Evan Silva

Goal Line Stand

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Silva's Post-Season Top 200

Monday, January 27, 2014

81. Andre Ellington -- A slightly poor man's Giovani Bernard, Ellington led all 2013 rushers in yards per carry (5.53) among players with at least 100 attempts. Despite rotating with Rashard Mendenhall all year, Ellington totaled 1,023 yards from scrimmage and scored four touchdowns as a rookie sixth-round pick. Ellington goes only 5-foot-9, 199, however, and coach Bruce Arians has been publicly opposed to committing to him as a true feature back. If Arizona lets Mendenhall walk and Arians changes his mind about Ellington, he will offer major 2014 breakout potential.

82. Mike Wallace -- Wallace scored four touchdowns over his final six games to salvage a top-25 fantasy receiver finish, but he was an exasperating player to own. Wallace lacked chemistry with Ryan Tannehill, whose 58 sacks absorbed led the NFL. It's awfully hard for deep threat receivers to turn in consistent production when their team can't pass protect. Perhaps new Dolphins OC Bill Lazor, formerly of the Eagles, will try using Wallace in a DeSean Jacksonian role. More likely, Wallace will endure another season of boom-or-bust weeks. I'll be treating him as a shaky WR3.

83. Cecil Shorts -- I like Shorts' route-running and run-after-reception ability, but he's been stretched in Jacksonville's top receiver role with statistics largely the product of catch-up mode and the no-one-else-to-throw-to theory. A quarterback upgrade should help Shorts, but Justin Blackmon's return and a more competitive Jacksonville team wouldn't. Also somewhat prone to injury, 26-year-old Shorts should be a mid-range to low-end WR3 on 2014 fantasy draft boards.

84. Maurice Jones-Drew -- It was painful to watch Jones-Drew at times in 2013, as his open-field burst was lacking and his YPC average dipped to a career-worst 3.43. MJD did seem to learn late in the year that he's no longer playing with the same explosion he used to, and became a mildly effective grinder. Either way, he's likely to generate limited free-agent interest and isn't guaranteed to land a starting job. With over 1,800 career carries on his tires, Jones-Drew turns 29 in March.

85. Chris Ivory -- Ivory overcame a frustrating August hamstring injury to average 4.58 yards on 182 carries, but the Jets' anemic offense crushed his scoring (3 TDs), and his fit for OC Marty Mornhinweg's passing-oriented scheme was questionable. Because he lacks pass-game chops, Ivory needs 250-plus carries to pay season-long dividends. He's just a matchup-based flex when getting under 200. Mornhinweg returns in 2014, so it's going to be tough to expect a big box-score jump.

86. Michael Floyd -- Floyd's sophomore-year stats (65-1,041-5) look pretty on paper, but at no point was he a reliable weekly fantasy starter. He was held under 65 yards in 10-of-16 games. Floyd is only 24 and should keep getting better, but he needs to develop more of an all-around game. He was primarily a deep threat in Bruce Arians' first year with Arizona, registering an aDOT (Average Depth of Target) of 15.2 yards, which ranked 14th among receivers. I want to see him become a higher-volume player, and I'm not sure that'll happen until Larry Fitzgerald moves on.

87. Justin Blackmon -- Blackmon made a beastly if brief 2013 return from a four-game substance abuse suspension, registering stat lines of 5-136-1 and 14-190 before tailing off some and getting hit with an indefinite ban for yet another transgression that landed him in rehab in November. There's no way around it: Blackmon has a major drinking problem. But he's eligible to apply for reinstatement before next season, and looked more fit and explosive than ever during his short sophomore year. He maintains plenty of Dynasty value and will be a 2014 re-draft wild card.

88. Dwayne Bowe -- Bowe was a dud in his first year of Alex Smith, but his second half provides some room for 2014 optimism. Smith showed more willingness to pull the trigger on legit NFL throws down the stretch, and Bowe benefited with a stat line of 39-521-4 over Kansas City's final eight games, including playoffs. That 78-1,042-8 pace was along the lines of what 2013 drafters thought they were getting. Bowe's upside will remain capped by Smith's sub-average talent -- he's always had a limiting effect on receivers -- but there's a small bit of bounce-back potential here.

