Mike Clay

Dynasty Rankings

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2014 Quarterback Dynasty Ranks

Tuesday, March 04, 2014


Tier 4

Rk

Player

Tm

Age

Draft-Rd

19

Sam Bradford

SL

26.8

2010-1

20

Joe Flacco

BLT

29.6

2008-1

21

Jake Locker

TEN

26.2

2011-1

22

Mike Glennon

TB

24.7

2013-3

23

E.J. Manuel

BUF

24.4

2013-1

24

Alex Smith

KC

30.3

2005-1

25

Geno Smith

NYJ

23.8

2013-2

26

Carson Palmer

ARZ

34.6

2003-1

27

Eli Manning

NYG

33.6

2004-1


Bradford is only 26 and was on pace for 32 touchdowns before an injury cut his 2013 season short. There’s an inkling of breakout potential left in the tank, but Bradford’s ceiling appears to be that of a QB2…The Ravens’ offense was a disaster in 2013. The poor rushing game gets the headlines, but overrated and overpaid Flacco played poorly as well, putting up a 19:22 TD:INT mark. Closing in on age 30, Flacco is nothing more than a low-ceiling QB2.

Injuries continue to derail Jake Locker’s career. He’s managed only 16 full games over the last two seasons. The good news is that he’s only 25, the favorite to start in Week 1 for Tennessee, and showed some signs of life when healthy this past season. Savvy owners should look to take one final shot on this guy while his stock is low…Mike Glennon was a clear upgrade over Josh Freeman in Tampa Bay last season, but the rookie was far from fantasy-relevant. Although his 19:9 TD:INT mark provides plenty of reason for optimism, the 24 year old was No. 35 among quarterbacks in fantasy points per game.

EJ Manuel struggled as a rookie. His 11:9 TD:INT mark was underwhelming and he missed six games due to injury. Only 11 quarterbacks racked up more carries than Manuel’s 53, however, which adds to his fantasy intrigue. Entering his second season, Manuel is worth stashing, but doesn’t have the looks of a future QB1…Alex Smith enjoyed a successful first season with the Chiefs. Only 14 quarterbacks scored more fantasy points and the Kansas City offense actually put up more touchdowns than Denver down the stretch. Smith protects the ball well (23:8 TD:INT mark in 2013) and does some damage with his legs (75 carries). He’s a decent short-term QB2, but his ceiling is uninspiring and he turns 30 later this year.

It may surprise you to know that, despite his ugly 12:21 TD:INT mark, Geno Smith was the No. 20 fantasy quarterback of 2013. Smith’s legs were a big reason. He scored a position-high six rushing touchdowns on 72 carries. It’s fair to expect some improvement in his second season, but Smith will need to be drastically better as a passer if he hopes to hold down the Jets’ starting gig. He’s nothing more than a speculative hold right now.

Palmer threw a ton of interceptions (22) and adds nothing with his legs (three rushing yards), but he was still fantasy’s No. 17 quarterback in 2013. Expected to run the improving Arizona offense for a few more seasons, the 34-year-old Palmer makes for a solid short-term QB2…It was an ugly 2013 season for Eli Manning. His 27 interceptions easily paced the league and he managed only 18 total touchdowns despite appearing in all 16 of the Giants’ games. Closing in on 34 years of age and having failed to put up QB1 numbers in back-to-back seasons, Manning’s value is the lowest it has ever been.

Tier 5

Rk

Player

Tm

Age

Draft-Rd

28

Brian Hoyer

CLV

28.8

2009-U

29

Terrelle Pryor

OAK

25.2

2011-U

30

Ryan Mallett

NE

26.2

2011-3

31

Brock Osweiler

DEN

23.7

2012-2

32

Kirk Cousins

WAS

26.0

2012-4

33

Case Keenum

HST

26.5

2012-U

34

Michael Vick

FA

34.1

2001-1


Brian Hoyer showed some signs of life before a torn ACL ended his 2013 season after three games. He’s far from a prospect at age 28, but he’s the current favorite for the Browns’ Week 1 gig…Terrelle Pryor flirted with fantasy relevance last season because of the damage he does with his legs. He hasn’t thrown the ball very well, however, which makes him unintriguing as a long-term hold…Ryan Mallett is backing up 36-year-old Brady, while Brock Osweiler is behind 38-year-old Peyton Manning. They were third and second round picks, respectively, and are certainly potential long-term answers at the position for their teams. Both should be stashed.

