Evan Silva

Goal Line Stand

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Silva's Post-Season Top 200

Monday, January 27, 2014



141. Jonathan Stewart -- Once among the NFL's most promising young running backs, Stewart is now one of football's most overpaid players. Owed nearly $8.4 million in salary and bonuses, Stewart will only return to the Panthers because they'd take an over $12 million cap penalty by cutting him this offseason. The injury-riddled 27-year-old will return in a timeshare with DeAngelo Williams and Mike Tolbert. He'd need a lot to go right to become startable in 2014 fantasy lineups.

142. Andre Roberts -- Although Roberts has never finished as a top-35 fantasy receiver, he's someone to monitor this offseason as a free agent unlikely to return to Arizona. A poor man's Antonio Brown, Roberts can play all over the formation and is still only 26 years old. He could push for WR3 value next season if he lands a starting job on a statistically receiver-friendly team.

143. Latavius Murray -- A size-speed freak out of UCF, Murray ran 4.39 at 6-foot-3, 223 pounds before missing his entire rookie season as a "redshirt" on injured reserve. Prior to the transaction, coach Dennis Allen singled out Murray's lack of "availability and accountability," and he was never seriously in the mix for carries. In a 2014 best-case scenario, the Raiders would let Murray and Marcel Reece duke it out for feature back duties. More likely, Oakland will re-sign Rashad Jennings to be its every-down back, keep Reece at fullback, and mix in Murray if he earns work.

144. DeAndre Hopkins -- Although his final stats (52-802-2) look decent on paper, Hopkins' rookie year was a disappointment. "Nuk" was benched in a November game and struggled with route running all season. He didn't score a touchdown from Week 8 on. Hopkins remains an interesting long-term prospect, but is unlikely to provide stable WR3 stats until Andre Johnson moves on. And that won't happen in 2014. Hopkins holds more Dynasty than re-draft value entering year two.

145. BenJarvus Green-Ellis -- Law Firm doesn't keep an NFL roster spot because he's a dynamic runner. He's a sub-average talent who lasts purely based on reliability, rarely fumbling and getting what's blocked between the tackles. Green-Ellis is questionable to return to Cincinnati with $2.5 million in salary and bonuses, and new OC Hue Jackson allegedly eyeballing free agent Darren McFadden. If released, Green-Ellis would likely generate very limited interest on the open market.

146. Nate Burleson -- Turning 33 before next season and owed a $5.5 million salary, Burleson will have to take a large pay cut to remain in Detroit. The Lions are likely to scale back their passing volume under new coach Jim Caldwell, boding poorly for their chances of supporting consistent fantasy pass catchers behind Calvin Johnson. Burleson will be a late pick with low upside in 2014.

147. Emmanuel Sanders -- Pursued by New England as a restricted free agent last offseason, Sanders instead played out his contract year with the team that drafted him, registering a career-best No. 33 fantasy receiver finish. Sanders still wasn't a particularly attractive start in any week, and his 2014 whereabouts are to-be-determined as an unrestricted free agent. We've seen Sanders' ceiling and it isn't very high. Perhaps his outlook will improve in another locale, but I'm not betting on it. Expect Markus Wheaton to take Sanders' old job in Pittsburgh.

148. Jerrel Jernigan -- Jernigan took off as the Giants' primary slot receiver down the stretch, notching stat lines of 7-67, 6-80-1, and 6-90-1 in the final three games. Owner John Mara went so far as to cite Jernigan's previous lack of involvement as a reason the G-Men forced OC Kevin Gilbride into retirement. Jernigan has a chance to open 2014 as New York's slot man if Victor Cruz moves outside, bookending Rueben Randle. New Giants OC Ben McAdoo hails from Green Bay and will likely run a three-receiver-based offense, giving Jernigan darkhorse WR3 appeal.

149. Ladarius Green -- Green could soar up this list if the Chargers' coaching staff drops pre-season hints that they'll commit to him as a featured pass catcher in 2014. Despite a basketball player's athleticism-size combination, Green was frequently utilized as a blocker in San Diego's 2013 offense, forcing defenses to play nickel and dime alignments to counter the Bolts' two-tight end sets. The Chargers ultimately evolved into a run-first team, "getting numbers" up front and earning a Wild Card berth. If employed as more of a pass-game weapon, Green is talented enough to pass Antonio Gates and emerge as Philip Rivers' No. 2 option behind Keenan Allen.