89. Andre Brown -- Free agent Brown will move up these rankings if the Giants re-sign him, and down if he walks and accepts a backup job elsewhere. A grinder with average to above-average run talent but plus passing-game chops, Brown is averaging 4.09 YPC on 214 career carries.

90. Lamar Miller -- Combine league-worst line play with a coaching staff wholly uncommitted to the run, and you have 2013 fantasy bust Lamar Miller. Miller deserves plenty of blame himself, however, not running physically enough through arm tackles and failing to convince ex-OC Mike Sherman he was a significantly superior option to career plodder Daniel Thomas. Miami's offense is now under the direction of former Philly QBs coach Bill Lazor, whose 2013 Eagles led the NFL in rushing and yards-per-carry average. Miller remains an above-average talent and will only be 23 years old next season, but he'll have to show Lazor he's worthy of a feature back workload.

91. Fred Jackson -- Jackson has noticeably lost lateral agility at age 33, but reliability, vision, toughness, and Buffalo's run-dominated offense worked in his favor enough to finish as 2013's No. 10 fantasy back. To put the improbability of that ranking into perspective, F-Jax had never been a top-12 fantasy runner before in his career. Jackson will be 33 1/2 when the 2014 season opens, and the pendulum figures to swing more toward 27-year-old C.J. Spiller after Spiller's star-crossed '13. F-Jax could maintain matchup-based flex value, but is a candidate to be overdrafted.

92. Terrance Williams -- The Cowboys are expected to make washed-up Miles Austin a June 1 cap casualty, clearing No. 2 receiver duties for Williams with Cole Beasley in the slot role. It's a move they should've made some time ago. Although Williams' consistency was predictably lacking as a third-round pick out of Baylor, his 44-736-5 line would be impressive for any rookie, and his big-play ability was evident on limited playing time. He has breakout WR2/3 upside for 2014.

93. Joique Bell -- Bell is a restricted free agent, but he's easy for the Lions to retain with a second-round tender. Despite sharing Detroit's 2013 backfield with Reggie Bush, Bell quietly finished as the RB17 on the strength of eight touchdowns and a Chris Ivoryish running style. He's also highly skilled in the pass game with 50-plus catches in back-to-back years. If the Lions' new coaching staff wants more of a true I-formation runner, they'll make Bell a key part of the 2014 offense. Bush could see more time at slot receiver in that scenario, and operate as a pace-change back.

94. Anquan Boldin -- Capitalizing on Michael Crabtree's 11 missed games, Boldin set a five-year high in catches (85) and seven-year high in yards (1,179) with seven touchdowns as the 49ers' default No. 1 wideout. Boldin can still ball, but turns 34 in the first half of next season, and last year's opportunity-inflated numbers aren't a reliable indication of what's to come regardless of where he lands. He's a free agent likely to latch on with a contender in a complementary role.

95. Stevie Johnson -- I'm not quite buying rumors of Johnson as a cap casualty -- the Bills seem concerned with E.J. Manuel after a tumultuous rookie year and shouldn't be cutting ties with their most reliable receiver -- but a reduced role is possible as Buffalo ushers Marquise Goodwin and Robert Woods into more playing time. Johnson clashed with coach Doug Marrone off the field, and on it posted four-year lows in catches (52), yards (597), and touchdowns (3). Dynasty owners should hope he gets cut or dealt. The Bills' offense is not conducive to big receiver stats.

96. Danny Amendola -- One of 2013 free agency's biggest busts along with Chargers CB Derek Cox and ex-Texans FS Ed Reed, Amendola laid an absolute egg in his first season with the Pats. He was so ineffective that even when healthy OC Josh McDaniels only felt comfortable playing Amendola on around half of New England's offensive snaps. Including playoffs, he was held to 55 yards or fewer in 10-of-14 appearances. The Patriots are invested in Amendola and want him to succeed, giving him some bounce-back appeal. But 2013 couldn't have gone much worse.

