Chet Gresham

Targets and Touches

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Week 12 Target Watch: NFC

Wednesday, November 20, 2013


Welcome to the NFC targets and touches for Week 12 of the NFL season. The AFC portion will be up tomorrow night.

 

I have all the targets for each player since Week 7, and then in parentheses is the total and then average targets per game played for that player. Then below that I have the Red Zone targets and touches for each player, now sorted for rushing attempts and passing targets from Week 7 on. Targets, runs and analysis oh my! It’s as easy as following me on Twitter.

 

 

Arizona Cardinals

 

Michael Floyd: 10-4-BYE-2-11 (27) (6.8), Larry Fitzgerald: 5-7-BYE-6-9 (27) (6.8), Andre Roberts: 8-2-BYE-8-4 (22) (5.5), Rob Housler: 7-1-BYE-5-9 (22) (5.5), Andre Ellington: 5-2-BYE-4-2 (13) (3.2), Jim Dray: 2-0-BYE-2-2 (6) (1.5), Rashard Mendenhall: 0-dnp-BYE-1-3 (4) (1.3), Jaron Brown: 2-0-BYE-2-0 (4) (1), Alfonso Smith: 4-0-BYE-0-0 (4) (1), Jake Ballard: dnp-dnp-BYE-1-1 (2) (1)

 

Carson Palmer’s season has been horrid for the most part. He’s no longer a quarterback who can put up good games against good defenses and this season the Cardinals have faced their share of good pass defenses like the Saints, Panthers, 49ers, Seahawks and Texans. In Week 11 he faced the Jaguars and finally was able to break out with a big game completing 30-of-42 passes for 419 yards and two touchdowns.

 

The target leaders were Michael Floyd with 11, Larry Fitzgerald 9 and Rob Housler 9. Thankfully the Jaguars scored twice in the first quarter which kept the Cardinals in pass mode and Palmer finished with those 42 attempts. Floyd’s 11 targets were his most on the season and his 193 yards were the most in his career. He caught a 91 yard touchdown and made three people miss on his way for the touchdown. His previous high in yardage this season was 87 yards, but he has now caught a touchdown in three of his last five games. With an easier schedule on the way he could have some value.

 

Rob Housler is becoming a more trusted part of the Cardinals’ pass catchers and he had his most targets on the season and most yards with 70. To get Larry Fitzgerald, Floyd and Housler enough targets and production in any given game will be tough, but with the dearth of fantasy tight ends this season Housler is someone whose arrow is pointing up.

 

Red Zone Targets+Touches: Larry Fitzgerald: Run 0/Tar 6, Rob Housler: Run 0/Tar 3, Jim Dray: Run 0/Tar 3, Andre Roberts: Run 0/Tar 3, Andre Ellington: Run 3/Tar 3, Michael Floyd: Run 0/Tar 3, Jaron Brown: Run 0/Tar 1, Carson Palmer: Run 0/Tar 0, Stepfan Taylor: Run 3/Tar 0, Rashard Mendenhall: Run 4/Tar 0

 

 

Editor's Note: Rotoworld's partner FanDuel is hosting a one-week $300,000 Fantasy Football league for Week 12. It's $25 to join and first prize is $25,000. Starts Sunday at 1pm ET. Here's the link.

 

 

Atlanta Falcons

 

Harry Douglas: 7-18-5-8-9 (47) (9.4), Tony Gonzalez: 4-8-7-5-8 (32) (6.4), Jacquizz Rodgers: 9-5-6-7-2 (29) (5.8), Darius Johnson: 3-9-2-2-7 (23) (4.6), Steven Jackson: dnp-5-4-5-2 (16) (4), Roddy White: dnp-0-dnp-4-9 (13) (4.3), Drew Davis: 1-7-2-1-0 (11) (2.2), Levine Toilolo: 0-3-0-0-2 (5) (1), Jason Snelling: 0-dnp-0-4-dnp (4) (1.3), Patrick DiMarco: dnp-2-1-0-1 (4) (1), Chase Coffman: dnp-2-0-0-0 (2) (0.5), Josh Vaughan: dnp-dnp-dnp-dnp-2 (2) (2), Antone Smith: 0-0-0-0-1 (1) (0.2)

 

Roddy White was bottled up by Darrelle Revis, which left Harry Douglas some room to roam on an 80 yard touchdown reception that came late in the third quarter with the team already down 32 points. Douglas’ day was the best for fantasy, but on the whole it was yet another notch in the Falcons’ lost season. Before the Falcons got down by so much they hadn’t done anything positive except for a glimmer of hope from Steven Jackson.

