Mike Clay

Dynasty Rankings

print article archives RSS

Post-Draft Dynasty Ranks - QB

Friday, May 10, 2013


Tier 5

Rk

Name

Team

Age

22

Alex Smith

KC

29.3

23

Josh Freeman

TB

25.6

24

Geno Smith

NYJ

22.8

25

Jake Locker

TEN

25.2

26

Michael Vick

PHI

33.2

27

Matt Schaub

HST

32.2

28

Christian Ponder

MIN

25.5

29

Matt Flynn

OAK

28.2

30

Brandon Weeden

CLV

29.8



Traded to Kansas City, Alex Smith is locked in as the Chiefs’ 2013 starter. With Andy Reid in control of the offense, there will be no shortage of pass attempts. No longer protected by an elite defense and strong play-action offensive attack, 2013 will tell us if Smith really is a capable NFL starter. His ceiling figures to be a strong QB2 option…Freeman actually threw for 4,000 yards and finished as the No. 13 fantasy quarterback in 2012, but there are already doubts that he has a future as a starting quarterback at the NFL. Still just 25-years-old, there’s some upside here, but he’s not going to be an elite passer and his carries are progressively declining.

Geno Smith heads to New York where he’ll have a shot to play pretty early considering the team’s deficiencies at the quarterback position. Widely considered the top rookie talent at the position, there’s quite a bit of upside here, but the Jets’ underwhelming offense is setting him up for short-term failure. He’s a must-own in all dynasty formats, but don’t expect much from him in 2013…After a promising rookie season on a small sample of snaps, Locker was a popular 2012 breakout candidate. A handful of injuries and underwhelming production now have Tennessee’s 2011 first-round pick on the wrong side of a bust label. The Titans’ projected 2013 Week 1 starter, Locker has enough weapons and does enough with his legs to keep him in the QB2 conversation for now.

Vick is definitely a wild card, but with Chip Kelly in town, he has major upside during, at least, the upcoming season. His age (will be 33), declining play, and injury resume are concerns, but his high ceiling makes him well worth rostering…Schaub is closing in on age-32 and, although he’s signed through 2016, there are already rumblings that the team will (or should) be looking to upgrade at the position. Even if he sticks as the starter for a few more years, Houston has adopted an extremely run-heavy attack, capping Schaub’s ceiling.

Ponder has not lived up to expectations after being selected with the No. 12 overall pick of the 2011 draft. He’s the favorite for the Vikings’ Week 1 starting job in 2013, but, he’s not very good and his leash will be much shorter with Matt Cassel in town. Sell him if you can…Traded to the Raiders, Flynn will finally get his shot to prove his huge game in Week 17 of the 2011 season was no fluke. The supporting cast in Oakland is underwhelming, but Carson Palmer made for a decent QB2 last season thanks to plenty of second-half pass attempts. Flynn figures to top out as an average NFL quarterback, but we haven’t seen enough from him to completely write him off. He’s worth a flier.

With a new regime in Cleveland, Weeden is no longer on scholarship, especially after an underwhelming rookie season. He remains the favorite for the Week 1 starting job, but Jason Campbell will get every chance to win the gig. Already 29-years-old, there’s not much upside here.

Tier 6

Rk

Name

Team

Age

31

Nick Foles

PHI

24.6

32

Ryan Mallett

NE

25.2

33

Blaine Gabbert

JAX

23.8

34

Carson Palmer

ARZ

33.7

35

Kirk Cousins

WAS

25.0

36

Matt Barkley

PHI

22.9

37

Kevin Kolb

BUF

29.0



Foles is the underdog in the competition with Michael Vick and, to a lesser extent, Matt Barkley, for the Eagles’ starting job. He showed enough in limited rookie-season action to warrant a stash in most leagues…It appears Mallett will spend another season backing up Tom Brady. Considered to have first-round talent prior to the 2011 draft, there’s a ton of long-term upside here…Gabbert’s sophomore-season completion percentage increase was the highest among all rookies over the last five years. Of course, part of that was a product of an awful rookie season performance. There’s still a small chance Gabbert pans out, but he has the looks of a bust.

