Chet Gresham

Targets and Touches

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Week 9 Target Watch: AFC

Thursday, October 31, 2013


Welcome to the AFC targets and touches for Week 9 of the NFL season. The NFC portion can be found by hovering that pointy thing over HERE and then “clicking.”

 

This week since I had a little more time due to the byes I’ve added a few wrinkles to the target stats. I have all the targets for each player since Week 2, and then in parentheses I have the total targets for the year followed by another parenthesized number, which is the average targets per game played for that player. Then below that I have the Red Zone targets and touches for each player. The wrinkle I added there was instead of just targets I’m given you both targets and rushing attempts. That allows us to see how many times a player was given an opportunity to have the ball inside the opponent’s 20 yard line. So of course the running backs will have larger numbers there.  And if anything is confusing hit me up on twitter or in the comments and I will happily explain.

 

 

Editor's Note: Rotoworld's partner FanDuel is hosting a one-week $300,000 Fantasy Football league for Week 9. It's $25 to join and first prize is $25,000. Starts Sunday at 1pm ET. Here's the link.

 

 

Baltimore Ravens


Torrey Smith: 13-9-12-9-4-6-BYE (61) (8.7), Dallas Clark: 1-7-9-0-6-4-BYE (39) (5.6), Marlon Brown: 6-3-8-dnp-7-4-BYE (34) (5.7), Ray Rice: 3-dnp-1-7-4-5-BYE (31) (5.2), Tandon Doss: 0-0-9-5-6-3-BYE (23) (3.8), Brandon Stokley: 5-1-dnp-dnp-dnp-dnp-BYE (16) (5.3), Vonta Leach: 2-2-2-1-2-1-BYE (14) (2), Jacoby Jones: dnp-dnp-dnp-dnp-2-8-BYE (14) (4.7), Ed Dickson: 1-0-3-2-0-2-BYE (13) (1.9), Deonte Thompson: dnp-dnp-5-7-0-0-BYE (12) (3), Bernard Pierce: 1-2-1-0-2-1-BYE (8) (1.1), Billy Bajema: 1-0-0-0-1-dnp-BYE (2) (0.3), Kyle Juszczyk: 0-0-0-1-0-0-BYE (1) (0.1)

 

Jacoby Jones beat out Torrey Smith for the target lead against the Steelers, but Smith still led the team in yardage. Jones has now passed Marlon Brown for snaps and is back as the #2 wide receiver.

 

Rice had another tough game, but these Steelers/Ravens games are always tough. He had five targets and 15 rushing attempts and totaled 72 yards. I’m not going to tell you those are great numbers, but against lesser opponents they would be much better.

 

Red Zone Targets+Touches: Ray Rice: 6-0-0-2-5-4-4-BYE (21), Bernard Pierce: 1-3-4-1-0-1-0-BYE (10), Dallas Clark: 2-0-1-1-0-1-2-BYE (7), Vonta Leach: 2-0-0-1-0-0-2-BYE (5), Torrey Smith: 1-0-1-2-1-0-0-BYE (5), Marlon Brown: 1-1-0-1-0-2-0-BYE (5), Tandon Doss: 0-0-0-0-1-1-1-BYE (3), Jacoby Jones: 0-0-0-0-0-1-2-BYE (3), Brandon Stokley: 1-0-0-0-0-0-0-BYE (1), Deonte Thompson: 0-0-0-0-1-0-0-BYE (1)

 

Dallas Clark caught a red zone touchdown in this one and leads the team in red zone targets over the last five games. It doesn’t look like Clark is going away anytime soon, but his upside is severely limited by his slowness.