150. Justin Hunter -- Although Hunter's playing time was limited as a sub-package receiver, his big-play ability was evident down the stretch of his rookie season, twice topping 100 yards and finishing with a 19.7 YPR average with four touchdowns. Quarterback remains a big question mark in Nashville, but Hunter figures to rise up the depth chart in year two. Damian Williams and Kenny Britt are free agents, while Nate Washington ($4.8 million) may be a salary casualty.

151. Kenny Stills -- Turning in a highly efficient rookie season, Stills ranked 89th among receivers in targets but 47th in fantasy scoring, often playing ahead of Lance Moore and averaging an NFL-high 20.0 yards per catch. The Saints' No. 2 receiver position has rarely been a consistent source of box-score production, but that could change in 2014 if Moore is released and Stills nails down the job. Stills has serious big-play ability and excellent hands, dropping just one ball as a rookie.

152. Zach Ertz -- Ertz is another talented young player with sophomore-year breakout potential depending on his usage by the Eagles' coaching staff. Ertz is still raw as a blocker -- hurting his snap counts in Chip Kelly's run-first offense -- but creates favorable matchups with his height and fluid movement skills. He scored four touchdowns and averaged 13.0 yards per catch as a rookie, but only started twice. If Ertz improves as a blocker and forces Kelly to commit to him as an every-down tight end, he'll be a fantasy TE1. If not, expect more weekly ups and downs.

153. Rod Streater -- Streater paced the 2013 Raiders in catches (60) and receiving yards (888), but managed four touchdowns and just five games of 60-plus yards. A possession receiver on a bad team, Streater's odds seem long of a third-year breakout. Oakland's top three wideouts entering the offseason are Streater, Denarius Moore and Andre Holmes. They don't have a starting-caliber quarterback and play philosophically balanced offense under OC Greg Olson.

154. Danario Alexander -- An impending free agent, the wildly talented but even more injury prone Alexander tore his right ACL in an early-August practice and was waived/injured ten days later. Alexander is still only 25, but has undergone at least six known knee surgeries since his college career at Mizzou. His rehab and landing spot will both be worth monitoring during the offseason.

155. Rashard Mendenhall -- Essentially the BenJarvus Green-Ellis to Andre Ellington's Giovani Bernard this past season, Mendenhall battled numerous injuries en route to a career-low 3.17 YPC average. He did score eight touchdowns, salvaging minimal fantasy appeal. Mendenhall is now a free agent and won't be highly coveted. He'll likely be a stretch as a 2014 fantasy pick.

156. Marcel Reece -- Reece could soar up this list if the Raiders' coaching staff gave him a legit shot to replace free agents Darren McFadden and Rashad Jennings as the feature back, but the odds are against that. Despite a career 4.76 YPC average and December's 19-123-1 throttling of the Jets, OC Greg Olson has given no indications that he views Reece as more than a fullback and package-specific ball handler. Still, the 28-year-old is a player to monitor this offseason.

157. Tim Wright -- Wright ranked second on the Bucs in catches (54), receiving yards (571), and touchdown receptions (5) as an undrafted rookie, but was the box-score beneficiary of Mike Williams' year-ending injury, and may have lost his biggest organizational supporter when the Bucs fired college coach Greg Schiano. Wright's role is now up in the air under new OC Jeff Tedford. Wright is an undersized, catch-first tight end who may struggle for playing time in 2014.

158. Brandon LaFell -- Through four NFL seasons, free agent LaFell has failed to reach 50 receptions or 700 yards. Drop prone and short on playmaking ability, he's a below-average No. 2 receiver in the league. LaFell could become more interesting if he landed a starting job on a pass-first team with outstanding QB play. For now, LaFell should be viewed as a low-upside WR5.

159. Eddie Royal -- Royal's eight touchdowns from 2013 were an obvious fluke, as he scored five of them in the first two games before reverting to "the same old Eddie Royal" the rest of the way. Royal did bypass Vincent Brown on the late-season depth chart, and has a chance to open 2014 as San Diego's No. 2 receiver. Look for the Bolts to try to upgrade and expand Ladarius Green's pass-game usage. In all likelihood, 28-year-old Royal won't be worth a pick in re-draft leagues.