 

Pro Football Focus graded Jackson’s game as one of his best. On just 13 touches on offense he managed to force seven missed tackles. Of course the Falcons got behind so fast that he ended up with just those 13 touches, but it’s a good sign, especially with the way he has played since returning from his hamstring injury.

 

Red Zone Targets+Touches: Jacquizz Rodgers: Run 4/Tar 4, Roddy White: Run 0/Tar 3, Darius Johnson: Run 0/Tar 3, Levine Toilolo: Run 0/Tar 2, Tony Gonzalez: Run 0/Tar 2, Harry Douglas: Run 0/Tar 2, Steven Jackson: Run 4/Tar 2, Brian Robiskie: Run 0/Tar 1, Drew Davis: Run 0/Tar 1, Jason Snelling: Run 3/Tar 0

 

 

Carolina Panthers

 

Steve Smith: 6-7-10-11-6 (40) (8), Brandon LaFell: 4-5-9-8-8 (34) (6.8), Greg Olsen: 4-4-5-3-8 (24) (4.8), Ted Ginn: 2-6-3-4-3 (18) (3.6), DeAngelo Williams: 1-3-2-2-3 (11) (2.2), Mike Tolbert: 0-4-4-3-0 (11) (2.2), Jonathan Stewart: dnp-dnp-3-0-0 (3) (1), Domenik Hixon: 0-1-0-1-0 (2) (0.4), Kenjon Barner: dnp-1-dnp-0-dnp (1) (0.5), Richie Brockel: 0-1-0-0-0 (1) (0.2)

 

The Monday night thrill ride was one of the best games of the season and Cam Newton was the catalyst for his team’s win. He’s probably never going to be as accurate as some of the top quarterbacks, but he often makes up for it with his running ability. Against the Patriots he completed 19-of-28 passes for 209 yards and three touchdowns while also running seven times for 62 yards. Greg Olsen and Brandon LaFell led the way with eight targets apiece and both found the end zone. Olsen now has a touchdown in three of his last four games.

 

The running game is a mess for fantasy and against the depleted Patriots they were a mess in reality as well. Cam Newton outgained all three of their running backs with his 62 yards rushing.

 

Red Zone Targets+Touches: Greg Olsen: Run 0/Tar 6, Steve Smith: Run 0/Tar 3, Brandon LaFell: Run 0/Tar 1, Mike Tolbert: Run 7/Tar 1, Richie Brockel: Run 0/Tar 1, Ted Ginn: Run 0/Tar 1, DeAngelo Williams: Run 11/Tar 0, Kenjon Barner: Run 1/Tar 0, Cam Newton: Run 5/Tar 0

 

 

Chicago Bears

 

Brandon Marshall: 10-BYE-13-12-10 (45) (11.2), Alshon Jeffery: 7-BYE-9-18-11 (45) (11.2), Matt Forte: 3-BYE-8-7-6 (24) (6), Martellus Bennett: 3-BYE-8-6-2 (19) (4.8), Earl Bennett: 4-BYE-0-3-1 (8) (2), Dante Rosario: 0-BYE-0-2-0 (2) (0.5), Marquess Wilson: 1-BYE-1-0-0 (2) (0.5), Tony Fiammetta: 0-BYE-0-1-1 (2) (0.5), Michael Bush: dnp-BYE-1-0-0 (1) (0.3)

 

This game was marred by poor weather, but Josh McCown played admirably and kept from turning the ball over and made enough plays against a good Ravens defense to win the game.  His 216 yards and one touchdown aren’t winning you many fantasy games, but it’s a good sign for him in easier conditions.

 

Alshon Jeffery and Brandon Marshall are tied with 45 targets over the last four games and both have been able to put up good fantasy numbers. The Bears are averaging 37 pass attempts a game and it looks like both their top receivers can get around 10 targets a game.

