Chet Gresham

Targets and Touches

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Week 14 Target Watch: NFC

Wednesday, December 04, 2013


Welcome to the NFC targets and touches for Week 14 of the NFL season. The AFC portion will be up tomorrow night.

 

I have all the targets for each player since Week 9, and then in parentheses are the total and then average targets per game played for that player. Then below that I have the Red Zone targets and touches for each player, now sorted for rushing attempts and passing targets from Week 9 on. I hope you enjoy and if you get a chance give a follow on Twitter.

 

 

Arizona Cardinals

 

Larry Fitzgerald: BYE-6-9-11-8 (34) (8.5), Michael Floyd: BYE-2-11-7-10 (30) (7.5), Andre Roberts: BYE-8-4-5-8 (25) (6.2), Rob Housler: BYE-5-9-5-6 (25) (6.2), Andre Ellington: BYE-4-2-2-dnp (8) (2.7), Jim Dray: BYE-2-2-1-3 (8) (2), Rashard Mendenhall: BYE-1-3-2-0 (6) (1.5), Jaron Brown: BYE-2-0-1-1 (4) (1), Stepfan Taylor: BYE-0-0-1-3 (4) (1), Jake Ballard: BYE-1-1-0-0 (2) (0.5), Brittan Golden: BYE-dnp-dnp-dnp-2 (2) (2), Alfonso Smith: BYE-0-0-1-0 (1) (0.2)

 

Larry Fitzgerald has been the red zone target king with eight in the last four games and it shows with his four touchdowns in that span. On the other side Michael Floyd isn’t getting those red zone targets, but he’s getting plenty of targets as he alternates getting the most or the second most game in and game out. They very much mirror the Bears’ one-two punch of Brandon Marshall and Alshon Jeffery as far as Veteran stud and up and coming second year player.

 

Red Zone Targets+Touches: Larry Fitzgerald: Run 0/Tar 8, Rob Housler: Run 0/Tar 4, Jim Dray: Run 0/Tar 3, Andre Roberts: Run 0/Tar 3, Michael Floyd: Run 0/Tar 1, Rashard Mendenhall: Run 5/Tar 0, Andre Ellington: Run 3/Tar 0, Stepfan Taylor: Run 3/Tar 0

 

 

Editor's Note: Rotoworld's partner FanDuel is hosting a one-week $300,000 Fantasy Football league for Week 14. It's $25 to join and first prize is $25,000. Starts Sunday at 1pm ET. Here's the FanDuel link.

 

 

Atlanta Falcons

 

Harry Douglas: 5-8-9-11-15 (48) (9.6), Tony Gonzalez: 7-5-8-6-7 (33) (6.6), Roddy White: dnp-4-9-2-14 (29) (7.2), Darius Johnson: 2-2-7-8-4 (23) (4.6), Jacquizz Rodgers: 6-7-2-3-1 (19) (3.8), Steven Jackson: 4-5-2-4-1 (16) (3.2), Jason Snelling: 0-4-dnp-2-1 (7) (1.8), Levine Toilolo: 0-0-2-1-1 (4) (0.8), Drew Davis: 2-1-0-1-0 (4) (0.8), Antone Smith: 0-0-1-0-2 (3) (0.6), Patrick DiMarco: 1-0-1-0-1 (3) (0.6), Josh Vaughan: dnp-dnp-2-dnp-dnp (2) (2)

 

Harry Douglas led the way with 15 targets against the Bills, but the big story was the return of Roddy White. The fantasy community had left him for dead, but the old man just needed the crisp air of Toronto to get his legs back. He was second with 14 targets, catching 10 for 143 yards. It’s great to see him back. Matt Ryan is throwing the ball 41 times a game, which should keep his receivers happy.

 

Red Zone Targets+Touches: Roddy White: Run 0/Tar 3, Tony Gonzalez: Run 0/Tar 3, Darius Johnson: Run 0/Tar 3, Harry Douglas: Run 0/Tar 2, Steven Jackson: Run 8/Tar 2, Levine Toilolo: Run 0/Tar 1, Jacquizz Rodgers: Run 3/Tar 1, Matt Ryan: Run 1/Tar 0

 

 

Carolina Panthers

 

Steve Smith: 10-11-6-8-4 (39) (7.8), Brandon LaFell: 9-8-8-5-7 (37) (7.4), Greg Olsen: 5-3-8-9-7 (32) (6.4), Ted Ginn: 3-4-3-10-4 (24) (4.8), Mike Tolbert: 4-3-0-1-4 (12) (2.4), DeAngelo Williams: 2-2-3-3-dnp (10) (2.5), Jonathan Stewart: 3-0-0-1-2 (6) (1.2), Domenik Hixon: 0-1-0-0-0 (1) (0.2)

 

The Panthers only have five players over 10 targets for their last five games, which should be good to help isolate targets and fantasy value, but they just aren’t throwing the ball enough for any of the wide receivers. Steve Smith is always your best shot for production, but he’s pretty much in a dead heat fantasy-wise with Brandon LaFell, who as you know is about as inconsistent as they come.