97. Marvin Jones -- Cincinnati's No. 3 playmaker behind A.J. Green and Giovani Bernard, Jones overcame an inexplicable No. 2 receiver rotation with vastly inferior Mohamed Sanu to register a 51-712-10 stat line as an NFL sophomore. Jones only played 50.0% of the offensive snaps. New OC Hue Jackson is committed to a more balanced offense, but Jones could take another step forward in catches and yards if Cincy commits to him as a full-time player. I love him in Dynasty.

98. Hakeem Nicks -- If Trent Richardson, David Wilson, and C.J. Spiller were fantasy's three biggest 2013 disappointments, Nicks wasn't far off. I documented Nicks' NFL injury history in last August's Shy-Away 40 column, and it's jaw dropping. He's experienced a steady decline since being diagnosed with compartment syndrome in his right leg in 2010. Including playoffs, Nicks has three touchdowns over his last 29 games. Nicks will be an incredibly high-risk free-agent signing, and his fantasy future may depend more on his health and on-field effort than 2014 destination.

99. Kyle Rudolph -- The quarterback void remains, but I moved Rudolph 30 spots up this list when the Vikings hired Norv Turner to call plays. Over the last decade, Turner's tight end-friendly offense has coaxed career years out of Randy McMichael, Antonio Gates, and Jordan Cameron, utilizing the position at a voluminous clip with a field-stretching receiver on the outside. Cordarrelle Patterson figures to fill the latter role. Still only 24, Rudolph has major value-pick TE1 potential if the Vikings upgrade under center. When healthy, Rudolph has flashed Gronkian red-zone chops.

100. Aaron Dobson -- I'm going to be pushing Dobson as a 2014 breakout candidate. Although early-season route-running woes and a late-season foot injury limited his final-year stats, the rising sophomore was bypassing Kenbrell Thompkins by October and turned in the following stat lines in the six games where he played at least 50 snaps: 7-52, 6-63, 4-61-1, 5-130-2, 4-38, 1-21. Those numbers extrapolate to 72-966-8 over a full season. The Patriots need Dobson to be a major part of their 2014 offense, and will likely make his progression an offseason priority.

101. Darren Sproles -- Keeping the faith in Sproles throughout the fantasy season was tempting because he's been such a consistent annual scorer in New Orleans, and is such a fantastic theoretical fit for what the Saints do on offense. But his snaps and touches were scaled back pretty significantly, for reasons undisclosed. Beat writers suspected Sean Payton was "saving" Sproles for the playoffs, but nothing changed in the final two games. Maybe Payton just believes Sproles is past his prime. He turns 31 in June, and his role seems unlikely to re-grow in 2014.

102. Pierre Thomas -- Thomas led the Saints in 2013 carries (147) and rushing yards (549), and finished second to only Jimmy Graham in catches (77), but averaged 3.73 YPC and missed the playoffs with a chest injury. He finished as fantasy's RB23. Owed $2.9 million in salary and bonuses, Thomas is an offseason release candidate. The 29-year-old's fantasy value could evaporate quickly away from Sean Payton, though my guess is he'll hang on for one more year.

103. Ben Roethlisberger -- Roethlisberger wound up as one of the better quarterback values in 2013 drafts, ranking 12th in scoring despite a tumultuous year for Pittsburgh. Big Ben's 28 touchdown passes were the second most of his ten-year career, and his yardage (4,261) was a four-year high. Think what you will about Steelers OC Todd Haley; his offenses are undeniably quarterback and receiver friendly. Expect a similar stat line from Roethlisberger in 2014. The Steelers may lose Emmanuel Sanders and Jerricho Cotchery to free agency, but Heath Miller's knee will be healthier and explosive 2013 third-rounder Markus Wheaton is waiting in the wings.

104. Greg Olsen -- Olsen has finished as a top-eight fantasy tight end in back-to-back seasons, but his on-field production hasn't been much better than replacement level. He's a slightly poor man's Jason Witten. Olsen can keep owners competitive on a week-to-week basis, but chasing waiver-wire tight ends in plus matchups can net similar production. He's not a difference maker.