 

Matt Forte was able to put up a nice game in the wind and slop rushing 18 times for 83 yards and catching five of six targets for 42 yards and a touchdown. I have never seen a Bears offense this good. Marc Trestman is seriously a miracle worker.

 

Red Zone Targets+Touches: Alshon Jeffery: Run 0/Tar 7, Brandon Marshall: Run 0/Tar 6, Martellus Bennett: Run 0/Tar 4, Matt Forte: Run 12/Tar 3, Tony Fiammetta: Run 0/Tar 1, Dante Rosario: Run 0/Tar 1, Josh McCown: Run 1/Tar 0, Michael Bush: Run 3/Tar 0

 

 

Dallas Cowboys

 

Dez Bryant: 16-6-11-2-BYE (35) (8.8), Terrance Williams: 7-10-7-5-BYE (29) (7.2), Jason Witten: 6-2-10-6-BYE (24) (6), Cole Beasley: 7-3-9-4-BYE (23) (5.8), DeMarco Murray: dnp-dnp-7-2-BYE (9) (4.5), Joseph Randle: 4-4-0-0-BYE (8) (2), James Hanna: 0-2-1-3-BYE (6) (1.5), Dwayne Harris: 0-2-2-1-BYE (5) (1.2), Phillip Tanner: 2-1-0-0-BYE (3) (0.8), Miles Austin: 3-dnp-dnp-dnp-BYE (3) (3), Lance Dunbar: dnp-0-3-0-BYE (3) (1), Gavin Escobar: 1-0-0-0-BYE (1) (0.2)

 

If Dez Bryant gets just two targets and wasn’t injured for three or more quarters, you know something went terribly wrong. There weren’t a ton of targets to go around since the Cowboys couldn’t sustain any drives, but when your best receiver is fifth on the target list you have problems. Rob Ryan and company did a great job of bracketing Bryant while the Cowboys did a lousy job of finding ways to get him the ball.

 

Romo completed just ten of 24 passes for 128 yards and a touchdown. This was his worst yardage game since Week 2 of 2009 and his worst completion percentage game since week 14 of 2007. I think Rob Ryan might have wanted a little revenge.

 

Red Zone Targets+Touches: Dez Bryant: Run 0/Tar 3, Terrance Williams: Run 0/Tar 3, Cole Beasley: Run 0/Tar 3, Jason Witten: Run 0/Tar 1, DeMarco Murray: Run 4/Tar 1, Dwayne Harris: Run 0/Tar 1, Phillip Tanner: Run 1/Tar 0, Joseph Randle: Run 1/Tar 0

 

 

Detroit Lions

 

Calvin Johnson: 15-16-BYE-17-13 (61) (15.2), Reggie Bush: 5-9-BYE-6-5 (25) (6.2), Kris Durham: 8-6-BYE-1-9 (24) (6), Brandon Pettigrew: 7-6-BYE-5-5 (23) (5.8), Joique Bell: 4-1-BYE-1-4 (10) (2.5), Jeremy Ross: 0-3-BYE-3-3 (9) (2.2), Joseph Fauria: 4-0-BYE-2-2 (8) (2), Ryan Broyles: 4-2-BYE-dnp-dnp (6) (3), Kevin Ogletree: 2-0-BYE-0-3 (5) (1.2), Theo Riddick: dnp-1-BYE-0-1 (2) (0.7)

 

This game was a tale of two halves. Matthew Stafford and Calvin Johnson put up huge numbers in the first half, well, all of Johnson’s six receptions, 179 yards and two touchdowns came in the first half.  Stafford didn’t complete one pass in the fourth quarter, but two passes were dropped. It looks like Nate Burleson’s return could be a nice boost to their offense.

 

Kris Durham saw nine targets (after having only one last week) but he only caught three for 42 yards. Reggie Bush was benched after he slipped a few times in the mud, which of course makes no sense, but it happened. Joique Bell played well in relief, but hurt his ankle and we saw some Theo Riddick. Bush is still the guy, so there’s no need to worry at the moment.