 

Greg Olsen leads all pass catchers in fantasy points and remains the safest player not named Cam. He is tied with Charles Clay for 7th overall in tight end scoring, which isn’t winning you a ton of games, but it does keep you in the picture.

 

Red Zone Targets+Touches: Greg Olsen: Run 0/Tar 7, Brandon LaFell: Run 0/Tar 3, Steve Smith: Run 0/Tar 2, Mike Tolbert: Run 7/Tar 1, Kenjon Barner: Run 2/Tar 0, DeAngelo Williams: Run 8/Tar 0, Cam Newton: Run 5/Tar 0, Jonathan Stewart: Run 6/Tar 0, Derek Anderson: Run 1/Tar 0

 

 

Chicago Bears

 

Alshon Jeffery: 9-18-11-8-15 (61) (12.2), Brandon Marshall: 13-12-10-12-9 (56) (11.2), Matt Forte: 8-7-6-9-2 (32) (6.4), Martellus Bennett: 8-6-2-5-5 (26) (5.2), Earl Bennett: 0-3-1-8-3 (15) (3), Tony Fiammetta: 0-1-1-3-0 (5) (1), Michael Bush: 1-0-0-2-0 (3) (0.6), Dante Rosario: 0-2-0-0-0 (2) (0.4), Marquess Wilson: 1-0-0-0-0 (1) (0.2)

 

So this Alshon Jeffery character seems to be decent at football. After breaking the Bears receiving record in Week 5 he went ahead and did it again against the Vikings last week as he caught 12 of 15 passes for 249 yards and two touchdowns. He now is the sixth best fantasy wide receiver in overall points and Brandon Marshall is the fourth.

 

The emergence of Jeffery and the number of targets for Matt Forte has hurt Martellus Bennett who earlier in the season was doing well in red zone targets, but over the last five games he has a puny three.

 

Red Zone Targets+Touches: Alshon Jeffery: Run 0/Tar 8, Brandon Marshall: Run 0/Tar 6, Matt Forte: Run 9/Tar 4, Martellus Bennett: Run 0/Tar 3, Michael Bush: Run 8/Tar 2, Dante Rosario: Run 0/Tar 1, Earl Bennett: Run 0/Tar 1, Tony Fiammetta: Run 0/Tar 1, Josh McCown: Run 1/Tar 0

 

 

Dallas Cowboys

 

Dez Bryant: 11-2-BYE-16-9 (38) (9.5), Jason Witten: 10-6-BYE-7-3 (26) (6.5), Cole Beasley: 9-4-BYE-4-3 (20) (5), Terrance Williams: 7-5-BYE-2-6 (20) (5), DeMarco Murray: 7-2-BYE-3-5 (17) (4.2), Miles Austin: dnp-dnp-BYE-3-5 (8) (4), Lance Dunbar: 3-0-BYE-2-1 (6) (1.5), James Hanna: 1-3-BYE-0-0 (4) (1), Dwayne Harris: 2-1-BYE-0-dnp (3) (1), Gavin Escobar: 0-0-BYE-1-0 (1) (0.2)

 

Dez Bryant caught seven of nine passes for 61 yards and a touchdown to lead the way for the Cowboys in each of those categories. Terrance Williams was second in targets with six, catching three for 23 yards and Miles Austin was third with five, but only caught one for 18 yards. I still think they are better off with Williams clearly ahead of Austin, but they seem to be canceling each other out for now.

 

Red Zone Targets+Touches: Jason Witten: Run 0/Tar 4, Cole Beasley: Run 0/Tar 3, Dez Bryant: Run 0/Tar 2, Terrance Williams: Run 0/Tar 2, DeMarco Murray: Run 12/Tar 1, Dwayne Harris: Run 0/Tar 1, Lance Dunbar: Run 1/Tar 0, Tony Romo: Run 2/Tar 0

 

 

Detroit Lions

 

Calvin Johnson: BYE-17-13-14-10 (54) (13.5), Kris Durham: BYE-1-9-6-7 (23) (5.8), Reggie Bush: BYE-6-5-7-5 (23) (5.8), Brandon Pettigrew: BYE-5-5-5-2 (17) (4.2), Joique Bell: BYE-1-4-3-4 (12) (3), Nate Burleson: BYE-dnp-dnp-10-1 (11) (5.5), Jeremy Ross: BYE-3-3-0-1 (7) (1.8), Joseph Fauria: BYE-2-2-1-1 (6) (1.5), Kevin Ogletree: BYE-0-3-0-1 (4) (1), Theo Riddick: BYE-0-1-0-1 (2) (0.5), Dorin Dickerson: BYE-dnp-dnp-0-1 (1) (0.5)

 

The Lions blew the Packers out on turkey day so there were an amazing 39 rushing attempts for 211 yards and two touchdowns and eight receptions on nine targets for 99 yards split fairly evenly between Joique Bell and Reggie Bush. That won’t happen in a non-blowout.

