Chet Gresham

Targets and Touches

print article archives RSS

Week 15 Target Watch: AFC

Thursday, December 12, 2013


Welcome to the AFC targets and touches for Week 15 of the NFL season. The NFC portion can be found with a click of the clicky thing.

 

I have all the targets for each player since Week 10, and then in parentheses are the total and then average targets per game played for that player. Then below that I have the Red Zone targets and touches for each player, now sorted for rushing attempts and passing targets from Week 10 on. I hope you enjoy and if you get a chance give a follow on Twitter.

 

Below here I have the running backs who have seen the most rushing attempts inside the opponents’ five yard line this season. You’ll see stud Eddie Lacy leading the way in touchdown percentage while our old friend Willis McGahee is having a bit more trouble. Jamaal Charles has destroyed any critic who thought he couldn’t be an effective goal line back and the same would be true for Joique Bell if people talked about him as much as they did Charles before the season started. So take a look at these if that’s something you’re into.

 

 

RB Rushing Attempts (within 5 yard line)

 

 

PlayerRSHFDRSHTDTD %
Marshawn Lynch 19 8 8 42%
Jamaal Charles 16 10 8 50%
Willis McGahee 15 3 2 13%
Knowshon Moreno 15 8 7 47%
Fred Jackson 15 6 6 40%
Ray Rice 14 4 4 29%
Le'Veon Bell 13 4 4 31%
Frank Gore 12 7 6 50%
BenJarvus Green-Ellis 12 6 6 50%
DeMarco Murray 11 6 5 45%
Mike Tolbert 10 4 4 40%
Michael Bush 10 2 2 20%
Alfred Morris 10 4 4 40%
Rashard Mendenhall 9 6 6 67%
Matt Forte 9 6 4 44%
Eddie Lacy 9 7 7 78%
Montee Ball 9 4 3 33%
Maurice Jones-Drew 9 4 4 44%
Rashad Jennings 8 5 2 25%
Joique Bell 8 6 6 75%
Adrian Peterson 8 4 4 50%
Zac Stacy 8 4 4 50%
Andre Brown 8 2 2 25%
Stevan Ridley 8 6 6 75%
Ben Tate 8 2 1 13%

 

 

Baltimore Ravens

 

Torrey Smith: 14-8-4-10-5 (41) (8.2), Jacoby Jones: 2-2-6-7-7 (24) (4.8), Ray Rice: 6-5-1-7-5 (24) (4.8), Ed Dickson: 4-3-5-2-5 (19) (3.8), Marlon Brown: 3-dnp-2-1-11 (17) (4.2), Dallas Clark: 2-4-4-2-dnp (12) (3), Dennis Pitta: dnp-dnp-dnp-dnp-11 (11) (11), Bernard Pierce: 3-0-0-3-2 (8) (1.6), Tandon Doss: 1-5-1-0-0 (7) (1.4), Brandon Stokley: dnp-dnp-1-3-1 (5) (1.7), Vonta Leach: 0-1-2-0-2 (5) (1), Deonte Thompson: 1-3-dnp-dnp-dnp (4) (2)

 

Marlon Brown hit double digit targets for the first time and also had the game winning reception. He finished the day with seven receptions on 11 targets for 92 yards and that game winner. This was in stark contrast to Torrey Smith who had just five targets, catching one for 7 yards.

 

The big target news wasn’t Brown though; it was Dennis Pitta who just returned from his hip injury and tied Brown with 11 targets and caught six for 48 yards and a touchdown. Pitta’s return should mean fewer targets for Brown even though it didn’t happen this week.

 

Red Zone Targets+Touches: Torrey Smith: Run 0/Tar 8, Ray Rice: Run 18/Tar 3, Dallas Clark: Run 0/Tar 3, Dennis Pitta: Run 0/Tar 2, Marlon Brown: Run 0/Tar 2, Ed Dickson: Run 0/Tar 2, Vonta Leach: Run 1/Tar 1, Jacoby Jones: Run 0/Tar 1, Bernard Pierce: Run 3/Tar 0

 

 

Editor's Note: Rotoworld's partner FanDuel is hosting a one-week $300,000 Fantasy Football league for Week 15. It's $25 to join and first prize is $25,000. Starts Sunday at 1pm ET. Here's the FanDuel link.