Kirk Cousins hasn’t played very well when called upon, but it’s clear the 25-year-old could be a candidate to start somewhere in the coming years. In the meantime, he’s your top handcuff to Griffin…Case Keenum was better than expected as a rookie, but figures to be no better than second on the Texans depth chart following May’s draft…Michael Vick will enter the 2014 season at 34 years of age, but it’s very possible he latches on somewhere as a short-term starter. Considering the damage he can do with his legs, it’s not crazy to think he can be a borderline QB1 in 2014. That’s enough to keep him on your dynasty radar.

Tier 6

Rk

Player

Tm

Age

Draft-Rd

35

Christian Ponder

MIN

26.5

2011-1

36

Matt Barkley

PHI

23.9

2013-4

37

Josh Freeman

FA

26.6

2009-1

38

Matt Cassel

FA

32.2

2005-7

39

Josh McCown

FA

35.1

2002-3

40

Ryan Nassib

NYG

24.4

2013-4

41

Matt Schaub

HST

33.1

2004-3

42

Matt Simms

NYJ

25.9

2012-U

43

Matt McGloin

OAK

24.7

2013-U

44

Thad Lewis

BUF

26.7

2010-U

45

Blaine Gabbert

JAX

24.8

2011-1


The No. 12 overall pick in 2011, Christian Ponder has failed to live up to expectations. His days as Minnesota’s starter are likely over…Matt Barkley will be Foles’ primary backup in 2014. One injury away from leading a Chip Kelly offense, Barkley is worth stashing…Josh Freeman busted in Tampa Bay and lasted one game in Minnesota. The guy is talented, but he’s too volatile to hold down a starting gig…Matt Cassel may get a chance to start in 2014, but he’s 31 and has a very low ceiling…Josh McCown wants to re-sign with Chicago as Cutler’s backup. Even if he doesn’t, he’s unlikely to land a starting gig elsewhere and is closing in on age 35…Ryan Nassib is the favorite to back up a struggling and aging Eli Manning over the next few years. He was a 2013 fourth-round pick.

Matt Schaub is closing in on age-33 and is going to be cut loose by Houston. He may get a chance to start early on in 2013, but only as a seat-warmer for a rookie…Matt Simms showed well in the 2013 preseason and could get a few starts in 2014 if Geno Smith continues to struggle…Matt McGloin is an underwhelming talent, but he exceeded expectations as a rookie and has a shot at the No. 2 gig in Oakland…Thaddeus Lewis played fairly well off the bench for Buffalo last season and seems to have a future as a competent backup. He’s only 26…Blaine Gabbert lost his job to Chad Henne last season after putting up an ugly 1:7 TD:INT mark. The former No. 10-overall pick is a major bust.

Tier 7

Rk

Player

Tm

Age

Draft-Rd

46

Tyrod Taylor

BLT

25.0

2011-6

47

Chad Henne

FA

29.1

2008-2

48

Matt Moore

MIA

30.0

2007-U

49

Mark Sanchez

NYJ

27.8

2009-1

50

T.J. Yates

HST

27.2

2011-5

51

Landry Jones

PIT

25.4

2013-4

52

Tyler Bray

KC

22.6

2013-U

53

Matt Flynn

FA

29.2

2008-7

54

Kellen Clemens

FA

31.2

2006-2

55

Ryan Fitzpatrick

TEN

31.7

2005-7

56

Scott Tolzien

GB

26.9

2011-U

57

Kevin Kolb

BUF

30.0

2007-2

58

Chase Daniel

KC

27.9

2009-U

59

Drew Stanton

ARZ

30.3

2007-2

60

Colt McCoy

FA

27.9

2010-3

61

Zac Dysert

DEN

24.5

2013-7

62

Tarvaris Jackson

FA

31.3

2006-2

63

Jeff Tuel

BUF

23.5

2013-U

64

Kyle Orton

DAL

31.7

2005-4

65

Dominique Davis

ATL

25.1

2012-U



12
Mike Clay is a football writer for Rotoworld.com and the Founder/Managing Editor of Pro Football Focus Fantasy. He can be found on Twitter @MikeClayNFL.
Email :Mike Clay



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