Chet Gresham

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$300,000 FanDuel Tournament

Saturday, December 21, 2013


Editor's Note: Rotoworld's partner FanDuel is hosting a one-week $300,000 Fantasy Football league for Week 16. It's $25 to join and first prize is $25,000. Starts Sunday at 1pm ET. Here's the FanDuel link.

 

Welcome to Week 16 of the National Football League, Daily Fantasy Division. This week I’ll be attempting to fit Peyton Manning and LeSean McCoy into my lineup. Let’s watch.

 


QB Peyton Manning $11,000 DEN@HOU

 

The Texans pass defense has kept opposing quarterbacks from throwing for many yards this season, but teams haven’t had to throw much against them for a myriad of reasons, one being interceptions thrown by Matt Schaub or Case Keenum either going for touchdowns or setting teams up for short scores. On the season the Texans have given up the second fewest passing yards, but have allowed 24 passing touchdowns on 407 attempts. The only team with a worse ratio is the Atlanta Falcons. Tom Brady threw for 371 yards and two touchdowns in Houston a couple weeks ago and Manning is going for the single season record for touchdowns and yards. At 37 years of age he has to know this chance probably won’t happen again and he better seize the day as the kids say.

 

 

RB Jordan Todman $5,800 TEN@JAC

 

Of course this pick relies on Maurice Jones-Drew not playing against the Titans, which isn’t set in stone, but the chances are good that he won’t go and we’ll know before we have to have our FanDuel lineups set. Todman played well last week in relief of MJD rushing for 109 yards and catching four passes on eight targets for 44 yards against the Buffalo Bills. The Titans meanwhile allowed Rashard Mendenhall and Andre Ellington to have 140 rushing yards, two touchdowns and five receptions for 96 yards. The week before, Knowshon Moreno and Montee Ball ran for 155 yards with a touchdown each and on the season the Titans are giving up the second most fantasy points to running backs. For his price Todman is a must play.

 

 

RB LeSean McCoy $9,700 CHI@PHI

 

This one is a bit of a no-brainer against the Bears awful run defense. Shady leads the league in rushing yards and the Bears lead the league in rushing yards allowed. Hot knife meet butter.

 

 

WR Michael Crabtree $5,700 ATL@SF

 

Crabtree faces an Atlanta team that gives up 184 yards per game to wide receivers and a total of 16 touchdowns, which ties them for 24th worst. He caught his first touchdown of the season last week and looks like he’s about back into game shape. Football Outsiders has the Falcons ranked 28th against #1 receivers giving up 84.8 yards per game. At this price he's a steal.

 

 

WR Kendall Wright $6,100 TEN@JAC

 

We saw what Wright can do when he matched up with Patrick Peterson last week and beat him multiple times while finishing with 12 receptions for 150 yards. This week he gets a Jaguars team that is moving the ball better than early in the season, which is forcing teams to pass more against them. In the last six games they are giving up 190 yards to wide receivers per game, which ranks them 27th. And the last time these two met Wright had seven receptions for 78 yards, which is a decent floor for him this week.

 

 

WR Marques Colston $6,300 NO@CAR

 

The last time these two met just two weeks ago Colston caught nine passes for 125 yards and two touchdowns. Last week Colston caught eight passes for 92 yards and a touchdown. He’s had 26 targets over the last two weeks for 17 receptions. I think Brees is back to trusting him.

 

 

TE Ryan Griffin $4,500 DEN@HOU

 

Griffin looked good last week when he caught 6 passes against the Colts while filling in for Graham.  The Texans also will start Matt Schaub at quarterback who loves throwing to the tight end.  The Broncos will score and the Texans will need to throw the ball. Football Outsiders ranks them 27th against tight ends and with Schaub’s proclivity to target tight ends in the red zone over Andre Johnson, I like Griffin's shot at a touchdown.

 

 

 

K Josh Scobee $5,200 TEN@JAC

 

The Jaguars have been playing better on offense of late, which has helped Scobee have some value. Over the first eight weeks of the season he never hit double-digit FanDuel points, but in four of his last six games he’s topped 10 points while the Titans have allowed a whopping 15.6 points to kickers on average over the last six weeks.

 

 

D Detroit Lions $5,700 NYG@DET

 

The Lions defense has been a roller coaster for FanDuel points this season, but the Giants have been giving away points like Eli Manning has been giving away interceptions, well, those are the same things and not really metaphorical, but still. On the season the Giants have allowed opposing defenses to average 14 FanDuel points against them. That’s easily the worst in the league.



Chet Gresham writes Target Watch and The Morning After for Rotoworld.com and is the founder of The Fake Football. Chet can be found on Twitter .
Email :Chet Gresham


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