 

 

Buffalo Bills

 

Steve Johnson: 10-13-6-3-dnp-13-11 (62) (8.9), Robert Woods: 6-10-8-13-6-4-3 (52) (6.5), Scott Chandler: 6-6-3-6-4-3-11 (45) (5.6), Fred Jackson: 6-5-0-6-5-5-4 (36) (4.5), T.J. Graham: 3-5-3-5-6-2-4 (29) (3.6), C.J. Spiller: 5-1-0-0-2-3-dnp (17) (2.4), Marquise Goodwin: dnp-dnp-dnp-dnp-3-0-5 (9) (2.2), Chris Hogan: 0-0-0-5-3-0-0 (8) (1), Tashard Choice: 1-1-0-0-3-1-0 (6) (0.8), Lee Smith: 0-0-2-1-0-1-0 (4) (0.5), Frank Summers: 2-0-0-0-0-0-1 (3) (0.4), Marcus Easley: 0-0-0-1-0-0-0 (1) (0.1)

 

Stevie Johnson is back on top of the target list for Buffalo and came out of the Saints game with seven receptions for 72 yards and a touchdown, but he looked like he reaggravated a groin injury. Tight end Scott Chandler tied Johnson with 11 targets and had the exact same seven receptions for 72 yards, but missed on the touchdown. His 11 targets are by far the highest total in his career and follow two games with four and three targets and no games higher than six. It is interesting and something to keep an eye on, especially if Johnson can’t get back to 100%.

 

Red Zone Targets+Touches: Fred Jackson: 0-2-4-3-2-3-4-5 (23), Tashard Choice: 0-0-0-0-2-3-6-0 (11), C.J. Spiller: 0-2-2-4-0-0-0-0 (8), Steve Johnson: 1-3-1-0-0-0-2-1 (8), Robert Woods: 1-1-1-1-0-0-0-0 (4), Scott Chandler: 0-2-0-0-0-0-1-1 (4), T.J. Graham: 0-1-0-0-0-0-0-0 (1), Lee Smith: 0-0-0-1-0-0-0-0 (1)

 

Running backs have totaled 42 looks in the red zone in comparison to 18 total for wide receivers and tight ends. C.J. Spiller has been hurt and didn’t play last week, but also hadn’t seen a red zone look the three weeks before. He very much needs to get healthy to be trusted again.

 

 

Cincinnati Bengals

 

A.J. Green: 14-8-15-8-11-8-7 (84) (10.5), Jermaine Gresham: 9-5-5-4-4-5-3 (40) (5), Mohamed Sanu: 8-5-6-2-6-2-3 (37) (4.6), Tyler Eifert: 5-2-5-7-3-4-4 (35) (4.4), Marvin Jones: 4-4-3-2-5-6-8 (34) (4.2), Giovani Bernard: 2-4-7-3-7-6-2 (33) (4.1), Dane Sanzenbacher: dnp-0-1-0-1-1-2 (5) (0.8), BenJarvus Green-Ellis: 1-0-0-1-1-0-0 (4) (0.5), Brandon Tate: 0-0-0-0-1-0-1 (2) (0.2), Alex Smith: 1-0-0-0-0-0-0 (1) (0.1)

 

This game was the Andy Dalton and Marvin Jones show. Dalton threw for a career high five touchdowns and Jones caught four touchdowns, which would be the career high for many hall of fame wide receivers. The amazing thing is that Jones saw eight targets and caught each one of them to total 122 yards and those four touchdowns on just 13 routes run.  Three of those routes came from the slot and he was targeted on each catching all three including two touchdowns. He works very well in small spaces hence the many red zone targets.

 

Red Zone Targets+Touches: BenJarvus Green-Ellis: 3-3-1-2-3-1-0-3 (16), Giovani Bernard: 0-1-2-2-1-2-2-2 (12), A.J. Green: 2-2-1-2-0-2-0-1 (10), Marvin Jones: 0-0-1-0-0-1-1-5 (8), Mohamed Sanu: 0-1-1-0-0-1-1-1 (5), Tyler Eifert: 0-0-0-1-1-1-0-2 (5), Jermaine Gresham: 0-0-0-0-0-1-0-1 (2)

 

 

Cleveland Browns

 