 

The odd target news here is that Nate Burleson saw one target after getting 11 in his first game back. There were fewer targets to go around in this one and Burleson saw a few less snaps, but nothing to indicate they were trying to reduce his workload, so I’ll chalk this up to game plan and look for an uptick in targets onward.

 

Red Zone Targets+Touches: Calvin Johnson: Run 0/Tar 9, Joseph Fauria: Run 0/Tar 4, Brandon Pettigrew: Run 0/Tar 3, Jeremy Ross: Run 0/Tar 2, Kris Durham: Run 0/Tar 2, Reggie Bush: Run 8/Tar 2, Joique Bell: Run 6/Tar 1, Kevin Ogletree: Run 0/Tar 1, Nate Burleson: Run 0/Tar 1, Matthew Stafford: Run 1/Tar 0

 

 

Green Bay Packers

 

Jordy Nelson: 9-10-9-7-4 (39) (7.8), Jarrett Boykin: 1-13-8-10-3 (35) (7), James Jones: 3-7-6-12-5 (33) (6.6), Andrew Quarless: 7-4-3-3-2 (19) (3.8), Eddie Lacy: 0-2-2-6-4 (14) (2.8), John Kuhn: 0-2-3-4-1 (10) (2), Brandon Bostick: 0-3-1-5-dnp (9) (2.2), James Starks: 0-1-0-2-0 (3) (0.6), Ryan Taylor: 0-1-0-0-1 (2) (0.4)

 

Matt Flynn turned back into a pumpkin on Thanksgiving when he completed just 10-of-20 passes for 139 yards, no touchdowns, one interception and two fumbles. That doomed the receivers in this one and in turn doomed Eddie Lacy against a stout Lions front line. It is unlikely that he’ll be quite that horrid against Atlanta, but we have to reduce our expectations.

 

Red Zone Targets+Touches: Jarrett Boykin: Run 0/Tar 6, Jordy Nelson: Run 0/Tar 5, James Jones: Run 0/Tar 4, John Kuhn: Run 0/Tar 2, Andrew Quarless: Run 0/Tar 2, Brandon Bostick: Run 0/Tar 2, Eddie Lacy: Run 12/Tar 1, Matt Flynn: Run 1/Tar 0, Scott Tolzien: Run 1/Tar 0, James Starks: Run 3/Tar 0

 

 

Minnesota Vikings

 

Cordarrelle Patterson: 4-4-9-11-4 (32) (6.4), John Carlson: 6-7-7-5-6 (31) (6.2), Jerome Simpson: 5-6-2-4-9 (26) (5.2), Greg Jennings: 9-4-dnp-3-9 (25) (6.2), Jarius Wright: 5-3-4-1-3 (16) (3.2), Adrian Peterson: 3-2-3-1-4 (13) (2.6), Toby Gerhart: 1-0-3-1-1 (6) (1.2), Jerome Felton: 1-0-2-1-1 (5) (1), Rhett Ellison: dnp-dnp-0-2-1 (3) (1), Joe Webb: 0-0-3-0-0 (3) (0.6), Kyle Rudolph: 2-dnp-dnp-dnp-dnp (2) (2)

 

Christian Ponder left this game with a concussion and a pitiful line of 3-of-8 completions for 40 yards. Ponder’s injury was a blessing for the Vikings as Matt Cassel came in and helped them beat the Bears in overtime with a not great, but better line of 20-of-33 passing for 243 yards, one touchdown and one interception.

 

Adrian Peterson did his thing with 35 rushing attempts for 211 yards while Cassel’s presence helped Greg Jennings to nine targets, seven receptions, 78 yards and a touchdown.  This season Cassel has helped Jennings to 15 catches for 202 yards and three touchdowns in 2.5 games while in In 8.5 games with Christian Ponder and Josh Freeman, Jennings has totaled 28 catches for 315 yards and no touchdowns.

 

Red Zone Targets+Touches: Cordarrelle Patterson: Run 0/Tar 7, Greg Jennings: Run 0/Tar 5, Adrian Peterson: Run 21/Tar 3, Toby Gerhart: Run 2/Tar 2, Rhett Ellison: Run 0/Tar 2, Jerome Simpson: Run 0/Tar 2, Chase Ford: Run 0/Tar 1, Jarius Wright: Run 0/Tar 1, John Carlson: Run 0/Tar 1, Christian Ponder: Run 4/Tar 0

 


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Chet Gresham writes Target Watch and The Morning After for Rotoworld.com and is the founder of The Fake Football. Chet can be found on Twitter .
Email :Chet Gresham



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