 

 

Buffalo Bills

 

Steve Johnson: 10-dnp-BYE-8-11 (29) (9.7), Marquise Goodwin: 4-9-BYE-4-0 (17) (4.2), Fred Jackson: 4-2-BYE-4-7 (17) (4.2), Scott Chandler: 3-3-BYE-6-3 (15) (3.8), T.J. Graham: 4-4-BYE-2-3 (13) (3.2), C.J. Spiller: 3-2-BYE-4-1 (10) (2.5), Robert Woods: dnp-dnp-BYE-3-5 (8) (4), Chris Hogan: 1-4-BYE-0-1 (6) (1.5), Chris Gragg: 6-0-BYE-dnp-0 (6) (2), Lee Smith: 1-2-BYE-0-1 (4) (1), Marcus Easley: 2-0-BYE-0-0 (2) (0.5), Frank Summers: 0-1-BYE-1-dnp (2) (0.7), Tashard Choice: 0-1-BYE-0-dnp (1) (0.3)

 

There wasn’t much production from the Bills offense with E.J. Manuel throwing four interceptions. Stevie Johnson led the way once again with 11 targets catching five for 67 yards to lead the team. Yeah, that’s not what you want leading your team.

 

Fred Jackson had his highest target total of the season with seven as Manuel was in come from behind mode and dumping it off to him, but he only caught four for 26 yards.

 

Red Zone Targets+Touches: Steve Johnson: Run 0/Tar 3, T.J. Graham: Run 0/Tar 2, Chris Gragg: Run 0/Tar 1, Marquise Goodwin: Run 0/Tar 1, C.J. Spiller: Run 2/Tar 1, Marcus Easley: Run 0/Tar 1, EJ Manuel: Run 4/Tar 0, Tashard Choice: Run 1/Tar 0, Fred Jackson: Run 7/Tar 0, Frank Summers: Run 1/Tar 0

 

 

Cincinnati Bengals

 

A.J. Green: 15-5-BYE-7-8 (35) (8.8), Mohamed Sanu: 8-5-BYE-2-4 (19) (4.8), Giovani Bernard: 8-5-BYE-2-4 (19) (4.8), Tyler Eifert: 10-1-BYE-2-4 (17) (4.2), Marvin Jones: 7-2-BYE-3-4 (16) (4), Jermaine Gresham: dnp-6-BYE-2-5 (13) (4.3), Andrew Hawkins: 0-2-BYE-3-2 (7) (1.8), Alex Smith: 2-1-BYE-0-1 (4) (1), BenJarvus Green-Ellis: 0-0-BYE-1-1 (2) (0.5)

 

Good Andy Dalton showed up for this game and completed 24-of-35 passes for 275 yards and three touchdowns while also getting into the end zone on a run. This of course follows a four game stretch where he went 83-of-154 (53.9%) for an average of 223 yards and a total of six touchdowns and nine interceptions. Of course before that he was absolutely on fire. His streakiness is a fantasy football nightmare.

 

Giovani Bernard led the team in yards with 148 on 16 touches, but BenJarvus Green-Ellis got into the end zone twice from the one-yard line. Well, “twice” is a strong word considering he was down before he crossed the line the first time, but the fake and real points both counted. On the season Green-Ellis has 12 rushing attempts from inside the opponent’s five-yard line and has six touchdowns while Gio Bernard has three attempts and two touchdowns. Green-Ellis’ 50% is very good, but there’s no doubt the quicker, yet still strong and compact Bernard would have similar or better numbers if given the chance. On the season The Law Firm has 196 touches for 674 yards and six touchdowns while Bernard has 178 touches for 1,023 yards and seven touchdowns. Bernard is averaging 4.7 yards per carry while Green-Ellis is at 3.4 yards per carry. Bernard also is doing quite well in pass blocking with a positive 2.2 grade from Pro Football Focus while Green-Ellis is also in the green, but with a slightly worse 1.7 grade. So the fewer touches doesn’t seem like they are based on his pass blocking. Yes, he’s a rookie and could hit “the rookie wall” and splitting time doesn’t seem bad, even giving Green-Ellis short yardage to save the rookie from getting beat up too much could make some sense, but Bernard has won the lead back job by a large margin this season and should be getting the bulk of the touches each week. Steps down from soapbox.

