Evan Silva

Goal Line Stand

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Silva's Preseason Top 150

Wednesday, August 6, 2014

These rankings are based on standard scoring leagues, albeit with plenty of references to points-per-reception formats (PPR). This is my attempt to essentially map out a fantasy draft, and provide readers with an idea of where I value players. Average Draft Position, position scarcity, upside, and projected role are all strongly considered in the rankings. I do bump up players I want readers to draft, because I think they should aggressively pursue them. I bump down players I do not want readers to draft because I believe there is strong evidence suggesting they should be avoided.

As is always the case in these Top 150s, I devalue quarterbacks because it is a devalued position in standard, one-quarterback leagues. I think securing a top-four tight end provides owners with a significant week-to-week edge. I recommend an aggressive approach at this position.

For comprehensive player writeups and outlooks, consult the 2014 Rotoworld Draft Guide, which is chock full of league-winning information.

Round One

1. LeSean McCoy -- Least risk of top RBs at age 26 in NFL's best rushing O.
2. Jamaal Charles -- The Charles/Shady tiebreaker is Chiefs suspect O-Line.
3. Adrian Peterson -- Lone concern is he'll be 29 1/2 when the season starts.
4. Matt Forte -- In PPR drafts, I'd take Forte third overall ahead of Peterson.
5. Eddie Lacy -- Huge TD upside; owners must handcuff with James Starks.
6. Calvin Johnson -- Bump Calvin, Dez & Demaryius ahead of Lacy in PPR.
7. Dez Bryant -- The Cowboys' roster is built to generate weekly shootouts.
8. Demaryius Thomas -- I'm standing by this: Best WR Peyton has ever had.
9. Jimmy Graham -- A fantasy football week winner. Drew Brees' go-to guy.
10. Julio Jones -- Foot woes are concern, but offers No. 1 overall WR ceiling.
11. DeMarco Murray -- Could catch 70+ balls in Linehan's RB-friendly offense.
12. A.J. Green -- Run-centric O may give him more 1-on-1 chances downfield.


Editor's Note: Rotoworld's partner FanDuel is hosting a one-week $100,000 Fantasy Football Contest for Week 1's games. It's only $10 to join and first prize is $10,000. Starts Sunday, September 7th at 1pm ET. Here's the link.

Round Two

13. Rob Gronkowski -- For dice-rolling owners. Ceiling higher than Graham's.
14. Jordy Nelson -- 94/1,559/12 pace last year when Aaron Rodgers played.
15. Montee Ball -- 8/4 appendectomy could make him a 2nd-round value pick.
16. Le'Veon Bell -- Finished as a top-10 RB in points per game as 21-year-old.
17. Marshawn Lynch -- Age & backup concerns, but bellcow on run-first team.
18. Julius Thomas -- Big room for growth in catches & yards post-Eric Decker.
19. Brandon Marshall -- Top-11 fantasy WR in each of his 4 years with Cutler.
20. Keenan Allen -- 76-1,179-10 over last 15 games. 90-100 catch candidate.
21. Alshon Jeffery -- Marquess Wilson injury may add to early-season targets.
22. Randall Cobb -- Can catch 100 balls if he stays healthy in dynamic offense.
23. Zac Stacy -- Rams bellcow. Jeff Fisher calling Tre Mason just a COP back.
24. Doug Martin -- Should be pretty clear lead back on run-devoted Bucs team.

Round Three

25. Antonio Brown -- TDs will drop, but still strong bet for around 100 catches.
26. Andre Johnson -- Keep an eye on lingering hamstring strain. 33 years old.
27. Jordan Cameron -- Last of week-to-week fantasy difference makers at TE.
28. Aaron Rodgers -- I think Green Bay's offense will lead the league in points.
29. Drew Brees -- Ranks 2nd/1st/1st/3rd/2nd/1st in QB points last six years.
30. Peyton Manning -- Much tougher schedule, older & lost TD scorer Decker.
31. Roddy White -- Lots left in tank. I bet he returns low-end WR1 value in '14.
32. Toby Gerhart -- Rare every-down RB. Will be centerpiece of Jags offense.
33. Giovani Bernard -- PPR stud but will lose lots of carries & GL work to Hill.
34. Alfred Morris -- Annual zero in pass game, but plenty of touchdown upside.
35. Victor Cruz -- Will be heavily targeted in new quick-hitting passing offense.
36. Arian Foster -- Already hurt at Texans camp. Must-cuff with Andre Brown.

Round Four

37. C.J. Spiller -- Healthy now, but will continue to mix blowups with clunkers.
38. Michael Crabtree -- 49ers likely step back on DEF bodes well for Crabtree.
39. Torrey Smith -- Expect career highs across board as Kubiak's featured WR.
40. Larry Fitzgerald -- Still centerpiece of Arians' pass game, especially in RZ.
41. Joique Bell -- I think he'll lead Lions in carries/rush TDs. Good receiver, too.
42. Reggie Bush -- Respectable RB2 in standard. Low-end RB1 threat in PPR.
43. Vincent Jackson -- Targets will dip, but still lots of yardage/scoring upside.
44. Bishop Sankey -- Some RBBC concerns but Titans best RB & strong OL.
45. Andre Ellington -- Boom-or-bust RB2. I'm avoiding at his third-round ADP.
46. Shane Vereen -- 1,218-yard, 11-TD, 97-catch pace in ten '13 appearances.
47. Ryan Mathews -- Crowded backfield, but clear lead back on run-first team.
48. Mike Wallace -- Playing 2013 DJax role in Fins' new Eagles-like scheme.