Jordan Cameron: 7-11-12-5-6-9-4 (67) (8.4), Josh Gordon: dnp-19-9-6-9-6-10 (59) (9.8), Davone Bess: 8-10-6-5-3-6-8 (56) (7), Greg Little: 12-8-2-5-5-9-3 (54) (6.8), Chris Ogbonnaya: 3-5-5-2-12-2-4 (36) (4.5), Travis Benjamin: 1-0-1-1-2-0-0 (13) (1.6), Gary Barnidge: 0-0-1-1-3-1-1 (8) (1), Fozzy Whittaker: 0-0-dnp-dnp-0-5-2 (7) (1.2), Willis McGahee: dnp-0-0-2-1-1-2 (6) (1), Tori Gurley: 1-dnp-dnp-dnp-dnp-0-dnp (3) (1), MarQueis Gray: dnp-0-0-0-0-1-1 (2) (0.3)

 

It looks like Jason Campbell knows who his playmakers are with 213 yards on nine receptions for Josh Gordon and Jordan Cameron. With those two it’s really about getting them the ball without turning it over and Campbell did a good job of that against a very good Kansas City team and that gave him another start.

 

Red Zone Targets+Touches: Willis McGahee: 0-0-0-4-10-3-1-1 (19), Jordan Cameron: 4-0-5-1-2-1-2-0 (15), Greg Little: 2-0-2-1-0-1-1-0 (7), Chris Ogbonnaya: 0-0-0-1-0-3-2-0 (6), Davone Bess: 1-1-1-2-0-0-0-0 (5), Josh Gordon: 0-0-1-0-0-1-2-0 (4), Fozzy Whittaker: 0-0-0-0-0-0-1-1 (2), Gary Barnidge: 0-0-0-0-0-2-0-0 (2), Tori Gurley: 1-0-0-0-0-0-0-0 (1)

 

 

Denver Broncos


Wes Welker: 8-8-9-6-8-12-10 (72) (9), Eric Decker: 13-8-7-8-7-13-7 (70) (8.8), Demaryius Thomas: 6-11-10-6-5-9-11 (69) (8.6), Julius Thomas: 9-4-4-12-7-6-3 (52) (6.5), Knowshon Moreno: 3-2-1-5-10-6-6 (36) (4.5), Ronnie Hillman: 0-1-3-4-2-1-dnp (13) (1.9), Andre Caldwell: 1-0-2-0-0-0-2 (6) (0.8), Montee Ball: 2-0-0-0-2-0-1 (5) (0.6), Virgil Green: 1-2-1-0-0-0-1 (5) (0.6), Joel Dreessen: dnp-dnp-0-0-1-0-2 (3) (0.6), Jacob Tamme: 0-1-0-0-0-1-1 (3) (0.4)

 

Demaryius Thomas got back on the target wagon with his highest number since Week 3 and it paid off with seven receptions for 75 yards and a touchdown. Manning wasn’t throwing the ball particularly well down field so he let his teammates do much of the work after the catch. Wes Welker caught his ninth touchdown pass, which ties his career high, in the eighth game of the season. Welker’s route running coupled with Manning’s less than rocket arm and his still superior decision-making, Welker is in the perfect place.

 

Red Zone Targets+Touches: Knowshon Moreno: 0-1-1-4-7-8-2-3 (26), Wes Welker: 3-1-2-3-2-2-4-2 (19), Ronnie Hillman: 0-0-3-4-4-2-2-0 (15), Julius Thomas: 0-1-1-0-4-4-3-0 (13), Eric Decker: 1-2-1-0-2-1-4-1 (12), Demaryius Thomas: 1-1-1-2-0-1-0-4 (10), Montee Ball: 2-2-0-0-1-0-0-4 (9), Virgil Green: 0-0-0-1-0-0-0-1 (2), Joel Dreessen: 0-0-0-0-0-0-0-1 (1)

 

Demaryius Thomas had four red zone targets over the previous five games coming into this one and saw four just in this one game. Peyton manning never forgets about one of his receivers for too long.