160. Da'Rick Rogers -- Despite a Brandon Marshallian skill set, Rogers fell out of last April's draft due to character concerns, and bounced from the Bills to the Colts before earning a prominent late-season role. He was demoted out of the starting lineup in favor of LaVon Brazill during the playoffs, however. The talent is there. The passion for football may or may not be. Rogers is going to need to make a big offseason leap to earn more snaps behind T.Y. Hilton and Reggie Wayne.

161. Carson Palmer -- Palmer finished 17th in fantasy quarterback scoring his first year under Bruce Arians, quietly setting a career high with 4,274 passing yards. Palmer obviously isn't going to get much better at age 34, and plays in a brutal division for pass defenses. He'll likely remain a middling fantasy QB2 in 2014, which would make Palmer borderline worthy of a fantasy draft pick.

162. Sam Bradford -- Before tearing his left ACL on October 20, Bradford was quietly on pace for career bests in passing yards (3,856) and TD-to-INT ratio (32:10). Despite a $14.015 million non-guaranteed salary, the Rams are sticking with Bradford as their 2014 quarterback and can give him a potent run game following the emergence of Zac Stacy. Look for St. Louis to ease in Bradford next season, operating in a balanced to run-heavy offense. He'll be a mid-range to low-end QB2.

163. Lance Moore -- Moore set four-year lows in catches (37), yards (457), and touchdowns (2) in his age-30 season, playing in a timeshare with more explosive Kenny Stills and streak-route specialist Robert Meachem behind Marques Colston. Moore will be 31 when next season starts and is owed $3.8 million in salary and bonuses. He's probably not coming back to New Orleans.

164. Michael Vick -- Vick lost his starting job to Nick Foles in Philadelphia and is now a free agent, although his public comments indicate Vick will likely return to the Eagles as Foles' backup. Vick has enough juice left in the tank to be a spot fantasy contributor, but probably not in a place like Oakland. His whereabouts will determine his outlook. Vick turns 34 years old this June.

165. Kendall Hunter -- Hunter enters his 2014 contract year with a career 4.59 YPC average but still entrenched behind Frank Gore for carries. The 49ers have given no indications that they see Hunter as more than a change-of-pace back. Still, Gore faded down the stretch of 2013 and turns 31 in May. LaMichael James has proven to be of no threat, but Marcus Lattimore could be an obstacle. Hunter is more likely to be a popular fantasy pick when he hits free agency in 2015.

166. Dwayne Allen -- Allen posted a 45-521-3 line as a 2012 rookie before suffering a year-ending hip injury in Week 1 of this past season. A do-it-all tight end, Allen is a plus blocker whose loss dealt a significant blow to first-year OC Pep Hamilton's run-first offensive design. Allen's injury is not expected to affect his 2014 health. He'll be a TE2 with back-end TE1 upside in year three.

167. Christine Michael -- Marshawn Lynch will return to Seattle in 2014, but the 28-year-old has averaged over 330 carries per year the past three seasons. Father Time remains undefeated. With explosive athleticism and bone-rattling power, Michael is the Seahawks' running back of the future and a premium Dynasty prospect. He averaged 4.83 YPC on 58 combined preseason and regular season carries as a second-round rookie, looking every bit the part of a future franchise back.

168. Sidney Rice -- Owed a non-guaranteed $8.5 million salary, Rice will be released into free agency after tearing his ACL last October. There is a chance getting out of Seattle's receiver-unfriendly offense could rejuvenate Rice, but it's unlikely. Now 27, Rice has had one good NFL season among seven, and it came with Brett Favre in 2009. In all likelihood, Rice is washed up.

169. Knile Davis -- Third-round rookie Davis turned in a pedestrian first NFL season, managing a combined 88-309-3.51-5 rushing line, including playoffs. Jamaal Charles is obviously locked in as Kansas City's offensive centerpiece, but Davis will be a worthwhile handcuff pick. Davis was better on special teams than offense in 2013, averaging 32.1 yards per kickoff return with a 108-yard score. As a runner, Davis possesses an ideal build and straight-line speed but lacks wiggle.

170. Jacquizz Rodgers -- The time to sell high on Rodgers' name value has passed, as observers now understand he's no more than a change-up back. He's not Maurice Jones-Drew. Averaging 3.64 yards on 247 career carries, Rodgers has settled in as a more effective real-life than fantasy player. He'll be a weak handcuff pick behind whomever Atlanta starts at running back in 2014.