Traded to the Cardinals, Palmer has some short-term value as a QB2. Of course, he’s nearing 34 and will be on a short leash if the team struggles out of the gate…Cousins is a must-own as Griffin’s primary backup in Washington. In fact, he may even have to start a few games early in the 2013 season…Barkley figures to sit behind Michael Vick and Nick Foles this season, but the massive potential of the Chip Kelly offense makes him well-worth a roster stash…Kolb is one of the league’s most injury prone players, but was strong in limited action during the 2012 season. He’s the odds-on favorite to start for Buffalo in Week 1, but it won’t be long before rookie E.J. Manuel takes over.

Tier 7

Rk

Name

Team

Age

38

Tyler Wilson

OAK

24.0

39

Ryan Nassib

NYG

23.4

40

T.J. Yates

HST

26.3

41

Mike Glennon

TB

23.7

42

Mark Sanchez

NYJ

26.8

43

Jason Campbell

CLV

31.7

44

Chase Daniel

KC

26.8

45

Brock Osweiler

DEN

22.8

46

Terrelle Pryor

OAK

24.2

47

Landry Jones

PIT

24.3

48

Tyrod Taylor

BLT

24.0



If Matt Flynn doesn’t pan out, Wilson and Pryor figure to each get a look. Wilson is the better long-term stash…Yates isn’t pushing Schaub just yet in Houston, but the leash is getting shorter on the aging veteran…The Bucs don’t seem interested in extending Josh Freeman’s contact past 2013, which means Glennon could get a look as the team’s long-term quarterback as early as November…Sanchez could be the Jets’ Week 1 starter, but he’s not better than David Garrard or rookie Geno Smith…Campbell is nearing 32, but has a good chance to start some games for Cleveland this season, providing him with some short-term value.

Daniel will carry the clipboard in Kansas City and would get the first shot at the job if Alex Smith doesn’t pan out…Peyton Manning’s primary backup in Denver, Osweiler, a 2012 second-round pick, is a must-stash in all dynasty formats…Pryor will need Matt Flynn to fail, and has to beat out rookie Tyler Wilson, in order to even find reps in the Raiders’ porous offense…Jones won’t play much in the short-term, but he’ll be developed as a potential long-term Ben Roethlisberger replacement, or a trade chip… With Flacco extended for six years, Taylor is locked in as a backup for at least the next two seasons

Tier 8

Rk

Name

Team

Age

49

Drew Stanton

ARZ

29.3

50

Chad Henne

JAX

28.1

51

Matt Moore

MIA

29.0

52

Ryan Fitzpatrick

TEN

30.8

53

Matt Cassel

MIN

31.3

54

David Garrard

NYJ

35.5

55

Graham Harrell

GB

28.3

56

Colt McCoy

SF

26.9

57

Kyle Orton

DAL

30.8

58

Bruce Gradkowski

PIT

30.6

59

B.J. Coleman

GB

24.9

60

Tyler Bray

KC

21.4



12
Mike Clay is a football writer for Rotoworld.com and the Founder/Managing Editor of Pro Football Focus Fantasy. He can be found on Twitter @MikeClayNFL.
Email :Mike Clay



Highest Searched Players over the last 7 days



Video Center

  •  
    Levitan: Week 5 Waiver Wire

    Levitan: Week 5 Waiver Wire
  •  
    NFL Draft: Top 10 QBs

    NFL Draft: Top 10 QBs
  •  
    Tuesday

    Tuesday's Fantasy Minute
  •  
    Monday

    Monday's Fantasy Minute
  •  
    Beer

    Beer's NFL 6 Pack - WR & TE
  •  
    RotoPat: Week 4 Rankings

    RotoPat: Week 4 Rankings
  •  
    Beer’s NFL 6 Pack - QB & RB

    Beer’s NFL 6 Pack - QB & RB
  •  
    Thursday

    Thursday's Fantasy Minute