 

 

Houston Texans


Andre Johnson: 13-6-12-10-8-6-BYE (71) (10.1), DeAndre Hopkins: 13-7-3-4-5-4-BYE (42) (6), Owen Daniels: 5-9-11-9-dnp-dnp-BYE (41) (8.2), Arian Foster: 4-2-8-5-7-0-BYE (34) (4.9), Garrett Graham: 5-0-6-5-4-8-BYE (33) (4.7), Ben Tate: 4-4-1-2-4-3-BYE (20) (2.9), Keshawn Martin: 2-3-6-1-2-0-BYE (14) (2), DeVier Posey: 0-4-dnp-2-1-2-BYE (9) (1.5), Lestar Jean: 1-dnp-dnp-dnp-2-2-BYE (5) (1.2), Ryan Griffin: 0-0-1-0-3-0-BYE (4) (0.6), Greg Jones: 0-0-1-1-2-0-BYE (4) (0.6)

 

With third string quarterback Case Keenum getting his first NFL start on the road amidst a sea of red in Arrowhead stadium the likelihood of Houston’s receivers putting up good numbers was slim.  But instead of being overwhelmed Keenum took it to the number one defense in the league. He had his hiccups of course, but was able to give Andre Johnson and DeAndre Hopkins quality targets and quality fantasy points.

 

Red Zone Targets+Touches: Arian Foster: 2-4-4-5-0-2-0-BYE (17), Ben Tate: 1-1-0-0-0-9-0-BYE (11), Garrett Graham: 1-3-0-1-0-2-0-BYE (7), DeAndre Hopkins: 2-2-0-0-0-1-1-BYE (6), Owen Daniels: 2-1-1-1-0-0-0-BYE (5), Andre Johnson: 0-0-2-1-0-0-0-BYE (3), Greg Jones: 0-0-0-0-0-1-1-BYE (2), Keshawn Martin: 0-0-0-1-0-1-0-BYE (2), DeVier Posey: 0-0-0-0-0-1-0-BYE (1),

 

Over the last five weeks the Texans have run the ball 19 times inside the red zone and passed it 17 times and they have two touchdowns from those plays.

 

 

Indianapolis Colts


Reggie Wayne: 8-7-11-9-8-8-BYE (59) (8.4), T.Y. Hilton: 12-4-9-6-8-11-BYE (55) (7.9), Darrius Heyward-Bey: 5-5-6-6-2-7-BYE (35) (5), Coby Fleener: 8-2-7-3-6-5-BYE (32) (4.6), Trent Richardson: 5-3-1-1-2-0-BYE (18) (2.6), Donald Brown: 0-1-2-2-2-3-BYE (10) (1.4), Stanley Havili: 2-1-2-dnp-1-2-BYE (8) (1.3), Ahmad Bradshaw: 3-4-dnp-dnp-dnp-dnp-BYE (8) (2.7), Griff Whalen: 3-0-dnp-dnp-dnp-dnp-BYE (3) (1), Dominique Jones: 2-0-1-0-0-dnp-BYE (3) (0.5)

 

On the season T.Y. Hilton is averaging 7.9 targets per game and Reggie Wayne was at 8.4.  With Wayne done for the season that leaves quite a few targets to be dispensed to Hilton, Darrius Heyward-Bey, Coby Fleener and the new #3 receiver, LaVon Brazill. There’s no way to know how things will shake out, but these guys aren’t going to see less targets going forward!

 

Trent Richardson and Donald Brown are splitting snaps fairly evenly, with Richardson at 39 and Brown at 36 last week. Brown will see more work in up-tempo pass first games like against the Broncos while Richardson is used more in lower scoring slow down games.

 

Red Zone Targets+Touches: Coby Fleener: 1-3-1-1-0-0-3-BYE (9), Reggie Wayne: 1-1-0-3-0-1-1-BYE (7), Donald Brown: 0-1-0-2-1-0-2-BYE (6), Trent Richardson: 0-0-1-3-0-1-0-BYE (5), Darrius Heyward-Bey: 0-2-0-1-0-0-1-BYE (4), Stanley Havili: 0-0-0-2-0-0-1-BYE (3), T.Y. Hilton: 0-0-1-0-0-0-0-BYE (1)

 

Hilton is usually more of a deep passing threat, but will be used in more ways now that Wayne is out, so he should see a few more red zone targets. Coby Fleener could benefit the most in this area, as he is already a red zone threat.

 


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Chet Gresham writes Target Watch and The Morning After for Rotoworld.com and is the founder of The Fake Football. Chet can be found on Twitter .
Email :Chet Gresham



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