3-BYE-0 (8), Mohamed Massaquoi: dnp-dnp-dnp-3-BYE-2 (5), Josh Cribbs: 1-0-1-0-BYE-1 (3), Owen Marecic: 2-0-dnp-dnp-BYE-dnp (2), Montario Hardesty: 1-0-0-dnp-BYE-0 (1)

 

After a nice stretch of games weeks two through seven, Weeden hasn’t produced much and in turn, the Browns receivers have also done very little, including Greg Little. Ben Watson had a big game last week, but that was about as fluky as games get. Trent Richardson remains the only rosterable fantasy player on the team.

 

 

Denver Broncos

 

Demaryius Thomas: 2-BYE-9-8-11-9 (39), Eric Decker: 9-BYE-6-11-4-5 (35), Joel Dreessen: 7-BYE-2-4-3-6 (22), Brandon Stokley: 4-BYE-2-4-5-5 (20), Jacob Tamme: 2-BYE-4-4-4-5 (19), Willis McGahee: 5-BYE-2-1-6-2 (16), Matthew Willis: 1-BYE-1-1-1-4 (8), Ronnie Hillman: 0-BYE-1-1-2-2 (6), Lance Ball: 0-BYE-0-1-0-3 (4), Virgil Green: 0-BYE-3-0-0-0 (3), Trindon Holliday: 0-BYE-0-0-2-0 (2)

 

Eric Decker hasn’t seen as many targets as Demaryius Thomas lately, but he’s still getting red zone looks and hasn’t fallen behind enough and for a sustained period to be overly concerned. Peyton Manning is quite good at evening out targets to his receivers.

 

Joel Dreessen has overtaken Jacob Tamme in targets over the last six weeks, but not by a wide enough margin to mean anything more than they both aren’t good fantasy plays.

 

With Willis McGahee done for the regular season, we saw Ronnie Hillman and Lance Ball share the load. Hillman was the lead back and should get the opportunity to remain the lead back going forward. He is a better talent than Ball or Knowshon Moreno, so hopefully that will show in the next few games.

 

 

Houston Texans

 

Andre Johnson: 12-10-BYE-10-9-19 (60), Owen Daniels: 5-10-BYE-8-dnp-9 (32), Kevin Walter: 4-6-BYE-3-3-8 (24), Garrett Graham: 5-2-BYE-2-4-9 (22), Arian Foster: 3-5-BYE-1-5-3 (17), James Casey: 2-2-BYE-3-2-3 (12), Keshawn Martin: 6-2-BYE-0-1-1 (10), Justin Forsett: 1-0-BYE-0-0-2 (3), Jonathan Grimes: dnp-1-BYE-0-0-0 (2), Lestar Jean: 0-0-BYE-0-0-1 (1), DeVier Posey: 1-0-BYE-dnp-0-0 (1)

 

So 19 targets is quite a bit huh? Through the first five games Andre Johnson averaged six targets a game and over the last five games he’s averaged 12! That’s more than six! This up in targets has helped him return to fantasy stud-dom and as long as he continues to get his looks he’ll be fine.

 

Arian Foster is on pace for 430 touches and a whopping 104 red zone looks (targets/rushes). That is a whole, whole bunch. He currently has 65 and the second best is Steven Ridley with 44.  That makes Foster’s 3.8 yards per carry make a little more sense.

 


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Chet Gresham writes Target Watch and The Morning After for Rotoworld.com and is the founder of The Fake Football. Chet can be found on Twitter .
Email :Chet Gresham



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