Silva's May Top 150Friday, May 10, 2013
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Much will change as camp battles are sorted out, injuries occur, and hype trains gain steam over the next few months. But these are my initial fantasy rankings for the 2013 season. After an in-depth examination of the positions, I've found quarterback to be extremely deep. Running back is much deeper than last year. Wide receiver seems deep on the surface, but is actually more top heavy with only a handful of clear WR1s and a large cluster of potential breakout candidates, most of whom won't pan out. Tight end is easily the thinnest fantasy position. These rankings -- concocted primarily for standard scoring but with plenty of PPR references -- are adjusted accordingly.
As you may have noticed from seasons past, I don't believe in drafting quarterbacks in the first two rounds. And this year, that is the case to a greater extent than ever.
On a separate but related note, the 2013 Rotoworld Fantasy Preview is complete and will hit newsstands in about two weeks. Here is a link to the cover. We're publishing two magazines this year, the first a fantasy preview and the second a draft guide.
My May Top 150:
1. Adrian Peterson -- The shoo-in No. 1 fantasy pick. Dominant player.
2. Doug Martin -- No. 2 fantasy runner gets both of his guards back.
3. Marshawn Lynch -- Ferocious back. Seattle will remain run heavy.
4. C.J. Spiller – He’ll be the centerpiece of Doug Marrone's offense.
5. Trent Richardson -- Top-ten RB as rookie despite multiple injuries.
6. LeSean McCoy -- Chip Kelly brings a run-first approach to Philly.
7. Arian Foster -- Starting to flash signs of decline due to overusage.
8. Alfred Morris -- Doesn't catch passes; breaks tackles and scores.
9. Calvin Johnson -- In a tier by himself among fantasy wide receivers.
10. Jamaal Charles -- Under Andy Reid, carries down but catches up.
11. Rob Gronkowski -- He'll get bumped down if he needs fifth surgery.
12. Jimmy Graham -- Right there with Gronk at fantasy's thinnest spot.
13. Ray Rice -- Jim Caldwell's usage of Bernard Pierce is a concern.
14. Steven Jackson -- Can be high-scoring workhorse in great offense.
15. Chris Johnson -- The guard additions help, but it's still up to him.
16. Stevan Ridley -- Shane Vereen is likely to cut into Ridley's carries.
17. Matt Forte -- Receptions will heat up in Marc Trestman's scheme.
18. Brandon Marshall -- Atop the tier-two receivers behind Megatron.
19. Dez Bryant -- Nipping at Marshall's heels after dominant 2012 run.
20. Julio Jones -- Only 24. Should continue his separation from White.
21. A.J. Green -- Only behind Dez and Julio because his QB is worse.
22. Percy Harvin -- Expect Seahawks to funnel offense through Harvin.
23. Demaryius Thomas -- Was the No. 5 fantasy receiver at age 24.
24. Larry Fitzgerald -- Palmer acquisition should rejuvenate Fitzgerald.
25. Frank Gore -- Aging but consistent. Best run-blocking line in NFL.
26. Drew Brees -- Sean Payton returns. More consistent than Rodgers.
27. Aaron Rodgers -- QB is crazy deep. New RBs may hurt him slightly.
28. Cam Newton -- No. 1 QB if he plays like he's capable for 16 games.
29. Tom Brady -- Wait on QBs this year. Brady offers value in round three.
30. Reggie Bush -- Could be legit RB1 in points-per-reception leagues.
31. Vincent Jackson -- Ideal fit with big-armed if inconsistent Freeman.
32. David Wilson -- Breakout candidate could lose TDs to Andre Brown.
33. Andre Johnson -- Top-10 fantasy wideout in four of last five seasons.
34. Michael Crabtree -- Exploded when Kaepernick replaced Alex Smith.
35. Chris Ivory -- Violent tackle breaker behind underrated Jets O-Line.
36. Darren McFadden -- Great talent averages five missed games a year.
37. DeMarco Murray -- Straight-linish, high-cut running style invites injuries.
38. Reggie Wayne -- Targets could take a hit in more balanced offense.
39. Roddy White -- Showing few signs of decline despite going on age 32.
40. Victor Cruz -- Contract situation not a worry yet. Annual 80+ catch guy.
41. Marques Colston -- Top-13 fantasy receiver in three of past four years.
42. Randall Cobb -- Full-time player now. Should lead Packers in catches.
43. Aaron Hernandez -- Gets a bump if Gronk's arm remains problematic.
44. Dwayne Bowe -- Smith is the best quarterback Bowe has ever had.
45. Matthew Stafford -- Best bounce-back bet at QB. Read why here.
46. Russell Wilson -- 29 all-purpose TDs over final 13 games last season.
47. Peyton Manning -- He's 37 now. Showed some signs of fade late in '12.
48. Colin Kaepernick -- Scored 19 all-purpose TDs across ten 2012 starts.