171. Bilal Powell -- A replacement-level player, Powell played so many 2013 snaps because he was a better fit for Jets first-year OC Marty Mornhinweg's pass-oriented offense. It wasn't because Powell possesses starter's talent. Assuming Mike Goodson returns to New York, look for him and Powell to duke it out for passing-back work behind two-down thumper Chris Ivory. Powell won't be worth a fantasy draft pick, and I wouldn't get my hopes up for the 25-year-old in Dynasty leagues.

172. Zach Miller -- Once a low-end fantasy starter in Oakland, Miller has finished 43rd, 29th, and 21st in tight end scoring through three seasons in Seattle. The Seahawks' run-dominated offense kills Miller's fantasy appeal. He's signed through 2015 and turned 28 in December. 2013 fifth-round pick Luke Willson is a more intriguing long-term prospect on Seattle's roster at tight end.

173. Jared Cook -- Cook was a dud his first season in St. Louis, partially because his skill set doesn't lend itself to high-volume receiving, and partially because Sam Bradford was lost for the season seven games in. Despite statistical career highs across the board, Cook hit 50-plus yards in just 2-of-16 contests. In a pathetic year for tight ends beyond the top producers, Cook still finished 11th in scoring at his position. Even with Bradford back, Cook is no better than a TE2.

174. Rob Housler -- An athletic but injury-prone 26-year-old (in March) tight end, Housler has yet to play a full 16-game schedule entering his fourth season and was a rotational player in Bruce Arians' primarily three-receiver attack. Housler can run, but doesn't do other things particularly well. He might reach his potential in another locale, but is signed with Arizona for one more year.

175. Ahmad Bradshaw -- Bradshaw was placed on injured reserve in October after undergoing surgery on his neck. Late in the year, he told reporters he was already back to 100%. Bradshaw turns 28 in March, but the off time could do his chronically injured feet some good. Still effective when healthy, Bradshaw has topped 4.5 YPC in consecutive seasons. He's now a free agent.

176. Joseph Fauria -- Utilized almost strictly as a red-zone package player by Detroit's outgoing coaching staff, undrafted rookie Fauria parlayed 18 receptions into a whopping seven TDs, an obviously unsustainable rate. Still, Fauria is intriguing because he excels at high-pointing passes and Brandon Pettigrew is a free agent. The odds are against Fauria returning TE1 value in 2014, but it isn't out of the question. He'll have to improve dramatically as a blocker to earn more snaps.

177. Denard Robinson -- Converted Michigan quarterback Robinson endured an expectedly slow rookie season, falling behind Jordan Todman and Justin Forsett on Jacksonville's tailback depth chart en route to a 20-66-0 rushing line without a reception. Maurice Jones-Drew is a free agent, however, and "Shoelace" could emerge as a '14 sleeper should he make major offseason strides. Strictly as a runner, I thought Robinson had similarities to Chris Johnson coming out of college.

178. Mikel Leshoure -- Leshoure's Dynasty owners should be hoping for an offseason trade out of Detroit, which the 13-time healthy scratch has publicly requested. Turning 24 years old in March, Leshoure has a poor man's Marshawn Lynch skill set with fresh legs after just two 2013 carries.

179. Johnathan Franklin -- Before last April's draft, Franklin was my No. 2 running back prospect based on college tape, behind only teammate Eddie Lacy. Franklin was obviously much slower to get involved in Green Bay's offense and landed on injured reserve with a November concussion. Franklin's most promising effort occurred in Week 3 against the Bengals' top-five run defense, ripping off 103 yards and a touchdown on 13 carries with three catches for 23 more yards. I don't think Franklin is a big threat to Lacy's 2014 carries, but I do think he has starting-caliber talent if called upon, and should be a strong Lacy handcuff assuming free agent James Starks walks.

180. Santonio Holmes -- A surefire salary cap casualty, Holmes was healthy enough to play on 76% of the snaps over the Jets' final four 2013 games. Whether Holmes is capable of a career resurgence, in my opinion, is entirely up to him. He still flashes game-breaking ability from time to time. Turning 30 in March, Holmes will likely generate one-year offers without guaranteed money. I would think reuniting with receiver-needy Rams OC Brian Schottenheimer is a small possibility.

