Evan Silva

Goal Line Stand

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Silva's August Top 150

Wednesday, August 13, 2014


These rankings are based on standard scoring leagues, albeit with plenty of references to points-per-reception formats (PPR). This is my attempt to essentially map out a fantasy draft, and provide readers with an idea of where I value players. Average Draft Position (ADP), position scarcity, upside, and projected role are all strongly considered in the rankings. I do bump up players I want readers to draft -- sometimes aggressively -- because I think they should pursue them. I bump down players I do not want readers to draft because I believe there is evidence suggesting they're best left avoided.

As is always the case in these Top 150s, I devalue quarterbacks because it is a devalued position in standard, one-quarterback leagues. I think securing a top-four tight end provides owners with a significant week-to-week edge. I recommend an aggressive approach at this position.

For comprehensive player writeups and outlooks, consult the 2014 Rotoworld Draft Guide, which is chock full of league-winning information.

Round One

1. LeSean McCoy -- I explained why Sproles isn't a "threat" on this podcast.
2. Jamaal Charles -- The Charles/Shady tiebreaker is Chiefs suspect O-Line.
3. Adrian Peterson -- Expect improved D under Zimmer, working in AP's favor.
4. Matt Forte -- In PPR drafts, I'd take Forte third overall ahead of Peterson.
5. Eddie Lacy -- Huge TD upside; owners must handcuff with James Starks.
6. Demaryius Thomas -- Set up to set NFL records with Eric Decker gone.
7. Calvin Johnson -- Bump Demaryius, Calvin & Dez ahead of Lacy in PPR.
8. Dez Bryant -- The alpha receiver on a team destined for weekly shootouts.
9. Jimmy Graham -- A fantasy football week winner. Drew Brees' go-to guy.
10. Julio Jones -- Offers No. 1 overall WR ceiling with Tony Gonzalez retired.
11. DeMarco Murray -- Even if DAL plays from behind, will soak up receptions.
12. A.J. Green -- Marvin Jones' injury doesn't hurt. Will remain target monster.

 

Editor's Note: Rotoworld's partner FanDuel is hosting a one-week $100,000 Fantasy Football Contest for Week 1's games. It's only $10 to join and first prize is $10,000. Starts Sunday, September 7th at 1pm ET. Here's the link.



Round Two

13. Rob Gronkowski -- Reports of '50:50' for Wk 1 expected, but grab solid TE2.
14. Jordy Nelson -- 94/1,559/12 pace last season when Aaron Rodgers played.
15. Montee Ball -- 8/4 appendectomy could make him a 2nd-round value pick.
16. Le'Veon Bell -- Finished as a top-10 RB in points per game as 21-year-old.
17. Marshawn Lynch -- More $ from Seattle suggests workload will stay intact.
18. Brandon Marshall -- Top-11 fantasy WR in each of his 4 years with Cutler.
19. Keenan Allen -- 10 TDs last 15 games. Philip Rivers' clear-cut go-to target.
20. Julius Thomas -- Big room for growth in catches & yards post-Eric Decker.
21. Alshon Jeffery -- 24-year-old monster a lock to improve on last year's 7 TDs.
22. Zac Stacy -- Rams bellcow. Value pick at third-round Average Draft Position.
23. Randall Cobb -- 100-catch candidate in dynamic O. Also in contract year.
24. Doug Martin -- Not sweating OL yet. Lead back on run-devoted Bucs team.

Round Three

25. Roddy White -- Lots left in tank. I bet he returns low-end WR1 value in '14.
26. Antonio Brown -- TDs will drop, but still strong bet for around 100 catches.
27. Andre Johnson -- ADP has fallen to late-4th round. Last year's WR12 overall.
28. Jordan Cameron -- Last of week-to-week fantasy difference makers at TE.
29. Aaron Rodgers -- I think Green Bay's offense will lead the league in points.
30. Drew Brees -- Ranks 2nd/1st/1st/3rd/2nd/1st in QB points last six years.
31. Peyton Manning -- Much tougher schedule, older & lost TD scorer Decker.
32. Toby Gerhart -- Rare every-down RB. Will be centerpiece of Jags offense.
33. Giovani Bernard -- Overrated at 2nd-round ADP. Jeremy Hill is better value.
34. Alfred Morris -- Annual zero in pass game, but plenty of touchdown upside.
35. Victor Cruz -- Will be heavily targeted in new quick-hitting passing offense.
36. Arian Foster -- Already injured in camp. Too much risk for 2nd-round ADP.

Round Four

37. Torrey Smith -- 'X' receiver in Kubiak/Shanahan O is annual target monster.
38. Michael Crabtree -- Niners defensive losses give Crabtree a ton of upside.
39. Larry Fitzgerald -- Still centerpiece of Arians' pass game, especially in RZ.
40. C.J. Spiller -- Healthy now, but will continue to be boom-bust weekly player.
41. Joique Bell -- I think he'll lead Lions in carries/rush TDs. Great receiver, too.
42. Vincent Jackson -- Targets will dip, but still lots of yardage/scoring upside.
43. Reggie Bush -- Strong RB2 in PPR leagues. Better as flex play in standard.
44. Andre Ellington -- Boom-or-bust RB2. I'm avoiding at his third-round price.
45. Bishop Sankey -- Some RBBC concerns, but Titans best RB & strong OL.
46. Shane Vereen -- 1,218-yard, 11-TD, 97-catch pace in ten '13 appearances.
47. Ryan Mathews -- Crowded backfield, but clear lead back on run-first team.
48. Mike Wallace -- Playing 2013 D-Jax role in Fins' new Eagles-like scheme.

