Adam Levitan

Waiver Wired

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Waiver Wire: Week 5

Tuesday, October 01, 2013


TIGHT ENDS
1. Heath Miller, Steelers – Owned in 44 percent of Yahoo leagues
Heath Miller was my No. 1 add at the tight end position last week, so hopefully most of you already scooped him up. After playing on 30-of-66 snaps in his Week 3 debut, he flew across the pond and played on 75-of-79 snaps Sunday. It’s clear the knee that he blew out in Week 15 of last year is not a concern. Miller averaged 4.7 catches for 54.4 yards with eight touchdowns in 2012 – numbers that are sustainable going forward this year.
Recommendation: Should be owned in 10-team leagues

2. Coby Fleener, Colts – Owned in 32 percent of Yahoo leagues
A lot of knee-jerk owners bailed on Fleener when he was held to two catches for 13 yards on two targets in Week 3. Owners that saw the bigger picture and held on were rewarded in Week 4, when Fleener ripped up the Jags for a 5/77/1 line. The truth is that nothing really changed too much between the two weeks. Fleener is an every-down move tight end that is an athletic pass-catcher. He’s been featured by Andrew Luck and Pep Hamilton going all the way back to Stanford. There’s more than enough upside to ride out week-to-week inconsistencies.
Recommendation: Should be owned in 10-team leagues

3. Charles Clay, Dolphins – Owned in 47 percent of Yahoo leagues
We can’t keep underrating how athletic Clay is – and how involved in the gameplan he is. Through four weeks, he’s caught no fewer than four passes in each game and has seen 25 targets. That’s two fewer than Mike Wallace and three fewer than Brandon Gibson. On Monday night, we saw the Dolphins draw up a pretty goal-line pattern for Clay to score on a touch throw from Ryan Tannehill. Clay, who has played on 83.2 percent of the snaps this season, is a high-end TE2 that’s here to stay.
Recommendation: Should be owned in 12-team leagues

4. Brandon Pettigrew, Lions – Owned in 34 percent of Yahoo leagues
At least for one week, the Lions decided to bump up Brandon Pettigrew’s usage as a work-around for Nate Burleson’s absence. Pettigrew did his catch-and-fall thing well against the Bears, hauling in all seven of his targets for 54 yards. As discussed in this space last week, Pettigrew is just a PPR add because he provides nothing after the catch and has scored a total of 14 touchdowns in 61 games. But as deep-league owners know, anyone projecting to get five catches a week can help us. The Lions are a good bet to continue to use short Pettigrew passes as an extension of their running game.
Recommendation: Should be owned in deeper 12-team PPR leagues

5. Kellen Winslow, Jets – Owned in 9 percent of Yahoo leagues
The Jets lost Stephen Hill (concussion) two plays into Sunday’s loss and then Santonio Holmes (hamstring) bowed out in the fourth quarter. That led to a renewed emphasis on Kellen Winslow, who finished with a 6/73/0 line on nine targets. Both wideouts are very questionable for this week’s Monday night game at Atlanta. Winslow is always going to be very risky because of his balky knees and Geno Smith’s erratic style, but the Jets may not have a choice but to target the 30-year-old veteran heavily. A potential starting wideout duo of Jeremy Kerley and Clyde Gates is scary.
Recommendation: Should be owned in 14-team leagues

Watch List: Jordan Reed, Scott Chandler, Tyler Eifert, Brent Celek, Garrett Graham, Rob Housler, Clay Harbor – Reed should be over his quad issue after the bye. I like him more than Fred Davis. … If you need a TE2 with very little upside, Chandler is your man. … Eifert continues to play about 60 percent of the snaps weekly, but Jermaine Gresham is crippling his chances. … Celek would have had a nice Week 4 line if not for a horrific drop at the 5-yard line. … Graham is just the No. 4 option on a run-first team. … Housler has too much talent not to watch, but he’s not a focal point in the Arians scheme. … Clay Harbor is going to be the pass-catching TE in Jacksonville indefinitely after Marcedes Lewis aggravated his calf injury. If only the Jags had a QB.
 
DEFENSE/SPECIAL TEAMS
1. Falcons – Owned in 17 percent of Yahoo leagues
Desperate teams often show up big in the NFL. And now that the Falcons sit at 1-3, they can safely consider Monday Night’s home game against the Jets a must-win. Expect extra juice and energy out of the defense as they get after error-prone rookie Geno Smith and the Jets. Smith is second in the NFL in interceptions (8), tied for second in sacks taken (14) and has fumbled twice. He might not have either of his top wideouts in Stephen Hill (concussion) and Santonio Holmes (hamstring).

2. Rams – Owned in 51 percent of Yahoo leagues
St. Louis is 1-3 and has been among the league’s biggest disappointments. Their defense is giving up 27.2 points per game and has generated just five turnovers. But they are a no-brainer stream this week because they face the league’s most inept quarterback, Blaine Gabbert. During his three-year career, Gabbert has gone 5-21 as a starter, completing just 53.4 percent of his passes while throwing 21 touchdowns against 22 interceptions. He’s a disaster waiting to happen.

3. Browns – Owned in 8 percent of Yahoo leagues
We saw what this unit is capable of in Week 4 as they completely dominated a very talented Bengals offense. For my money, Joe Haden is right there with Darrelle Revis and Richard Sherman as the best shadow corner in the league. He’ll easily lock up Stevie Johnson when the Browns host the Bills on Thursday night. It doesn’t hurt that both C.J. Spiller (ankle) and Fred Jackson (knee) are questionable. We also have the trend of Thursday Night Football games turning uglier than expected. 13 of the last 19 have stayed under the posted total in Vegas.

KICKERS  
1. Greg Zuerlein, Rams – Owned in 31 percent of Yahoo leagues
Many owners have already given up on Greg Zuerlein or will give up on him. After all, he’s attempted a grand total of one field goal in the last two weeks thanks to the ineptitude of the Rams offense. But this week he gets the medicine that cures all – a home date with the Jacksonville Jaguars. The Leg should get at least two field goals and a few extra points.

2. Nick Novak, Chargers – Owned in 10 percent of Yahoo leagues
The offshoot of Philip Rivers renaissance under Mike McCoy has been chances for Nick Novak. Through four weeks, he’s already racked up nine field-goal attempts and 12 extra points. Now Novak gets to go to Oakland, where he’ll get plenty more opportunities thanks to the Raiders’ Swiss cheese defense.

3. Steven Hauschka, Seahawks – Owned in 33 percent of Yahoo leagues
Ideally, we like our kickers to be in a dome. And that’s the case with Hauschka this week, as he’s at Indianapolis. The veteran is already 8-of-8 on the season.



Adam Levitan is in his sixth season covering football and basketball for Rotoworld. He won the Fantasy Sports Writers Association award for Best Series in 2011 and 2009, and ESPN's overall fantasy football title in 2000. Find him on Twitter.
Email :Adam Levitan



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