Evan Silva

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The Shy-Away Top 40

Wednesday, August 21, 2013

11. Cowboys WR Miles Austin -- A fading, 29-year-old possession receiver entering his last season in Dallas, Austin has a head-scratching seventh-round Average Draft Position despite offering little to no chance of providing difference-making fantasy impact. Greg Jennings, Josh Gordon, Golden Tate, and Chris Givens are superior fantasy bets, and all can be had later on.

12. Panthers RB Jonathan Stewart -- Painfully slow to recover from offseason surgery on both ankles, Stewart looks headed for reserve/PUP to open the season, costing him at least the first six games. Stewart appeared a step slow when he played in 2012, and his once-impressive burst and lateral agility may be gone for good. DeAngelo Williams' outlook is quietly on the rise.

13. Saints RB Mark Ingram -- Sean Payton is back from suspension and talking a good game about his 2013 rushing plans, but his club isn't positioned to run the ball. This will be a shootout team again. Already short on defensive talent, the Saints have lost critical pieces Victor Butler and Kenyon Coleman to year-ending injuries, and Jonathan Vilma is out indefinitely. An early-down back only, Ingram is a misfit on a passing team. He's not worth his eighth-round ADP.

14. Jaguars WR Justin Blackmon -- A certified knucklehead, Blackmon had already been suspended four games when he started a sideline skirmish with Dolphins CB Nolan Carroll in the preseason opener. Teammate Jason Babin told Blackmon to shut up -- he wasn't even playing -- so Blackmon started in on Babin. We're still waiting for Blackmon to "get it." Meanwhile, he'll likely end up on most fantasy league waiver wires early in the season. Don't bother wasting a draft pick.

15. Steelers RB Le'Veon Bell -- This one's obvious following Bell's Lisfranc diagnosis, but it would look weird if the list didn't include him. Bell is out 6-8 weeks at minimum, and may be placed on injured reserve/designated for return, costing him the first eight games. Bell will hit the waiver wire in fantasy leagues early in the season. Perhaps he'll be worth picking up a month or so into the year, but he's not worth a fantasy pick unless your league has injured reserve spots.

16. Titans WR Kendall Wright -- Beat writers claimed Wright was the best wideout at Titans camp, but the coaching staff never rewarded him. He played sparingly with the first-team offense in preseason games before spraining his right knee on August 17. Already "competing" for targets in a muddled receiver corps within Tennessee's low-percentage passing offense, Wright stands little to no chance of breaking out this year. It'll happen eventually. Just not in '13.

17. Colts TE Coby Fleener -- Particularly after Dwayne Allen's foot injury, the Colts gave Fleener every opportunity to succeed in a tight end-friendly passing game under old Stanford OC Pep Hamilton. Fleener responded with two drops, a lost fumble, a knee sprain, and a concussion in the first two preseason games. Fleener shies from contact and plays timidly in traffic. His athleticism is enticing, but don't be surprised if Fleener's role is scaled back when Allen returns.

18. Raiders WR Denarius Moore -- Moore can run like the wind, but has been plagued by inconsistency during coach Dennis Allen's tenure and was even benched late last year. Noodle-armed Matt Flynn is now Oakland's quarterback, which is bad news for deep threat Moore. Look for Rod Streater to lead the team in catches while Moore endures another up-and-down season.

19. Patriots WR Aaron Dobson -- Once a popular sleeper, second-round pick Dobson has been lapped by undrafted Kenbrell Thompkins in New England's "X" receiver derby. Dobson also looks to be behind fourth-round pick Josh Boyce. Barring an unlikely faceplant by Thompkins, Dobson will open the season as a situational wideout. He'll be dropped quickly in most leagues.

20. Broncos RB Ronnie Hillman -- Although Hillman has improved in pass protection and offers modest change-of-pace back skills, he's not a serious contender for Denver's lead-back job. He runs soft between the tackles and frequently gets swallowed at the line of scrimmage. Hillman also lost a goal-line fumble in the second preseason game, drawing a noticeable sideline eyeroll from Peyton Manning. Montee Ball and Knowshon Moreno are both better fantasy picks.

21. Saints WR Lance Moore -- Moore finished 2012 as a top-20 wideout scorer, but only topped 70 receiving yards in 4-of-15 fantasy relevant weeks and had an increased role due to Darren Sproles and Jimmy Graham's injuries. Sproles and Graham are healthy now, relegating Moore to the No. 4 option in New Orleans' passing attack. Moore is merely a bye-week WR3.

22. Bears WR Alshon Jeffery -- Jeffery will struggle to fulfill breakout hopes as the No. 4 option in Chicago's passing offense behind Brandon Marshall, Matt Forte, and Martellus Bennett -- without even mentioning slot receiver Earl Bennett. Jeffery has an intriguing skill set as a 6-foot-3, 216-pound wideout capable of making contested catches, but doesn't separate from coverage and is penalty prone. There's little chance Marc Trestman makes Jeffery a passing-game priority.

23. Chargers TE Antonio Gates -- There is a case to be made for Gates as a bounce-back candidate in San Diego's new quick-drop, receiver-thin passing game, but the odds remain long he'll reemerge as a serious fantasy threat. Second-year tight end Ladarius Green is coming on strong to poach targets down the seam, and wideout Vincent Brown is another effective underneath presence. Gates is 33 years old, and line woes may force him into frequent blocking assignments, limiting Gates' volume of pass patterns. His ceiling is a low-end TE1.

24. Bengals RB BenJarvus Green-Ellis -- The Bengals want to play faster in 2013, using more uptempo-oriented personnel groupings that don't include two-down plodders like Green-Ellis. Giovani Bernard's between-the-tackles limitations will ensure Law Firm retains a situational role, but he's going to be phased out of a feature back job. Bernard will lead the team in touches, and by quite a bit.

25. Rams TE Jared Cook -- Cook was a better real-life than fantasy player in Tennessee, and that will remain the case in St. Louis. The Rams have a ton of mouths to feed in the passing offense, and Cook's inability to move efficiently in short areas will always prevent him from becoming a high-volume receiver. He has big-play ability, but is a lock for fantasy inconsistency.

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Evan Silva is a senior football editor for Rotoworld.com. He can be found on Twitter .
Email :Evan Silva

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