 

Red Zone Targets+Touches: A.J. Green: Run 0/Tar 2, Mohamed Sanu: Run 0/Tar 2, Giovani Bernard: Run 4/Tar 1, Tyler Eifert: Run 0/Tar 1, Marvin Jones: Run 0/Tar 1, Jermaine Gresham: Run 0/Tar 1, Alex Smith: Run 0/Tar 1, BenJarvus Green-Ellis: Run 12/Tar 0, Andy Dalton: Run 2/Tar 0

 

 

Cleveland Browns

 

Josh Gordon: BYE-15-17-15-10 (57) (14.2), Jordan Cameron: BYE-7-10-7-9 (33) (8.2), Chris Ogbonnaya: BYE-12-5-5-3 (25) (6.2), Davone Bess: BYE-6-8-5-4 (23) (5.8), Greg Little: BYE-6-7-4-4 (21) (5.2), Fozzy Whittaker: BYE-5-5-1-7 (18) (4.5), Willis McGahee: BYE-2-0-2-1 (5) (1.2), Gary Barnidge: BYE-1-0-0-2 (3) (0.8), MarQueis Gray: BYE-dnp-dnp-0-2 (2) (1)

 

So this Jason Campbell fellow isn’t too bad in the Norval/Chud system huh? He pretty much had his way with the Patriots last week completing 29-of-44 for 391 yards and three touchdowns. Of course it doesn’t hurt when you have Josh Gordon and Jordan Cameron on your team.

 

Gordon now holds the record for receiving yards in a four game span with 774. That’s the same number that Larry Fitzgerald has through 13 games and more than Mike Wallace, Marques Colston, Steve Smith, Dwayne Bowe, Riley Cooper and other good wide receivers have for the year. So yeah, that’s a bunch of yards. During that four game stretch he also leads the league in targets with 57, so he is getting his chances and making good on them.

 

Red Zone Targets+Touches: Josh Gordon: Run 0/Tar 7, Greg Little: Run 0/Tar 4, Jordan Cameron: Run 0/Tar 4, Chris Ogbonnaya: Run 3/Tar 3, Fozzy Whittaker: Run 2/Tar 1, Armanti Edwards: Run 1/Tar 0, Brandon Weeden: Run 0/Tar 0, Jason Campbell: Run 0/Tar 0, Willis McGahee: Run 4/Tar 0

 

 

Denver Broncos

 

Demaryius Thomas: 10-13-9-6-10 (48) (9.6), Wes Welker: 6-10-8-5-10 (39) (7.8), Eric Decker: 5-6-4-12-12 (39) (7.8), Knowshon Moreno: 8-1-1-5-7 (22) (4.4), Julius Thomas: 5-5-dnp-dnp-7 (17) (5.7), Montee Ball: 0-4-3-2-4 (13) (2.6), Jacob Tamme: 0-0-5-3-5 (13) (2.6), Virgil Green: 1-0-2-1-0 (4) (0.8), Andre Caldwell: 1-1-0-1-1 (4) (0.8), Joel Dreessen: 0-0-1-0-2 (3) (0.6)

 

Eric Decker has led the team in targets over the last two weeks along with receptions, yards and touchdowns. Wes Welker probably would have beaten him out in targets last week if he hadn’t been concussed before halftime because he had a ten before leaving the game. But he left and Decker was next in line for this game. Over the last two games he has caught 16 of 24 targets for 291 yards and five touchdowns. That caught him up with the rest of the receivers pretty quickly and Decker leapfrogged Welker in the fantasy rankings to 10th overall while Welker fell all the way to a tie for 13th. Of course Demaryius Thomas is third overall and that puts three wide receivers for the Broncos in the top 13. Peyton Manning’s ability to keep his receivers happy is pretty uncanny. And if Julius Thomas was a wide receiver he’d rank 15th and he missed two games!

 

Red Zone Targets+Touches: Demaryius Thomas: Run 0/Tar 8, Eric Decker: Run 0/Tar 6, Knowshon Moreno: Run 13/Tar 5, Wes Welker: Run 0/Tar 4, Montee Ball: Run 11/Tar 3, Julius Thomas: Run 0/Tar 3, Jacob Tamme: Run 0/Tar 2, Joel Dreessen: Run 0/Tar 2, Virgil Green: Run 0/Tar 1, Andre Caldwell: Run 0/Tar 1

 

 

Houston Texans

 

Andre Johnson: 12-17-6-9-21 (65) (13), Garrett Graham: 3-13-9-11-14 (50) (10), DeAndre Hopkins: 11-2-4-5-7 (29) (5.8), Ben Tate: 5-6-6-0-4 (21) (4.2), Keshawn Martin: 0-5-2-1-6 (14) (2.8), DeVier Posey: 6-4-1-0-1 (12) (2.4), Dennis Johnson: 1-0-2-2-1 (6) (1.2), Ryan Griffin: 1-dnp-2-0-3 (6) (1.5), Greg Jones: 1-1-0-0-1 (3) (0.6), Lestar Jean: 1-0-0-dnp-dnp (1) (0.3)

 

Over the last four games Garrett Graham has 47 targets, which leads all tight ends and is third to Josh Gordon and his teammate Andre Johnson. In that span he’s had two big games and a couple of not so great games. But his 23 receptions for 277 yards rank him third in that span for tight ends. It looks like Case Keenum is ok with throwing him the ball over and over and that’s good for fantasy.