105. Colin Kaepernick -- There were bumps along the way, but Kaepernick put a bow on his first season as a full-time starter with a 21:8 TD-to-INT ratio, 25 all-purpose scores, and a top-nine fantasy finish despite significant supporting-cast deficiencies and frequent 49ers blowout wins that crushed Kap's upside some weeks because he simply didn't have to do much for his team to win. Kap needs to improve his firmness in the pocket and progression reading, but he'll remain an upside QB1/2 pick in 2014 fantasy drafts with a bazooka arm and game-breaking rushing ability.

106. Charles Clay -- Clay more than offset Miami's preseason loss of Dustin Keller with career bests in receptions (69), yards (759), and touchdowns (6) as Ryan Tannehill's movable safety valve. He ranked seventh among fantasy tight ends. New Fins OC Bill Lazor comes from Chip Kelly's coaching staff, where the Eagles mixed and matched tight ends based on opponent. So there is some risk of Clay becoming a week-to-week dice roll as Zach Ertz and Brent Celek were. I still like Clay's chances of returning low-end to mid-range TE1 value entering his contract year.

107. Martellus Bennett -- Held under 70 yards in 12-of-16 games his first season with Chicago, Bennett was another middling, keep-you-competitive tight end whose replacement-level stats could be plucked off weekly waiver wires. These types don't deserve to go early in fantasy drafts. I still think Bennett has a ten-TD season in him, but wouldn't love the idea of drafting him to be my TE1. He's the Bears' No. 4 pass option behind Brandon Marshall, Alshon Jeffery, and Matt Forte.

108. Danny Woodhead -- Woodhead opened the season in a high-volume Sprolesian role before taking a second-half backseat to Ryan Mathews, to whom the Chargers committed legit bellcow work. Mathews returns for his contract year, leaving Woodhead with flex appeal only in PPR. He may have a hard time staying roster-worthy in 2014 standard leagues. Ultimately, Woodhead is a more effective real-life than fantasy player. He did finish 2013 with career highs across the board.

109. Ryan Tannehill -- A consistent if limited-upside fantasy passer as a sophomore, Tannehill doubled his touchdowns (24) while markedly improving his completion rate (60.4) and yardage (3,913). The good news for Miami is pass-obsessed OC Mike Sherman is gone, and Tannehill won't drop back often enough to duplicate his league-high 58 sacks taken. The Fins will field a more balanced attack under OC Bill Lazor, who comes from run-heavy Philadelphia. The bad news is Tannehill's pass attempts will take a hit, and he'll be forced to learn a revised offense.

110. Shonn Greene -- Greene has a chance to open 2014 as the Titans' starting tailback with Chris Johnson considered a virtual certainty to be released. It just makes Greene a slightly more intriguing fantasy commodity. Turning 29 years old before next season, Greene's yards-per-carry averages have dipped on an annual basis throughout his career, and he's never been functional in the pass game. He could just as easily be beaten out in camp by a second- or third-round rookie.

111. Bryce Brown -- Despite prototypical size (6'0/223) and speed (4.48), and reliable hands, there were 2013 indications Brown wasn't an ideal fit for Chip Kelly's offense. He has a tendency to bounce runs outside rather than get north-south downhill, leaving yards on the field. Brown also struggled to hold off more pedestrian teammate Chris Polk for primary backup duties to LeSean McCoy. Brown still holds a 4.62 YPC average through two seasons, and could start for a number of teams. I wouldn't be surprised if Philadelphia placed Brown on the trade block this offseason.

112. James Jones -- Jones' free-agent stock would be more intriguing had his production not fallen off so suddenly from 2012 to 2013. His league-high 14 TDs from two seasons ago proved an obvious fluke, plummeting to three while his reception total also stumbled. Jones turns 30 in March and has never been a smooth separator, though he mixes it up physically. He could be a solid No. 2 receiver outside of Green Bay. Jones' fantasy outlook will depend on his landing spot.

