Adam Levitan

Waiver Wired

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Waiver Wire: Week 14

Tuesday, December 03, 2013

1. Ladarius Green, Chargers – Owned in 8 percent of Yahoo leagues
I take personal offense to the fact that Ladarius Green is not owned in 92 percent of leagues. To reiterate, this is a 6’6/238 man that runs in the 4.4s. That alone is enough to pique our interest, and it’s finally caught the attention of the Chargers coaches in a big way. Green set a career-high by playing on 29-of-72 snaps in Week 12 and then followed that up by playing on 61-of-67 in Week 13. That massive usage stems from Antonio Gates’ decline/hamstring woes and the Chargers’ lack of a real No. 2 wideout behind Keenan Allen. The 2/45/1 line against the Bengals was somewhat disappointing, but Green saw a career-high six targets and now has a score in two straight games. I’d be comfortable starting this kind of talent as a top-12 tight end against the Giants Sunday. He’s emerging as a major part of the Chargers’ weekly gameplan as the go with a double-tight end set as their base.
Recommendation: Should be owned in 10-team leagues

2. Garrett Graham, Texans – Owned in 35 percent of Yahoo leagues
It’s actually scary how many targets Garrett Graham is piling up. Over the last three weeks, he’s totaled an absurd 32 targets. That’s resulted in 15 catches for 204 yards with one touchdown. Graham projects to be more efficient on his chances this week as he’ll face the Jaguars. There’s plenty of upside here despite the fact that Graham just isn’t that good.
Recommendation: Should be owned in 12-team leagues

3. Jared Cook, Rams – Owned in 57 percent of Yahoo leagues
This is a strict matchup play. The Cardinals have bigger linebackers that are excellent against the run, but struggle badly in coverage on a weekly basis. The Eagles came into Week 13 with a gameplan to exploit that and the Rams figure to do the same with Jared Cook. Remember that in Week 1, Cook went off for 7/141/2 against the Cardinals. Since then, he has one game with more than 50 yards and two touchdowns. Cook is licking his chops.
Recommendation: Should be owned in 12-team leagues

4. Zach Ertz, Eagles – Owned in 2 percent of Yahoo leagues
Let’s not overreact to Zach Ertz’s 5/68/2 line. It came against the Cardinals, who struggle badly to defend tight ends (as noted in the Jared Cook blurb). The question we have to ask is Ertz’s role really changing? The answer is no, as he’s played between 31 and 42 snaps in seven of the last nine games. He’s seen somewhere between 3-6 targets seven of the last eight. In other words, Ertz is a nice young player that’s functioning as the move tight end, but we can’t expect anything more than TE2 value.
Recommendation: Should be owned in deeper 14-team leagues

5. Brandon Myers, Giants – Owned in 29 percent of Yahoo leagues
Myers has quietly been coming on over the last three weeks, averaging 3.6 catches for 44.0 yards with two touchdowns during that span. With Hakeem Nicks struggling so badly, it’s a no-brainer for Eli Manning to look for Myers more. Now he gets to play in a warm-weather game against a poor Chargers defense.
Recommendation: Should be owned in deeper 14-team leagues

Watch List: Dennis Pitta, Tim Wright, Kyle Rudolph – A decision on Pitta is coming this week. If he’s active Sunday, he’ll be very hard to trust coming off so much time on the sideline. … Much like Mike Glennon, Wright projects to bounce back against the Bills this week. … Rudolph (foot) should return this week and take his starting job back from John Carlson.

1. Raiders – Owned in 10 percent of Yahoo leagues
Yes, it’s the rare game in which both defenses are streaming options. Geno Smith hasn’t topped 200 yards passing in any of his last five games. During that span, he’s thrown zero touchdowns and eight interceptions (and fumbled once). The Jets are only going back to the rookie because their other options are Matt Simms and David Garrard. Yikes.

2. Jaguars – Owned in 1 percent of Yahoo leagues
Over the last four weeks, the Jags are fantasy’s No. 8 fantasy defense. During that span, they’re 14th in points allowed per game (22.0), 10th in interceptions (4) and third in fumble recoveries (4). Now they get to play the Texans at home on Thursday Night Football, which projects to be a messy game all the way around. Over Case Keenum’s last three games, he’s averaging just 203.6 yards and has thrown one touchdown against three interceptions. It’s a letdown spot for the Texans as they come off an emotional home loss to the Patriots.

3. Jets – Owned in 15 percent of Yahoo leagues
The Jets are spectacular up front and are among the worst in league against the pass. Luckily for them, they get to face Matt McGloin and the Raiders Sunday. They also get to play at home in a 1pm ET start against a West Coast team, which is always a nice bonus. Once Rashad Jennings gets stuffed, McGloin – who has one touchdown and two picks in his last two games -- projects to struggle.

1. Robbie Gould, Bears – Owned in 46 percent of Yahoo leagues
Robbie Gould is among the best kickers in the history of the NFL, so there’s little concern that his 47-yard game-losing miss from Week 13 will linger. He’ll face the Cowboys at home this week in another potential shootout. Gould has converted at least two attempts in six of his last seven games.

2. Alex Henery, Eagles – Owned in 10 percent of Yahoo leagues
The Eagles offense has been so efficient in the red zone that Alex Henery has gotten just 23 field-goal attempts in 12 games. But this spot is too good to pass up. The Lions are coming to town for a game oddsmakers are projecting to total around 54 points. With Detroit’s run defense proving elite of late, some stall-out drives are more than likely. Henery should get his fair share of chances.

3. Nick Novak, Chargers – Owned in 44 percent of Yahoo leagues
We swung and missed with Nick Novak as the Chargers could muster just 10 points against the Bengals. This is a week for redemption. Novak now gets to play in the ideal kicking conditions of San Diego again, this time against a Giants team coming all the way across the country. Expect more opportunities.

4. Dan Carpenter, Bills – Owned in 13 percent of Yahoo leagues
This week provides a chance to get fantasy’s No. 9 kicker in a good-weather game against the league’s No. 17 scoring defense. Dan Carpenter has gone 23-of-25 on the season, including eight makes from 40-plus.

Adam Levitan is in his sixth season covering football and basketball for Rotoworld. He won the Fantasy Sports Writers Association award for Best Series in 2011 and 2009, and ESPN's overall fantasy football title in 2000. Find him on Twitter.
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