 

Andre Johnson is ahead of Graham in targets because he had an amazing 21 in Thursday’s game at Jacksonville. He ended up catching 13 for 154 yards in come from behind mode, which is PPR porn.

 

Red Zone Targets+Touches: Andre Johnson: 2013 0/Tar 9, Garrett Graham: 2013 0/Tar 6, DeAndre Hopkins: 2013 0/Tar 4, Ben Tate: 2013 16/Tar 3, Keshawn Martin: 2013 0/Tar 2, Ryan Griffin: 2013 0/Tar 1, DeVier Posey: 2013 0/Tar 1, Greg Jones: 2013 0/Tar 1, Dennis Johnson: 2013 2/Tar 0, Case Keenum: 2013 3/Tar 0

 

 

Indianapolis Colts

 

Coby Fleener: 10-10-8-5-9 (42) (8.4), T.Y. Hilton: 8-9-9-7-5 (38) (7.6), Darrius Heyward-Bey: 6-3-6-5-3 (23) (4.6), LaVon Brazill: 5-1-5-8-4 (23) (4.6), Trent Richardson: 5-5-2-0-6 (18) (3.6), Donald Brown: 5-1-2-3-6 (17) (3.4), Da’Rick Rogers: dnp-dnp-dnp-0-9 (9) (4.5), Stanley Havili: 4-1-dnp-4-0 (9) (2.2), Griff Whalen: 5-3-dnp-dnp-dnp (8) (4), Weslye Saunders: dnp-3-2-dnp-2 (7) (2.3), David Reed: 1-0-2-dnp-dnp (3) (1), Justice Cunningham: dnp-dnp-1-dnp-dnp (1) (1), Daniel Herron: 1-0-0-0-dnp (1) (0.2), Jack Doyle: dnp-dnp-dnp-dnp-1 (1) (1)

 

Da’Rick Rogers was the receiving star for the Colts as they got into garbage time mode after falling behind 21-0 in the third quarter. He tied Coby Fleener for the high target mark for the team with nine, but unlike Fleener he did something with those targets as he caught six of them for 107 yards and two touchdowns.

Darrius Heyward-Bey played 21 snaps compared to 45 for T.Y. Hilton, 42 for LaVon Brazill and 41 for Rogers. It’s good to see his play finally reflecting his time on the field.

 

Brazill also caught two touchdowns on four targets for three receptions and 53 yards. We can’t count on him getting any more touchdowns this season, but it’s very good for Andrew Luck that Brazill and Rogers are playing ahead of DHB now.

 

Hilton is in a big slump right now with an average of 4.25 receptions and 33.8 yards over the last four games. With Rogers stepping up the target breakdown going forward is going to be hard to predict.

 

Red Zone Targets+Touches: LaVon Brazill: Run 0/Tar 4, T.Y. Hilton: Run 0/Tar 4, Darrius Heyward-Bey: Run 0/Tar 4, Donald Brown: Run 5/Tar 4, Coby Fleener: Run 0/Tar 3, Griff Whalen: Run 0/Tar 3, Da'Rick Rogers: Run 0/Tar 2, Stanley Havili: Run 0/Tar 1, David Reed: Run 0/Tar 1, Chris Rainey: Run 0/Tar 1, Trent Richardson: Run 3/Tar 0, Daniel Herron: Run 1/Tar 0, Andrew Luck: Run 3/Tar 0

 


continue story »
12
Chet Gresham writes Target Watch and The Morning After for Rotoworld.com and is the founder of The Fake Football. Chet can be found on Twitter .
Email :Chet Gresham



Highest Searched Players over the last 7 days



Video Center

  •  
    A&M - So. Carolina preview

    A&M - So. Carolina preview
  •  
    Upside with Mike Evans?

    Upside with Mike Evans?
  •  
    Watkins

    Watkins' fantasy value
  •  
    Strategy: Mock Draft Analysis

    Strategy: Mock Draft Analysis
  •  
    WR: S. Watkins or T. Williams?

    WR: S. Watkins or T. Williams?
  •  
    Levitan: Ryan or Foles at QB?

    Levitan: Ryan or Foles at QB?
  •  
    Braxton Miller NFL projection

    Braxton Miller NFL projection
  •  
    Levitan: Cameron vs. Witten

    Levitan: Cameron vs. Witten