113. Jeremy Maclin -- Maclin tore his right ACL on July 27 and had surgery on August 6. As the ligament was a clean tear and his rehab has all along been described as "ahead of schedule," the market interest in Maclin could surprise. He doesn't turn 26 until May with a pretty consistently productive track record. From a fantasy perspective, Maclin's best landing spot would be away from Philadelphia, where Chip Kelly's run-heavy offense didn’t support more than one reliable pass-catching producer. Maclin's recent comments have hinted he wants to re-sign with the Eagles.

114. Mike Williams -- The Bucs will be a run-heavy, defensive-minded team under new OC Jeff Tedford, limiting Williams' bounce-back appeal. His 2014 health shouldn't be a concern following October's hamstring tear, but pass attempts in Tampa Bay likely will be. Look for the Bucs to prioritize upgrading tight end this offseason, and Williams to remain a complementary receiver behind Vincent Jackson. His fantasy value will continue to be heavily touchdown dependent.

115. Bernard Pierce -- Pierce was quietly one of the biggest disappointments of the 2013 season. Pierce kept his timeshare with Ray Rice but didn’t capitalize with Rice struggling, somehow managing to finish with a lower YPC average (3.08 to 2.87) and failing to outplay his overused teammate. The offensive line deserves plenty of blame, but Pierce just didn't get any better going from his age-22 rookie season to 23 as a sophomore. He'll now be 24 with a more cloudy future.

116. Steve Smith -- Having officially devolved into a late-career possession receiver, Smith's 2013 numbers plummeted in a conservatively-called Panthers offense that was led in receptions and yards by its tight end. In his age-34 season, Smith posted a six-year low in yards per catch (11.6) and finished 42nd among fantasy receivers. OC Mike Shula may open up the offense some in his second year as coordinator, but probably not enough to get Smith back on the 1,000-yard radar.

117. Golden Tate -- I've noticed Tate has a sort of cultish backing among plenty of smart people who believe he's better than I do. I think he's a mid-range to potentially high-end No. 2-caliber receiver who's been stretched as a No. 1. He does have some playmaking ability and could be fun to watch in a higher-tempo, more receiver-friendly attack. If the Seahawks re-sign Tate -- and I tend to think they will -- he's going to remain a borderline, relatively low-ceiling year-to-year WR3.

118. Tavon Austin -- Rotoworld wasn't high on Austin before the season, but he outdid even our lowest expectations. Finishing 56th in fantasy receiver scoring, "Tavon Awesome" was not only underutilized by OC Brian Schottenheimer, but the No. 8 overall pick in the draft failed to earn increased playing time by dropping six passes in the first five games and averaging 10.5 yards per catch. It's hard to project Sam Bradford's return as a potential spark to Austin because he was more productive with Kellen Clemens. Austin will be a boom-or-bust 2014 re-draft pick.

119. Jarrett Boykin -- Green Bay targets are up for grabs with Jermichael Finley and James Jones entering free agency. Boykin lacks special talent, but is a steady technician who turned in a 49-681-3 line in a semi-breakout year despite limited snaps and an Aaron Rodgers injury. Boykin is the favorite to open 2014 as Green Bay's No. 3 wideout behind Jordy Nelson and Randall Cobb.

120. David Wilson -- The quick-twitch explosion and athletic upside should still be there. The on-field reliability and health aren't. Having undergone January neck surgery, Wilson is a candidate to swing wildly up or down this list based on Giants offseason moves and reports on his recovery. Still just 22 years old, enigmatic underachiever Wilson should remain stashed on Dynasty rosters.

121. Darren McFadden -- DMC has missed at least three games to injury in each of his first six NFL seasons, and managed 1,090 yards with seven touchdowns on 332 carries (3.28 YPC) over his last 23 affairs. Now entering free agency going on age 27, McFadden's star-crossed career will likely close out in a backfield committee. GM Reggie McKenzie's Raiders won't re-sign him.