181. Mike Tolbert -- Carolina's designated red-zone back scored seven all-purpose touchdowns in 2013 but managed just 128 touches all season and was used infrequently between the 20s. As DeAngelo Williams and Jonathan Stewart are both expected to return in 2014, Tolbert's role is unlikely to change. He'll be worth a look in especially deep leagues but few 12- and 14-teamers.

182. Stephen Hill -- The single least efficient wide receiver in football, Hill ranked 102nd of 105 qualifiers in Pro Football Focus' 2012 "catch rate" (45.7%) metric, and 100th (47.1%) in 2013. In addition to ongoing knee problems, Hill plays without physicality and is all too often boxed out by defensive backs in contested situations. He's a straight-line speedster who doesn't go get the ball. Hill's remaining glimmers of hope are his age (23 in April), jets (4.28), and height-weight (6'4/215).

183. Robert Woods -- Woods' outlook would receive a major boost if the Bills cut ties with Stevie Johnson, who butted heads with first-year coach Doug Marrone and is owed $5.675 million in 2014. A quick-footed possession receiver, Woods would otherwise be a low-upside WR5 fantasy pick after a 40-587-3 rookie season with disappointing E.J. Manuel returning at quarterback.

184. Khiry Robinson -- A 2013 undrafted free agent out of West Texas A&M, Robinson's role grew as his rookie year progressed, and he quietly led New Orleans in Divisional round carries (13-57-1). In conversations with Sean Payton mentor Bill Parcells, The Tuna allegedly compared Robinson to Curtis Martin. The Saints' pass-happy offense and deep running back stable remain 2014 obstacles, but Robinson's arrow is pointing up. He needs Mark Ingram to go away.

185. Chris Givens -- Givens looked ready for takeoff in a big-play-filled 2013 preseason before eating dirt in the real games, taking steps back in catches (34), yards (569), and touchdowns (0) despite starting 13-of-16 appearances. Givens may be best suited for a third-receiver, situational deep threat role. To date, there are no reasons to think he's more than a streak-route specialist.

186. Jeremy Kerley -- A low-upside slot receiver, Kerley annually seems to find his way onto the weekly fantasy radar. He's a reliable fourth-year player with whom Geno Smith always played much better when healthy in 2013. Kerley, 25, has settled in as an annual WR3/4 in PPR leagues.

187. Kenbrell Thompkins -- Predictably, Thompkins didn't come close to meeting expectations attached to his seventh-round draft-time ADP, losing his starting job after an unproductive seven-game run and going catch-less in each of New England's final six games, including the playoffs. I'm still holding Thompkins in one deep Dynasty league, but may wind up dropping him next fall.

188. James Starks -- Starks is a free agent coming off a season where he led all NFL rushers in yards-per-carry average (5.54) among players with at least 80 attempts. Also experienced in the passing game, 28-year-old Starks has an outside chance at landing a starting job this spring.

189. Anthony Dixon -- I'm stashing Dixon in some Dynasty leagues just to see what happens. A Michael Bush-type talent, Dixon's rookie contract is up, and the 49ers aren't going to re-sign him with Kendall Hunter, Marcus Lattimore, and LaMichael James behind Frank Gore. 26 years old, Dixon has an outside chance to enter some team's training camp competing for a starting job.

190. Jake Locker -- A maddeningly streaky passer with top-notch tools but zero consistency, Locker's future is up in the air after the Titans' coaching change. New HC Ken Whisenhunt has been adamantly noncommittal on Locker, who surely will have to compete to keep his starting job, assuming he even gets that much rope. He's still a young (26 in June) player to keep monitoring. In seven 2013 starts, Locker set career bests in completion rate (60.7) and won-loss record (4-3). He has a big arm, and 502 yards with four touchdowns on 73 career rushing attempts (6.88 YPC).

191. Toby Gerhart -- I've seen some hype on Gerhart as a 2014 free agent, and I'm not buying in. I don't think any NFL team will target him as a starter. Turning 27 in March, Gerhart's 7.9 YPC average from 2013 is awfully fluky considering his 3.4 clip from the season before on a bigger sample size. Gerhart is a hard-charging, fairly versatile backup type, and likely nothing more.