 

Red Zone Targets+Touches: Calvin Johnson: Run 0/Tar 11, Kris Durham: Run 0/Tar 5, Brandon Pettigrew: Run 0/Tar 4, Joseph Fauria: Run 0/Tar 4, Jeremy Ross: Run 0/Tar 2, Ryan Broyles: Run 0/Tar 1, Reggie Bush: Run 11/Tar 1, Matthew Stafford: Run 2/Tar 0, Joique Bell: Run 3/Tar 0

 

 

Green Bay Packers

 

Jordy Nelson: 6-8-9-10-9 (42) (8.4), Jarrett Boykin: 10-6-1-13-8 (38) (7.6), Andrew Quarless: 1-2-7-4-3 (17) (3.4), James Jones: dnp-dnp-3-7-6 (16) (5.3), Eddie Lacy: 7-4-0-2-2 (15) (3), John Kuhn: 1-2-0-2-3 (8) (1.6), Jermichael Finley: 5-dnp-dnp-dnp-dnp (5) (5), Brandon Bostick: 0-0-0-3-1 (4) (0.8), James Starks: dnp-0-0-1-0 (1) (0.2), Ryan Taylor: dnp-dnp-0-1-0 (1) (0.3), Johnathan Franklin: 1-0-0-0-0 (1) (0.2)

 

The good news is that Scott Tolzien is good enough to get Jordy Nelson and Jarrett Boykin the ball. On passes over 20 yards he was 4-of-4 for 151 yards. The bad news is that he threw three interceptions and no touchdowns. For the most part he showed he can make all the throws he needs to, but just not 100% of the time. I don’t think there’s any reason to downgrade the Packers’ receivers too much, especially with the Vikings, Lions and Falcons on the horizon.

 

Red Zone Targets+Touches: Jordy Nelson: Run 0/Tar 7, Jarrett Boykin: Run 0/Tar 6, James Jones: Run 0/Tar 3, John Kuhn: Run 0/Tar 3, Eddie Lacy: Run 16/Tar 2, Jermichael Finley: Run 0/Tar 1, Andrew Quarless: Run 0/Tar 1, Myles White: Run 0/Tar 1, Myles White: Run 0/Tar 1, Seneca Wallace: Run 0/Tar 0, Johnathan Franklin: Run 2/Tar 0, Scott Tolzien: Run 0/Tar 0, Aaron Rodgers: Run 1/Tar 0, James Starks: Run 3/Tar 0

 

 

Minnesota Vikings

 

Greg Jennings: 10-3-9-4-dnp (26) (6.5), Cordarrelle Patterson: 6-3-4-4-9 (26) (5.2), Jerome Simpson: 9-3-5-6-2 (25) (5), John Carlson: 2-2-6-7-7 (24) (4.8), Jarius Wright: 5-0-5-3-4 (17) (3.4), Adrian Peterson: 4-3-3-2-3 (15) (3), Kyle Rudolph: 9-4-2-dnp-dnp (15) (5), Toby Gerhart: 3-2-1-0-3 (9) (1.8), Jerome Felton: 2-0-1-0-2 (5) (1), Joe Webb: 1-0-0-0-3 (4) (0.8)

 

Cordarrelle Patterson led the team with nine targets, but Christian Ponder’s inaccuracy coupled with Patterson’s raw route running don’t make for efficiency as Patterson caught just three for 28 yards.

 

The Vikings never had a chance in this one, especially with Adrian Peterson not 100% healthy. Jarius Wright managed to catch his first two touchdowns of the season, one from Ponder and one from Matt Cassel after Ponder was pulled for ineptitude. I’ve always liked Wright’s potential, but without a competent quarterback I wouldn’t own any Viking wide receivers at this point.

 

Red Zone Targets+Touches: Greg Jennings: Run 0/Tar 4, Jerome Simpson: Run 0/Tar 4, Cordarrelle Patterson: Run 0/Tar 3, Adrian Peterson: Run 12/Tar 3, Jarius Wright: Run 0/Tar 1, Toby Gerhart: Run 2/Tar 1, Christian Ponder: Run 5/Tar 0

 


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Chet Gresham writes Target Watch and The Morning After for Rotoworld.com and is the founder of The Fake Football. Chet can be found on Twitter .
Email :Chet Gresham



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