122. Donald Brown -- Among NFL backs with at least 100 rushing attempts, only Andre Ellington bettered Brown's 5.26 YPC average in easily the best season of the once-failed first-round pick's career. A free agent, Brown's lack of a volume-friendly skill set will work against his chances of landing a starting job. The Colts still value Brown most, so look for them to try to re-sign him.

123. LeGarrette Blount -- Blount emerged as New England's clear-cut lead back down the stretch, demonstrating improved leg drive through contact and short-yardage prowess. Now an unrestricted free agent, Blount lacks pass-game chops but is a capable workhorse in a power-blocking scheme. He has an outside chance at RB2/flex value depending on his landing spot.

124. DeAngelo Williams -- The salary cap ramifications of releasing either outweigh the upshot of Carolina cutting DeAngelo Williams and Jonathan Stewart, so expect both to return in a similar-looking 2014 backfield behind Cam Newton, with Mike Tolbert in the scoring-position-back role. Williams was mildly valuable as the Panthers' early-season lead back, but his start-ability became nonexistent when Stewart returned from PUP. As Williams turns 31 in April with a YPC average that's dipped in back-to-back seasons, he won't be on the radar of 2014 fantasy upside seekers.

125. Delanie Walker -- I entered 2013 a doubter that previously drop-prone Walker was capable of functioning effectively as a starting tight end. He proved me wrong by combining his typically strong run blocking with career highs in catches (60), yards (571), and touchdowns (6). New coach Ken Whisenhunt's comparisons to Antonio Gates bode especially promising for Walker's outlook. He should return high-end TE2 value with room for more pending a quarterback upgrade.

126. Heath Miller -- Miller returned from his December 2012 triple-knee ligament tear in Week 3 to start every game left in Pittsburgh's season. He finished with a 58-593-1 stat line. Although Miller was dragging his leg at times, he's going to be much closer to 100% in 2014 in the same offense that produced his top-four fantasy tight end ranking from the season before. With Emmanuel Sanders and Jerricho Cotchery entering free agency, Miller should get back near TE1 numbers.

127. Riley Cooper -- Cooper's two-game, five-touchdown midseason scoring binge was exposed as a mirage when he reached pay dirt once over Philly's final six regular season games. He started every game but only topped 60 yards five times. Now a free agent, Cooper would be best suited as a No. 3 or 4 receiver and jump-ball specialist. The market will determine his outlook.

128. Antonio Gates -- Turning 34 in June, Gates is owed a $5 million base salary after failing to top 50 receiving yards in eight consecutive games to close out the season. San Diego may prefer to make Gates a Charger for life, but Ladarius Green should command a larger piece of the receiving pie in 2014. You're probably not going to want Gates as your starting fantasy tight end.

129. Mark Ingram -- Including playoffs, Ingram rushed 55 times for 374 yards (6.8 YPC) and two touchdowns in the four games he received at least ten totes. He managed 158 scoreless yards on 51 runs in his other eight games. We're obviously dealing in small sample sizes here, but I don't think it's any coincidence that Ingram is more productive when he gets more carries. He's a volume grinder who simply doesn't play in the type of offense that caters to that. Ingram needs to get out of New Orleans before he gets too old. We'll reassess if he’s moved this offseason.

130. Owen Daniels -- Daniels never did return after suffering a non-displaced fibula fracture in Week 5. Now 31 years old with a $4.5 million non-guaranteed base salary, Daniels is a prime candidate for offseason release with Ryan Griffin waiting in the wings. Even if Daniels does stay in Houston, a rookie quarterback could take an axe to his value. He'll be a clear TE2 in 2014 drafts.

131. Eli Manning -- Manning's quarterback scoring has now dropped in back-to-back years, and his TD count has dipped in three straight. He'll be learning a new offense for the first time in his career this offseason under West Coast mind Ben McAdoo, whom the G-Men hired away from Green Bay. Eli has enough ability left to bounce back into the top 13-15 fantasy passers, but his days of winning fantasy trophies were short lived. He'll be a QB2 pick with moderate upside in '14.