192. Chris Polk -- I think there is some reason to believe Bryce Brown could land on the offseason trade block because he's not a great fit for Chip Kelly's offense. That would set up versatile Polk to be LeSean McCoy's 2014 handcuff. No slouch, the former undrafted free agent has 98 yards and three touchdowns on 11 career carries (8.9 YPC). Polk is a dependable, low-upside back.

193. Harry Douglas -- Douglas' 2013 "breakout" (85-1,067-2) will have to be taken with a grain of salt as it pertains to 2014 because it came as a result of debilitating injuries to Roddy White, and Julio Jones' 11 missed games. Still, Douglas could flirt with WR3 value if Atlanta commits to more three-receiver sets in order to offset the loss of Tony Gonzalez. Douglas turns 30 next September.

194. Joe Flacco -- We've pretty well established what Flacco is entering his seventh NFL season at age 29. He's finished above fantasy QB14 once in six years, and ranked a lowly 19th in quarterback scoring this past season despite a career-high 614 pass attempts. The "leap" isn't happening. Flacco could still be a steady QB2 if the Ravens upgrade his line and weapons.

195. Benny Cunningham -- A 2013 undrafted rookie from Middle Tennessee State, Cunningham quietly led the NFL in yards per carry (5.55) among rushers with at least 45 attempts. Ahead of Isaiah Pead and Daryl Richardson, Cunningham is the favorite to be Zac Stacy's 2014 handcuff.

196. Nate Washington -- Going on age 31 and owed a $4.8 million salary, Washington is a virtual lock to be released as the Titans attempt to create more snaps for 2013 second-round pick Justin Hunter. Washington would have to land in an absolute ideal playing-time situation with a top quarterback to achieve WR3 value in '14. He's just barely worth holding in deep Dynasty leagues.

197. Marlon Brown -- A 2013 undrafted rookie out of Georgia, Brown flashed a homeless man's Anquan Boldin skill set en route to a 49-524-7 line in his first NFL season, appearing in 14 games and starting 12. He played both slot and outside receiver, but wasn't good enough that Brown will enter 2014 locked into a starting job. I like him better as a Dynasty than 2014 re-draft prospect.

198. Marquise Goodwin -- Goodwin was the most explosive Bills offensive skill-position player with C.J. Spiller banged up throughout 2013, averaging 16.6 yards with three touchdowns on 17 receptions. To realize his fantasy potential, Goodwin needs much better quarterback play from E.J. Manuel and for the Bills to commit to him in a more prominent role. He finished fourth among Buffalo wide receivers in snaps played, behind Robert Woods, T.J. Graham, and Stevie Johnson.

199. LaVon Brazill -- A rotational receiver for most of 2013, Brazill finally earned a major playing-time bump in the playoffs and delivered stat lines of 4-54 and 2-73-2. He played 70.0% of Indy's postseason snaps. Brazill is an exciting talent capable of winning at the intermediate and deep levels, but he's likely to resume a reserve, sub-package role in 2014. T.Y. Hilton can't be removed from the starting lineup, and all signs point to Reggie Wayne returning despite his 2013 ACL tear.

200. Leonard Hankerson -- HankTime was on pace for career highs in catches (48), yards (600), and touchdowns (5) before tearing his ACL and LCL on November 17. Washington is expected to make upgrading No. 2 receiver a priority this offseason, leaving Hankerson with an uncertain 2014 role. Through three NFL seasons, Hankerson has shown limited separation skills, and isn't a ball snatcher in the air. Rehabbing his knee at age 25, Hankerson's Dynasty value has hit a new low.

Also Received Consideration: Brian Hoyer, Mike James, Robert Turbin, Greg Little, Brian Quick, Andrew Hawkins, Ryan Griffin, Edwin Baker, Brandon Gibson, Miles Austin, Marcedes Lewis, Jermichael Finley, Dexter McCluster, Jordan Todman, Jermaine Gresham, Tyler Eifert, Brandon Pettigrew, Anthony Fasano, Mike Goodson, Daniel Thomas, Chris Ogbonnaya, Marcus Lattimore, Andre Holmes, Kenny Britt, Vincent Brown, Cole Beasley, Malcom Floyd, Ryan Broyles.



Evan Silva is a senior football editor for Rotoworld.com. He can be found on Twitter .
Email :Evan Silva



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