Round Five

49. Marques Colston -- Undervalued. 98/1,213/8 pace over his last ten games.
50. Rueben Randle -- My top breakout WR pick. 9 TDs on 60 career catches.
51. Michael Floyd -- Fast-ascending 24-year-old with legitimate WR1 ceiling.
52. DeSean Jackson -- I like Jackson to outproduce Garcon under Jay Gruden.
53. Frank Gore -- Descending, but 3-down back with great OL. Cuff with Hyde.
54. Pierre Garcon -- Could lose 50+ targets with DJax in D.C. & Reed healthy.
55. Stevan Ridley -- Boom-bust, but lock for double-digit TDs if doesn't fumble.
56. Wes Welker -- Likely one more concussion from retirement. I'm avoiding.
57. Lamar Miller -- Will open season as lead RB under run-first new OC Lazor.
58. Matthew Stafford -- Efficiency should spike with new O & better weapons.
59. Jordan Reed -- Injury flags, but 80-888-6 pace as rookie TE. That's special.
60. Cam Newton -- Robbery at late-7th-round ADP. Better WRs than last year.

Round Six

61. Jeremy Maclin -- Don't expect repeat of D-Jax numbers. More of a WR2/3.
62. Cordarrelle Patterson -- Could frustrate. Better KR than WR at this stage.
63. Percy Harvin -- Overvalued in NFL's most wide receiver-unfriendly offense.
64. Jeremy Hill -- Steal at 9th-round ADP. Could lead Bengals in carries/TDs.
65. Ben Tate -- Couldn't stay healthy as HOU backup. Can he as CLE starter?
66. Rashad Jennings -- If you like touchdowns, do not draft Rashad Jennings.
67. Golden Tate -- Should be Stafford's clear No. 2 pass option behind Calvin.
68. Kendall Wright -- Just a WR3. Volume likely to take a hit in Titans' new O.
69. Eric Decker -- TD scorer. Value pick if Geno Smith just becomes average.
70. Tom Brady -- QB4 overall fantasy pace with Gronk in the lineup last year.
71. Jason Witten -- Romo's clear No. 2 option. Durable 80+ catch candidate.
72. Andre Williams -- Already Giants GL back. Better runner than Jennings.

Round Seven

73. Dennis Pitta -- High-volume role under TE-friendly Kubiak. Solid PPR TE1.
74. Terrance West -- Tate's ADP is late 5th. West's is late 7th. I'll take West.
75. Bernard Pierce -- Will get chance to run with lead RB job in Weeks 1 & 2.
76. Emmanuel Sanders -- Dicey WR3. Better in real life than fantasy football..
77. Reggie Wayne -- Knee all systems go. Best bet to lead Colts in catches.
78. Terrance Williams -- Likely to be inconsistent behind Dez/Witten/Murray.
79. Jay Cutler -- Highest ceiling in his QB tier. Surrounded by red-zone beasts.
80. Andrew Luck -- Huge breakout potential if Colts embrace pass-first offense.
81. Nick Foles -- Solid every-week QB1 but '13 efficiency will be hard to repeat.
82. Tony Romo -- Back woes, but will be a shootout QB with no DEF in Dallas.
83. Matt Ryan -- Pass-first offense, healthy WRs, bad DEF, and plays indoors.
84. Robert Griffin III -- Wild card in new offense. Will explode if knee truly right.

Round Eight

85. Trent Richardson -- I prefer Bradshaw late to T-Rich at his fifth-round ADP.
86. Kyle Rudolph -- Blowup candidate w/ Norv. Will lead MIN in receiving TDs.
87. T.Y. Hilton -- Already week-to-week headache & targets likely to plummet.
88. Justin Hunter -- Great fit for Whisenhunt's more vertically-oriented offense.
89. Fred Jackson -- NFL's oldest RB, but Bills primary passing-down/GL back.
90. Ray Rice -- Chances at reclaiming his job may depend on Bernard Pierce.
91. Brandin Cooks -- Candidate for 90+ touches (rush & receiving) as a rookie.
92. Vernon Davis -- With improved supporting cast, a lock to frustrate this year.
93. DeAndre Hopkins -- Like Hopkins as steady WR3 in 2014; WR1/2 by 2015.
94. Josh Gordon -- This is where I'd start considering him with status in limbo.
95. Dwayne Bowe -- Alex Smith has a limiting effect on all perimeter receivers.
96. Kelvin Benjamin -- Already Cam's favorite target. 8-11 TD threat as a rookie.

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Evan Silva is a senior football editor for Rotoworld.com. He can be found on Twitter .
Email :Evan Silva

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