132. Alex Smith -- First-year Chiefs coach Andy Reid did masterful work with Smith in their first season together, expanding him over the course of the year and building him up. By the stretch run, Smith showed more willingness to pull the trigger on contested and 12-plus-yard throws than ever before in his career. Smith wound up with career highs in passing scores (23), yards (3,313), and rushing yards (431) en route to a No. 14 fantasy quarterback finish. That's likely his peak, but Smith should remain a consistently high-end QB2 in '14. He'll be a fine target in two-QB leagues.

133. Coby Fleener -- Fleener took big box-score steps forward after a non-factor rookie year, but benefited from Dwayne Allen year-ending Week 1 hip injury and Reggie Wayne's Week 7 ACL tear. Fleener was forced into a prominent role he wasn't ready for, regularly getting physically dominated in both run and pass games. His atrocious blocking could lead to reduced playing time in 2014, especially with Allen returning. Fleener's top-13 tight end finish from 2013 is fool's gold.

134. Greg Jennings -- Playing Percy Harvin's old position of Z and slot receiver, Jennings turned in a pedestrian first season with the Vikings, catching 68 balls across 15 games but clearing 60 yards just four times. Slowing down going on age 31, Jennings is a late-career possession receiver. He'd need a mammoth quarterback upgrade to rediscover consistent WR3 value.

135. Denarius Moore -- Moore annually flashes potential to be a No. 1-caliber receiver, but shaky quarterback play, durability woes, and on-field inconsistency have held him back. He missed three games with a shoulder injury in 2013, and played behind Andre Holmes upon return. Moore has also dropped 14 passes in two seasons since mishandling just two as a rookie in 2011. Now entering his contract year, Moore faces significant obstacles as he looks to make a leap.

136. Brian Hartline -- A fairly consistent but low-upside 1,000-yard receiver at this point, Hartline's problem is he doesn't make enough big plays. He's sprinkled just seven touchdowns among his last 228 receptions. Now entering a more run-heavy offense under new OC Bill Lazor, the arrow on Hartline's outlook is pointing down. Mike Wallace will be a much better 2014 fantasy target.

137. Markus Wheaton -- Injuries, some on-field errors, and a slow start due to Oregon State's late graduation resulted in a quiet rookie season for the Steelers' 2013 third-round pick, but Wheaton's explosive college tape speaks for itself, and he flashed dynamic ability in his first preseason. With Emmanuel Sanders and Jerricho Cotchery both free agents, Sanders is set up to start opposite Antonio Brown in 2014. I would recommend targeting the 23-year-old in offseason Dynasty trades.

138. Andy Dalton -- 2013 owners of Dalton know his week-to-week performance was wildly hit or miss, but he finished the season with top-six quarterback stats and career highs almost across the board. Dalton is a candidate to be overdrafted in 2014, moving out of Jay Gruden's pass-first scheme and entering Hue Jackson's balanced to run-heavy attack. A limited talent surrounded by playmakers, Dalton's role is likely to be scaled back. He'll be more of a game manager under Hue.

139. Doug Baldwin -- Slot man Baldwin emerged as Russell Wilson's most reliable receiver in 2014, leading Seattle in postseason catches and receiving yards, and finishing the regular season with career bests in every counting stat (50-778-5). Baldwin is a really nice role player, but plays in an offense that doesn't cater to big receiving numbers and figures to lose playing time to a healthy Percy Harvin in 2014. Baldwin's ceiling is likely no better than WR3/4-caliber production.

140. Roy Helu -- New Redskins coach Jay Gruden was a big believer in skill-player rotations with Cincinnati, employing them at No. 2 receiver, tailback, and tight end. There is some reason to believe Helu's role could be expanded in 2014 at Alfred Morris' expense due in large part to Helu's superior pass-game chops. A plus talent with versatility, Helu at very worst will be worth drafting as a lottery ticket bench stash and/or Morris handcuff. Helu is averaging a respectable 4.26 YPC with 87 receptions through three NFL seasons. He's entering his contract year at age 25.

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Evan Silva is a senior football editor for Rotoworld.com. He can be found on Twitter .
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