Chet Gresham

Targets and Touches

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Week 13 Target Watch: AFC

Thursday, November 29, 2012

Indianapolis Colts


Reggie Wayne: 11-11-9-11-18-14 (74), Donnie Avery: 6-7-8-5-4-8 (38), T.Y. Hilton: 5-6-11-1-9-3 (35), Dwayne Allen: 2-5-7-2-11-6 (33), LaVon Brazill: 1-1-5-2-4-1 (14), Vick Ballard: 1-1-6-2-1-1 (12), Donald Brown: dnp-1-1-1-2-1 (6), Coby Fleener: 2-3-dnp-dnp-dnp-dnp (5), Weslye Saunders: 0-1-1-0-0-2 (4), Mewelde Moore: 0-2-dnp-dnp-dnp-dnp (2), Robert Hughes: dnp-dnp-0-1-0-0 (1), Delone Carter: 1-0-0-0-0-0 (1), Nathan Palmer: 0-dnp-dnp-0-1-dnp (1)


Being the target guy that I am, I’ve spent too much time drooling over Donnie Avery’s target numbers. The guy just isn’t very good and can’t turn those targets into much of anything. On the other hand, T.Y. Hilton does turn his targets into fantasy points. This last week is a good example of just that. Avery had eight targets and caught three for 31 yards, while Hilton had three targets and caught all three for 33 yards and a touchdown. Avery was on the field for 73 snaps to Hilton’s 39. It’s time to give up the ghost.



Jacksonville Jaguars


Cecil Shorts: 10-12-4-13-6-7 (52), Justin Blackmon: 4-8-9-5-13-6 (45), Marcedes Lewis: 3-7-6-4-4-6 (30), Laurent Robinson: dnp-dnp-9-15-2-dnp (26), Rashad Jennings: 9-8-4-1-1-1 (24), Micheal Spurlock: 0-2-5-6-5-1 (19), Jalen Parmele: 1-1-1-2-3-1 (9), Kevin Elliott: 1-2-0-0-0-2 (5), Zach Potter: 1-0-0-0-1-0 (2), Jordan Shipley: dnp-dnp-dnp-dnp-dnp-1 (1)


Much like the whole Hilton/Avery fiasco, the Shorts/Blackmon disaster is in full swing. After Chad Henne went all target crazy on Justin Blackmon, I assumed he was Henne’s guy. But in reality, Cecil Shorts is just good at football and does more with his targets than Blackmon. If you see consistent targets it’s going to help, but the skill level has to be there. There is a delicate balance in assessing future worth from the number of targets a player sees. Some players are good enough to overcome their lack of targets and touches, but only a few. We just have to hope that as they prove themselves the extra work comes along (see Spiller, C.J. . . still waiting).


So it looks like Shorts and even Blackmon are getting their work in. It’s hard to trust Chad Henne, but he has been playing well and there is something to be said about riding the hot hand.



Kansas City Chiefs


Dwayne Bowe: BYE-6-10-9-2-12 (39), Dexter McCluster: BYE-8-6-5-3-4 (26), Tony Moeaki: BYE-8-0-6-6-2 (22), Jamaal Charles: BYE-3-4-0-6-0 (13), Terrance Copper: BYE-0-1-1-4-3 (9), Jon Baldwin: BYE-2-2-3-dnp-1 (8), Shaun Draughn: BYE-2-2-0-3-0 (7), Steve Breaston: BYE-1-2-dnp-3-dnp (6), Jake OConnell: BYE-3-0-0-dnp-dnp (3), Jamar Newsome: BYE-dnp-dnp-dnp-dnp-3 (3), Peyton Hillis: BYE-1-1-1-0-0 (3), Devon Wylie: BYE-dnp-dnp-0-2-dnp (2)


The Chiefs have scored three offensive touchdowns over the last seven weeks. In comparison, the Patriots have scored 28. That’s more than three for all you mathletes. So instead of getting into the Chiefs “offense, “ I think I’d rather take a nap. Oooh, check this out, the term "mathlete" is a portmanteau of the words math and athlete. But what is a portmanteau you ask? Well, it is a large suitcase or in the above instance, a word or morpheme whose form and meaning are derived from a blending of two or more distinct forms. I also believe portmanteau is a portmanteau of the words portly, manatee, and toe. What were we talking about?


Oh right, the Chiefs. The good news is that they are giving Jamaal Charles the ball. Giving the ball to your best player is sometimes a tricky thing for teams, so it looks like we are once again safe to start him now that he’s averaging 20 carries over the last three games. Now just throw him the ball more, Brady Cassel Stanzi.



Miami Dolphins


Davone Bess: BYE-9-9-6-11-9 (44), Brian Hartline: BYE-6-12-10-7-5 (40), Charles Clay: BYE-1-1-4-2-6 (14), Daniel Thomas: BYE-2-4-6-0-1 (13), Reggie Bush: BYE-1-3-2-3-3 (12), Anthony Fasano: BYE-2-4-3-2-1 (12), Jabar Gaffney: BYE-2-3-5-dnp-dnp (10), Marlon Moore: BYE-1-1-0-1-0 (3), Lamar Miller: BYE-dnp-0-3-0-dnp (3), Rishard Matthews: BYE-dnp-dnp-dnp-2-0 (2), Jorvorskie Lane: BYE-0-1-0-0-0 (1)


Davone Bess has been getting a good amount of targets all season, but has seen a little jump in numbers of late. His biggest problem continues to be lack of touchdowns though and even in a good matchup with New England this week I’d still be wary. He doesn’t top 100 yards all that often and his one touchdown this season doesn’t put another one on the horizon.


Daniel Thomas and Reggie Bush are splitting work pretty evenly, while Thomas has seen six red zone looks to Bush’s zero over the last three games. Thomas has come on of late, but Bush has also had some amazing runs. Neither is safe, but both have been showing off their ability.



New England Patriots


Wes Welker: 8-9-BYE-11-11-10 (49), Rob Gronkowski: 9-13-BYE-4-7-dnp (33), Brandon Lloyd: 8-4-BYE-6-7-6 (31), Danny Woodhead: 4-7-BYE-6-0-1 (18), Julian Edelman: 2-2-BYE-0-7-3 (14), Deion Branch: 2-1-BYE-8-dnp-dnp (11), Aaron Hernandez: 7-dnp-BYE-dnp-dnp-3 (10), Shane Vereen: 1-1-BYE-1-3-2 (8), Michael Hoomanawanui: 0-1-BYE-1-0-0 (2), Daniel Fells: 0-0-BYE-0-dnp-2 (2), Stevan Ridley: 0-0-BYE-1-0-0 (1)


The Jets beat themselves so badly that Tom Brady had his fewest completions and pass attempts of the season. Wes Welker led the way and there’s little doubt that he will continue his target lead the rest of the season. After Welker it was Brandon Lloyd with six and Aaron Hernandez and Julian Edelman tied with three. I believe Hernandez’s numbers will rise with more total pass attempts by Brady.


Shane Vereen is causing some pain for Steven Ridley owners, but on the whole Ridley is second in red zone targets/touches and 12th in total targets/touches. Belichick is going to use players in odd ways, but it’s tough to complain too much.


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Chet Gresham writes Target Watch and The Morning After for and is the founder of The Fake Football. Chet can be found on Twitter .
Email :Chet Gresham

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