Chet Gresham

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$300,000 FanDuel Tournament

Friday, January 10, 2014


Editor's Note: Rotoworld's partner FanDuel is hosting a one-week $300,000 Fantasy Football league for the Divisional playoff weekend. It's $25 to join and first prize is $25,000. Starts Saturday at 4:35pm ET. Here's the FanDuel link.

 

 

Good day RotoFanDuelers! Welcome to the Divisional Round of the NFL Football Playoffs! The player pool is small and the real life stakes are high this weekend so there are a lot of variables, but that's the fun of playing this game. Below I have a team I like for the big money tourneys. Take a look-see and good luck this weekend to all of your real and fake teams!

 

 

 

QB Tom Brady $9,000 IND@NE

 

I like this game to be a possible shootout. The Patriots rank 29th in fantasy points allowed to opposing quarterbacks over the second half of the season and the Colts rank 26th. Brady is the cheapest quarterback this week that I feel good about. I would love to play Andrew Luck or Peyton Manning, but they are bit pricey for me. The Patriots can kill Brady’s value when they get into run mode, but I don’t see that happening this week with these two sub-par defenses clashing.

 

 

 

RB Knowshon Moreno $8,500 SD@DEN

 

I was going to go with LeGarrette Blount here and may on some other teams, but it hurts my soul to do so. So I’m going to stick with ye olde Moreno. He did work all year long in both the running and receiving game and I don’t see that ending now that the playoffs are here. San Diego ranks 18th in fantasy points allowed to running backs over the last 10 games with 4.4 yards per carry given up. They are also allowing 1.2 rushing touchdowns during that span, the most out of all the playoff teams remaining. The Broncos eased up a bit on Moreno toward the end of the season and let Montee Ball get work, but I think we see Moreno get the bulk of the touches and with the Broncos' ability to get into the red zone I feel good about his chances to score.

 

 

 

RB Donald Brown $6,600 IND@NE

 

The Patriots are the worst rush defense in the playoffs right now and that means Donald Brown is the best matchup pick this weekend. New England is allowing 114.5 rushing yards at 4.5 yards per carry to opposing running backs over the last half of the season while Brown has been putting together some nice games. Last week against Kansas City he totaled 102 yards and two touchdowns and now has five touchdowns in his last three games. He’ll be in all my lineups this weekend.

 

 

 

WR Julian Edelman $7,200 IND@NE

 

The guy is just too reliable not to have on my team this weekend. He has hit 10+ FanDuel points in his last six games and against the Colts pass defense 15+ is almost a lock. The Colts are giving up 12.4 receptions for 187.4 yards and 1.2 touchdowns to wide receivers over the last 10 games. That’s the worst out of the remaining playoff teams.

 

 

 

WR T.Y. Hilton $7,500 IND@NE

 

Can we double down on Hilton after his insane Wild Card game? Yes, we can! Do I trust Hilton to blow up? No I don’t! But he’s the target man and he’ll get his against a poor Patriots’ pass defense which is giving up the second most fantasy points per game to wide receivers over the second half of the season and the most touchdowns out of all the playoff teams.

 

 

 

WR Steve Smith $4,500 SF@CAR

 

This is the big gamble. Mr. Smiff is likely to play and knowing him as I do (we played tiddly-winks) the guy will play with half a leg and one arm. He’s not the player he once was of course, but at his rock bottom price I am willing to take the risk on him as long as reports continue to be good that he’ll suit up. The 49ers have been about middle of the road in stats allowed to wide receivers, so they aren’t an insane matchup. I’ll take Mr. Smiff’s bulldog mentality in this playoff matchup.

 

 

 

TE Coby Fleener $4,900 IND@NE

 

Of course I’d rather have Vernon Davis or Julius Thomas here, but sometime sacrifices must be made. Fleener stepped up last week against Kansas City and caught five passes, one for a touchdown. Over the last eight games the Patriots are giving up 5.63 receptions, 65.5 yards and .5 touchdowns per game to tight ends, which ranks them 30th in fantasy points allowed during that span. I’ll be pinning my hopes on a shootout.

 

 

 

K Graham Gano $5,000 SF@CAR

 

I see this game as being a possible field goal fest. Gano has been solid this season and for the price he’ll most likely be in most of my lineups. This does leave $300 to spend elsewhere which could move T.Y. Hilton into Wes Welker. I like Welker quite a bit as Manning’s safety valve and could see going that way in 50/50s, but in a tournament I think I want Hilton’s upside.

 

 

 

D Seattle Seahawks $6,500 NO@SEA

 

They’re the Seahawks at home. The last time the Saints came marching in they scored 13 FanDuel points against them. You have to worry about Drew Brees of course, but I’ll take them over any defense in the league right now, especially at home. 



Chet Gresham writes Target Watch and The Morning After for Rotoworld.com and is the founder of The Fake Football. Chet can be found on Twitter .
Email :Chet Gresham



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