Round Five

49. Marques Colston -- Undervalued. 98/1,213/8 pace over his last 10 games.
50. Rueben Randle -- My top breakout WR pick. 9 TDs on 60 career catches.
51. Michael Floyd -- Fast-ascending 24-year-old with legitimate WR1 ceiling.
52. DeSean Jackson -- I like Jackson to outproduce Garcon under Jay Gruden.
53. Frank Gore -- Descending, but 3-down back with great OL. Cuff with Hyde.
54. Pierre Garcon -- Could lose 50+ targets with D-Jax in D.C. & Reed healthy.
55. Wes Welker -- Likely one more concussion from retirement. I'm avoiding.
56. Lamar Miller -- Will open season as lead RB under run-first new OC Lazor.
57. Stevan Ridley -- Boom-bust, but double-digit TD lock if he doesn't fumble.
58. Matthew Stafford -- Efficiency should spike with new O & better weapons.
59. Jordan Reed -- Injury flags, but 80-888-6 pace as rookie TE. That's special.
60. Cam Newton -- Robbery at late-7th-round ADP. Better WRs than last year.

Round Six

61. Jeremy Maclin -- Don't expect repeat of D-Jax numbers. More of a WR2/3.
62. Cordarrelle Patterson -- Could frustrate. Better KR than WR at this stage.
63. Ben Tate -- Couldn't stay healthy as HOU backup. Can he as CLE starter?
64. Percy Harvin -- Overvalued in NFL's most wide receiver-unfriendly offense.
65. Jeremy Hill -- Steal at 9th-round ADP. Could lead Bengals in carries/TDs.
66. Rashad Jennings -- ADP has spiked to early 4th round after preseason TD.
67. Golden Tate -- Should be Stafford's clear No. 2 pass option behind Calvin.
68. Eric Decker -- TD scorer. Value pick if Geno Smith just becomes average.
69. Kendall Wright -- Just a WR3. Volume likely to take a hit in new Titans O.
70. Tom Brady -- QB4 overall fantasy pace with Gronk in the lineup last year.
71. Jason Witten -- Romo's clear No. 2 option. Durable 80+ catch candidate.
72. Reggie Wayne -- Knee all systems go. Best bet to lead Colts in catches.

Round Seven

73. Andre Williams -- Already Giants GL back. Better runner than Jennings.
74. Bernard Pierce -- Will get chance to run with lead RB job in Weeks 1 & 2.
75. Emmanuel Sanders -- Dicey WR3. Better in real life than fantasy football.
76. Terrance Williams -- Likely to be inconsistent behind Dez/Witten/Murray.
77. Dennis Pitta -- High-volume role under TE-friendly Kubiak. Solid PPR TE1.
78. Jay Cutler -- Highest ceiling in his QB tier. Surrounded by red-zone beasts.
79. Andrew Luck -- Huge breakout potential if Colts embrace pass-first offense.
80. Nick Foles -- Solid every-week QB1 but '13 efficiency impossible to match.
81. Tony Romo -- Back woes, but will be a shootout QB with no DEF in Dallas.
82. Matt Ryan -- Pass-first offense, healthy WRs, bad DEF, and plays indoors.
83. Robert Griffin III -- Wild card in new offense. Early-camp reports concerning.
84. Kyle Rudolph -- Blowup candidate w/ Norv. Will lead MIN in receiving TDs.

Round Eight

85. Fred Jackson -- NFL's oldest RB, but Bills primary passing-down/GL back.
86. Trent Richardson -- Looked like same old T-Rich in Colts exhibition opener.
87. T.Y. Hilton -- Already week-to-week headache & targets likely to plummet.
88. Maurice Jones-Drew -- Quality RB3/flex behind underrated Raiders O-Line.
89. Terrance West -- 1B to Tate's 1A, but didn't impress in preseason opener.
90. Justin Hunter -- Great fit for Whisenhunt's more vertically-oriented offense.
91. Ray Rice -- Looked like questionable fit for Kubiak ZBS in exhibition opener.
92. Brandin Cooks -- Hype out of control as Cooks' ADP nears the sixth round.
93. Vernon Davis -- With improved supporting cast, a lock to frustrate this year.
94. DeAndre Hopkins -- Like Hopkins as steady WR3 in 2014; WR1/2 by 2015.
95. Josh Gordon -- This is where I'd start considering him with status in limbo.
96. Dwayne Bowe -- Alex Smith has a limiting effect on all perimeter receivers.


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Evan Silva is a senior football editor for Rotoworld.com. He can be found on Twitter .
Email :Evan Silva



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